Important turning point in whole crypto and HARMONYIt might be early to say, because we can't exclude both a bullish or bearish outcome, but as we try to make accurate forecasts, 2 bullish scenarios are definitely not excluded:
Bullish:
1. Green Elliott impulse wave to 0.2 USD short term
2. Turquois Elliott impulse wave to identical or higher target midterm.
Bearish:
3. Break of the white ascending trendline and 200 EMA following..
Situation atm:
Big corrections or run ups influenced by bitcoin have drastic impact, but can technically be eliminated to have a clearer view of where the chart might be going.
If we wouldn't have had the break out to 0.18 and the correction to 0.06, we would still have a longer consolidation in the form of a symmetrical triangle with the turquois path as an outcome.
The white ascending trendline is in my opinion primordial and functions as support for another leg up.
The fact that we have volatility in a broad trading range is good for the future, cfr. Matic around the 0.3-0.5 level and 0.7-0.8 level, remember.
We have also on a smaller scale broken out from a descending wedge and are hanging between the 21 and 100 EMA. Break out of these levels will indicate highly probable further direction.
On a macro scale we could have ended an ABC correction with an abrupt C wave, or we will be having an elongated C wave which will indicate a beartrend. These corrections are probably a subdivision of a larger correctional wave 4. And as we are making heavy consolidation in a larger trading range, I believe a 5th wave will definitely be insane.
On the log scale, which is nice to see parabolic movements play out like a walk in the park, I prefer to watch the regular scale to avoid over bullish scenarios, which doesn't exclude the probability.
A last overview of the correction since the 0.22 usd level is the yellow descending broadening wedge we are in, but hasn't really made form... I don't believe this is happening, as another visit to the lower trendline of the wedge would reach sub 0 levels, which is of-course excluded and proves the latter.
So after this analysis I would say I am rather bullish than bearish, if you'd have a few months max. patience.
Best case scenario a week or 2, worst case, a bullish turnaround after 2nd quarter or beginning July, which makes sense as well. This would mean that bitcoin might have a longer recovery as well, and indicate a second bull-run phase half this year until end of the year.
I am still prosperous for the future of blockchain, certainly for undervalued top coins as Harmony. They haven't been working on marketing or the 'network effect', but I believe hidden gems are called that way to astonish the market in a positive way on the longer term.
