Options-strategy
$MU | Watchlist #1 | 12/27 - 12/31 MU 94 BOUNCE
or 92.7-93 BOUNCE
Strategy:
Post earnings report rally
Buy into weakness at the bounce levels
News Catalyst: "Micron Technology (MU) shares were up nearly 5% to trade at $94.84 on Thursday, as more than 25 million shares changed hands shortly before 2:30 p.m. EST. Over the past five trading sessions, Micron has risen more than 16%, compared to a 1.7% gain for the S&P 500." - seekingalpha.com
$EEM naked PUT, high PoP #option #trade #Trades #OptionsTrading The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF is a good choice for today high IVR credit trade. High PoP, very predictable profit.
Reasons:
- high reward for Jan21 monthly expiry (mangeable with rolling) -> collecting credit
- breakeven point is far
- RSI is oversold.
Max profit: $92
Probability of 50%Profit: 84%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 14%
Req. Buy Power: $633 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 104 (very high)
Expiry: 49 days
SETUP : NAKED PUT for $EEM, because IVR is high, for 0.92cr
* Sell 1 $EEM JAN21'46 PUT
Management : ROLLING if daily candle is closing below of BE.
Take profit strategy : 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.46db
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
$BABA highest IVR in this year = bullish Iron Condor #tradingAlibaba IVR is 170 without event?! No way.. I'm literally waiting these rocket IVR days in this year!
Chinese stocks are dumping hard. Alibaba Group is maybe the biggest and the best to play with some bullish IC.
Max profit: $230
Probability of 50%Profit: 81%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 30%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$200
Req. Buy Power: $770 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 170 (high for )
Expiry: 49 days
SETUP: IC for 2.3cr, because IVR ultra high
* Buy 1 BABA Jan21' 80 Put
* Sell 1 BABA Jan21' 90 Put
* Sell 1 BABA Jan21' 150 Call
* Buy 1 BABA Jan21' 160 Call
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~$200.
Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.92db
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
#AVGO - PUT Opportunity#AVGO is at all time highs recently gapping up however if you pulled the FLOW on Unusual Whales yesterday the 13th you quickly saw that the FLOW was 73% bearish with extremely large PUTS and Sold Calls being placed against AVGO for this friday's experation played the $600 PUT and already mid way through the day am up 170%
UAL Bullish inclined Naked Puts 10 Dec Expiry (Dec Track 1)Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought
This trade is slightly risky as it is not an ETF. But it's current price movement mirrors JETS etf and this will allow me to get a decent price based on my outlook on travel as a sector
Overall we are seeing Leisure and Hospitality with the largest job gains (Oct data). However in terms of Job postings, while all sectors are seeing increases. Hospitality & Tourism have the lowest postings
If you look at the high Job Gains and the low Job Postings. We can make the assumption that people are filling up Leisure and Hospitality jobs easily but the supply of jobs is just not enough for the number of candidates available.
This also means that the Leisure and Hospitality sector are being very very cautious and this is reflecting in the price movements despite the largely bullish S&P moves. However it is not contrarian, just dulled and pensive
UAL in Oct has also posted higher than expected revenue but is still below 2019 numbers (Before COVID19)
UAL has made higher lows in the past 2 months
I Feel
I feel I have a good assumption that is a reflection of the current market movement. I am also not predicting any direction in my analysis
Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side
This is an easy position to take the other side even if I was bullish. The price is currently ranging and while it has previously broken the resistance line at 51. It has whipped back below the line.
It is possible for it to continue to range down to 43.20 and still hold true to my thoughts on the sector
Imagine Yourself As A Neutral Observer
This trade is slightly worrying based on the position of the Strike within the range.
But if I follow the overall market bullishness I feel we are at least standing on the right side of the fence.
Look For New Information
No new information, but current price movement on the 15 Nov has not followed Friday's drop and feels like it is testing the S&R line
How Do I Feel Now
I'm going to look at it from an hour, breath and then enter if nothing comes up
Trade Specs
Sold 160 Puts @ 0.33 - Strike 44
% to Strike 12.23%
ATR % is around 1%
BP used 70k
Max Gain: est $5280
AAPLAAPL just continues to head Bullish, even with the market being Choppy. Volume indicator looks solid, Fib lines indicating this could be heading to 180 then 183. Currently holding some 3/18 180c and some 1/21 185c. Looking to hold these a little longer. What do you guys think? Let me know what your targets are.
#AAPL #options #Optionstrading #tradingview
Never time The Market, right?When it comes to your long term portfolio, please Dollar Cost Average into the S&P 500. Which I will explain how to in detail in my next post.
However today I just want to show a small swing trading strategy theory I will try for fun. The reason I prefer the idea of swing trading is because it requires you to set your candle sticks to 4h,1d, or sometimes even 1 week. This is good because the more time range each candle stick has the more significance a simple trading pattern will have. In other words trend lines (support/resistance) will be respected.
Its very difficult to trade with the market average unless you have a significant amount of capital, and even then your better off on other investments/trades. That's what got my head on option trading; this is a high risk and high reward form of trading. You either lose it all or you make a big return (rough explanation). All this being said that's why I think the S&P 500 is the perfect environment for option trading. I believe if you call/put when the candle hits the trend line you will almost always win; and for breakouts you can wait for the re-bounce.
Please let me know what you think!
$USO IronCondor 72%PoP, 45% profit - gift of the day with 176IVRDon't miss the opportunity of the day!
Highest IVR ETF today with the value of 173!
Of course, -5 delta meaning bearish Iron Condor.
SAFETY ZONES: 200MA could act as support, bullish trendline too.
Max profit: $314
Probability of 50%Profit: 72%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 45%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$150
Req. Buy Power: $686 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 137-173 (ultra high for options )
Expiry: 56 days
SETUP : IC for , because IVR ultra high, for 3.14cr
* Sell 1 USO Jan21' 35 Put
* Buy 1 USO Jan21' 45 Put
* Buy 1 USO Jan21' 55 Call
* Sell 1 USO Jan21' 65 Call
SETUP: IC for USO, because IVR is epic high.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~150$.
Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 1.1db.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
#MSFT perfect dip buying opportunity Microsoft as you see in the chart was clearly affected by the wild week we had of trading this past week but it has presented us with a perfect dip buy opportunity if you notice the last candle in the chart has a super long wick on the bottom side showing us that although sellers are in control buyers are rejecting lower prices plus we also are getting a nice bounce off the cloud ema. Part of this dip has to do with the pull back the market had but also the CEO selling a significant amount of shares but either way i still see #MSFT having a 4 in the front of it in the near future.
PUTS ON LOCK for #BABASo as we have seen this week with the delisthing of DIDI i would encourage any trader looking to jump into Chinese stocks to proceed with caution or tread water very carefully as this seems to be exactly what Winnie the XI wants at this point the best plays we can do to make money on CCP plays is PUTS or at least for me that is how i will be proceeding i know it's hard to resist trying to time the bottom of a play but no one likes being a bag holder or get cut by a falling knife either.
$AMD IC 40% Profit and 77% PoP #amd #trading #optionsI'm waiting for this AMD corrention....
* Big red trending candle.
* Reasonable safety S/R zones.
* Long run and now correction.
Why Iron Condor?
Let the bulls/bears to choose direction, I would like to making money in any direction!
Max profit: $286
Probability of 50%Profit: 77%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 40%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$200
Req. Buy Power: $770 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 94 (very high)
Expiry: 49 days
SETUP: IC for 1.43cr each, because IVR ultra high
* Buy 2 AMD Jan21' 110 Put
* Sell 2 AMD Jan21' 115 Put
* Sell 2 AMD Jan21' 170 Call
* Buy 2 AMD Jan21' 175 Call
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~$200.
Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.57db each.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
$DAL 16% Profit for 16 days? Not bad. #nakedput #daytradingDealta Airlines correction, playing out with naked put option.
Reasons:
- high reward for next monthly expiry (mangeable with rolling) -> collecting credit
- breakeven point is far
- RSI is oversold.
Max profit: $92
Probability of 50%Profit: 78%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 16%
Req. Buy Power: $558 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 96 (very high)
Expiry: 16 days
SETUP: NAKED PUT for $DAL, because IVR is high, for 0.92cr
* Sell 1 DAL DEC17'32 PUT
Management : ROLLING if daily candle is closing below of BE.
Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.46db
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !