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ES/SPX Weekly Plan | 12/12 - 12/17Big week ahead in terms of tapering updates. We are very bullish coming into the week for the following reasons: 1. The market has been made aware of Powell's true stance on inflation since he told everyone "we need to let go of the word transitory." We did sell off soon after to 4500 as the market received the news, but since then, everyone has had time to digest it, and we rallied sharply back to almost all time highs. to me, that says they're essentially "accepting" his plan and think that the market is strong enough to withstand the taper 2. Big big dark pool prints all last week even with the knowledge of tapering. This is very supportive for the market Dec 15 will be very important. Powell can crush everyone's hopes and dreams if he comes out hawkish and speeds up his taper plan or increases the number of tapers. If this happens, our bias will change quickly.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Zeal_Trading
$BABA highest IVR in this year = bullish Iron Condor #tradingAlibaba IVR is 170 without event?! No way.. I'm literally waiting these rocket IVR days in this year! Chinese stocks are dumping hard. Alibaba Group is maybe the biggest and the best to play with some bullish IC. Max profit: $230 Probability of 50%Profit: 81% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 30% Max loss with my risk management: ~$200 Req. Buy Power: $770 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 170 (high for ) Expiry: 49 days SETUP: IC for 2.3cr, because IVR ultra high * Buy 1 BABA Jan21' 80 Put * Sell 1 BABA Jan21' 90 Put * Sell 1 BABA Jan21' 150 Call * Buy 1 BABA Jan21' 160 Call Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~$200. Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.92db Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:BABA
by TanukiTrade
After Dividends GIS Raised Prices...Will They CRUSH Earnings?Is GIS part of the global Supply Crunch? After several months our GIS retail play is holding up nicely but will they crush earnings? It seems they're poised to knock this out the park on 12 21, but anything could happen. Please DYOR before jumping in to GIS, read their prospectus & recent SEC filings, so there are no surprises. Full disclosure considering cutting bags here. We're done at the grocery store this quarter, & may look to rotate back into sectors that are down.
NYSE:GISLong
by CryptoQue
$LOW | 12/13-12/17 | Watchlist #4 $LOW $260 bounce (Bounce off 260 for calls) Technical analysis: Bull flag breakout on the hourly chart News catalyst: "Lowe's holds a Financial Outlook event. The home improvement retailer is expected to focus some of its commentary on operating margin opportunities. Expect some analysis following the event on whether or not Lowe's can close the margin gap with Home Depot (NYSE:HD). Shares of Lowe's jumped 6% last year after the event featured some strong guidance." - Seeking Alpha
NYSE:LOWLong
by MalcolmInTheMoney
Bearish on Bank Of America (BAC)This is my first time publishing any analysis and I have also not been analyzing charts for to long. This post is more so looking for feedback on my analysis, but if it helps others, then great. That being said, I am confident in shorting BAC as a result of the bearish indicators shown in my chart. For one, it is hovering above a support level that I think needs to be hit before BAC rebounds. My other reasoning is the the 50 day and 100 day moving averages are crossing. The third reasoning shown in my analysis is the "Bearish Cup and Handle Pattern." Also not drawn in what I believe to be a bearish pennant pattern. These reasons are why I have a bearish bias on BAC. As I said before, I am new to this, so any feedback would be MUCH appreciated. (Not Financial Advice)
NYSE:BACShort
by inactiveaccountdontfollow
1
UAL Bullish inclined Naked Puts 10 Dec Expiry (Dec Track 1)Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought This trade is slightly risky as it is not an ETF. But it's current price movement mirrors JETS etf and this will allow me to get a decent price based on my outlook on travel as a sector Overall we are seeing Leisure and Hospitality with the largest job gains (Oct data). However in terms of Job postings, while all sectors are seeing increases. Hospitality & Tourism have the lowest postings If you look at the high Job Gains and the low Job Postings. We can make the assumption that people are filling up Leisure and Hospitality jobs easily but the supply of jobs is just not enough for the number of candidates available. This also means that the Leisure and Hospitality sector are being very very cautious and this is reflecting in the price movements despite the largely bullish S&P moves. However it is not contrarian, just dulled and pensive UAL in Oct has also posted higher than expected revenue but is still below 2019 numbers (Before COVID19) UAL has made higher lows in the past 2 months I Feel I feel I have a good assumption that is a reflection of the current market movement. I am also not predicting any direction in my analysis Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side This is an easy position to take the other side even if I was bullish. The price is currently ranging and while it has previously broken the resistance line at 51. It has whipped back below the line. It is possible for it to continue to range down to 43.20 and still hold true to my thoughts on the sector Imagine Yourself As A Neutral Observer This trade is slightly worrying based on the position of the Strike within the range. But if I follow the overall market bullishness I feel we are at least standing on the right side of the fence. Look For New Information No new information, but current price movement on the 15 Nov has not followed Friday's drop and feels like it is testing the S&R line How Do I Feel Now I'm going to look at it from an hour, breath and then enter if nothing comes up Trade Specs Sold 160 Puts @ 0.33 - Strike 44 % to Strike 12.23% ATR % is around 1% BP used 70k Max Gain: est $5280
NASDAQ:UALLong
by Ronin_trader
Options flow are whispering on BTCThe Options Market can inform well in advance about movements that are yet to happen in futures contracts. Looking at the Options with an Exercise Date (expiry) in 22 days at the time of writing the analysis, the conclusions are quite loud and clear: 50,000 - Put Wall level, that is support with 2 times more capital than the other levels 60,000 - Call Wall level -> resistance 65,000 and 70,000 - successive resistance levels We also see some Virgin VPOC points from the past, which only adds strength and confidence to the Bitcoin bullish prediction. All data and levels are based on BTC quotes from CME. I am puzzled by a very large capital located at the level of 50k $ - someone really cares to defend this level at all costs. There is still time for it, so it's worth watching how the situation develops;)
CME:BTC1!Long
by skyline-trader
2