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[𝟬𝟱/𝟭𝟮] 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗦𝗣𝗫 𝗚𝗘𝗫 𝗣𝗹𝗮𝘆𝗯𝗼𝗼𝗸🔍 IF/THEN QUICK GAMMA PLAYBOOK IF > 5825 THEN path to 5900 → stall/profit-taking likely IF > 5900 THEN path to first 5950, then 6000 → gamma squeeze extension zone IF < 5825 THEN path to 5700 → test of transition zone support Chop Zone: — re-entry = short-term balance/testing zone IF < 5700 THEN path to 5500 → gamma flush / dealer unwind risk 🧭 𝗘𝗫𝗧𝗘𝗡𝗗𝗘𝗗 𝗭𝗢𝗡𝗘 𝗠𝗔𝗣/b] ✅ Gamma Flip Level 5700 → This is the confirmed Gamma Flip level = High Volatility Zone = HVL. We are comfortably above it, confirming positive gamma environment. 🧱 Major Call Walls / Resistance to upside from here 5900 → Significant call resistance zone (highlighted across GEX, profile, and /matrix command). 5825–5900 = Current rally zone → expected stall at 5900 (Profit-taking zone)5950 → Next mid-large positive gamma wall to the upside, mid-station between mounts. Dealers short gamma, adding fuel to breakout.6000 → Positive Gamma squeeze continuation target. Gamma squeeze intensifies → likely extends to 6000.🟦 Transition / Chop Zone 5700–5825 → Previous chop range. Retrace could test this before renewed upside.Currently outside and breaking up from this zone, indicating trend initiation. Balance zone from prior structure. Expect fade setups if price dips back in. Needs catalyst or strong sell flow to re-enter meaningfully. 🛡️ Major Put Supports to the downside 5700 → = HVL, also aligned with pTrans and Put support.Dealer unwind risk, downside opens.5500 → Key level if the 5700 zone fails — “total denial zone” of current FOMO. ----------------------------- This week’s SPX setup remains decisively bullish from a gamma perspective. The GEX profile shows strong positive gamma, with institutional and dealer hedging flows firmly positioned to support continued upside—especially into Friday’s OPEX. The environment is ideal for a controlled melt-up: volatility is softening, implied volatility is trending lower, and there’s no sign of panic in the options market. Put pricing skew is also declining, which suggests reduced fear and a shift toward more aggressive call buying—another sign of bullish sentiment. Dealer positioning implies that any upward momentum is likely to be chased and hedged into, reinforcing the trend. However, traders should stay alert: if SPX slips back below 5825, we may see a pause or retracement back into the 5700–5825 transition zone. Only a decisive break below 5700 would flip the gamma regime back to negative and open the door to real downside volatility.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
Weekly Market Wrap: Nifty Dips 340 Points Amid Global TensionsThis week, the Nifty 50 ended on a cautious note, closing at 24,008, down 340 points from the previous week's close. The index traded within a tight range, hitting a high of 24,526 and a low of 23,935—well within my anticipated levels of 24,900 to 23,800. Silver Lining: Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and negative news flow—including war-related developments—bulls managed to defend the critical psychological support of 24,000. That’s a sign of resilience in an otherwise shaky environment. What’s Ahead? For the upcoming week, expect high volatility. I see Nifty moving between 24,600 and 23,200. A weekly close below 23,800 could spell trouble for bulls, potentially opening the door for a drop toward major support zones at 23,200 and 23,000. Technical Outlook: Monthly & Daily Timeframes: Weak Weekly Timeframe: Still bullish So, while long-term charts show vulnerability, the weekly trend gives hope. I'm staying cautiously bullish—but will only turn aggressive once the monthly chart flips positive. Until then, it’s time to stay vigilant, not impulsive. Global Cues: S&P 500 Holding Up Amid Uncertainty The S&P 500 closed at 5,659, just 30 points down from the previous week, forming a doji candle—a clear sign of indecision. As long as the index holds above 5,532, there's no major cause for concern. Bearish Trigger: Below 5,532, expect downside pressure toward 5,458 and 5,392, which could spill over into already fragile emerging markets like India. Bullish Breakout: Above 5,770, bulls gain momentum, with potential upside targets of 5,821, 5,850, and 5,900. A rally here could bring relief to global equities, including Indian markets.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
Tag ‘n Turn → Bear Mode EngagedV-Shape Reversal Confirms Short Bias You ever see a setup pull a fakeout, tease a breakout, then pivot perfectly back into your system? That was yesterday. The Tag ‘n Turn gave us another clean swing exit off the upper Bollinger Band, and while I was ready to defer the next entry, a tidy little V-shaped reversal handed us the confirmation we needed. We’re back bearish. Levels are set. Now we let the market do its thing. --- SPX Market View Let’s unpack the sequence. Price ran up into the upper Bollinger Band and triggered the final legs of our overnight swings. That was the cash-out point – system clean, profits booked. But I wasn’t diving into the next setup just yet. Why? Because it looked like the start of a Bollinger breakout – the kind that breaks the pinch and rips higher. So I paused. Waited. Then came the V-shaped reversal – clear as day within 2 hours. Entry happened late in the day, around the same level the mechanical Tag ‘n Turn would have fired. No edge lost. Just added confirmation. Now? The system is officially bearish again, with a firm rejection at highs and a sharp drive lower that flipped the tone of the day and the bias on the chart. Today’s key levels: 5620 = GEX flip zone Also where we bounced up post-FOMC 5680 = resistance zone – could mark today’s top We’re back in the pre-FOMC chop zone. The plan: Bearish until price tells us otherwise Hedge levels marked No chase Wait for price to hit our zone Let the system print Expert Insights: Jumping the gun on reversals – wait for structure, not assumptions. Chasing breakouts too early – pinch points often fake before they break. Skipping levels – 5620 and 5680 matter. Mark them or risk regret. Overmanaging overnight trades – exits were planned. Trust the system. Forcing direction changes – confirmation > prediction. The system knows. Satirical cartoon showing confirmation over prediction. Rumour Has It… Word is the SPX reversal was caused by a rogue intern at the Fed who mistook the breakout chart for a bowl of ramen and tried to stir it with a mouse. After rebooting TradingView, they accidentally submitted a bearish policy note to Bloomberg. The market reversed out of pure confusion. This is entirely made-up satire. Probably! Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity? --- Fun Fact The term “V-shaped reversal” originated in early floor trading days when chalkboard analysts would literally sketch a V on the board as a real-time note to floor brokers. That visual shorthand became one of the most recognized intraday patterns in trading – a pattern that still works in a world of tickers, bots, and zero-DTE.
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
SPY - support & resistant areas for today May 5 2025These are Support and Resistance lines for today, May 5th, 2025, and will not be valid for the next day. Mark these in your chart by clicking grab this below. Yellow Lines: Heavily S/R areas, price action will start when closing in on these. White Lines: Are SL, TP or Mid Level Support and Resistance Areas, these are traded if consolidation take place on them. Silver Lines: An Area where price action could happen and do work on a choppy day.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
2
Weekly Market Wrap Nifty, Mid & Small Caps, and S&P 500 OutlookNifty ended the week on a strong bullish note, closing at 24,346, up by 307 points from the previous week. The index traded within a tight range, hitting a high of 24,589 and a low of 24,054, aligning perfectly with my projected range of 24,650–23,400. 📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch: Nifty closed just below a crucial Fibonacci resistance at 24,414. A daily close above 24,414 next week could open the door for a sharp move towards the next major resistance at 24,770. While my system suggests a broader range of 24,900–23,800, I personally hope for a healthy consolidation to cool off some momentum—paving the way for a stronger, faster rally in the coming weeks. Caution Zone: A break below 23,800 might signal the return of bears, potentially dragging the index down to test critical support at 23,200/23,100. Midcap & Smallcap Watch: I’ve received a lot of queries about Midcap and Smallcap indices, and here’s the honest truth—they remain in a 'no-trade' zone. Despite Nifty's strength, the rally hasn’t lifted most Mid & Small Cap stocks. 👉 Investors holding quality, fundamentally strong stocks in these segments should stay calm, but avoid high PE or overvalued stocks until we get a clear monthly buy signal on the charts. 🌍 Global Markets – S&P 500 Analysis: The S&P 500 closed the week at 5,686, just above the strong Fibonacci level of 5,637. Sustaining above this level could lead to a rally toward 5,770/5,821. However, a failure to hold this support might trigger a 2–3% pullback, which could ripple across global markets, including India. 📣 Bottom Line: Nifty bulls need a close above 24,414 to push higher. Mid & Small Cap space remains tricky—stay selective. Watch global cues, especially from the US, for broader market direction. Stay nimble, stay informed. ✅
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
04/28 Weekly GEX AnalysisDETAILED IMAGE: Here’s what the charts and indicators are showing right now until Friday. We are approaching a key breakout zone. 🐂 🟢 IF the market breaks above the white bearish daily trendline, the next bullish target could be between 5515–5680. 🟦 ⚖️ The chop area is between 5435–5515. Expect more back-and-forth moves here if the breakout fails. 🐻🔴 Watch out: if the price drops below 5435 or 5425, there’s little support left. This could trigger a sharp sell-off ("Bearish Armageddon" scenario). GEX profiles remain positive 🟢 across all near expirations — for now — suggesting that underlying support still exists, but we need to monitor any changes closely. IVRank is still relatively high (30.9), meaning options are priced with a decent amount of implied volatility. 🟢Short-term sentiment is currently bullish, with some speculative activity picking up. This suggests that traders are expecting less volatility over the next month compared to what we saw in the past week. However, if we look at institutional positions focused on longer-term expirations (especially beyond 30 days on SPX/AM maturities), the picture remains bearish 🔴 or at least highly volatile. These players are still strongly hedging against downside risks. This confirms the broader point: Even though price action managed to recover to pre-tariff-announcement levels — with very low trading volume — we’re not out of the woods yet. Until we can break and hold above the key resistance bearish trend with HIGH BUY VOLUME (aka. momentum), we shouldn't expect a strong, stable GEX profile across all expirations like we had in the past.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by TanukiTrade
Opening (IRA): SPY July 18th 495 Short Put... for a 5.13 credit. Comments: Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit. Max Profit: 5.13 ROC at Max as a Function of Strike Price: 1.04% Will generally look to roll up if the short put is in profit at 45 DTE or greater, add at intervals if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on at the June 513's and July 495's, and/or consider a "window dressing" roll (i.e., a roll down to a strike that is paying about the same in credit) to milk the last drops out of the position.
AMEX:SPYLong
by NaughtyPines
4
AMZN Amazon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMZN before the previous rally: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMZN Amazon prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 210usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-6-20, for a premium of approximately $3.75. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:AMZNLong
by TopgOptions
One kick towards 54250Bank Nifty Technical Outlook – 30th April On 30th April, Bank Nifty continued to trade with a higher low, maintaining its recent structure of higher highs and higher lows. This indicates short-term strength; however, caution is warranted. Despite the bullish structure, any adverse geopolitical event—such as developments involving PoK or Pakistan—could act as a strong negative trigger. In such a scenario, Bank Nifty may reverse sharply and head towards the downside gap zones around 54,250, 53,700, and potentially 52,300. The broader trend remains vulnerable to news-driven volatility. Monitoring price action near key support zones is crucial. #banknfity #niftybank #nifty50 #nifty
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by utradewithme
Nifty Wkly Market Outlook: Bulls Regain Momentum Amid key brkoutThe Indian benchmark index Nifty 50 ended the week on a strong note, closing at 24,039, marking a robust gain of nearly 200 points from last week's close. During the week, Nifty made a high of 24,365 and a low of 23,847, trading perfectly within the anticipated range of 24,414 – 23,200, as projected in our previous analysis. Importantly, the index managed to secure a weekly close above the psychological resistance level of 24,000, signaling a possible continuation of bullish momentum. As we head into the next trading week, the bulls are expected to have the upper hand, provided Nifty stays above 23,700. A daily close below 23,700, however, could shift sentiment in favor of the bears, exposing key support zones at 23,400 and 23,200. Looking ahead, traders and investors should watch for price action within the broader range of 24,650 to 23,400. If the bulls manage to break and sustain above the critical Fibonacci resistance level of 24,414, we could see an upside move toward 24,650 and even 24,770. On the global front, the S&P 500 index also delivered a strong performance, closing at 5,525, up a significant 250 points from the previous week. As highlighted earlier, the bullish W pattern on the charts has played out well, driving momentum higher. If the S&P 500 sustains above the key breakout level of 5,551, it could potentially rally further to test resistance at 5,638, 5,670, and 5,715. However, a break below 5,391 may invite selling pressure, dragging the index down to test supports at 5,368, 5,327, or even 5,246, which could trigger a negative ripple effect across global markets. Key Takeaways: Nifty bullish above 24,000; watch 24,414 for breakout confirmation. S&P 500 bullish continuation above 5,551; potential to test 5,715. Bearish reversal levels to monitor: 23,700 for Nifty and 5,391 for S&P 500.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
Opening (IRA): TLT May 16th 84 Short Put... for a 1.59 credit. Comments: High IVR; back in range of 52-week lows. Working both ends of the stick in 20 year+ paper with a covered call on one end of the stick, short puts on the other ... . Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 82.41/contract Max Profit: 1.59 ROC at Max: 1.93% 50% Max: .80 ROC at 50% Max: .96% Since I want to potentially pick up additional shares at a lower price, I will run this to expiry or approaching worthless (e.g., .05).
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by NaughtyPines
Nifty50 Wkly Anlysis – Strong Reversal, But Volatility AheadThe Indian stock market closed the week on an interesting note. The Nifty 50 index ended at 22,828, just 70 points lower than last week's close, after forming a significant bullish reversal from a low of 21,743 to a high of 22,923. As we mentioned in last week's market outlook, a base formation was underway—and this week's price action confirmed it. With the next week being truncated due to market holidays on Monday and Friday, traders should expect increased volatility and sideways movement. Key Technical Levels: Support: 22,200 – This is 50% of this week's candle; a break may bring bearish momentum. Resistance: 23,400 – A close above this could ignite a rally toward 23,900, 24,100, and possibly 24,414. On the global front, the S&P 500 respected the 4,800 support level, rebounding sharply to close at 5,363. However, underlying market weakness remains, so it's a sell-on-rise situation in U.S. equities. Pro Tip: Indian investors should keep an eye out for quality, fundamentally strong stocks. Any correction in the market may offer excellent long-term buying opportunities.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11