BTCUSDT: Signs of discounts are still noticeableBINANCE:BTCUSDT breaking below the support of the local rising wedge on the basis of a downtrend (falling wedge) has been formed. And now there is no reason for Bitcoin to move higher or to be honest:
"Just focus on selling because the risk of buying at this moment is high due to the newly announced reciprocal tariffs by President Trump, highlighting the increasing risk of Bitcoin in relation to macroeconomic uncertainties. I think we will drop much lower than 76,000 USD, as you may know from my previous analysis."
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Optionsstrategies
Opening (IRA): SPX May 16th 5000/5030/5785/5815 Iron Condor... for a 10.45 credit.
Comments: High IVR. After having taken small profit on the setup I put on before "Liberation Day," back in with a more symmetric setup in a higher IV environment.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 19.55
Max Profit: 10.45
ROC at Max: 53.45%
50% Max: 5.23
ROC at 50% Max: 26.73%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll in untested side on side test, manage at 21 DTE.
XAUUSD: Continuing the journey to increase sharply?Hello to all speculators!
After carefully examining our 1-hour chart, it is evident that the uptrend remains intact. Despite some minor corrections, the upward momentum persists, especially after gold successfully broke through the previous resistance barrier. There are no signs of slowing down, indicating that the global uptrend foundation remains solid. A potential new bullish wave may emerge at this high level, continuing the long-term upward trend observed in recent weeks.
Gary's target is to surpass the peak of $3,167 and aim for new highs in the near future.
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Opening (IRA): TMF May 17th 39 Covered Call... for a 38.06 debit.
Comments: Along with TLT, one of the only red things on my ETF board. Doing a starter position here, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 38.06/share
Max Profit: .94
ROC at Max: 2.47%
50% Max: .47
ROC at 50% Max: 1.24%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out the short call at 50% max.
GOLD: 500 pips trading strategy !Fundamental Insight:
Gold surged to a new all-time high above $3,070 during the Asian session on Friday, driven by escalating global trade tensions, uncertainty surrounding Trump-era tariffs, and a strong wave of risk-off sentiment fueling demand for safe-haven assets.
Additionally, increasing bets that the Federal Reserve will soon resume its rate-cutting cycle have provided further support to the precious metal.
Brian’s Personal Comment:
Gold successfully broke above the $3,036 resistance level and closed candles above the recent highs, signaling a bullish structure on the H1 timeframe. However, to ensure safer trading, it’s advisable to wait for a clearer trend setup or a minor pullback before entering long positions.
Gold Trading Setups:
🔹 BUY XAUUSD:
Entry: 3059 – 3057
SL: 3055
TP: 3062, 3065, 3069
🔹 BUY XAUUSD:
Entry: 3050 – 3047
SL: 3044
TP: 3053, 3056, open target
Technical Analysis:
Based on the 34 & 89 EMAs and clear support-resistance zones, these buy setups align with the current bullish momentum. Pullbacks to EMA zones offer good re-entry opportunities, especially when price respects structure and bullish candle formations are confirmed.
Opening (IRA): SPX May 16th 5130/5160/5850/5880 Iron Condor... for a 10.20 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV >21. Hesitant to add more long delta here, so going delta neutral in SPX and structuring the trade such that I receive one-third the width of the wings (30) in credit.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 19.80
Max Profit: 10.20
ROC at Max: 51.52%
50% Max: 5.10
ROC at 50% Max: 25.8%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, rolling down oppositional side on side test, but won't hesitate to take profit quickly if IV crushes in dramatically post "Liberation Day."
Opening (IRA): USO May 16th -75C/October 17th 45C LCD*... for a 26.25 debit.
Comments: Buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month strike that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The long call is shown at a higher strike so that it fits on the chart).
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 26.25
Break Even: 71.25
Max Profit: 3.75
ROC at Max: 14.3%
50% Max: 1.88
ROC at 50%: 7.2%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max and/or roll out short call at 50% max to reduce down side break even.
* -- Long call diagonal.
Gold trading on April 3, 2025Market Summary:
The market was shaken as Trump imposed a 10% tariff on imports, triggering fears of a trade war after China announced retaliatory measures. This sparked concerns over a potential economic downturn, pushing gold prices to record highs as the USD faced heavy selling pressure.
Investors, worried about a recession, are now pricing in a 70% chance of a Fed rate cut in June. Bond yields fell as the USD remained under pressure. Meanwhile, ADP data showed 155K new jobs, but it failed to support the USD.
Trading Plan:
XAUUSD Buy Zone: 3082 - 3080
Stop Loss (SL): 3077
Take Profit (TP): 3085 - 3088 - 3095 - Open
Wishing everyone an amazing trading day!
EURUSD: Bulls Take ControlEURUSD has broken out of the parallel descending channel that existed over the past few days, thanks to positive economic data in the market at the end of Thursday's trading session.
Currently, the currency pair is moving in a consolidation pattern around the new support level at 1.0789, and the potential for further upside is considered high due to support from the confluence zone between EMA 34 and EMA 89.
The next targets are expected to aim for resistance levels at 1.082 and 1.085.
Wishing you smooth and successful trading!
Gold is about to set a new ATHGOLD INFORMATION:
Gold prices surged to a record high above $3,100/ounce, marking one of the strongest rallies in the precious metal's history. The upward momentum is driven by multiple factors, including increased safe-haven demand due to concerns about the impact of upcoming US tariff policies, strong demand from central banks, expectations of Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate easing, geopolitical instability in the Middle East and Europe, and increased capital flows into gold-backed exchange-traded funds.
Additionally, investor demand for gold is rising sharply, as evidenced by increasing inflows into exchange-traded funds, with weekly inflows reaching their highest levels since March 2022, signaling a rush into the precious metal.
BRIAN's Personal Commentary:
The context of everything from technical to political and economic factors is supporting gold price increases in the first quarter of 2025. Gold prices are likely to achieve their highest growth rate in history.
Gold Setup:
XAUUSD BUY ZONE 3133-3130
SL: 3126
TP: 3135-3137-open
Technical Analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance zones to establish reasonable BUY orders.
IMPORTANT NOTE:
Note: Brian wants traders to manage their capital well
- Use appropriate lot sizes according to your capital
- Take profit at 4-6% of account capital
- Cut losses at 2-3% of account capital
GOLD --> Increased economic risks increase interest rates.OANDA:XAUUSD the sharp increase is driven by high interest rates fueled by rapidly rising economic risks, mainly related to Trump's tariff war. For selling, risks remain very high, with stock market and cryptocurrency declines only adding to interest in this metal.
The market is seeking safety in traditional value storage channels amid speculation surrounding US President Donald Trump's tax plans on "Liberation Day", April 2. With the WSJ reporting that Trump may impose global tariffs of up to 20% on most US trading partners. This could increase inflationary and stagflationary pressures, weakening the dollar and US Treasury bond yields, supporting gold prices.
This week, all eyes are on Trump's speech on Wednesday, PMI data, non-farm payrolls report and Powell's speech.
Technically, selling is not recommended at this time due to high risks - for buying, we should wait for price corrections to key support levels.
Emphasizing the key point that we are not talking about any trend reversals at this time. It's worth waiting for local corrections or consolidation, the market will mark important levels, liquidity zones or imbalances where you can build trading strategies. Gold will continue rising due to strongly increasing risks.
Opening (IRA): XBI May 16th -85C/December 19th 50C LCD*... for a 29.50 debit.
Comments: Adding to my XBI position at or near 52-week lows, buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month -30 delta that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The 50C is depicted at a higher strike so that it fits on the chart).
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 29.50
Max Profit: 5.50
ROC at Max: 18.64%
50% Max: 2.25
ROC at 50% Max: 9.37%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max and/or roll out short call to reduce downside break even.
* -- Long call diagonal.
USDJPY --> Retesting key level. Attempting trend reversalFX:USDJPY during the correction phase, the market is retesting the boundaries of the downward trend channel that price previously broke through. The market is attempting to shift its trend based on the dollar's adjustment.
The dollar faces challenges due to economic and geopolitical nuances related to the United States, as well as high inflation. Theoretically, the index could continue deeper corrections, with prolonged interest rate cut rhetoric potentially putting pressure on the market.
Technically, this currency pair has attempted to overcome the previous downward trend resistance level and succeeded, but this alone is insufficient for a trend change - it requires confirmation.
Support levels: 148.92, 148.21
Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95
Focus remains on 148.92 - 149.5, if buyers maintain their defensive position above these levels, we have excellent opportunities to catch up with the trend change. This would signal readiness to approach the resistance threshold in the 150.16 range, and a breakthrough of this level with price fixation above it would confirm the trend reversal.
GOLD: The rally is getting stronger. Growth after a false crashOANDA:XAUUSD breaking upward and attempting to consolidate above the previous high of 3127 as part of the adjustment process. This will serve as an ideal support level for buyers. The price increase, against the backdrop of political and geopolitical issues, only intensifies.
Tariff increases are driving gold demand higher. Trump has rejected the idea of lowering tariffs and the Treasury Secretary has named 15 countries on the list for new measures. This has weakened the dollar and increased concerns about stagflation, boosting demand for gold as a protective asset.
Additionally, tariff tensions are unlikely to end after April 2, especially with auto tariffs taking effect on April 3, and this combined with growth uncertainty will keep buyers interested in gold if prices decline.
Technically, we have a strong upward trend, selling carries risk, and we are looking for strong areas or levels to buy. For example, if prices consolidate above 3127 or after breaking through the false 3119/3111 levels.
Before continuing growth, there may be adjustments to key support areas to normalize market imbalances and capture liquidity. Consolidation above levels after false breakouts will be a positive signal for growth.
But! There is upcoming news and high volatility potential!
Gold waited for a clear move!Currently, gold prices are attracting some dip buyers after the previous day's pullback from record highs amid persistent safe-haven demand, driven by concerns over a global economic downturn due to tariffs. Furthermore, expectations of a Fed rate cut and the lack of USD buying interest provide additional support for FX:XAUUSD
From a technical perspective, we see the Bollinger Bands showing signs of price narrowing, indicating that long-term buying or selling at this moment is risky. We are looking for key areas to buy or sell as the main trend remains sideways. For instance, if the price drops below 3145, we might consider selling, while a rise above 3105 could signal a buying opportunity.
Happy trading, and may your trades be profitable!
Gold accumulated motivation for promising increasing!Today, gold continues to attract some buyers after yesterday's retreat from record highs amid persistent safe-haven demand, driven by concerns about a global economic recession due to tariffs. Furthermore, expectations of Fed rate cuts and lack of interest in buying USD provide additional support for XAU/USD.
Currently, the metal is moving around $3,130 and upside potential remains highly rated as the EMA 34 and 89 lines continue to act as dynamic support levels. Additionally, historical bullish patterns are repeating themselves, suggesting that after this period of retreat and consolidation, an impressive upward movement is expected.
EURUSD: Further decline continues!Hello dear EURUSD traders, let's dive deeper into this currency pair with Smith!
Today, EURUSD couldn't resist the downward trend, aligning with our predictions from yesterday.
This pair is under pressure as USD begins to regain strength, significantly impacting this major currency pair. On the analysis chart, EURUSD is struggling to break through the resistance level of 1.080 and the nearby 34.89 EMA. Additionally, a bearish wedge is gradually forming, signaling the likelihood of this downward trend continuing soon. With the breakdown of the 1.078 level, we may not encounter any significant support until reaching 1.076.
Let's closely monitor EURUSD's upcoming movements and prepare for the next investment opportunities!
Gold heading for New ATHRowan, hello everyone!
Currently, today's gold price continues to demonstrate strength as it trades around $3,133. Clearly, this precious metal is maintaining its robust performance, having risen significantly since breaking through the $3,100 mark.
However, today's gold price has yet to achieve a major breakthrough as the market appears cautious and awaiting announcements regarding reciprocal tariffs from US President Donald Trump. At that point, a clearer picture of gold's direction will emerge.
Today we have several important milestones:
Support level at 3127
Resistance level at 3148, followed by the upper boundary of the bullish channel
NEULANDLAB short opportunityUpon the breakdown of the trendline NEULANDLAB has immense downside of 42 odd percentage. Next quarter results will be the catalyst, making or breaking the stock. Negative surprise in last two consecutive results declare us participants to beware of the liquidity present below this key level.
Short below daily close of 11,100
Stoploss - 8%
TP - Trail the 50 DMA close above
Gold price increased sharply at the beginning of the new weekFundamental Insight:
As predicted by the teacher yesterday, the record-breaking surge in Gold prices showed no signs of slowing down as buyers pushed past the $3,100 threshold during the recorded period. With a strong recovery to around $3,108, demonstrating a $20 recovery.
Regarding gold fluctuations, this week's most notable economic news will be the US implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday, along with the March non-farm payroll report release on Friday morning. Both events are expected to potentially increase gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Brian’s Personal Comment:
The buyer continues to overwhelm, ATH can achieve this week if the support levels inside the trend channel maintain.
Gold Trading Setups:
🔹 BUY XAUUSD:
Entry: 3096 - 3098
SL: 3095
TP: 3099, 3101, 3106
🔹 BUY XAUUSD:
Entry: 3057-3054
SL: 3049
TP: 3060, 3062, open...
Technical Analysis:
Based on the 34 & 89 EMAs and clear support-resistance zones, these buy setups align with the current bullish momentum. Pullbacks to EMA zones offer good re-entry opportunities, especially when price respects structure and bullish candle formations are confirmed.
ORDER RULES:
1) Watch the price: Don't rush to place an order,...
2) Place an order: Probe first, and divide the volume reasonably...
3) SL: Must set SL, don't hold on to losses...
4) TP: Close half, move the remaining half to Entry and set TP from 7 - 15 prices...
5) Order entry time: Note the time frames Ad has given...
6) Order holding time: 1 - 3 hours...
7) Trading has a high RR so you have to accept the risk. All suggestions are for reference only, so consider carefully. You should stay out and watch if you are afraid of risk
Opening (IRA): TMF May 16th 37 Covered Call... for a 36.05 debit.
Comments: Adding at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 36.05/share
Max Profit: .95
ROC at Max: 2.64%
50% Max: .48
ROC at 50% Max: 1.32%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, look to add at intervals if I can get in at a break even better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call when that aspect hits 50% max.
Gold price today continues to be forecast to increaseBrian greets everyone, let's discuss the gold price forecast for next week from 03/31/2025 - 04/04/2025.
Global Situation:
Last week, the market witnessed intense volatility in gold prices as it continuously broke previous highs to establish new records. The precious metal closed the final trading session at a new all-time high of $3,085 per ounce, approximately $60 higher than the previous week's closing.
In the Wall Street survey, 20 analysts participated, with 85% forecasting continued upward movement in gold prices, only 5% predicting a decline, and the remaining 10% expecting sideways movement.
Similarly, in the Main Street online survey, 202 investors responded, with 64% anticipating further price increases, just 19% expecting prices to cool down, and the remainder predicting sideways movement.
Analysis:
Gold prices are rising, with early April expected to see a breakthrough to NEW all-time highs.
Forecast:
Strong buying demand persists from central banks, Chinese consumers, and North American investors - particularly from the US, where potential remains untapped.
Additionally, concerns about tariffs and inflation will drive investors toward gold as a safe haven. Gold prices could potentially reach $3,200 or $3,300 if tariff measures are implemented.
Technical Analysis:
Based on gold's resistance and support zones on the H4 timeframe, Brian identifies these key areas:
Resistance: $3100, $3132, $3150
Support: $3070, $3050
IMPORTANT NOTES:
Note: Brian emphasizes proper capital management for traders:
Use appropriate lot sizes based on your capital
Take profits at 4-6% of account balance
Set stop losses at 2-3% of account balance
The winner is the one who stays in the market the longest.
Gold price next week will continue to conquer the new peak?Brian Hello Everyone, Let's Comment on Gold Price Next Week From 31/03/2025 - April 5, 2025
World situation:
Gold prices continue to reach new highs as investors flock to this safe-haven asset, amid growing concerns about the global trade war triggered by US tariff policies. Currently closing at $3,085, up 0.94%, the yellow metal remains the optimal choice in the face of mounting worries about tariffs, trade tensions, and geopolitical instability.
US trade policy, fiscal policy, geopolitical factors, and growth slowdown will support gold prices. Forecasts suggest that $3,100 per ounce will be the next important milestone for gold prices.
Identify:
The upward trend will continue into next week, with support levels indicated on the chart providing backing for gold. Pay attention to the new all-time high, from which the upward momentum will continue to be triggered.
Technically:
Based on the 34 & 89 EMAs and clear support-resistance zones, these buy setups align with the current bullish momentum. Pullbacks to EMA zones offer good re-entry opportunities, especially when price respects structure and bullish candle formations are confirmed.
NOTE:
Note: Brian wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest