Get started

Optionsstrategies

EUR/USD Trend: Possible Deep Drop To 1.0650?EUR/USD remains under pressure and fell to 1.0750 after Thursday’s rally. The main reason for the decline is the recovery of the US dollar and the cautious sentiment weighing on the pair as traders digest Trump’s victory and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcements. I am currently monitoring EUR/USD on the 1-hour time frame and I see clear bearish signs. In particular, after peaking at 1.08260, the price fell sharply, breaking the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels at 1.07545 and 1.07376. Additionally, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are pointing to a bearish trend as the short-term moving average (EMA 34) is below the long-term moving average (EMA 89). This is a signal that sellers are in control of the market. If price continues to sustain below the 1.07100 - 1.06830 support zone, I expect the pair to drop to deeper support around 1.0600.
Short
by Bentradegold
Overcoming resistance, Bitcoin faces the risk of discountBitcoin (BTC) has adjusted after a recent strong increase, currently trading around US $ 76,300, down 0.27% in the day. On the 4 -hour chart, although the increasing trend is still supported and parallel price channels have been broken, there are signs that show a potential peak about 77,000. The current support level is about 74,727 USD. If this level is surpassed, it can cause BTC to decrease deeper, capable of reaching $ 72,646.
Short
by Trader-Saylor
XAUUSD: The Downtrend Is Not Over YetDear Traders! Today, gold prices fell sharply, ending the week at $2,684, recording a decrease of 0.83%. The rising US dollar, fueled by political uncertainty, put a lot of downward pressure on gold. The shift of investors to riskier assets added to the selling pressure on gold in the market, reinforcing the bearish trend. Analysis of the 4-hour chart shows that gold prices are currently facing resistance at the important resistance zone of $2,700 - $2,715. The 34 EMA has crossed below the 89 EMA, a sign that sellers are in control. If the price fails to break through this resistance zone and continues to be under pressure, gold is likely to find support at $2,640 - $2,656. In the event that the price drops below $2,640, the short-term bearish outlook will become stronger, with a deeper target in the near term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
USDJPY rises sharply, supported by rising channel !USDJPY is showing significant upside momentum today, trading firmly within a well-defined bullish channel on the 4-hour chart and currently trading at 153.89. This bullish move reflects a stronger USD influence, fueled by recent events surrounding former President Donald Trump. Despite the steady push from technical factors, USDJPY may face resistance near 154.00. This area may act as a short-term hurdle, as the pair’s upside momentum may slow down once it reaches this level. A minor pullback within the channel is expected, which would help confirm the ongoing trend. This pullback could take USDJPY down to the support zone around 153.000, testing both the 34 and 89 EMAs for further strength. If the pullback is successful, USDJPY is expected to continue its upward trajectory, heading towards the upper boundary of the channel. The next important resistance zone lies above 156,000, which aligns with the top of the channel, representing a crucial level to watch for further gains.
Long
by Bentradegold
1
Ethusdt broke the channel, towards the new peak?Currently, Ethusdt is having a spectacular breaking out of a long decrease channel, signaling the potential to reverse the trend of increasing. After Breakout from the upper border of the channel, the price of ETH has increased sharply and is currently fluctuating around 2,908 USDT. With the current motivation, Ethusdt can target higher levels around US $ 3,100 in the short term. This is a potential goal if ETH continues to maintain a strong increase.
Long
by Trader-Saylor
EURUSD has a strong selling pressure - clear signs of discountThe EUR/USD pair dropped to nearly 1,0780 in the context of the demand for US dollars increased again on Friday during Asian trading hours. In addition, the proposal to increase tax by Donald Trump put pressure on Euro compared to the US dollar. Ben personally predicts that, without unexpected breakthroughs, EURUSD will likely turn to an important support area of ​​1,0720 - 1,0740. In addition, technical indicators are not very satisfactory when the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are creating additional resistance right above the current price, increasing the pressure to decrease for Eurusd. With this situation, the market is more likely to have an EURUSD will have a deeper decline.
Short
by Bentradegold
Opening (IRA): IWM Nov 15th 194 Covered Call... for a 192.28 debit. Comments: Re-upping with a monied covered call in November with a strike that is slightly higher than what I previously had on at the 193. (See Post Below). Just looking to get a little more out of the November cycle before moving onto December without taking on a ton of additional risk ... . Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 192.28 Max Profit: 1.72 ROC at Max: .89% 50% Max: .81 ROC at 50% Max: .45%
AMEX:IWMLong
by NaughtyPines
Bitcoin touches $ 76,000 - next?Bitcoin (BTC) continues to capture investors’ attention as it maintains a stable upward trend. Currently trading around $76,226, BTC has seen a 1.96% increase in recent sessions. This growth is supported by positive technical indicators and a favorable market environment, leading many investors to believe Bitcoin could reach the $80,000 mark in the near term. But what are the key factors influencing BTC’s price, and what strategies are suitable in this current market context? News Impacting BTC's Price Growth in the U.S. Stock Market: Following Donald Trump’s recent election victory, the U.S. stock market has surged, fostering a positive investor sentiment. This optimistic outlook has spilled over into the crypto market, with Bitcoin benefiting from an influx of enthusiastic investments. Increased Institutional Interest: Large financial institutions are continuously pouring capital into Bitcoin, viewing it as a hedge against inflation and a diversification asset. These organizations see Bitcoin as part of their defensive strategy against inflation, reinforcing the cryptocurrency’s upward momentum. BTCUSD’s New Prospects BTCUSD's technical chart indicates promising growth potential, especially if the price sustains above key Fibonacci support levels. Investors should closely monitor the Support 1 zone and the $77,003 resistance level to seize opportunities when the trend is confirmed. If BTCUSD breaks through this resistance, it could continue its rally toward the $82,078 area, offering an attractive profit opportunity.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Trader-Saylor
1
XAUUSD: Buyers Dominate!Dear traders! Today, gold prices have made an impressive recovery, rising more than $48.4 to $2,708.8/ounce, marking a strong move with an increase of more than 1%. This recovery is reinforced by the weakness of the US dollar, along with the news that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 0.25% this Thursday. Although future interest rate cuts may face challenges if former President Trump returns, this trend opens up many positive opportunities for gold in the short term. As seen from the 1-hour chart, the uptrend is forming and is being consolidated after the correction. In addition, the current gold price is reacting at the support zone of the two EMAs (34 and 89), creating a notable area. Therefore, Victor personally appreciates that based on the current momentum, if the price breaks the short-term resistance level near $2,710, the possibility of gold prices continuing to increase to higher levels in the coming time is high. At the time of writing, the realization phase is forming, Victor is waiting for confirmation with the aim of strengthening further.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
11/04 Weekly SPX Market Analysis with seamless GEX levelsThe U.S. presidential election is on November 5, and this week we can expect increased volatility due to the uncertainty. For options traders, one thing is certain: volatility will likely rise leading up to the election, peak around the results, and then gradually subside as the “fireworks” end. It’s essential to consider this in every trading decision. While the current Implied Volatility (IVx) isn’t extremely high, the IV Rank (IVR) is quite strong at 41, and this is likely to remain due to the increasing uncertainty. Based on the blue OTM (Out of The Money) delta curves, the market is currently pricing in a strong downward movement for the week, aligning with the negative gamma zone and negative gamma profile. For a bullish shift, we would need a strong push above 5845 to enter positive gamma territory (HVL level is the battleneck). ⏩ The 5700 level is a key PUT support across multiple timeframes. If this level breaks, turbulence is expected, with increased downward movement likely to follow, first to 5650 and potentially down to 5600, where larger PUT gamma walls are located. ⏩ According to the 16-delta OTM curve, a close above the previous all-time high is less likely. If there’s a strong breakout to the upside, the positive gamma threshold stands at 5850, and above this, buyer pressure could extend up to 5925. ⏩ I consider the 5700-5845 range as a “chop zone,” where high volatility is expected this week. In this zone, bears and bulls will be in constant battle, and I do not expect a clear trend. I focused on Friday’s expiration in this analysis, as market outlooks remain highly uncertain ahead of the election. The strong PUT pricing skew is a natural phenomenon and is expected to increase, especially since we are in a negative gamma zone. For December expirations, PUT options cost nearly twice as much as CALL options, as shown by our oscillator for 12/20 expiry. There’s already ~6% IV backwardation between the 11/08 and 11/11 expirations, making this ideal for time spreads. However, caution is warranted—front-month PUT calendar and diagonal spreads can easily turn negative if front IV rises more than back IV. Remember! It’s not mandatory to trade during highly uncertain periods! Staying out of the market is also a position, and sitting in cash is actually the safest choice, especially in a volatile week like this. ⏩ You can check my previous week's analysis, every one was accurate, I hope this one will useful too. 10/28 SPX 10/21 SPX 10/14 SPX 10/28 QQQ 10/14 QQQ
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade
Opening (IRA): GDX Dec 20th 36 Covered Call... for a 35.29 debit. Comments: Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 35.29/share Max Profit: .71 ROC at Max: 2.01% 50% Max: .36 ROC at 50% Max: 1.00% That 1.00% ROC at 50% max is kind of "marginal," but just trying to keep theta on and burning with little stuff that I can add to should I have the opportunity to get in in higher IV/weakness.
AMEX:GDXLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TQQQ December 20th 74 Covered Call... for a 71.29 debit. Comments: Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense. I'm looking at this as a starter position because I kind of have a feeling that I'm going to regret not putting this on in weakness/higher IV and will be adding at better strikes/break evens (only time will tell). Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 71.29/share Max Profit: 2.71 ROC at Max: 3.80% 50% Max: 1.36 ROC at 50% Max: 1.90%
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): USO December 20th 68 Covered Call... for a 66.48 debit. Comments: Back into the slippery stuff with /CL trading at 70.48. Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. My basic approach here is to dink and donk on the underlying when /CL is at $70/bbl. or below. Metrics: Break Even/Buying Power Effect: 66.48 Max Profit: 1.52 ROC at Max: 2.29% 50% Max: .76 ROC at 50% Max: 1.15% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll out short call on take profit test. I'll also look to add "rungs" should I be able to do so at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on.
AMEX:USOLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): SPY Dec 20th 505 Covered Call... for a 501.71 debit. Comments: Re-upping at a higher strike than the one I just took off, looking to capture an additional little increment of upmove that I missed out on. If you wanted to be really anal about it, you could capture all of the up move over time (or capture the same increment more than once). For example, say I just took off the November 15th 500 covered call at or near max (e.g., 499.80). I can then shop for a monied covered call to capture the next increment of movement from 499.80 up, so I'd want to get into a setup for 499.80 or less. This would be the Jan 31st 506 covered call, currently trading for 499.72 and would ostensibly capture the move from 499.72 to 506 (assuming, naturally, a finish above 506). In the next iteration, I would look to capture the move from 506 up, and so on, all the way until my short call was at-the-money or out-of-the-money, depending on what I was trying to do with the setup.
AMEX:SPYLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TAN Jan 17th 33 Short Put... for a 1.01 credit. Comments: Adding to my TAN position at a strike/break even better than what I currently have on. Here, going Plain Jane short put, since there isn't a great advantage to going monied covered call here because the IV skew isn't between the call and put sides isn't significant. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 31.99 Max Profit: 1.01 ROC at Max: 3.16% 50% Max: .52 ROC at 50% Max: 1.58% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max.
AMEX:TANLong
by NaughtyPines