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Optionsstrategies

Opening (IRA): USO April 17th 68 Covered Call... for a 66.58 debit. Comments: With /CL dropping sub-70/bbl., putting on a starter position in USO, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 66.58/share Max Profit: 1.42 ROC at Max: 2.13% 50% Max: .71 ROC at 50% Max: 1.07% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
AMEX:USOLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): XBI Sept 19th 60C/April 17th -90C LCD*... for a 26.68 debit. Comments: Taking a bullish assumption directional shot near 52 week lows, buying the 90 delta back month and selling a front month that pays for all the extrinsic in the long, resulting in a break even that is at or below where the underlying is currently trading. The 60 long call is shown at 80 so that it fits on the chart ... . Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 26.68 Break Even: 86.88 Max Profit: 3.32 ROC at Max: 12.44% 50% Max: 1.66 ROC at 50% Max: 6.22% Delta/Theta: 53.79/3.51 Will generally look to take profit on the setup as a unit at 50% max and/or roll out the short call at 50% max to reduce cost basis/downside break even. * -- Long Call Diagonal
AMEX:XBILong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): XRT April 17th 70/Sept 19th 50 LCD*... for a 17.57 debit. Comments: And back into XRT, which is at/near 52 week lows with a long call diagaonl/Poor Man's Covered Call, buying the back month 90 and selling the front month that pays for all the extrinsic in the long. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 17.57 Break Even: 67.57 Max Profit: 2.43 ROC at Max: 13.83% 50% Max: 1.22 ROC at 50% Max: 6.92% Will generally look to take profit on the setup as a unit at 50% max and/or roll out the short call when it is at 50% max.
AMEX:XRTLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): SPXL April 17th 148/October 17th 85 LCD*... for a 56.84 debit. Comments: Looking to be a little bit more buying power efficient here ... . Buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month that pays for all the extrinsic of the long. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 56.84 Break Even: 141.84 Max Profit: 6.16 ROC at Max: 10.84% 50% Max: 3.08 ROC at 50% Max: 5.42% Will generally look to take profit on the setup as a unit at 50% max, roll short call out at 50% max. * -- Long Call Diagonal.
AMEX:SPXLLong
by NaughtyPines
Nifty Trading Stratgey for Option PlayersNifty Trading Strategy for the Week Ahead 📝✅ Nifty has recovered strongly from the 22,700–22,800 zone up to around 23,350. Momentum on the 1H chart is still pointing upward (higher highs and higher lows since early March). Max Pain: ⚠ The current Max Pain appears around 23,200–23,300. Price (≈23,350) is slightly above Max Pain. Often, option sellers benefit if the index settles near the Max Pain level by expiry; however, in a strong uptrend, price can remain above it. Open Interest (OI) & Change in OI:📊 Significant Put OI (and additions) around 23,200 and 23,000. This often implies a support zone. Noticeable Call OI at or above 23,500, which could act as a short-term resistance if price approaches that region. Put–Call Ratio (PCR): 📈📉 PCR is around 1.05–1.10, suggesting mildly bullish sentiment. A PCR > 1 usually means more puts are being sold or more call positions are being closed, implying the market is not aggressively bearish. However, an extremely high PCR can also hint at an overbought market, so it’s good to be cautious. 2. Possible Strategy 🧠 Given the uptrend and the supportive OI near 23,200, a buy-on-dips approach looks reasonable. However, be mindful of the overhead call OI around 23,500. Entry:💡 Buy (go long) near 23,300–23,280 Rationale: You’re buying close to the short-term support area (23,200–23,250) indicated by strong Put OI and near the Max Pain region. Target: 🎯 First Target: 23,450–23,500 Rationale: This zone is just below the big Call OI cluster, which could be the first significant resistance. Lock in partial profits here if the market moves up quickly. 2nd Target (if momentum is strong): 23,600 🎯🎯 Only consider holding for a higher target if you see follow-through buying and a breach of 23,500 on good volumes. Stop Loss: 🔴 Stop Loss: 23,200 (on a closing basis if you are trading intraday to multi-day) Rationale: A break below 23,200 would indicate that sellers are gaining control and that the put-writers’ support is failing.
NSE:NIFTY
by Trendxinc
Gamma Exposure Analysis SPY & VXX SPY Resistance at 570. The 570 level in SPY likely corresponds to a high gamma concentration for 0DTE (zero days to expiration) options. At this strike, market makers short gamma (i.e., net sellers of options) at this level would dynamically delta-hedge by selling SPY as the price approaches 570, creating selling pressure and resistance. Next resistance level 575. For VXX , the 48 level likely represents a put-dominated gamma zone: If market makers are net long puts, they would buy VXX as prices decline toward 48 to hedge against further downside, creating support. Next support level 46.50
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Gexvieww
Opening (IRA): XRT April 17th -71C/Sept 19th 50C LCD*... for a 17.91 debit. Comments: At or near 52 week lows. Buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month such that it pays for all the extrinsic in the long, with a resulting break even that is at or below where the underlying is currently trading. The Sept 19th 50C is shown at the 65 strike so that it appears on the chart. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 17.91 Break Even: 67.91 Max Profit: 2.09 ROC at Max: 11.67% 50% Max: 1.05 ROC at 50% Max: 5.83% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll short call out and/or down and out at 50% max. * -- Long call diagonal a/k/a a Poor Man's Covered Call.
AMEX:XRTLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): IBIT April 17th 41 Covered Call... for a 39.93 debit. Comments: Adding to my position at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 39.93/share Max Profit: 1.07 ROC at Max: 2.68% 50% Max: .54 ROC at 50% Max: 1.34% Will generally look to take profit, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by NaughtyPines
Nifty Data and Trading Strategy for 17 March 2018 NSE:NIFTY Analysis and Trading Strategy Key Observations: Nifty Spot Price: 22,397.20 Max Pain: 22,450This suggests that option writers will try to move the market towards this level by expiry. PCR (Put-Call Ratio): 0.99PCR near 1.0 indicates a balanced market, with no extreme bullish or bearish bias. A rise above 1.2 suggests bullishness, while a drop below 0.8 suggests bearishness. OI (Open Interest) Data:Call OI Change: 430.58L (High call writing at resistance levels) Put OI Change: 369.91L (Put writing suggests strong support) Total Calls OI: 752.31L vs. Total Puts OI: 745.22L (Almost equal, indicating a neutral stance) Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: 22,500 (Strong Call Writing) Immediate Support: 22,300 (Strong Put Writing) Next Resistance: 22,600 Next Support: 22,200 Trading Plan (March 17, 2025) Scenario 1: Bullish Setup (Breakout Above 22,450) Entry: Above 22,450 (Confirm breakout with volume) Target 1: 22,500 Target 2: 22,600 Stop Loss: 22,350 Reason:If Nifty moves above max pain (22,450), bulls will gain momentum. PCR indicates a balanced market, but a breakout with volume can trigger further upside. Scenario 2: Bearish Setup (Breakdown Below 22,350) Entry: Below 22,350 (Confirm breakdown with volume) Target 1: 22,300 Target 2: 22,200 Stop Loss: 22,450 Reason:Call writing at 22,500 suggests strong resistance. Breakdown below 22,350 may lead to further downside towards 22,300 and 22,200. Final Strategy: Bias: Neutral to Bullish (Watch for breakout above 22,450) Intraday Plan:If Nifty opens flat → Wait for breakout/breakdown confirmation If Nifty opens above 22,450 → Buy on dips If Nifty opens below 22,350 → Sell on rise
NSE:NIFTY
by Trendxinc
Opening (IRA): TQQQ April 17th 45 Covered Call... for a 43.24 debit. Comments: Adding to my position at break evens better than what I currently have on, but going a little bit less aggressive net delta-wise, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 2 x expected move short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 43.24 Max Profit: 1.76 ROC at Max: 4.07% 50% Max: .88 ROC at 50% Max: 2.04% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TNA April 17th 25 Covered Call... for a 23.63 debit. Comments: Adding to my current position at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 23.63 Max Profit: 1.37 ROC at Max: 5.80% 50% Max: .68 ROC at 50% Max: 2.90% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call in the event my take profit isn't hit.
AMEX:TNALong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): SOXL April 17th 14 Covered Call... for a 12.95 debit. Comments: High IVR/IV. Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -81 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 19 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short calls. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 12.95/share Max Profit: 1.05 ROC at Max: 8.11% 50% Max: .53 ROC at 50% Max: 4.06% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at break evens better than what I currently have on, roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by NaughtyPines
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Nifty Faces Range-Bound Phase,brace for volatility till Mid ApriNifty ended the week at 22,397, marking a decline of about 150 points from the previous week's close. The index reached a high of 22,676 and a low of 22,314, trading in a narrow range of just 360 points. This suggests that next week, Nifty could experience a wider range, with potential moves between 22,850 and 21,950 . Despite the weakness seen on both the monthly and weekly charts, Nifty remains range-bound as long as the critical support level of 21,950 holds. However, with the end of March approaching, many investors will likely start booking losses to offset any gains they’ve made this year. This could trigger another round of selling pressure in the market. As a result, we may not see a meaningful recovery until mid-April, meaning we could face one more month of market volatility and pessimism. It's crucial to keep cash ready to invest in fundamentally strong stocks during this period of market uncertainty. On the global front, the S&P 500 closed the week at 5,521, slipping below its 50-week exponential moving average (50WEMA). It seems likely that the index will test the 100-week exponential moving average (100WEMA) at around 5,240–5,250, which is about 4% below its current level. If this happens, we could see additional pressure across global markets, including India. In summary, brace yourself for another month of market negativity before any potential relief arrives. Stay cautious and focus on high-quality stocks for the long term.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
GOLD → Strong consolidation. What’s Next?OANDA:XAUUSD is consolidating within the 2926 - 2890 range. The overall market remains bullish, but there are signs of short-selling or pre-news selling ahead of the major economic data release scheduled for Wednesday. Accordingly, the market is eagerly awaiting U.S. inflation and employment data, which could play a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s next move. Despite a weaker dollar and rising expectations of monetary easing, Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains cautious, signaling a measured approach to policy adjustments. Meanwhile, gold demand remains strongly supported by China as the country ramps up its purchases. Additionally, growing concerns over stagflation in the U.S. further strengthen gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. However, traders are keeping a close watch on upcoming economic reports and the potential impact of China's tariffs on U.S. goods, which could introduce further market volatility. The key focus now is 2926, where price action is shaping a potential accumulation phase before a breakout. If price stabilizes above this resistance, it could trigger a significant bullish impulse, signaling a continuation of the uptrend. However, a major challenge remains—if the price accelerates too quickly toward resistance, the risk of a false breakout increases. In such a scenario, the market may pull back to 2890 to test liquidity zones, ensuring structural confirmation before making a legitimate move back toward 2926 and beyond. What are your thoughts on gold? Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
USDCHF: The battle of 0.9000 - Sell or wait?Hello everyone, Ben here! USDCHF previously broke its uptrend as the fundamental landscape shifted, and the dollar entered a correction phase. Clearly, sellers are in control, as illustrated on the chart. Fundamentally, the situation is becoming more complex due to the tariff war initiated by Trump, with European countries responding in kind. Economic risks are rising. Additionally, with rumors of rate cuts from Trump and Powell, the dollar has entered a correction phase, which has had a positive impact on the forex market. From a technical perspective, the 0.9000 level plays a crucial role, as it represents a strong zone. If sellers manage to keep the price below this level, within the selling zone, it will confirm further downside movement. I also cannot rule out the possibility of a retest of the previous breakout range before a deeper decline. Emphasizing the 0.9000 level! Best regards, Bentradegold!
Short
by Bentradegold
EURUSD: Attempting to change the trendHello dear friends, Ben here! Currently, EURUSD is attempting to capture recovery due to the dollar's adjustment. The price is forming a reaction from the resistance channel consolidation before breaking out and growing further. Accordingly, after breaking through the trend channel resistance level, the price has moved into a consolidation phase around the range of 1.053 to 1.021. Within this, the price is testing the resistance level of 1.038. From this, we can argue that the market is still working to change its trend and become stronger against the dollar's adjustment. Resistance levels: 1.038, 1.053 Support levels: 1.033, 1.021 Emphasizing the resistance level of 1.038, with confirmation of consolidation above this level, there will be nothing stopping EURUSD from further growth. Best regards, Bentradegold!
Long
by Bentradegold
GOLD → Consolidating around 2921 — Poised for a Breakout!OANDA:XAUUSD continues its upward trajectory amid rising economic risks and a weakening dollar. The metal is currently testing resistance at 2921 and appears poised for further gains. The U.S. dollar has broken its bullish structure, driven by comments from the U.S. Treasury regarding potential rate cuts. This intervention has significantly influenced market sentiment. Theoretically, gold is unlikely to decline further due to trade war risks and expectations of a dovish Fed policy. Additionally, weak ADP employment data and PMI figures could provide further bullish momentum for gold. Key levels to watch are 2913 and 2903, which have already been tested and tapped into liquidity zones. Now, all eyes are on 2927—if this level holds, gold could retreat back to the 2913-2903 support zone. However, a breakout above 2927 could fuel further upside, with the next targets at 2942-2956. Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let's discuss what’s unfolding in the market!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
GOLD → The calm before the NFP torm! What’s next?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within the 2926 - 2894 range, signaling a pause after its recent strong uptrend. If a false support breakdown occurs, the market could quickly revert, especially amid signs of a recovering USD. However, a weaker dollar and expectations of a Federal Reserve policy shift toward easing continue to support gold demand. Despite the temporary suspension of Trump’s tariff measures, the precious metal remains in focus as a safe-haven asset. Traders are now closely watching the NFP report, which could dictate the dollar’s future trajectory and influence Fed policy decisions. In the short term, attention will be on Initial Jobless Claims data, which may provide early signals about the U.S. labor market. Technical Outlook -Gold remains within the 2926 - 2894 range, potentially testing liquidity near the 2894 support zone. -An unfilled fair value gap (FVG) below 2894 could lead to a brief dip before a rebound. -Given the bullish long-term trend in gold and the ongoing dollar weakness, the probability of a price recovery remains high. In this scenario, gold may fake out a breakdown, grab liquidity near support, and then resume its broader uptrend. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
Nifty Outlook: Bulls vs Bears - Key Levels to Watch Next Week Nifty closed at 22,552, up by around 330 points from last week's close, hitting a high of 22,633 and a low of 21,964. As anticipated last week, the index found support at the 100-day WEMA around the 22,000 level, triggering a bounce. Looking ahead, next week is crucial, as the market is at a crossroads. While the monthly and weekly timeframes continue to show bearish signals, the bulls are actively trying to take control and push the market higher. Here’s what to watch for: Key Resistance: If Nifty manages to stay above 22,800 next week, we could see a short-covering rally, driving the index towards the 23,000 to 23,050 range. However, beyond these levels, the bulls may face significant challenges in taking the market further up. Critical Support: On the downside, 22,000 remains a major support level. A break below this level could signal a fresh downtrend, possibly leading the market towards 19,500. Next week is expected to be volatile, given the short trading week due to the holiday on Friday. This could lead to profit-taking from long traders, which might put downward pressure on the market. Keep a close eye on this week's low of 21,964. If it breaks, the market may open up to sharp declines. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has found support at the 50-day WEMA and closed at 5,770. On the weekly timeframe, it looks like the S&P 500 is forming a W pattern, with potential upside towards 5,850-5,890 next week before any pullback. If the S&P rallies as expected, it could provide a boost to Indian markets as well. Next week is set to be decisive. Will the bulls overcome the bearish pressure, or will the market succumb to further selling? Stay alert, as the battle between bulls and bears continues.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11