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Gold breaks out of consolidation, facing bearish pressureGold has officially exited its previous consolidation phase, experiencing a sharp decline from the $2,950 region and reaching a low near $2,878. The breakdown of the rising wedge pattern has triggered increased selling pressure, confirming a shift in momentum towards the downside. Currently, gold is making a slight recovery, trading around $2,919. However, the bearish trend remains dominant, leaving the price vulnerable to further downside moves. If gold fails to reclaim the $2,930 - $2,940 zone, the downward momentum may persist, targeting $2,905 as the first support level, with a potential extension toward $2,879. Wishing you successful trades!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_LinaScalping
EURUSD: Strong preference for selling strategy!Dear friends! EURUSD continues to sustain losses below 1.0500 during the early trading hours on Thursday. The pair is under pressure due to the recovery of the US dollar. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) weakens following former US President Donald Trump's threat to impose a 25% tariff on the European Union. This development has prevented EURUSD from making significant gains, keeping it limited below the 1.052 resistance level, marked by two recent peaks. In the short term, EURUSD remains well-supported by bulls around the key support zone of 1.0462. However, this upward move appears to be a temporary consolidation before a potential strong decline, as indicated by the unchanged EMA 34 and 89 levels and a shift in momentum towards a bearish trend. My primary strategy focuses on selling, aiming for further downside if the support level is broken and a new resistance is established. Wishing you successful trades and profitable opportunities!
Short
by Trader_LinaScalping
GBPUSD: Rising within the uptrend channel!Dear traders! GBPUSD is currently moving within a clear ascending channel, maintaining its bullish trend on the 1-hourchart. Looking ahead, if the market conditions remain unchanged, we should consider buy positions in line with the trend. Pay close attention to the psychological resistance level at 1.2700, where GBPUSD may gain further momentum or break through to reach higher targets. Wishing you successful and enjoyable trading!
Long
by Trader_LinaScalping
EURUSD: Uptrend still prevails!Dear traders! Yesterday, EUR/USD experienced an impressive short-term rebound, briefly reaching the key resistance level of 1.052. However, lacking further momentum, the pair quickly retreated and stabilized within the day's range. Looking ahead, as long as the ascending channel remains intact and its internal support levels hold firm, buyers are likely to continue their attempt to break through the next key resistance at the upper boundary of the channel. Wishing you a successful trading day with plenty of profits!
Long
by Trader_LinaScalping
GBPUSD: Buy or sell?Dear traders, Recently, GBPUSD has struggled to sustain its new high at 1.269, experiencing a slight downward correction while still holding relatively stable at elevated levels. The primary driver behind this decline is the renewed demand for the U.S. dollar, fueled by rising U.S. Treasury yields and the House of Representatives’ approval of the Republican Budget Plan, which has negatively impacted the pair. As a result, GBPUSD is likely to undergo a short-term corrective move against the trend, seeking new support levels before resuming its upward trajectory.
Short
by Trader_LinaScalping
Opening (IRA): TSLA March 21st 305/2x315/320 BWB*... for a 1.25 credit. Comments: I don't do these very often, but decided to putz with one here. The setup consists of two parts -- a long put vertical (the -315P/320P) and a short put vertical (the 305P/-315P), one of which is wider than the other. I wrapped it around the 30 delta/expected move strike at the 315 and erected wings out from there. Although the ROC at max is sexy and alluring, it is illusory, since it would require a finish between the break even at 308.75 and 315 which is a fairly small landing pad when you've launched your rocket from 38 days out in time. Consequently, you generally want to look to take profit either at 50% max of the credit received or for something decent, but far less than the max if presented with the opportunity. From a trade management standpoint, these generally work or they don't, although I will consider rolling up the 305 put to the 310, assuming I get an opportunity to do so for a debit that is less than the credit received. This would convert the setup into a "free fly," since both wings would be of the same width (i.e., the max loss of the short put vertical would be equal to the max loss of the long put vertical). Metrics: Max Profit: 6.25 Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: 3.75 ROC at Max: 167% Break Even: 308.75/share * -- Broken wing butterfly.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): HIMS April 17th 28 Covered Call... for a 26.33 debit. Comments: Throwing a few bones at this high IVR/IV (57.5/109.4) single name post-earnings, selling the ~84 delta, 2 x expected move call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 26.33/share Max Profit: 1.67 ROC at Max: 6.34% 50% Max: .84 ROC at 50% Max: 3.17% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max/roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
NYSE:HIMSLong
by NaughtyPines
2
GOLD → Volatile. Entering consolidation. What is next?OANDA:XAUUSD after a short-term uptrend, gold is now shifting into a consolidation phase, with speculative traders actively defending key risk zones. In this environment, what can we expect from the precious metal next? Uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff policies and weak U.S. economic data has driven investors back toward safe-haven assets. However, after reaching a record high of $2,956 on Tuesday, gold experienced a pullback due to profit-taking and a decline in Chinese imports. Despite this, weak U.S. consumer confidence data has helped support a partial recovery. While gold still holds bullish potential, its upside movement is being restrained by a stronger U.S. dollar and rising bond yields. However, trade war concerns continue to fuel demand for the metal. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 2,921 – 2,942 Support: 2,905 – 2,888 At this stage, the market is forming a sideways range, leading to two potential scenarios: A pullback to retest the 2,905 – 2,888 support zone before a potential rebound. A breakout above resistance, confirming a continuation of the bullish trend. If buyers can push gold into the 2,921 – 2,929 zone and maintain control above this level, the metal could regain upward momentum. Stay tuned and seize the best opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
$SPY Bull & Bear Options to End FebruaryThe AMEX:SPY is at a crossroads as we close out February. We’ve had hotter-than expected inflation, talks of tariffs, promises of deregulation, China’s stimulus rollout, and Wall Street’s continuing “soft landing” narrative. This is a time to be cautious. Friday’s PCE inflation data could sway the Fed’s March rate decision. Midterm elections and tax cut debates are heating up. Regardless of the noise, the levels show us the way. We are trading in the range of $591 to $600. For this week, we will be using support over $597 as the entry for calls and a rejection under $600 for puts. Here are this week’s AMEX:SPY options: (15-30 minute candles for confirmation and stop-loss) 📜 $595 PUT 3/10 or $591 3/11 (Cheaper, but higher risk) Entry: Retest & rejection under $600 Target 🎯 : $595, $591.50, (Continuation: $587, $585) 📜 $603 CALL 3/11 Entry: Breakout & retest over $597.70 Target 🎯: $601, $603, $603.44, (Continuation: $606, $608)
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois
Opening (IRA): XBI March 21st 85 Covered Call... for an 83.52 debit. Comments: One of the only red things on my ETF board ... . Selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Just trying to squeeze in a little more into March while the monthly options contract is in that 35 to 56 DTE window. The ROC %-age isn't what I like to see out of these (2.0% or greater), but, hey, you can't have everything ... . Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 83.52 Max Profit: 1.48 ROC at Max: 1.77% 50% Max: .74 ROC at 50% Max: .89%
AMEX:XBILong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): NVO March 28th 76 Covered Call... for a 74.50 debit. Comments: Taking what amounts to a modest directional shot with a break even below the 52-week lows, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 74.50 Max Profit: 1.50 ROC at Max: 2.01% 50% Max: .75 ROC at 50% Max: 1.00 Will generally look to take profit at 50% max and/or roll out the short call if my take profit isn't hit by expiry.
NYSE:NVOLong
by NaughtyPines
USD/JPY – Retesting key resistance before declineThe market is undergoing a correction after breaking its bullish structure. The weakening US Dollar (USD) has created favorable conditions for other assets, including the Japanese Yen (JPY). USD/JPY is currently retesting the previously broken trendline following a strong downward impulse. On Thursday, the Yen reached its highest level in 10 weeks, pushing USD/JPY down to 149.5. Escalating trade tensions driven by Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies have led investors to seek safe-haven assets. Additionally, expectations of a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike have further strengthened JPY’s position in the market. In the short term, USD/JPY may continue a corrective rebound, testing the 0.618 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone before resuming its downward movement.
Short
by Bentradegold
Opening (IRA): TQQQ March 21st 69 Covered Call... for a 67.07 debit Comments: Not finished with March yet ... . Taking less risk here than I would ordinarily do to give me more room to be wrong, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 67.07 debit Max Profit: 1.93 ROC at Max: 2.88% 50% Max: .97 ROC at 50% Max: 1.44% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out my short call if my take profit is not hit.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): SOXL March 28th 20 Covered Call... for a 18.91 debit. Comments: I wanted to take advantage of this little bit of weakness here, but at less risk than what I ordinarily take, giving me more "room to be wrong." Here, selling the -84 delta calls against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short calls. Additionally, it's at strikes better than what I currently have on ... . Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 18.91 Max Profit: 1.09 ROC at Max: 5.76% 50% Max: .55 ROC at 50% Max: 2.88%
AMEX:SOXLLong
by NaughtyPines
2
Market Update: Nifty Faces Bearish Pressure, 17-21st feb Nifty closed at 22,929 this week, marking a decline of 630 points from the previous week's close. The index reached a high of 23,568 and a low of 22,774. As highlighted in my previous post, the bearish sentiment in Nifty remains intact, as both the monthly and weekly timeframes show negative trends. Until there is a significant reversal on these timeframes, the bearish outlook is expected to continue. Looking ahead to next week, I anticipate Nifty will move within a range of 23,450 to 22,400 . The 22,300/22,400 zone offers strong support, and if this level is breached, we could see Nifty heading towards the 21,800 levels. Given this volatility, Nifty might not be the ideal index for small investors, particularly those heavily invested in mid and small-cap stocks. Let’s now take a closer look at the mid-cap and small-cap indices. The Mid-Cap Index is currently near its key support level of 48,700 on the monthly chart. If it manages to hold this support next week, a potential reversal could follow, offering some relief to investors. On the other hand, the Small-Cap Index is still far from its crucial support of 14,500, which suggests that we could witness further downside of 4-5% in this segment . This could add more pressure on small-cap stocks, which are already facing a tough environment. On a global front, the S&P 500 has finally broken through the strong resistance at 6,100 and closed above this level. If it manages to sustain above 6,100, we could see it reach 6,225 or even 6,376. This could potentially provide some tailwinds for the Indian markets, but for now, it seems that the Indian market remains under the tight grip of bearish forces. In conclusion, while there are some signs of potential recovery in specific indices, the overall sentiment remains cautious. Investors should stay vigilant, especially in mid and small-cap segments, as the road ahead could be bumpy.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11