COST Costco Wholesale Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on COST:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of COST Costco Wholesale Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1020usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $22.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Optionsstrategies
Gold price clings to gain around $2,670/two-week topDear friends, let's explore the gold price after yesterday's big move!
Gold prices rebounded near a two-week high and received support from a combination of factors. Geopolitical risks continue to favor the safe-haven XAU/USD amid the Fed's December rate cut. The current technical setup looks bullish and supports the outlook for further gains...
This rally is expected to reach $2700, which is in line with the resistance channel limits.
GOLD--> Consolidation. Waiting for new move to change trend.OANDA:XAUUSD mild fluctuations on Friday and a second consecutive weekly decline were recorded. Accordingly, the precious metal lost approximately 0.5% this week, after hitting its lowest level since November 26 at the start of the trading session.
So, do you wonder what factors have impacted XAUUSD?
Talking About Influencing Factors:
The sentiment among short-term traders and technical positioning in the gold market has clearly cooled, with efforts underway to find momentum to improve sentiment in the short term.
Throughout the day, gold showed little reaction to the much-anticipated employment data of the week. The latest report revealed that although job growth remains relatively stable, cracks in the U.S. labor market have begun to emerge, suggesting potential vulnerabilities.
Regarding U.S. monetary policy, midweek, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that the U.S. economy is stronger than it was in September and adopted a more cautious stance regarding rate cuts. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, with two rate cuts already this year, traders predict a 68% probability that the Fed will cut rates by another 25 basis points at its December 17–18 meeting. Theoretically, it remains unclear whether gold can sustain an uptrend as prices approach a strong resistance level.
Talking About Technicals:
Gold is currently in a sideways trend, so we are considering trading within the range's boundaries. Our focus is on the local channel from H1 2660 - 2615. At this point, gold is heading toward the upper zone of interest. A false breakout of the main resistance zone and price consolidation in the selling area may lead to a price decline toward the lower boundary of the sideways range.
Assess, share your thoughts and questions, and let’s discuss what’s happening with OANDA:XAUUSD :))
Opening (IRA): TAN Jan 17th 33 Short Put... for a 1.01 credit.
Comments: Adding to my TAN position at a strike/break even better than what I currently have on. Here, going Plain Jane short put, since there isn't a great advantage to going monied covered call here because the IV skew isn't between the call and put sides isn't significant.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 31.99
Max Profit: 1.01
ROC at Max: 3.16%
50% Max: .52
ROC at 50% Max: 1.58%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max.
XAUUSDOver the past week, spot gold prices (XAU/USD) have shown little significant movement, continuing to trade sideways within the narrow range of 2613 to 2656. Market sentiment has weakened following U.S. President Donald Trump's threats to impose tariffs on certain countries. Despite the Nonfarm Payrolls report bolstering the U.S. dollar, investor sentiment remains cautious, with focus shifting to the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut on December 19. Interestingly, the dollar's upward momentum mirrors gold's movements, reflecting a unique dynamic in the current market environment.
Technical Analysis
On the H4 timeframe, gold prices remain trapped in a sideways channel. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines are moving in parallel and remain close together, indicating that the price is likely to continue ranging within this zone in the short term. This week, the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is a critical event that could act as a catalyst for breaking out of this sideways pattern. If the price breaks out, gold could either rally or fall further to key support levels at 2593-2595 and potentially deeper to 2540-2545.
Key Levels to Watch
BUY : 2610 - 2615 ; 2592 - 2594
SELL: 2660 - 2665 ; 2680 - 2685
Specific Trade Strategy
XAU/USD SELL Zone: 2654 - 2656
Stop Loss (SL): 2659
Take Profit (TP): 2652 - 2649
Given the current sideways trend, it is advisable to wait patiently for prices to reach clearly defined support or resistance zones to maximize the risk-reward ratio. Additionally, closely monitoring this week’s CPI release will help refine strategies as the market reacts to new data.
Wishing everyone a productive and successful trading day!
GBP/USD → Breaks Out, Eyes New Trend Target Around 1.300Hello everyone, Ben here!
The GBP/USD pair has found an opportunity to recover as a breakout from the previous parallel channel around the 1.271 region takes shape amid the dollar's ongoing correction. Key levels of interest are now set around the 1.300 area, with market sentiment cautiously optimistic.
A notable test of the intermediate low near the 1.248 mark was followed by an impressive reversal pattern, suggesting a bullish shift in momentum. Theoretically, the outlook leans toward further upside. However, the bigger question remains: How sustainable is this rally? The answer primarily lies in the trajectory of the U.S. dollar.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is currently pricing in a 71.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. This scenario implies increased downside pressure on the USD, potentially opening the door for a moderate recovery in other currencies, including the pound.
From a technical perspective, the channel breakout provides a promising bullish signal, potentially setting the stage for a stronger upward move. However, traders appear cautious, waiting for further confirmation. If a false breakout above resistance occurs and the price falls below 1.271, a move back toward 1.240 could be on the horizon. For now, though, the mid-term outlook hints at a gradual climb from 1.275 to the psychological level of 1.300, supported by positive technical signals.
What are your thoughts on the current dynamics of GBP/USD? Share your insights, questions, or observations—let’s analyze this fascinating setup together!
GOLD--> Consolidation. Which Direction Will Momentum Take?Hello dear friends, Ben here!
Gold prices continue to consolidate sideways within a familiar range as the market eagerly awaits a new catalyst to determine the next directional move. What lies ahead, and what scenarios could unfold?
Meanwhile, sellers are holding back as they await key developments, including comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, U.S. employment data, and the CPI report, to gain insights into the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders currently assign a 74% probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at the upcoming policy meeting. However, theoretically, this remains uncertain, and the market may remain in consolidation until new information emerges.
On the technical side, gold may build bullish momentum to test critical resistance levels, which could potentially lead to a decline afterward. However, if the price breaks below the 2636 support level and consolidates beneath it, bearish pressure may emerge earlier than expected.
What are your thoughts? Share your insights, forecasts, and questions—let’s explore the ongoing dynamics of XAUUSD together!
Gold prices continue their downward trend, falling from $2,710.
Gold prices today continue their downward trend, trading around $2,642.
This decline comes as the market braces for the release of the highly anticipated U.S. labor report from the Department of Labor, scheduled for Friday. According to a Bloomberg survey, nonfarm payrolls for November are expected to show an increase of approximately 200,000 jobs.
However, remarks made by Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell on Wednesday in New York also had a significant impact. Powell emphasized that the U.S. economy is in "very good shape," with risks to the labor market diminishing. This has raised concerns among investors that the upcoming jobs report could outperform expectations, potentially weakening gold’s outlook further.
From a technical perspective, the focus is on the descending wedge channel. If sellers manage to defend the resistance levels within this channel, the downtrend may persist. The next projected targets for the sell-off are $2,605, $2,547, and $2,471, respectively.
Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let's discuss what’s unfolding in the market!
GOLD--> The bears are gaining strength! Next target: 2605OANDA:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of the resistance range. The fundamental backdrop is mixed and still does not allow for a clear medium- and long-term strategy to be formed. But!...
Trump's tariff policy and rising geopolitical tensions are influencing metal prices. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices are declining and confirming the market's structure.
Looking ahead, all eyes will be on U.S. employment data as the country will release multiple job-related figures ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday.
From a technical standpoint, we have a trend to watch after leaving the rising channel support and the 2636 area, reflecting the prevailing bearish sentiment.
A breakout below 2636 could trigger aggressive selling against the backdrop of a newly strengthened dollar. However, the possibility of a retest of the area of interest before continuing the downward trend cannot be ruled out. Gold prices are expected to decline and reach levels of 2610 and 2596, respectively.
Home Depot sells CUPS with Handles Now?! 30%+ Move Inbound!When Did NYSE:HD Start Selling Cup w/ Handles? ☕️
Looks like NYSE:HD is introducing a new item for 2025 - the Cup with Handles! 🎉
I have a feeling this is going to be a BIG HIT! Just need to see XMAS RED➡️GREEN on the H5 Indicator before we go ahead and buy these new cups with handles.
I've added it to my watchlist and set an alert!
🎯$468
📏$532
Opening (IRA): GDX Dec 20th 36 Covered Call... for a 35.29 debit.
Comments: Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 35.29/share
Max Profit: .71
ROC at Max: 2.01%
50% Max: .36
ROC at 50% Max: 1.00%
That 1.00% ROC at 50% max is kind of "marginal," but just trying to keep theta on and burning with little stuff that I can add to should I have the opportunity to get in in higher IV/weakness.
Gold → Consolidation. One more step to distribution...OANDA:XAUUSD fluctuating slightly due to high risk ahead of the news. Meanwhile, at this moment, strong momentum is forming. The price is consolidating within a local range. Previously, the price broke through the local ascending support...
Ahead of economic data, traders are consolidating. Volatility is decreasing, and the market is not yet ready to take risks. Investors' attention will shift to the private sector employment report, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech, and the non-farm payroll report. Currently, the market is pricing in a 69% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the December 17-18 meeting.
Since there is no clear trend in the market and the price is within a channel, we will consider trading from its borders. Therefore, a false breakout of the key resistance level could trigger a drop to the support of the range.
Opening (IRA): SMH December 20th 225 Covered Call... for a 221.96 debit.
Comments: Selling the -85 call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 15 delta short put with the built-in defense of the short call.
Here, primarily just looking to capture the next little increment of up move I missed out on with my 220 covered call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 221.96
Max Profit: 3.04
ROC at Max: 1.37%
50% Max: 1.52
ROC at 50% Max: .69%
Opening (IRA): TQQQ December 20th 74 Covered Call... for a 71.29 debit.
Comments: Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense.
I'm looking at this as a starter position because I kind of have a feeling that I'm going to regret not putting this on in weakness/higher IV and will be adding at better strikes/break evens (only time will tell).
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 71.29/share
Max Profit: 2.71
ROC at Max: 3.80%
50% Max: 1.36
ROC at 50% Max: 1.90%
XAUUSDGold prices have recovered slightly, trading at $2,639.97 an ounce, marking a modest gain of 0.20% over the past 24 hours. The recovery comes after a recent decline, driven by a stronger US dollar and rising US Treasury yields.
The current rise reflects cautious optimism among investors as the market awaits key economic data from the United States. The upcoming labor market report is expected to provide insights into the Federal Reserve’s future monetary policy, especially its stance on interest rates.
Despite the temporary relief, gold remains sensitive to moves in the dollar and bond yields. Market focus on key economic indicators could shape the trajectory of gold in the coming sessions, keeping traders on their toes.
GBP/USD --> Counter-Trend Correction Before Further DeclineFX:GBPUSD during the correction process, the price has reached the area of interest and resistance from which further bearish momentum can be expected, in the context of the dollar returning to its upward trend.
Overall, the market continues to struggle around the 1.267 area, which is considered a strong support zone. However, buyers appear to have limited opportunities to push the price higher as the dollar strengthens, fueled by Trump’s policies that exert significant pressure on the forex market.
From a technical perspective, GBP/USD is attempting to break out of the main range, testing the key support level. However, with the price currently testing strong support, we might see a corrective move toward the 1.275–1.285 area (0.618 Fibonacci retracement) before resuming the downtrend. It is also worth emphasizing the 1.256–1.248 range. A break and consolidation below this zone would confirm the bears’ intentions.
Opening (IRA): QQQ December 20th 425 Covered Call... for a 421.94 debit.
Comments: As with my IWM covered call, re-upping in QQQ at a strike higher than the one I just took off in an attempt to capture the next increment of the up move that I missed out on.
I'm not expecting a ton out of this (the max is 3.06), but that's okay, since I'm not yet ready to go all the way out to January yet anyhow.
Opening (IRA): USO December 20th 68 Covered Call... for a 66.48 debit.
Comments: Back into the slippery stuff with /CL trading at 70.48. Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
My basic approach here is to dink and donk on the underlying when /CL is at $70/bbl. or below.
Metrics:
Break Even/Buying Power Effect: 66.48
Max Profit: 1.52
ROC at Max: 2.29%
50% Max: .76
ROC at 50% Max: 1.15%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll out short call on take profit test. I'll also look to add "rungs" should I be able to do so at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on.
AEVOUSDT --> Just One Step Away From a Price SurgeThe AEVOUSDT chart presents an interesting scenario where price action remains constrained within a key resistance zone, but recent developments suggest the possibility of a breakout. Currently, the price is facing significant resistance near the 0.53–0.60 USDT level, a region where sellers have previously maintained control. Despite this, the chart reflects encouraging signs: the formation of a higher low (a newly established bottom) supported by an ascending trendline.
This development is particularly noteworthy in the context of broader market dynamics. As Bitcoin’s dominance in the cryptocurrency market gradually diminishes, altcoins like AEVO are finding opportunities to gain momentum. This shift in capital flow creates a fertile environment for AEVO to realize its bullish potential.
Before the price can decisively break through the resistance, a retest of the trendline is reasonable. This retest, likely within the 0.40–0.45 USDT range, will serve as a litmus test for the strength of buyer support.
If the trendline holds, AEVO will be well-positioned to push higher, eventually targeting the 1.1 USDT mark as investor confidence builds and resistance levels are surpassed.
EUR/USD: Strategic Short Opportunities UnveiledThe EUR/USD pair is entering a clear bearish correction phase on the 1-hour timeframe. With selling pressure from the OB Zone and strong bearish signals from the EMA indicators, the price is expected to continue moving towards lower support levels.
Suggested Trading Strategy
Entry Points (Short Entry):
Open a short position when the price slightly retraces to the OB Zone (~1.0522-1.0538).
Alternatively, consider entering a short trade if the price breaks below the nearest support level without retracing.
Take Profit (TP):
TP1 at 1.0460.
TP2 at 1.0385.
Stop Loss (SL):
Place the stop loss above the OB Zone (~1.0540), as this is where the price may trigger an unexpected reversal.
Bitcoin breakthrough: The journey to conquer a new heightBTC/USDT is in a trend of increasing sharply after breaking down the long -term decrease. Technical factors such as new increase channels, EMA support, and important support areas have strengthened the ability to continue increasing prices. With an appropriate trading strategy, investors can take advantage of the adjustment to participate in the market, with the expectation of higher prices. However, it is necessary to comply with risk management and closely monitor the new market developments to adjust the strategy in time.
Trading strategy suggested
Input score (entry):
Buy when the adjustment price to the first support area (~ 90,000 USDT) or when the signal appears to increase from EMA 34.
Monitor candle signal like Engulfing Bullish or Pin Bar to confirm the purchase force.
Short -term goal: 96,000 USDT.
Medium -term target: 112,000 USDT.
Bitcoin's Bearish Outlook: Targeting the $91,000 Support ZoneBitcoin is approaching the important resistance area ($ 98,000 - $ 99,000) in its increasing channel, but weakness shows the possibility of being rejected. If BTC does not pass this level convincingly, a fake breakthrough may occur, triggering a sharp decline.
The next goals are the $ 92,859, $ 90.754 support area, in accordance with the lower boundaries of the channel and the main bridge area. This area is expected to attract significant buying interest, making it an important level to be monitored.
XAUUSDGold prices were under pressure yesterday as the PMI news was released, which was good for the dollar and Treasury yields rose. However, gold prices were supported by the forecast of a December Fed rate cut and geopolitical tensions in Syria and Russia-Ukraine, creating a push into safe havens.
Gold prices are currently moving sideways in a large range between 2633 - 2666, the nearest resistance is still at 2660 - 2665, and there is no clear trend for gold at the moment. If this Sideway zone is broken, Gold may find the nearest resistance at 2683-2688. Consider using the support at 2620 - 2625 to catch up with the uptrend of Gold.
‼️XAUUSD BUYZONE 2624 - 2626
SL 2621
TP 2628 - 2630 - open
‼️XAUUSD SELLZONE 2661 - 2663
SL 2666
TP 2659 - 2655 - 2650