INTEL INTC Short setup target 15.29Fibonacci technical analysis : Intel Corporation NASDAQ:INTC has already found resistance at the Fib level 61.8% (23.07) of my Down Fib. The May 30th Daily candle has closed below retracement Fib level 23.6% (19.73), confirming a sell signal. A Bear Flag pattern has also formed. My Down Fib guides me to look for NASDAQ:INTC to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (15.29).
NASDAQ:INTC – Target 1 at -27.2% (15.29), Target 2 at -61.8% (12.26) and Target 3 at -78.6 (10.79)
Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (22.04).
Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
Optionstrading
[05/27] Weekly GEX Outlook for SPX⚠️ Unbalanced GEX & Institutional Hedging – A Closer Look
I haven’t seen such an asymmetric GEX setup in quite a while — and it’s definitely not a pretty one 😬. The current profile suggests a highly skewed positioning in the market:
📍 Massive upside expectation:
It feels like the market is almost exclusively preparing for a move toward 6000.
🛑 Limited downside protection:
Below the current level, there's very little hedging in place — especially unusual with Friday’s expiry approaching.
🔻 Current Key Zone: 5925-5930
The largest put open interest is sitting right around 5925, which is also close to spot.
Below that? Things get murky. The GEX profile becomes fragmented and mixed, with no clear put support until much lower.
Interestingly, most of the current downside hedging is clustered around the 5900–5925 range, which includes ITM puts — not OTM, as you’d typically expect from retail.
🧠 Institutional Footprint vs. Retail
This hedging pattern — closer to ATM rather than deep OTM — suggests institutional players are managing downside risk with precision.
In contrast, retail traders don’t seem to be actively hedging the downside with OTM puts, which is a notable shift from typical behavior in high-IV weeks like this.
🔼 What to Watch: The 5930 Breakout
If SPX can break and hold above 5930, it enters a clear, call-dominated zone.
From there, the path to 6000 looks much cleaner, with lighter resistance and the potential for a gamma-driven push 📈.
The details show the same picture when examining more details:
SPX conclusion
😬 In short: we’re at a tipping point.
Below 5900, hedging is tactical and institutional.
Above 5900, the path is open to 6000 — but only if bulls can take control at 5930!
NVDA GEX Earnings Outlook by OptionsNVDA reports earnings this Wednesday, and it’s a big deal. A major move could impact both the indexes and broader tech sector.
The OTM 16 delta curve essentially overlaps with both the GEX profile and the expected probability zone — signaling strong confluence.
📈 Rising IV with falling call skew: Volatility is rising into earnings, while the call skew is dropping — a sign of growing interest in downside hedging/speculation.
🔷 Key inflection zone (129): Above 129, the market is unlikely to surprise. Below it, however, a domino effect could trigger increased volatility and put-side flows.
Implied move into earnings is 6.62%, reflecting binary risk expectations from the options market.
Strong gamma squeeze territory exists between 140–145, with significant call wall buildup around 140.
The nearest expiry shows a positive net GEX — supporting short-term mean-reversion or hedging flow stability above 129, at least until the earnings print.
🔴 Downside risk scenario:
In the event of a downward move, the market is most heavily hedged around the 125 level, which aligns with the deepest put support.
💡 Wheeling Opportunity Idea
ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term), this might be a great time to start the wheeling strategy.
Because earnings inflate volatility, you can sell a near-term cash-secured put (CSP) for solid premium — even on a 53DTE (July) option.
Based on current GEX levels, we’re seeing:
-Support (squeeze zone) around $125
-Call resistance around $140
-A potential upside squeeze extending to $145-$150
These align roughly with ~20 delta OTM options, so the premium is attractive.
How would I personally start this:
Sell a CSP for May 30 with the intention to get assigned if NVDA drops.
If I do get assigned, I’m happy to own shares.
Then, I sell a 60DTE covered call right after to collect another round of premium.
If I’m not assigned, I sell a new 45–60DTE put the following week — still benefiting from the relatively high IV.
👉 Remember: High IV = synthetic time value. With this two-step method, you can harvest premium twice in quick succession.
I used the same technique with NASDAQ:INTC , and it’s been performing well.
💥 ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term)!
GBPUSD Trending Higher - Can Bulls Maintain Momentum?OANDA:GBPUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action continuing to respect both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are maintaining an advantage, increasing the likelihood of a continued upward trend.
Price has broken through a key resistance zone and successfully retested this area as support, confirming the bullish structure. This retest helps to reinforce the bullish outlook, with the next technical target around the 1.38000 level, in line with the upper boundary of the trend channel.
As long as price remains above the newly established support zone, the bullish trend remains intact. If this support zone is broken, a corrective scenario toward the midline or lower boundary of the channel should be reconsidered.
The analysis reflects a personal view based on price action and market structure, and is not financial advice. Appropriate risk management should be ensured in all trading situations.
EURUSD Holds Structure Within Ascending Channel – Is 1.1400 NextOANDA:EURUSD is still trading within an ascending channel that has been well maintained since mid-May. After completing a corrective move toward the confluence area around 1.1258 – where the bottom of the ascending channel and a horizontal support zone intersect – price has bounced back with clear buying strength. The continued respect of the lower boundary suggests that the trend structure remains intact, and buyers are cautiously maintaining control of the market.
The recent low can be viewed as a potential demand zone, as price reacted quickly and formed a recovery candle pattern near the trendline. With the ascending channel still intact, the preferred scenario is a continued move toward the mid-line of the channel around the 1.1400 area – which is also the nearest technical target. Buyers appear to be regaining control, but a clear confirmation through price action remains a key factor before entering any position.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing, pin bar, or marubozu candles accompanied by strong volume, as these could serve as the initial confirmation for long entries. Conversely, if price breaks below this support zone and falls out of the ascending channel, the short-term outlook should be reassessed with caution.
This is a personal view based on price action and technical analysis. It is not financial advice. Always adhere to risk management in every trading decision.
ZS Zscaler Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ZS:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ZS Zscaler prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 250usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2026-1-16,
for a premium of approximately $29.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Personal Trade Plan – Nifty50 25100 June Call OptionToday, I entered a long position in the Nifty50 25100 June (Monthly) Call option , securing an average price of ₹469.10 . I plan to accumulate additional lots at lower prices, with a strategy to hold until expiry.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not a trade recommendation. Please conduct independent research and assess risk factors before making any trading decisions.
#nifty50
GBPUSD at Major Resistance: Will it Drop To 1.33350?FX:GBPUSD is approaching a key resistance level that previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering some significant bearish momentum. This area could be a potential point of interest for those looking for short-selling opportunities. Given its historical importance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals appear, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.33350 level, which is a reasonable target in this setup. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and suggest further upside. This is a key area where price action is likely to provide clearer clues about the next direction.
Just my perspective on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setup and trade with proper risk management.
Gold Analysis – Can Buyers Push the Price Up to $3,350?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside.
Price has recently broken through a key resistance zone and has now returned to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,350 target, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
As long as price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
Is EUR/USD continuing its uptrend from the 1.126 level?Hello everyone, it's great to see all of you again in the current trading session. Let’s discuss and launch a new trading campaign together!
In general, EURUSD experienced a significant price increase yesterday, with a rise in price and a breakout above the 1.126 level. It is now trading at a new high of 1.132, the best gain at the end of April. So what are the reasons and factors that have driven this currency pair?
Regarding the influencing factors:
EUR/USD maintains a bullish trend during the first half of the week, approaching the important 1.1300 zone after a sharp sell-off of the US Dollar. Growing concerns about trade, along with new worries about the US economy, have added further pressure on the US Dollar.
Regarding the new outlook for EURUSD:
On the 1D chart, EURUSD is currently receiving strong support at the 1.126 – 1.127 level. A break below this level will lead to a significant price drop, while holding this level will lead to a price increase. Upon careful observation, we can see the pair has broken through the 1.126 resistance level. Both the short-term and medium-term outlooks show that the bullish trend is gradually strengthening. If the upward momentum continues, the next bullish targets for EURUSD will be 1.140 and 1.150...
GOLD at Key Support Level – Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:XAUUSD is likely undergoing a corrective move as it tests the lower boundary of the ascending channel, as shown on my chart. This boundary acts as dynamic trendline support, and a significant bullish reaction may occur if buyers step in at this level.
A successful rebound from this support could lead to a move toward the midline of the channel, with the most reasonable target in this setup being $3,450. This scenario would maintain the overall bullish trend structure.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, a clear break below the trendline support would weaken the bullish outlook and could lead to the next downward trend.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, rising volume, or bullish engulfing patterns, before entering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have further insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
XAUUSD – Bullish Continuation Ahead?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within an ascending channel, with price recently bouncing off the trendline support after a corrective move. This rebound indicates that buyers are stepping in, maintaining the bullish structure within the channel.
If the bullish momentum continues, we could see a move toward $3,450, aligning with a key resistance level within the channel. This level may act as a potential short-term target before any possible reaction from sellers. A clear breakout above the resistance zone could open the door for the next bullish leg.
However, if the price fails to hold this support level and breaks below it with momentum, the bullish outlook could be invalidated, potentially signaling the next downward trend. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as higher lows, strong bullish candles, or increasing volume before considering long positions.
If you agree with this outlook or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
Gold & Bearish Pennant: Clearer Signs of a Downtrend?Dear friends, it's a pleasure to see you again in today's gold trading session.
At present, according to careful observation and technical analysis, we can see that
OANDA:XAUUSD is showing signs of a slight correction and is likely forming a bearish pennant pattern, consistent with a common continuation candlestick pattern in a downtrend. Specifically:
Previously, the price experienced a strong decline, which plays the role of the “flagpole” of the pattern.
After the drop, the price temporarily moved sideways within a narrow range, gradually narrowing the range and forming a small triangle – characteristic of the consolidation phase in the pennant pattern.
Trading volume also shows a decreasing trend, consistent with the characteristics of this pattern.
With these factors, the current preferred scenario is the continuation of the downtrend, so the Sell position is considered more feasible. I think we could see a move down to $3,155. This area is quite important and could give us a better idea of where the price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this is not financial advice. Always confirm your setup and manage your risk wisely.
EURUSD at Resistance – Will It Drop to 1.11720?OANDA:EURUSD is currently trading near a strong resistance level, which is an area where price has struggled to break through in the past and reversed to the downside. This is also where sellers have previously stepped in, so it’s worth watching—especially for anyone considering short trades.
If we start to see signs that price is being rejected here—such as long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum—I think we could see a move down to the 1.11720 level. But if price breaks clearly above this area, it could invalidate the bearish idea and suggest that the uptrend may even continue.
This area is quite important and could help give us a clearer idea of the next direction of price.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance—this is not financial advice. Always confirm your setup and manage your risk wisely.
ES1! (S&P500 Mini Futures) - Support Trendline Price Test -DailyES1! (S&P500 Mini Futures) price is currently testing a support trendline around $5900.
If several daily Price candles close below $5865 this month, a pullback in the price can occur (rising wedge pattern).
Volume has been decreasing in May 2025, compared to March and April.
Finance and Technology corporate earnings season has passed. The U.S. government 90-day tariff pause is set to expire in early July (pending trade deal negotiations with other countries).
Tariff and trade deal news, breaking news, corporate earnings, government law changes, consumer sentiment, inflation data, the FOMC, and presidential announcements can all affect the prices of stocks and ETFs.
[𝟬𝟱/𝟭𝟮] 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗦𝗣𝗫 𝗚𝗘𝗫 𝗣𝗹𝗮𝘆𝗯𝗼𝗼𝗸🔍 IF/THEN QUICK GAMMA PLAYBOOK
IF > 5825 THEN path to 5900 → stall/profit-taking likely
IF > 5900 THEN path to first 5950, then 6000 → gamma squeeze extension zone
IF < 5825 THEN path to 5700 → test of transition zone support
Chop Zone: — re-entry = short-term balance/testing zone
IF < 5700 THEN path to 5500 → gamma flush / dealer unwind risk
🧭 𝗘𝗫𝗧𝗘𝗡𝗗𝗘𝗗 𝗭𝗢𝗡𝗘 𝗠𝗔𝗣/b]
✅ Gamma Flip Level
5700 → This is the confirmed Gamma Flip level = High Volatility Zone = HVL. We are comfortably above it, confirming positive gamma environment.
🧱 Major Call Walls / Resistance to upside from here
5900 → Significant call resistance zone (highlighted across GEX, profile, and /matrix command). 5825–5900 = Current rally zone → expected stall at 5900 (Profit-taking zone)5950 → Next mid-large positive gamma wall to the upside, mid-station between mounts. Dealers short gamma, adding fuel to breakout.6000 → Positive Gamma squeeze continuation target. Gamma squeeze intensifies → likely extends to 6000.🟦 Transition / Chop Zone
5700–5825 → Previous chop range. Retrace could test this before renewed upside.Currently outside and breaking up from this zone, indicating trend initiation.
Balance zone from prior structure.
Expect fade setups if price dips back in.
Needs catalyst or strong sell flow to re-enter meaningfully.
🛡️ Major Put Supports to the downside
5700 → = HVL, also aligned with pTrans and Put support.Dealer unwind risk, downside opens.5500 → Key level if the 5700 zone fails — “total denial zone” of current FOMO.
-----------------------------
This week’s SPX setup remains decisively bullish from a gamma perspective. The GEX profile shows strong positive gamma, with institutional and dealer hedging flows firmly positioned to support continued upside—especially into Friday’s OPEX. The environment is ideal for a controlled melt-up: volatility is softening, implied volatility is trending lower, and there’s no sign of panic in the options market.
Put pricing skew is also declining, which suggests reduced fear and a shift toward more aggressive call buying—another sign of bullish sentiment. Dealer positioning implies that any upward momentum is likely to be chased and hedged into, reinforcing the trend.
However, traders should stay alert: if SPX slips back below 5825, we may see a pause or retracement back into the 5700–5825 transition zone. Only a decisive break below 5700 would flip the gamma regime back to negative and open the door to real downside volatility.
$TTD Breakout After Earnings | Gapped Up w/ Volume Surge📊 Summary for TradingView Post:
NASDAQ:TTD exploded +11% post-earnings, gapping above key resistance and closing strong with massive volume.
Price cleared multiple supply zones with conviction, now sitting above $79 with eyes on $82.74 and $86.43.
Buyers showed up heavy. This is no random push—structure confirms strength.
Still bullish unless it fills the gap below. Watching for continuation or controlled retest.
05/05 SPX Weekly Playbook - GEX Zone Outlook🔮 What-If Scenarios for This Week – Based on GEX Structure until Firday
Last week’s market momentum pushed the S&P 500 up by almost 3%, effectively erasing the price gap left behind on Liberation Day. The index also strung together nine straight days of gains—something we haven’t seen since late 2004.
Meanwhile, implied volatility dropped significantly, with the VIX touching its lowest level since the holiday, falling to around 22.5.
Several factors seem to have fueled this bullish tone, including a more measured approach from Trump on trade policies and strong quarterly results from major tech names like Microsoft and Meta.
Still, the nature of the buying raises questions—was this a thoughtful rotation, or just a broad sweep of optimism?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
🔄 Chop Zone: 5650 – 5670 (wide transition zone)
🔹 Gamma Flip: 5615
🔺 Key Call Wall: 5725 (5800 potential shift)
🔻 Key Put Wall: 5500 (5400 major support below)
🔼 Upside Path
IF > 5670 → transition cleared →
➡️ 5700 stall / reaction
IF > 5725 → call wall breached →
➡️ Path to 5750 / 5775 → stall at 5800 (largest net call OI)
IF > 5800 → gamma resistance breaks down →
➡️ 5825/5850 zone opens up
🔽 Downside Path
IF < 5615 → gamma flip triggered →
➡️ 5500 = battle zone (massive put wall + high negative GEX)
IF < 5500 → negative gamma squeeze likely →
➡️ Stall zone: 5450 → flush to 5400
IF < 5400 → high-volatility regime →
➡️ Possible acceleration to 5375 / 5340 depending on IV spike
⚖️ Neutral Setup
IF 5650–5670 holds → dealer hedging = balanced →
➡️ Ideal for non-directional spreads / theta plays
➡️ Wait for breakout confirmation above 5670 or below 5615
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
🔍 Final Thoughts
We’ve seen a sharp rally since the Trump trade war scare, with barely any meaningful pullback. The market appears to be looking for one—as a breath. Based on current GEX positioning, there’s significantly more downside hedging than upside, especially in the mid-term May expirations.
That doesn’t necessarily mean we crash—but it does mean that moves lower can accelerate faster, while upward breakouts may require more energy or time. In this environment, consider:
Bearish or neutral spreads (put debit spreads, call credit spreads)
Volatility-based strategies
Avoiding naked upside trades unless we see a strong reclaim of 5725+
Stay safe and adapt—GEX doesn’t tell direction, but it does tell where the fire might start, beacuse of reflexting to hedging activity.
COFORGE 8100 CE – 29 MAY EXPIntraday to Short-Term Trade Setup (15min/1H)
🟢 Bullish Breakout | Volume Surge Confirmed
🛒 Entry Zone (Buy Above): ₹258–260
🔑 Confirmation on 15min candle close above ₹260 with volume
🎯 Targets:
T1: ₹276
T2: ₹306.50
T3: ₹353.90 (if momentum continues into next session)
🛑 Stop Loss:
SL: ₹230 (on candle close basis for 15min TF)
Conservative SL: ₹240 (if tighter risk appetite)
📊 Indicators Signal:
✅ 9 EMA crossed 26 EMA (momentum confirmation)
✅ RSI at 76.79 – strong, but watch for pullback
✅ BB %B at 0.89 – breakout zone
✅ Clean breakout above resistance (~₹230) with volume spike
✅ Pivot & resistance flip visible on both 15min & 1H TF
For Education Purposes Only
24000PE Nifty Intraday Analysis for May 12, 202524000PE Outlook:
The 24000PE is currently in the sell zone. As I maintain a bearish view on Nifty for tomorrow, I will wait for a buy confirmation on the 24000PE before considering any entry.
Based on my analysis (excluding gap considerations), I estimate the support zone around 141 and resistance near 451. However, please note that these zones may shift if price action begins to factor in gap areas on either side.
Disclaimer: This is my personal view and not a trading recommendation. All traders are advised to conduct their own technical analysis and trade with strict stop-loss and risk management.