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Nifty Market Update: Bears Are in Control – A Rough Ride Ahead?The Nifty closed at 22,795 this week, down by 134 points from the previous week’s close, with a high of 23,049 and a low of 22,720. The formation of a Gravestone Doji candle indicates that the market is firmly under the control of the bears, signaling potential weakness ahead. As forecasted last week, Nifty moved within the range of 23,450 to 22,400, aligning perfectly with my predictions. Looking ahead to next week, I expect Nifty to trade between the 23,300 to 22,250 range. While 22,300-22,400 offers a strong support zone, if the index slips below 22,250, it could test the WEMA100 at 22,050, which could offer some relief. Digging deeper, I analyzed the Nifty50 monthly chart from 2004 onwards and noticed a recurring pattern: whenever Nifty closes below the monthly EMA21, it tends to test the EMA50, which currently stands at 19,450. If this month’s close is below 22,400, we could be heading toward 19,450, so brace yourselves for what could be a bumpy ride ahead. On the international front, the S&P 500 is showing signs of forming a bearish M-pattern, a negative signal for the broader market. This is troubling news for Indian markets, which are already under pressure. From the current level of 6,013, a 1.5% correction could see the index testing support levels around 5,900. The battle between bears and bulls continues, but for now, I believe the bears still have the upper hand. Stay cautious and keep a close watch on market movements – volatility is here to stay!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
Options Trading with TradeStation: TradingView ShowIn this video, we're diving into options trading with David Russell, Head of Global Market Strategy at TradeStation, for a live stream exploring the latest updates to the platform, especially the enhanced integration with TradeStation for options trading. This update enables TradingView users to access equity options trading for the first time with a US brokerage, making it easier to trade directly from the TradingView platform. Learn how to read an options chain, create an options order, and combine options trading with charts, research, and more. The new integration, combined with TradingView’s suite of educational tools like the strategy builder, chain sheet, and volatility analysis, helps traders see the options market in a new way, with crystal clear visualizations and data. This live stream will highlight how users can link their TradeStation accounts to TradingView for seamless options trading and explore the opportunities that come with these updates. This educational session is a great chance to learn about the latest tools and strategies that can elevate your trading success. Got questions or eager to dive deeper? Drop them in the comments below—we’re here to help! Thanks for tuning in, and get ready as we have many more groundbreaking tools for you. Stay tuned for what's next!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingView
9
$SEDG BEATS + and No Worries! Confessions from the DeskConfessions from the Desk: 10X, Black Coffee, and No Worries SolarEdge is up 20%, and my Feb 21, 2025, $20 strike call has officially 10X’d. That’s right—after weeks of my portfolio looking like a crime scene, I’ve finally hit a clean, beautiful, 10X multiplier. And today? I’m sipping my black coffee like a hedge fund manager who actually knows what they’re doing. Not even the endless tariff talk, geopolitical panic, or Fed fearmongering can shake me today. Let them try—I’ll just take another sip. Now, let’s be real. Am I suddenly a genius? No. Did I see this coming? Also no. But I’m here, and I’m winning. And in this market, that’s all that matters. So cheers to today. The market gods have finally smiled upon me.
NASDAQ:SEDG
by TwoBULLISH
Breakout or Fakeout? SPX at CrossroadsBreakout or Fakeout? SPX at a Critical Crossroads | SPX Market Analysis 17 Feb 2025 Welcome to another shortened trading week, thanks to Presidents' Day (or maybe an extended Valentine's weekend for the lucky ones). With all the nudge nudge, wink wink out of the way, let’s talk setups. I’m watching two key trade scenarios—a breakout continuation or a break-in reversal (aka a false breakout). For now, it’s time to grab a cuppa and a hobnob while waiting for the markets to open. --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: ☕ Tea, biscuits, and breakout confirmations With Tuesday’s open ahead, my focus is on two key setups that could determine the next tradable move. Scenario #1 – The Breakout That Needs to Prove Itself On Friday, SPX tried to break out, but price action was about as decisive as someone staring at a restaurant menu for 20 minutes before ordering a burger. Price meandered sideways, leaving traders guessing I chose to sit this one out, because long weekends can mess with momentum Now, we watch if Tuesday brings real follow-through If this breakout is legit, we should see: ✅ A strong push above Friday’s highs ✅ Sustained momentum without rapid reversals ✅ Clean continuation setups for bullish entries If we get weak price action, I’ll hold off on longs and consider the next setup… Scenario #2 – The ‘Break-In’ (A False Breakout Setup) Now, let’s talk about something you won’t find in trading textbooks—the Break-In setup. Think of it like this: Imagine SPX breaking out, getting everyone excited, then suddenly doing a U-turn and slamming back into the previous range. Traders who chased the breakout get trapped, and those who spot the reversal early have a golden shorting opportunity. Signs of a Break-In setup: ❌ Price fails to hold breakout levels ❌ Quick rejection and reversal back into the previous range ❌ Bearish momentum builds instead of continuation If SPX falls back into the range, I’ll be watching for short setups, because these moves can be quick and brutal. So What’s the Plan? 🧐 1. Watch for Tuesday’s Open – If SPX continues Friday’s breakout, we look for bullish setups. If not, the Break-In trade is on the table. 🎯 2. Avoid Jumping in Too Early – Long weekends can create fake momentum that doesn’t hold. Patience is key. 🍪 3. Keep an Eye on Volatility – If volume is weak, the move could be another dud. But if volatility spikes, we could get a real tradeable move. 🚀 Key Takeaway? SPX has picked a direction, but the real move happens once full liquidity returns. Until then, I’ll be enjoying my tea and biscuits while the market figures itself out. Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? The biggest post-holiday market crash happened in 1929, when the Dow plunged 12.8% after a weekend—triggering the Great Depression. 💡 The Lesson? Markets don’t take holidays—they just store volatility for later. That’s why smart traders stay prepared for anything after a break.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
4
$SPY Options - Bull & Bear | February Week 2We have been range bound the last three weeks. Sellers are starting to exhaust buyers more quickly than before. We are leaning bearish but confirmation is king. We use 15-30 minute candle closes for confirmation and stop-loss. Should there be a significant pullback, $580 and $560 are major floors of support. Here are our bull and bear options for this week: $600 PUT 2/24 Entry: Confirmation of breakdown under $603.44 (OR harsh rejection at $606) 🎯Target: $600 ($603.44) $608 CALL 2/24 Entry: Confirmation of breakout over $606 🎯Target: $607, $608 Here's how last week's options went: 📜 AMEX:SPY $605 Call 2/21 $500 → $770 (+54%) 📜 AMEX:SPY $605 Call 2/18 $350 → $645 (+84%)
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois
2
[02/10] SPX – GEX Until the First Weekly ExpirationThe SPX opened with a huge gap-down in both the futures and CFD markets. After the previous two Fridays, there was a massive gap-down in the premarket each time. Everyone was expecting the same scenario again, but it seems the market quickly recovered from the put support at the 6000 level, and we are now steadily moving toward the positive GEX range. Although we are still in the transition zone (where it’s easy to switch between positive and negative GEX territory), we may soon reach the HVL level at 6060, which, if I had to guess, might be adjusted during today’s premarket update. The GEX levels align with the technical foundations: 🟢 6090–6100 to the upside is a bullish take-profit zone, and our purely positive GEX range is fairly narrow. If buying pressure is strong, above 6100 we could see a very strong positive gamma squeeze upward. 🔴 To the downside, “armageddon” could begin if the put support around 6010–6000, which held the sell-off this morning, fails to hold. The next target in a negative gamma squeeze could be 5950, followed by 5900. The transition range is quite wide, and the market is expecting a volatile week (though I believe that from now on it’ll expect volatility every day for the next four years...). The transition zone is sure to narrow by Friday. It’s worth paying attention to the premarket update around 6:45 AM, about three hours before the market opens! If the red zone extends very deep afterward (for example, if it’s red below the HVL level all the way to the put support at around 5950), it indicates a significant downside risk compared to any potential rally—which I don’t think will change unless we get a breakout above 6100. 🔶 So, be cautious with those bullish horns—below 6100, we can’t talk about a confirmed breakout to the upside.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
2
Monster Weekly Breakout?ASTS is forming a bullish pennant on the weekly chart, characterized by a pullback on declining volume after a strong impulse move. The stock recently made a high near $25 and is consolidating in a tightening range, indicating a potential continuation pattern. The declining volume during this pullback suggests sellers are weakening, while buyers are likely waiting for a breakout confirmation. Trade Plan: • Entry Trigger: A weekly close above $25 will confirm the breakout from the pennant and signal bullish continuation. • Price Target: First target at $30, aligning with the measured move projection from the initial leg of the rally. • Stop Loss: Below $23, to protect against a failed breakout and trend reversal.
NASDAQ:ASTSLong
by TheBullandBearLounge
[02/03] SPX Weekly GEX OutlookSPX shifted into a strong sideways trend after recent market whipsaws, but premarket today saw a sharp sell-off. Now, let’s break down the GEX levels set for Friday’s weekly expiration (first weekly expiry). These are already reflected in today’s GEX data—check them on your indicator! COMMENT: This week, we’ve started updating our seamless GEX & options indicators before the market opens . This has been a long-standing request from users—especially 0DTE traders, who will likely benefit the most. Key GEX Levels for SPX 📍 Highest Positive Call Wall (Call Resistance): 6075 Acted as resistance last Friday, as it often does initially. 📍 Sideways Zone: 6000-6070 (Transition Zone with GAMMA flip) Wide Transition Zone → Expect high volatility or slow drifting within this range. Easy flow between positive and negative GEX profiles, meaning potential sharp moves in either direction. 📍 Put Support (Sum 4DTE): 5900 Very deep support—market is clearly pricing in fear of a potential future drop. 📌Below 6000, there are only negative NetGEX strikes down to 5900, which signals a lack of strong support until that level. What This Means for the Week 📊 SPX opened (gapped down) in negative GEX territory—if buyers don’t reclaim this zone, we are in for a highly volatile week, potentially with a spiking VIX. 🚫 No reason for bullish optimism unless we break above 6070—until then, expect uncertainty and potential downside pressure. PS: FINAL GEX ZONE COLORING SHEET
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
Nifty's Battle Between Bears and Bulls & S&P 500 resistance test#Nifty50 wrapped up the week at 23,560, marking a 80-point increase from the previous week's close. It reached a high of 23,807 and a low of 23,222. As predicted last week, Nifty traded within the range of 24,000-22,950, and looking ahead, I anticipate the index will continue moving within the range of 24,000-23,050 next week. Currently, the monthly and weekly timeframes are both bearish, while the daily timeframe shows a slight bullish bias. This indicates that the bears remain in control, and they will likely seize every bounce as an opportunity to initiate short positions. I still believe that the 22,400/22,500 level is critical, as it presents an opportunity for the bulls to establish a base and potentially push Nifty higher. The BJP's victory in the Delhi assembly elections could have a positive impact on the market come Monday, offering a window to offload positions and create fresh shorts. My focus will remain on stocks that are either building a strong base or demonstrating resilience in this otherwise negative market environment. These hidden gems, or 'dark horses,' could emerge as the true winners in the near future. On the global front, the S&P 500 closed at 6,025, a mere 14 points down from the previous week's close, with a high of 6,101 and a low of 5,923. Over the past three weeks, the S&P 500 bulls have repeatedly attempted to break the strong resistance level at 6,100, but they’ve failed to maintain momentum above it. A decisive close above 6,100 is now critical for the rally to gain steam and target levels at 6,142, 6,225, and 6,376. If this resistance holds, the bears are ready to pounce, and we could see a test of support levels around 5,850—about 3% lower than the current level. It’s a crucial battle ahead, and while I’m rooting for the bulls, my focus is on the bears. Let’s see who comes out on top!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
Nifty50 Trade Setup – February ExpiryAnalyzing the 7th Feb settlement prices using my proprietary OptionSigma model, a key level emerges: 23,698.80. 📌 Bullish Scenario: A clean breakout above 23,698.80 signals strength—potential long opportunities in Nifty February Futures or Monthly Call options. 📌 Bearish Scenario: Failure to breach this level? Shorting is the only play—either via futures or buying put options. ⚡ Stay sharp. Watch the price action around this level for confirmation! #Nifty50 #OptionsTrading #IndexTrading #OptionSigma #FNO #TradingStrategy
NSE:NIFTY1!
by IndexAce
BBAI - Great Breakout, over 600% gain. Now its time for Puts!I would not short this with shares! Positive news about new or existing contracts and it will go towards 10$. Puts are safe with low cost and defined risk. They should give 600-1000% over the next week or two. More if the market tanks or PLTR dropping could take this with it as they move together somewhat. I always hedge and the Puts are paid for with some of the profits from calls and shares so no real money risk. This is not advice, sharing what I am doing is not a recommendation. Always use risk management. Good luck if you play.
NYSE:BBAIShort
by Brohma
6
[02/03] AAPL GEX Outlook for February expirationWhile iPhone sales faced some challenges, Apple’s diversified revenue streams and high-margin services business continue to showcase the company’s resilience. The stock initially reacted positively after earnings, but the broader market disagreed during open hours, leading to a sell-off on Friday. Now, let’s analyze the GEX chart together. For NASDAQ:AAPL , I’ve chosen the First Monthly Expiration (Febr 21), as multiple high gamma exposure expirations align with this date. Since we trade stocks and ETFs over a broader timeframe, rather than day trading, this is the most relevant perspective. Key GEX Levels & Market Implications 📌 Uncertainty Below 250 Friday’s sell-off and today’s premarket action have weakened the outlook. GAMMA FLIP ZONE: AAPL is currently in the 230-237.5 Transition Zone, meaning price action can shift quickly in either direction. 📌 Break Below 230? A move below 230 would open the door to 220. 📌 Put Support at 220 Implied volatility (IV) remains high, making this an attractive setup for a potential neutral post-earnings trade. With a 220-250 range, we remain well inside the OTM 16-delta zone for March expiration, which is ideal for premium selling strategies for high IV. PS: FINAL GEX ZONE COLORING SHEET
NASDAQ:AAPL
by TanukiTrade
$SPY Options | Trump Week TwoAMEX:SPY Fear and panic has spread in the market, but buyers ate it up by end of day (1/27). There is a gap from December 18th up to $603-$606. $603.44 is the key pivot for bulls and $591.54 for the bears. For our weekly options trades, we use 15 or 30 minute candle closes for confirmation and stop-loss. $603 CALL 2/11 Entry: Breakout/Hold Over $599.92 Targets🎯: $603.44, $606 $595 PUTS 2/11 Entry: Breakdown/Rejection Under $599.92 OR $603 Targets🎯: $595, $591.54
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois