Optionstrading
$WFC weekly chart going into tomorrow's earnings print Will the stock move to the $45.88 area or retest the $40.00 PL?
The consensus earnings estimate is $0.63 per share on revenue of $20.01 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 45% expecting an earnings beat.
Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 54.35% with revenue decreasing by 7.85%.
Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release.
Option traders are pricing in a 5.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.6% move in recent quarters.
$SPY weekly downtrend chart ahead of 1/12 CPI print$SPY weekly downtrend chart ahead of 1/12 CPI print
The only road above the $400.5 PL is to break the 50 week EMA and the only road above $402 breaks out of the year long downtrend creating a trend reversal.
I If CPI is inline with expectations, I can see us retesting the top of the downtrend and rejecting it.
However, if we're hotter that expected we'll likely take out the October CPI lows of $348.11(before the next print).
RUN hedged options strategyThere are lots of bullish arguments to make for solar stocks this year, including the Inflation Reduction Act and global demand, especially in Europe. California-based Sunrun designs, installs, sells and maintains residential solar panels directly to customers. Other business areas include battery storage, leasing energy services, and a "virtual power plant" with installed Sunrun panels actually exporting energy back to the grid. Relatively few homes have solar panels installed, but homeowners are increasingly interested in them and associated tax benefits, making growth potential in this area of the clean energy market quite high.
Technically-minded traders might also wonder if RUN stock will repeat its falling wedge pattern, and possibly even see a double bottom forming. On the other hand, with over $5 billion in debt (as of March 2021) and Fed interest rate hikes adversely affecting tech and growth stocks, is Sunrun the safest place to park money right now?
This hedged options strategy protects from a fall of up to 32% as of 8/18/23 and also makes up to 25% (44% annualized).
Buy 1 $20 call
Sell 1 $27.50 call
Sell 2 $15 put
Expiring Aug 18, 2023
Capital requirement: $2994
TSLA - CALLS to retest $122's - $123'sAfter confirming the $122 Support Rejection going into the end of the week/year for TSLA, we expected to at least re-test the $106-$108 Support Levels and found confirmation on the 1-Hr Timeframe.
With additional bull analysts starting to kick in, we believe it will take a little longer before the stock actually goes lower. Of course, we're monitoring and will wait for confirmation above the $122s again before closing or determining if we're creating a channel sideways between the $106s-$122s for a while until moving higher/lower.
(Didn't press send on this earlier around 12 CST)
Hedged Options Strategy on APAOil is one of the few sectors that analysts are still bullish on in 2023. Long arguments include catalysts such as China's re-opening, airlines recovering, and lowered supply leading to higher oil prices. APA Corporation, formerly known as Apache, operates in the US, Egypt and the UK and is one of the largest American explorers for oil and gas properties. It owns entire lines of production from gathering to transport with four pipelines running from the Permian to the Gulf Coast, as well as 2.3 billion barrels of oil reserves. Positive earnings reports exceeded expectations, and with a recent drop in stock price, this could be a good time to enter. Dividend stocks are popular in bearish times, and APA pays a consistent one, though not the highest at ~2.3%.
Elliot Wave traders will also note where APA is going in the pattern, though yesterday's doom-and-gloom market might make investors think twice about jumping in. For downside protection, this hedged options strategy could make up to 9% (17% annualized) in ~7 months while cushioning against a fall of up to 31% (to below $29.85) as of 7/21/23.
Buy 1 $42.50 call
Sell 1 $45 call
Sell 1 $30 put
7/21/23
Capital Required: $2985
TRADE PLAN 01/04/2023TP1> If we manage to Trade/Bid above MAIN POC 3841,
we can go for 3858 > 3880 > 3913 > 3924 > 3943 > 3965 > 3979 > 3995.
>To the upside, the level I'm looking it right now is the 3860, that's the POC of those last 11 days, we need to trade/bid above so we can try to break the LIS 3913/3915, where BULLS are losing the battle.
TP2> If we manage to Trade below MAIN POC 3841,
we can visit 3824 > 3800 > 3787 > 3766 > 3728.
>To the downside, the level I'm looking is 3824, as we are already trading below 3960 11 days POC, so once we confirm below 3824, we have to break lower to find strong sellers to push below 3800, where BEARS are losing the battle.
* We are trading in this 100 points RANGE from 3800 to 3900 levels for the last 11 days or about 2 weeks,
I would say that the market structure are balanced, looking for stronger BUYERS or SELLERS around the VALUE AREAS.
For now no direction in the markets, just range trades, we should break anytime soon out of this BOX and I would like to see the TP1 working tomorrow as I'm positive delta after this nasty $AAPL Drop.
$TSLA was also ugly today, -12.24%
#tradesafe #sizekills