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PM Philip Morris International Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on PM: nor sold the top: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PM Philip Morris International prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 92.50usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2025-1-17, for a premium of approximately $5.80. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:PMShort
by TopgOptions
📊 Earnings Edge: Diagonal Debit Dynamics - #2 Trade in 20242024 Trading Challenge Entry #2: Diary of an Option Trader 💡 Trade Overview: I noticed LLY soaring on the TradingView stock heatmap today. Observing the monthly chart of AMEX:XLE (healthcare sector), it has been mostly sideways for years. However, in the past two days, NYSE:LLY has demonstrated strong bullish movement with increasing volume, indicating a potential uptrend. I strategized to profit from a possible breakout or continued trend within an ascending triangle pattern. 📊 Option Strategy choice: Given the high IVR of 42 and an upcoming earnings report on February 6th before market, I anticipate further price rise. I pondered various strategies: Single leg call: Not preferable due to increasing breakeven with time. Naked put/credit vertical spread: Not ideal close to earnings, expecting IVR increase. OTM calendar: Avoided due to back month’s illiquidity. ATM calendar: Lower upper breakeven point was a concern. Noticing that IV was higher for the front-month compared to the back-month, likely due to the nearing earnings, I decided a diagonal put debit strategy was ideal to allow significant upside potential while benefiting from minor retracements as time progresses and speculating on an IVR increase. 📊 Diagonal put debit Position Legs: Chosen structure and execution details: Buy LLY Mar 15, 2024, 600.00 PUT at 27.48 (Quantity: 1) Sell LLY Feb 16, 2024, 610.00 PUT at 26.57 (Quantity: 1) Trade Details & Key Metrics: Symbol : LLY Date/Time : 2024-01-03 15:00 POP : 54% Required Buying Power ( Req.BP ): $1090 IVR : 44 Price : buying for $0.91 debit Front month leg : February 16 @610 x 1 PUT Back month leg : March 15 @600 x -1 PUT 📈 My Risk Tolerance: For the 2024 trading challenge (goal: FWB:12K to $30k), I’m limiting floating losses to 1.5% per position, thus not tolerating more than a $175 loss. This threshold is approximately around a 590 strike price. While I’m comfortable with a considerable upside range, the upper breakeven at front month expiration is around a 711 strike, increasing to 760 at 21 DTE. 🎯 My Profit Target: I’m aiming for about 2x the allowed loss, approximately around $300, but will consider taking profits if the price approaches the optimal equity curve point near a 650 strike. Realizing profits is always the more gratifying part of trading! ANYWAY: HIT THE 🚀 BUTTON ABOVE! This trade is part of my 2024 option trading challenge , where I aim to turn a 12k account above $30K 💰 (details in signature and my profile page) .
NYSE:LLYLong
by TanukiTrade
ASML Holding Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the regional top on ASML: nor entered the dip before the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ASML Holding prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 770usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-1-26, for a premium of approximately $15.85. And looking at the chart this would be probably the final leg of the Double Top. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NASDAQ:ASMLLong
by TopgOptions
💡 $357 profit with 72% PoP STRANGLE - #1 trade in my challangeTrade Overview: Initiated my first options trade for the annual challenge on January 2nd with an IWM strangle. Observing high IVR in the index, I capitalized on the recent VIX spike to enter the 45DTE 212/188 strangle for 3.57cr. Trade Management: Rolling Strategy: Will roll legs as needed before expiration if price diverges. Loss Management: With a FWB:12K account, I'm capping floating loss at $200. Closing Strategy: Targeting to close around 21DTE. Trade Details: Symbol: IWM Option Type: Strangle 45DTE Entry Date: January 2, 2024 Entry Price: 3.57cr Required BP: $1681 Max Profit: $357 (20% of capital) PoP: 72% Positions: IWM Feb 16, 2024 212.00 CALL - Sell | Price: 1.76 | Qty: 1 | R. PnL: 0 | Commission: 1.251 | Fees: 0 IWM Feb 16, 2024 188.00 PUT - Sell | Price: 1.81 | Qty: 1 | R. PnL: 0 | Commission: 1.2511 | Fees: 0 Key Metrics: Tasty IVR: 42 (High) Breakevens: 184/215
AMEX:IWM
by TanukiTrade