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Rolling (Margin): XOP Dec 16th 127C/147P to Jan 20th 130C/147P... for a 3.67 credit. Comments: Rolling for a realized gain with this down move. There was no 127 strike, so rolled the short call to the 130 and the short put "as is." Total credits collected of 28.47 on a 17 wide inverted. Resulting delta/theta -38.14/15.30 with 13.43 of extrinsic, so I'm indicating here that it's a "short" position. Still looking at this for tax loss harvest, but wanted to give it an additional chance running into year's end to make something of itself.
AMEX:XOPShort
by NaughtyPines
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 22/Nov/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. NIFTY Nifty is trying to fill-up left out gap. Put side long buildup & short covering indicates the little weakness in Nifty. Call writing continued in all types of options. PCR shifted in oversold zone. India VIX started increasing but still at lower/comfortable level which indicates that Bulls are looking ready to buy any decent dip. Overall bias is slightly negative. Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference: NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 21/NOV/2022 NIFTY IS DOWN BY -148 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Nifty 18160 18308 -147.70 -0.81% India VIX 14.80 14.39 0.41 2.83% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 24/NOV/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 18300 (Open Interest: 12104450, CE LTP: 37.5) Max OI (Puts) 18000 (Open Interest: 6988150, PE LTP: 20.7) PCR 0.64 (PCR is in oversold zone) Nifty Calls: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Nifty Puts: ATM: Long Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Covering, FAR OTM:Long Liquidation
NSE:NIFTY
by manishmgupta
4
Bank Nifty Levels & Strategy for 02/Nov/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. BANK NIFTY Bank Nifty closed flat & slightly in red. Profit booking at higher level is quite obvious. However, bulls continued to dominate. Today, max OI in call as well as put is at 41500 level. It looks like tomorrow, Bank Nifty is likely to remain sideways ahead of US FED hike & RBI's meeting/hike. US market indices are trading in red ahead of major event. Overall, market breadth is quite positive. Is tomorrow's trading session, going to offer good opportunity to option writers????? Please find below scorecard and quick update about F&O positions, PCR & India VIX . BANK NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 01/NOV/2022 BANK NIFTY IS DOWN BY -18 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Bank Nifty 41290 41308 -18.35 -0.04% India VIX 16.13 15.80 0.33 2.07% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 03/NOV/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 41500 (Open Interest: 4543275, CE LTP: 195.1) Max OI (Puts) 41500 (Open Interest: 2162625, PE LTP: 375) PCR 0.72 (PCR is in bearish zone) Bank Nifty Calls: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Liquidation, FAR OTM:Short Buildup Bank Nifty Puts: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Long Liquidation, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by manishmgupta
Bank Nifty Levels & Strategy for 01/Nov/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. BANK NIFTY Bank Nifty sustained at higher level after initial gap up & mild profit booking. Today, retailed traders were rewarded due to their overnight highly bullish stance. Retailed traders have now taken highly bearish stance for tomorrow's trade which is exactly opposite to what big players have done today. FIIs continued with heavy buying in cash as well as F&O. Is Bank Nifty heading towards it's new lifetime high????? Is Bank Nifty going to sustain at higher levels in coming days????? Please do share your thoughts. Overall, market breadth is positive and it looks like any decent dip due to FOMC meeting/RBI's meeting in first week of Nov is going to be a buying opportunity. Please find below scorecard and quick update about F&O positions, PCR & India VIX. BANK NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 31/OCT/2022 BANK NIFTY IS UP BY 317 POINTS Name Price Previous Day Change % Change Bank Nifty 41308 40991 317.05 0.77% India VIX 15.80 15.92 -0.12 -0.75% OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 03/NOV/2022 EXPIRY DATA Max OI (Calls) 41500 (Open Interest: 2743200, CE LTP: 247.6) Max OI (Puts) 41000 (Open Interest: 1977000, PE LTP: 203) PCR 0.9 (PCR is in bearish zone) Bank Nifty Calls: ATM: Long Buildup, OTM:Short covering, ITM:Short covering, FAR OTM:Long Buildup Bank Nifty Puts: ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by manishmgupta
TLT -- When I'm Going to Thinking About Going Long 20 Year+The short answer is: at pre-Great Recession levels when the yield on the 10-year T note was at 5.0% or above. Current forecasts for the terminal Fed funds rate are for 4.75-5.00 in February of 2023, which could push the 20 year+ paper exchange-traded fund back to near 2006-2007 levels between 80.50 and 82.05. (See, $TNX, June '06 high, 5.245, correspondent with a TLT 82.56 low; June '07 high, 5.316, correspondent with a TLT 82.20 low). If current bets as to the terminal rate are correct, we should fall short of the 2006 and 2007 levels, but could nevertheless be pretty darn close. And since current bets are that the Fed Funds rate doesn't come off 4.75-5.00 until much later in the year (the current forecast, is, ugh, November of 2023), this would conceivably require a good amount of time to work out. As we've seen, however, things can change. A few months ago, bets weren't being made on a terminal rate quite this high and that a potential cut would come far sooner in 2023. But, here we are. Inflation could either remain "sticky," or come down rapidly in response to what the Fed has done so far, in which case, we never see the low 80s in 20 year+ maturity paper. Naturally, if we do get there, I'll look to dip my toe in, whether it be with short puts (which would be a quasi-acquisitional play, most likely in my IRA) or something more directional, like a long call diagonal or a zebra/call ratio backspread ... .
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): SPY October 14th 352/December 16th 409 LPD*... for a 43.10 debit. Comments: Short delta hedge against a long delta portfolio; buying the back expiry 90 delta, and selling the front expiry 30. 43.10 cost basis on a 57 wide with a 365.90 break even, a 13.90 ($1390) max, and a 6.95 50% max. Will look to take profit at 50% max, which would be for a 50.05 credit and/or roll out the short put to reduce cost basis if the setup doesn't hit take profit by the time the short put runs out of road. * -- Long put diagonal.
AMEX:SPYShort
by NaughtyPines
4
Opening (Margin): SPY November 18th 320/338/388/406 Iron Condor... for a 6.13 credit. Comments: Putzing a bit with these so-called "synthetic short strangles" ... . Selling the 25's on both sides and erecting long wings out from there. I had to go oddball width with the wings (18.00) to keep the setup symmetrical, since there's only 5-wides on the put side. 6.13 credit on buying power effect of 11.87; 51.6% ROC as a function of buying power effect at max; 25.8% at 50% max. As with my QQQ setup (See Post Below), will look to roll the pairs of sides (long put/short call, long call, short put) for a realized gain and to delta balance.
AMEX:SPY
by NaughtyPines
BANK NIFTY for date 22 sept BANK NIFTY is on its way to complete b wave according to eliott wave theory. and its next way is towards c wave which is boom in the downside direction I have shown the expected downside targets of bank nifty on 15 min time frame Remember c wave of correction is visible in 15 min,30 min,45 min,1hr,2hr,3hr time frames You can imagine the validity of this correction since it is visible in multiple time frames My anticipated targets according to fibonacci retracement levels are- 1)40350- According to 100% retracement level 2)39562- According to 161% retracement levels so we can conclude that yet we have a long at least 1500 points downside rally to ride since buying put is an better idea but go for 2week contracts at the least , as weekly contracts cannot absorb the high range volatility in coming week other most important reason to trust this correction is because 23rd sept is a gann date GOOD LUCK TRADERS !!! HAVE A GREAT PROFITABLE DAYS AHEAD
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by DhirajGole8844
1
Opening (Margin): /ES November 18th 2400 Short Put... for a 3.10 credit (arrow indicated). Comments: Would prefer to do this on weakness plus an uptick in implied volatility, but I'm not getting any younger here. 1.55 max on buying power effect of 13.90, targeting the <75% of current price strike paying around 3.00/1.50 (due to 50x multiplier); 11.2% ROC at max as a function of buying power effect; 5.6% ROC at 50% max. At its core, a bet that that we don't see 2400 by opex. I've gone ahead and shown all my open /ES positions here, since part of the calculus in making the decision to take a rung off at less than max is its risk relative to other strikes I have on. For example, the nearest to at-the-money strike is currently the September 30th 3210, so I've got my eye on potentially taking that rung of before everything else since it's closer to at-the-money.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by NaughtyPines
Nifty Levels for 24/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please consult your financial advisor before trading. NIFTY Nifty is up by 87 points. Nifty closed above 20 EMA , VWAP level near day’s high. We had a highly volatile day. PCR shifted down from 0.60 to 0.83 which is still in bearish zone. Highest open interest on call side at 18000 (Same as yesterday) Highest open interest on put side at 17500 (Shifted up from 17000) FIIs, DIIs & OTHER PARTICIPANTS DERIVATIVE DATA ANALYSIS: FIIs ( Bullish ): FII bought in cash market for 563 crores and bought in derivative market contract for 6510 crores (please do continue to read about whether they bought long positions or short positions). FIIs reduced their index & stock future long contracts & added short positions in index & stock future contracts. FIIs took long positions in index call as put contracts & reduced stock call & put contracts. DIIs (Mild Bullish ): DII sold in cash for -215.2 Crores. DIIs have slightly added new positions in Index & stock future contracts. Heavily reduced positions in options contracts. PRO ( Bearish ): Pro traders have added short index & stock future contracts. Reduced option contracts in index & stock call contracts. Added option contacts in index & stock put contracts. CLIENT ( Bearish ): Retail/ HNI added index & stock future contracts. Significantly reduced their index & stock call option contracts. Added index put contacts & reduced stock put long & short contracts. Shall we continue to expect high volatility in next few days? Shall we look for buy on dips or sell on rise opportunities? Please do share your comments. Have a happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NSE:NIFTY
by manishmgupta