$VET nice VCP with bullish sweepsNice technical set up and bullish PUT sweeps at the bid to support, interesting one trader opened 12/16 22.5 puts for about 310K in premium.... stock is trading at 21.95 implying strong upside move .
For the more conservative, can wait for pennant / triangle breakout to go long / short, depending on direction.
My bias is to the upside and am long here with a stop being close outside of triangle with confirmation.
Almost forgot, that MACD is looking juicy as well : )
Optionstrategies
Opening: XBI May 20th 76/105 Short Strangle... for a 2.35 credit.
Comments: And here's my "clean" XBI setup after having scratched out my previous position. High IVR/high IV at 61/41. Selling around the 16 delta on both sides. 2.35 on buying power of 9.05 (on margin); 26.0% ROC as a function of buying power effect; 13.0% at 50% max.
$XBI Monthly approaching buy zoneStarted XBI LEAPS position buying JAN 24 $150 Calls, will continue to add as XBI Biotech has taken a beating, but technically has just found it's way back to the long term upward trendline support zone.
First price target 120, followed by 140 after expecting a bit more downside here.
This is a long term trade idea, for those looking in the short term, there may still be more downside although the R/R favors the long position now IMO.
Opened: ARKK May 20th 49.22 Short Put... for a 2.14 credit.
Comments: Total credits collected of 28.00 on a 25.22-wide inverted with a put side break even of 74.22. Ordinarily, I would have rolled out the shorter dated March 18th 59.22 at 50% max, but I sold it for 1.83 and it finished the day at 2.03 with 15 days to go, so will just look to take it off on approaching worthless if I get an opportunity to do so.
Rolling: ARKK April 14th 80C/103P to May 20th 77P/102.22C... for a .93 credit.
Comments: There isn't much extrinsic left in the deep in-the-money short put, so rolling it out to May to collect additional credit and reduce cost basis further. Total credits collected of 25.86 on what is now a 24.22 inverted with a break even of 76.36 relative to where the underlying is currently trading at 65.37.
I'll continue to scalp around this position to reduce cost basis further, but have been working it for several cycles already, so it's more about mitigating loss at this point than attempting to make money on the position (although you never know).
Closing: KWEB March 18th 27 Short Put... for a .12 debit.
Comments: Added this for a .63 credit to my inverted 35C/39P short strangle to rapidify cost basis reduction and improve my break evens. (See Post Below). Since price is back between my short strikes and the short put is approaching worthless, I'm taking it off here. Total credits collected of 6.77 with break evens of 32.23 on the put side, 41.77 on the call.
Opening (IRA): QQQ May 20th 260 Short Put... for a 2.65 credit.
Comments: Part of a longer-dated strategy to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market utilizing options in IWM, QQQ, and SPY. Here, targeting the strike in May paying at least 1% of the strike price in credit. (I already have "rungs" in March and April). Will generally roll at 50% max.
Closed: BITO January 21st 25/44 Short Strangle... for an .80 debit.
Comments: Filed this for a 1.60 credit (See Post Below; out here via good-until-cancelled order to take profit at 50% max. .80/$80 profit. 3.3% ROC as a function of buying power effect.
Although implied volatility has contracted a bit, will consider re-upping in the February cycle after New Year's, assuming the strikes above 40 get populated. Currently, the February 18th 40 short call is the highest available strike, with a delta of .29.
Closing (Margin): TLT June 17th 2 x 171/153 Back Ratio Spread... for a 39.10 credit.
Comments: Opened this puppy up for a 36.45 debit on TLT strength. (See Post Below). Taking some risk off by taking profit here a little shy of my profit target, as I've got another short TLT setup on already (a March 18th 151/2 x 163 back ratio). 2.65 ($265) profit; 7.3% ROC.
Rolling (IRA): SPY February 18th 335 to 362... for a 1.21 credit.
Comments: Adjusting a rung of my longer-dated premium-selling strategy in SPY* to lock in realized gains and take advantage of this higher volatility environment. I've collected a total of 18.03 (See Post Below) + 1.21 or 19.24 with rolls with this contract relative to a current short put value of 3.66, so have realized gains of 19.24 - 3.66 or 15.58 ($1558) so far.
Will generally look to roll at 50% max.
* -- The basic strategy is to sell the shortest duration premium in SPY at 16 delta or less that is paying at least 1% of the strike price in credit and to roll intraexpiry (as I did here) or from month to month at 50% max (i.e., when the short put reaches 50% profit).
$UPST Trade Idea $UPST had a bad report for earnings gapping it down. Saw some big selling going on today with buyers stepping in for tons of bearish flow. I will look for more continuation on this to the downside tomorrow.
Ticker: $UPST
Entry: 229.50
Targets: 225.25, 218.50, 210.50, and 200
Stop Loss: 15%
Will update in PM.
Rolling: KWEB December 17th to January 19th 43 Short Put... for a .56/contract credit.
Comments: Rolling out at >50% max here for a realized gain and a credit and without taking on additional risk. I originally filled this a 1.04/contract credit (See Post Below), so have collected a total of 1.56 relative to a short put value of 1.04 (i.e., realized gains of 1.56 -1.04 = .54/$54).
Implied remains relatively decent here at a 30-day of 45.4%. If it had dropped below 35%, I'd probably just take profit and move on.
Opening (Margin): TLT January 21st 2 x 160/149 Backratio Spread... for a 20.34 debit.
Comments: Buying 2 x the 82 delta strike and selling the at-the-money 49 delta strike for a setup with a net delta of -115, so this is going to move a lot like short stock. Going with the January expiry to give it more time to work out if it needs it, but will look to take profit at 110% of what I put the trade on for.
Rolling (IRA): MJ November 19th 16 Short Calls to January... for a .33/contract credit.
Comments: Rolling the short call aspect of my MJ 16 Covered Calls to January here. My cost basis is now 15.05/share minus .33 or 14.72/share, so I can conceivably contemplate rolling the short calls down to the 15 strike, since that would still be above my cost basis.
$ROKU Looking TastyHolding good support at Demand zone with a nice green candle today. Run up to earnings and historically they beat.
I think this runs to first target AVWAP and volume shelf $360 zone. Watching for a close confirmation above 21 EMA before entering.
For an option trade with less risk, an idea would be to sell the .34 Delta 12/17 300P and buy the 295P (or 300/295P spread) for credit of $1.95 , max loss $305 .