BEARISH Indicators for Big drop $EVHBig correction in #EVH you will see some great option put plays from me.
Optionstrategy
GSX short put vertical for high creditSmooth RSI is extreme oversold, and the IVR is ultra high.
Obvious bounceback play.
Max profit: $240
Probability of Profit: 57%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 47%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$200
Req. Buy Power: $510 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 88 (ultra high)
Expiry: 35 days
Buy 3 GSX May21' 17.5 Put
Sell 3 GSX May21' 20 Put
Credit Put spread for 0.8cr each, because IVR is extreme high.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 200$. Probability of loss in this way: ~25% .
Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.28db. Probability of profit this way: ~75%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
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SOYBEAN upward move play with Teucrium Soybean $SOYB trust fund
(1) Futures Technical Analysis
Bullish triangle with RSI breakout.
Enought space for bullish move.
s3.tradingview.com
(2) SOYB trust fund
I've skipped the futures instrument, because I'm not like options on futures.
My choice for Soybean play is $SOYB with relative high IVR value.
Optimal for Short Put Vertical strategy, similar TA here, with RSI pullback.
s3.tradingview.com
(3) Clear uptrend
Higher Lows Higher Highs.
s3.tradingview.com
CONCLUSION:
Max profit: $685
Probability of Profit: 55%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 47%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$200
Req. Buy Power: $1320 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 66 (ultra high)
Expiry: 35 days
Buy 10 SOYB May21' 20 Put
Sell 10 SOYB May21' 22 Put
Credit Put spread for 0.685cr each, because IVR is relative high.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 200$. Probability of loss in this way: ~25% . No stress above $21.1 level.
Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.27db. Probability of profit this way: ~75%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
$TSLA bulltrend continues? Long call vertical spread!TESLA smooth RSI confirms the breakout, well defined loss level.
Max profit: $165
Probability of Profit: 60%
Profit Target relative to my CAP: 46%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$100
Req. Buy Power: $355 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 16 (relative low)
Expiry: 51 days
Buy 1 TSLA May21' 595 Call
Sell 1 TSLA May21' 600 Call
Debit Call spread for 3.35db, because IVR is relative low.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 100$. Probability of loss in this way: ~20% .
Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 4.2cr. Probability of profit this way: ~80%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
FUNKO LONG CALL VERTICAL: high PoP (66%) and good ROI (30%)Look at that volume in uptrend!
Max profit: ......................................................... $113
Probability of Profit: .............................................66%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: ......30%
Max loss with my risk management: ...................~ $100
Buy Power: $387 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 13 (relative low)
Expiry: 58 days
Buy 1 FNKO May21' 10 Call
Sell 1 FNKO May21' 15 Call
Debit Call spread for 3.87db, because IVR is relative low.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 100$. Probability of loss in this way: ~15% .
Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 4.55cr. Probability of profit this way: ~85%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
[FUBO] Iron Condor - the FuboTV Inc EVENT play
Another lazy trade for today, just an event play.
Very risky to holding neutral positions in uptrend, so literally just for a few days on table.
Event plays are usually a "trade and pray" strategy, so I'm not preferring (TastyTrader Bob and Tom like it, but I've sucked many times width them)
In current case I've decided to take the risk.
(1) MurreyMath distances
More than 5 MurreyMath fraction distance (5/8) for break even border, current price almost the middle of it.
I'm judged to secure area 2.5 fraction up, 2.5 fraction down.
(2) Nearest pivot points detecting danger area
Secure level upside is $54, downside: $30.
Inside this I can sleep well. Outside this I'm looking for any kind of minimal profitable exit point.
CONCLUSION: Iron Condor for today event
Buy 1 FUBO April16' 20 put Sell 1 FUBO April16' 25 put
Sell 1 FUBO April16' 60 call Buy 1 FUBO April16' 65 call
Expiry: 45 days
Take profit: after event at the first possible moment.
Risk management: I'm closing the trade immediately - if the daily bar closing outside my strikes - and I'm cutting my loss . (no matter what I'm believing)- usually I'm losing mutch less than my max profit in this case. Danger zone check every day.
AbbVie Inc - Long Call Vertical SpreadQuick trade for monday on $ABBV
Breakout formation
1) Swing Pivot
Last swing pivot breaked at 109$
2) RSI in the middle zone
Many space up and down too.
3) Squeeze indicator
On my squeeze indicator "prepare for storm" sign.
This in dicator I'm using for predicting any significant move in near future.
See examples in the past.
CONCLUSION
LONG CALL VERTICAL AbbView Inc
Max profit: 120$
Probability of Profit: 64%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 31%
Buy Power: $380 ( max loss without management)
Max loss with my risk management: ~ $140
Tasty IVR: 6.9
Expiry: 66days
Buy 1 ABBV May21' 100 Call
Sell 1 ABBV May21' 105 Call
Debit call spread for 3.8 debit
Stop/my risk management: Closing immediately if daily candle is closing below $103.8
Take profit strategy: I'm taking at the 55% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order. (at 3.85 credit)
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW, and follow my fresh ideas ( @mrAnonymCrypto on tradingview ).
NGD Cheap contracts with potential if gold continues to run Hey y'all, I have been looking at gold prices and if we can get back above $1960/oz we should keep running up to $2000+/Oz. If this happens have your eyes on NGD, I have options in this company for $3 strike may 21. They are extremely cheap and We could see 100% gain on these contracts or higher. Gold Is looking amazing for the 2021 year and multiple analysts have a 3000$/oz price target. When gold rose to $1960 on Monday NGD saw an 8% gain. Gold will rise when the USD goes down, and also when more inflation happens (current market). We could see Ngd run to $5 Possibly higher. Make sure you do more of your own research and please inform me as well. Look for future outlook releasing sometime this January for NGD as well.
I have added the gold chart into this analysis and it is the orange line.
Thanks,
Ben
DOCU: Reverse SignsTrade Idea:
- Buy the stock for long term investment
- Buy Call Oct 16 strike 230
DIA not as bad as SPY after todayBlog: www.dumbmoneytrader.com
YouTube: Dumb Money Trader
Thanks to all of my followers! I enjoy sharing my ideas with you.
AAPL 21-Jun-19 Short Iron CondorAAPL 21-Jun-19 Short Iron Condor
30-Day IV: 30.0 -2.2
IV Pct Rank: 73% Elevated
Long 1 Call: 200 Strike @ $0.43
Short 1 Call: 195 Strike @ $0.92
Long 1 Put: 160 Strike @ $1.12
Short 1 Put: 165 Strike @ $1.74
Credit: $1.11
AAPL 21-Jun-19 Open Interest Last 30 Days | Puts: 50% | Calls: 50%
Expiry Strategy: Sell Voltas 640 Call @ CMP 1.8EMA and recent gap down confirms trend turn to bearish note. Expect Oct expiry would below 640.
$XLK bullish credit spread for this #FridayHigh risk bullish credit spread on XLK . Solid gap down in tech this morning, but not showing signs of continuation bearish. This is one of the set-it and forget-it spreads as we will let it go all the way till exp.
Entry 74.33
Break even 74.72
Max profit 75
0.78:1 risk/reward
More info at wingtrades.com
AMD - Advanced Micro DevicesExtremely high IVR here in this little over-hyped stock, so I'm using a jade lizard. This trade helps sell some juiced IV, but caps your upside (even allows you to profit from the upside as well) in case the craziness continues.
-1 Oct18 29/34/36 Jade lizard for $2.24 cr.
Risk: 2x cr rec (downside risk); No risk to upside
Profit: 50% cr rec
0d exp bearish credit spread on $SPYVery high risk (0d exp) bearish credit spread on SPY . With SPY pushing a new LoD, I like the probability of a red, or extremely red close.
Entry 290.76
Break even 290.79
Max profit 290.5
0.76:1 risk/reward
$XLU bullish credit spread for this #FridayNew bullish credit spread on XLU . Opened and moved above the $53 mark this morning. Looking for a higher low and mid 52s to confirm as support early this week.
Entry 53.05
Break even 53.21
Max profit 53.50
0.78:1 risk/reward
XLI - IndustrialsXLI is popping up here for high IV, going to take advantage of it.
-1 Oct19 76/78 Strangle for $2.49 cr
Risk: 2x cr received
Profit: 50% of max profit
Breakevens: $73.51 and $80.49
XME - Mining & MetalsSome residual IV here from recent earnings of holdings in the ETF.
-1 Sep21 35/37 strangle for $1.72 cr.
Risk: 2x cr received or continue to roll put
Profit: 50% cr rec or if IV drops with too much time left to hold risk.
EWZ - BrazilThis is the subsequent roll from my last Brazil position.
-1 Oct19 31/41 strangle for $1.61.
Risk: 2x credit received
Profit: 50% cr received
B/Es are $29.39 and $42.61
TSLA - TeslaThis trade is definitely a longer term look. IV is spiking way out in time now in TSLA.
I was able to sell the Mar15 '19 90/130 put ratio for $1.00/contract.
My breakeven is around $49 (Current price is $321.83).
The initial capital requirement here is $1200, so this would be around a 8.3% ROC if margin stays about the same here. Worst case scenario, I'm a baghodler of TSLA shares at $49.
Markets are not efficient.
FXE - Euro/USD (Short)Short the Euro here via FXE. The chart of FXE is not exactly the same as /6E, but it is generally tracking it. I'm starting to build an Euro short here.
Bought Mar15 '19 111 puts for $2.13 db. Stop and targets are on chart.
MCD - McDonaldsMCD has sold off quite a bit here in the last few months and is hovering above this longer term support level. I decided to go with a asymmetrical set up using a call spread for this play.
+1 Dec21 155/170 call spread for $5.38 db.
Risk: Try to let price action stop me out at the project stop or manage near a 50% loser to keep the risk small.
Profit: Target hit (initially)
