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S&P500 Iron Condor 60% profit 76% PoP50, high IVR for #optionsI just can't resist the very high IVR for large ETFs, like SPY. My most common strategies these at corrections are the Iron Condors, neutral or negative delta. SAFETY ZONES: 200MA could act as support, ATH could act as resistance. Max profit: $375 Probability of 50%Profit: 76% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 60% Max loss with my risk management: ~$150 Req. Buy Power: $625 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 49 (ultra high for S&P500) Expiry: 56 days SETUP : IC for , because IVR ultra high, for 3.75cr * Sell 1 SPY Jan21' 420 Put * Buy 1 SPY Jan21' 430 Put * Buy 1 SPY Jan21' 480 Call * Sell 1 SPY Jan21' 490 Call SETUP: IC for SPY, because IVR ultra high. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~150$. Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 1.88db. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
AMEX:SPY
by TanukiTrade
$TMUS WeeklyLooks like a good entry for a long here as an idea on TMUS weekly. Over sold, at a good support zone, with 150EMA below for stop loss target. ER this week wouldn't be surprised if it sparks a pivot point here to at least get a bounce similar to Nike's (NKE) recent price action. I'm in DEC and JAN $120C Price target at least $130 for a head and shoulders pattern/relief bounce , or extreme bull case - continuation of the longer term uptrend to all time highs.
NASDAQ:TMUSLong
by FriscoTrades
$TXRH Unusual Option Activity Texas RoadhouseCaught some UOA flow for $TXRH - MAR 22 95C Current open interest is 9,487 I always study the charts when I see a big call / put buyer especially for a name that's not as common. Looks like a volume uptick from recent ER, at good volume shelf support zone and recaptured weekly 21 EMA .... bullish falling wedge pattern. Want to see this breakout or perhaps more consolidation first, but indicators curling up my bias is to the upside. I followed the whale, currently +33% with $97.5 zone first price target. Refer to Ford's recent price action for one of the best examples of multiple falling wedge breakouts.
NASDAQ:TXRHLong
by FriscoTrades
Fun Prediction for $BA - Must See!I decided to make my own prediction and draw in my own RSI, MACD, & 50 MA lines from today (9/14/21) through (2/25/22). The pink bells indicate past explosive bullish movement (ER run ups?) I have also created a fib extension from the last impulse wave Let me know what you guys think of my prediction! My Plan for 9/14/21 - 9/24/21 Entries: $214, 213.50 Exits: $218, 218.50, $220 Once any of my entries are triggered, I will hop in a $BA $217.5c 9/24/21 (3.30) -Gordy
NYSE:BALong
by ERGod
$EXPR - Don't miss this one!! EXPR is FINALLY ready for the next round!! Blowing through $5.50 resistance and exploding through its average daily range with insane volume today, I’m adding to existing longs on this severely undervalued retailer... Sitting at a $390M market cap even after this run, selling for .35 price to book, this company employs 10K people and has $1.56B in sales. Do you really think they’re going out of business??? 58% institutional ownership (+6.72% in 3mo) Sales Q/Q +86.20% EPS Q/Q +108.50%
ELong
by PaperGains
$HYZN - Another low priced meme stock with expensive DOTM callsOn the back of our early success with yesterday’s bullish call spread on $ATER up 10.53% today.. we’ve found another similar play.. a low priced meme stock getting huge volumes but not yet blown out with a RSI of only 65.. $HYZN was up 23% today on 8m shares traded, whilst not huge yet it could be.. and as usual with these low priced meme stocks option dealers are forced to price calls higher than puts (opposite of most stocks) to account for melt-up risk, so to take advantage of the right sided skew we buy a bullish call spread.. we’re looking at the OCT’15 $10/15 call spread for a debit of $1.15 and potential reward of $3.85 giving us a reward/risk of 3.34..
HLong
by Click-Capital
Nifty & Bank Nifty Levels: Thursday ExpiryGlobal markets look weak right now (8:35 Hrs India Time). Nifty has scaled all time high already and if global trend gains momentum and Indian markets starts following it up today, the downside could be brutal. On the upside, the resistance is seen at 17225 level and if it is surpassed, short covering would push the Nifty even higher. On the lower side, 16680 is the level where Support can be seen and in-between there is nothing. Hence downside is expected to be brutal. For Bank Nifty, resistance is seen at 37037 level while Support is at 36365.. (all the levels described above are as per Futures chart). Once these levels are breached, we can witness further push or slide. For real-time analysis or signals, stay tuned with a reliable tool.
NSE:NIFTY1!
by jellygill
GSX short put vertical for high creditSmooth RSI is extreme oversold, and the IVR is ultra high. Obvious bounceback play. Max profit: $240 Probability of Profit: 57% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 47% Max loss with my risk management: ~$200 Req. Buy Power: $510 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 88 (ultra high) Expiry: 35 days Buy 3 GSX May21' 17.5 Put Sell 3 GSX May21' 20 Put Credit Put spread for 0.8cr each, because IVR is extreme high. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 200$. Probability of loss in this way: ~25% . Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.28db. Probability of profit this way: ~75%. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
GLong
by TanukiTrade
Relationship Between the BTC Price and Options Expiration Dates Illustrated in this chart is the relationship between the BTC USD price and the options expiration dates. Please note that the options expiration dates typically occur on the last Friday of each month and are illustrated here by the blue vertical lines. The options expiration dates shown here are Dec 25, 2020, Jan 29, 2021, Feb 26, 2021, Mar 26, 2021, April 23, 2021, and May 28, 2021. After the options expiration dates on Dec 25, 2020, Jan 29, 2021, Feb 26, 2021, and Mar 26, 2021, the BTC price increased by 86.39%, 102.95%, 43.03%, and 29.59%, respectively, over 14, 25, 14, and 20 days, respectively. Importantly, the BTC USD price exhibited significant decreases in price of 31.66%, 26.29%, 18.97%, and 27.20% prior the options expiration dates of Jan 29, 2021, Feb 26, 2021, Mar 26, 2021, and April 23, 2021, respectively, which occurred over 21, 6, 12, and 10 days, respectively. As illustrated in the chart, the BTC USD price has increased significantly (65.49%, on average) after each of these options expiration dates and decreased significantly (26.03%, on average) leading up to each of these options expiration dates. Thus, there is potential for this trend to continue in late April to the end of May. Please note that this is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor. This is my opinion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Eightchains
207
SOYBEAN upward move play with Teucrium Soybean $SOYB trust fund (1) Futures Technical Analysis Bullish triangle with RSI breakout. Enought space for bullish move. s3.tradingview.com (2) SOYB trust fund I've skipped the futures instrument, because I'm not like options on futures. My choice for Soybean play is $SOYB with relative high IVR value. Optimal for Short Put Vertical strategy, similar TA here, with RSI pullback. s3.tradingview.com (3) Clear uptrend Higher Lows Higher Highs. s3.tradingview.com CONCLUSION: Max profit: $685 Probability of Profit: 55% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 47% Max loss with my risk management: ~$200 Req. Buy Power: $1320 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 66 (ultra high) Expiry: 35 days Buy 10 SOYB May21' 20 Put Sell 10 SOYB May21' 22 Put Credit Put spread for 0.685cr each, because IVR is relative high. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 200$. Probability of loss in this way: ~25% . No stress above $21.1 level. Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.27db. Probability of profit this way: ~75%. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
AMEX:SOYBLong
by TanukiTrade
[FUBO] Iron Condor - the FuboTV Inc EVENT play Another lazy trade for today, just an event play. Very risky to holding neutral positions in uptrend, so literally just for a few days on table. Event plays are usually a "trade and pray" strategy, so I'm not preferring (TastyTrader Bob and Tom like it, but I've sucked many times width them) In current case I've decided to take the risk. (1) MurreyMath distances More than 5 MurreyMath fraction distance (5/8) for break even border, current price almost the middle of it. I'm judged to secure area 2.5 fraction up, 2.5 fraction down. (2) Nearest pivot points detecting danger area Secure level upside is $54, downside: $30. Inside this I can sleep well. Outside this I'm looking for any kind of minimal profitable exit point. CONCLUSION: Iron Condor for today event Buy 1 FUBO April16' 20 put Sell 1 FUBO April16' 25 put Sell 1 FUBO April16' 60 call Buy 1 FUBO April16' 65 call Expiry: 45 days Take profit: after event at the first possible moment. Risk management: I'm closing the trade immediately - if the daily bar closing outside my strikes - and I'm cutting my loss . (no matter what I'm believing)- usually I'm losing mutch less than my max profit in this case. Danger zone check every day.
NYSE:FUBO
by TanukiTrade
2
BIDU IRON CONDOR with high Probality of ProfitHi everybody! After a very big break - MrAnonymCrypto back on board! The past year I'm spent for learning and developing my new trading system and indicator pack and full trading strategy system for option trading of the us stock market. I'm tired to waiting for any bitcoin daytrades and unregulated price moves: those instruments eated my life and time.  Ever since I’ve only been dealing with the stock market for up to an hour a day: my life has changed - in a positive direction.<3 Today I'm releasing the first live tradig publication of my indicator: the Iron Condor Hunter .  // If you are new in the option's world I'm recommending to learn options first via tastytrade youtube videos   // More about my Iron Condor Hunter script in advance:  This script is for neutral credit strategy trades. This script indicates the secure Iron Condor setups automatically on any liquid+volatile instrument, based and calculated with auto  Murrey Math level script and current price actions, and IVR. (MurreyMath is my other script, telling more later) If the script indicates new potential setup: you can see a blue background with the levels of the Iron Condor wings, automatically! You can check the success rate of the script for the past with same setup I've designed this indicator for 45-60 days expirations, (because you can exit automatically at 50% profit in 30 days, if the instrument stays inside your original range!) And now, let's look an today live example: BIDU ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~  REASONS ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ (1) Backtesting the indicator 17 Iron Condor detected in the past 10 years,  with 100% succes rate, with exact range detection at the beginning. Today I'm catched another signal, so I'm grabbing the opportunity! (2) The trading range & IVR Today Iron Condor Hunter script detected the 372-221 range for safe-play this setup. Because the most volatile expriation is the April 16th in the 45-60day range: I'm playing this for credit. The (tastytrade) IVR is high (above 80) -  this is very high Implied Volatility Rank - safe for credit play, the instument is liquid.  Good Defined Strikes: Sell 1 BIDU Apr16' 220 put Buy 1 BIDU Apr16' 210 put Sell 1 BIDU Apr16' 370 call Buy1 BIDU Apr16' 380 put (3) Divergence on my oscillator As you can see: the very obvious divergence is detected at the overbought levels. This and the formation meaning for me: some correction started. No kind of event ( divident ) coming in the next 60 days, so I'm not expecting more significant price movement. (4) Define safe zones At Iron condor setups I'm always define some "safe-zone" : for upside and downside too. Safe zones meaning for me: I can sleep peacefully until the price is moving between these edges. BUT! If the safe zone beaks: my eyes on the final strikes. Another seat beld is the 0.618 fib-retrace level, because if the price is falling straight down: at this level we are expecting some resistance. But in current case: the fib 0.618 level is inside our range. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ SUMMARY - MY TRADE SETUP ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Max profit:  $288 Max loss:  $712 IVR:  87 Probability of Profit:  68% Expiry:  50 days Strategy: 67.7% wide delta neutral Iron Condor for credit Risk management : I'm closing the trade immediately  - if the daily bar closing outside my strikes - and I'm cutting my loss. (no matter what I'm believing)- usually I'm losing mutch less than my max profit in this case. Profit management: I'm sending an order  at the 50% of max  profit, immediately after my position  successfully opened  Welcome any comments:  * whether about the options, my indicators in the future.  * in private, I will be happy to help you with any questions about the option for free.  * are you interesting in options, or only "when bitcoin moon"?
NASDAQ:BIDU
by TanukiTrade
6