Potential NASDAQ LONG Trading PlanAs expected, NASDAQ is currently on pull back before rallying up again retesting the highest pivot point of 10144.
Work Form Home policy has apparently given a significant positive impact of NASDAQ index as stocks like ADOBE has surged in terms of its revenue last week. I see nothing can stop these technologies bunch as it is immune to the recession as compared to brick and mortar business models.
Trading Plan:
i) LONG when it reaches pull back 1 at 9467.3 and pull back 2 at 9279.4 with the target Take Profit point at 10144.
Author:
S.I.D. Aizu
Optiontrading
Trading Edge 2020 Portoflio -Trade #1 - MJ - Under loved Pot ETFTrading Edge 2020 Portfolio trade #1
Ticker: MJ
Position:
- Looking at long dated call options (Jan 15th 2021)
- $15 strike (ITM, gives some degree of protection against theta decay)
- Cost (approximately $460/ contract, at current mid bid and ask, willing to go as high as $5.00)
- 0.72 Delta (ITM)
- Running 2x contracts (allows us to sell one on the way up, also makes a more meaningful position size)
Profit Target/ Exit:
- looking for mean reversion to allow us to sell half to have a riskless trade, this would require a move to around the $22.50 - $23.00 range
- Given the fact the position is a long-dated option, we will not run a technical stop, instead we will let the position run and check to see if it performers or not (i.e. no point running a 50% stop and getting stopped out, 1 month into a 12 month contract).
Rationale:
- Speculative counter trend play on MJ, given the overwhelming negative sentiment
- Simple position to manage, the long-dated nature means that we have 12 months for this ETF to regain it's legs, also means that if we get a market correction, we have the time to ride it out
- Despite the price action, MJ has been a high beta performer, if we are going through a 'melt up' phase, then MJ is likely to be swept up in the euphoria
- Both MACD and RSI signaling a possible bullish reversal (or even just a potential bear rally)
- Moving averages signaling a possible bounce is due, not necessarily a total trend reversal
- TradingEdge
Portfolio spreadsheet available to view here >>> docs.google.com
AMD Long Position (Naked Call)
AMD can offer a tremendous profit opportunity on the daily chart if you are patient and enter at the right time. The strategy I am using on it is buying long on any pull backs to its Fibonacci levels. These opportunities can offer 30%+ in price appreciation over a 60 day period in its current channel up from December 2018.
- AMD is currently in a nice channel up pattern and has been respecting this since about December 2018
- At market close 7-Day VWAP is trading about the 30-Day VWAP which is a positive sign of price appreciations
- Price is also trading above the 21-Day EMA which can indicate the stock is in an uptrend
- We can also see how price respect the retracement level and we just bounced of the upper trend line of the channel
- We can see a potential negative divergence on the MFI which could indicate we will go back and test the previous Fibonacci and lower trend line of the channel
- I will be looking for this scenario to play out in the next couple weeks or so.
- I will post any updates as they develop
Yours in Mastery,
Khalil
MCD - McDonaldsMCD has sold off quite a bit here in the last few months and is hovering above this longer term support level. I decided to go with a asymmetrical set up using a call spread for this play.
+1 Dec21 155/170 call spread for $5.38 db.
Risk: Try to let price action stop me out at the project stop or manage near a 50% loser to keep the risk small.
Profit: Target hit (initially)