Oracle: Tilting Downward…After a sharp rebound from the $152.02 support following the steep drop from the peak of the beige wave II, Oracle is once again tilting downward as expected. The next step should see the price fall below $152.02 to reach the projected low of the beige wave III. After a countermovement of wave IV, the broader downward movement as part of the beige five-wave decline should extend further, ultimately driving the stock to the low of the overarching blue wave (A). If Oracle instead breaks above the $198.31 resistance in the short term, the macro-level light green wave alt. will rise to a new high. However, this alternative scenario holds only a 34% probability. Primarily, we assume that wave was completed with the December peak.
Oracletrading
Oracle: Correction Started!Although ORCL is currently still trading above the $147.50 support level, we believe the green wave has reached its peak. This implies that the overall upward trend has concluded, and we anticipate a significant correction moving forward. This correction should unfold in five parts, with the beige wave I extending well below the $147.50 level. Afterward, we foresee a corrective counter-movement back above $147.50 during wave II before the price resumes its downward trajectory.
ORACLE: Sharp correction may turn into a 1 year buy.Oracle is having a sharp sell off during September, the strongest since September last year (2022), which formed the market bottom. It is almost oversold on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.957, MACD = -2.920, ADX = 37.867) with the price approaching the 1W MA50, which is untouched since November 7th 2022.
On this 1W chart we have market the time of a 1W MA200 breach that was followed soon after with a strong rebound. Our trading strategy is to enter a long term buy and hold on the 1W MA50 and if by any chance (unlikely) tests the 1W MA100, then unload the rest of longs there. This will be an ideal long term buy opportunity (TP = 130.00).
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