GBP Expecting Lower PricesThis is the Daily Timeframe.
KEEP IN MIND: This analysis is solely based upon Institutional Structure, nothing else.
When an impulse takes out a previous low, it creates a Break of Market Structure (BMS), showing signs of weakness. When a previous low has been violated, the swing high that was formed prior to the violation of the low turns into a Protected High (PH). This means that we expect the market to sustain bearishly and stay BELOW the Protected High.
GBP has kept breaking lows and creating new PH's whom none of them have yet been violated to the upside.
I expect GBP to keep moving lower. I am only bearish until we break a newly created PH to the UPSIDE , as this means that we might move higher. But as long as GBP keeps doing these moves we can expect GBP to weaken in the long run.
The Weekly timeframe is doing the exact same thing, and I expect GBP's price to go lower for the next months UNTIL we break a PH to the upside, showing signs of strength.
Orderblock
EURUSD down up!EUR USD is not ready to go up yet we still have some liquidity above the demand zone so I'm waiting for it to reach the demand zone and after I will be looking for a lower timeframe Break of structure.
If I don't see a break of structure I wait for the next order block but we will see and I will do an update if plans are changed
AUDUSD H4 - SELL TO BUYWe could look for a SELL if prices broke the immediate H4 swing low, then look for supply areas to get involved for SELLS into the demand area to potentially go higher.
If we expect a move towards Liquidity lows, we need the H4 demand to fail, before prices can head down lower.
GBPCAD H1 - LONGPrices broke structure, leaving behind 2 ranges to work with. The one above has a smaller range therefore, we could trade the immediate BOS if we see a structural shift onto demand area.
Otherwise, with the context of the entire market structure, we could wait for a deeper pullback > accumulation and the transfer of weak into strong hands for a valid buy.
USDCAD DAILY - SHORTUSDCAD Projections towards the downside. Prices broke the Swing Low that created the Ultimate High, showing us that it wants to go bearish.
We could sell into the immediate demand area created on the daily. Otherwise, wait for the demand to fail and trade the flip zone AKA Supply that cause demand to fail.
EURCAD Potential ShortLooking at EurCad we have an order block in confluence with a KL at 1.4400..
I will be looking for a nice break into and/or above the order block for a liquidity grab, then if PA presents an opportunity to go short then i will look to TP around 80 pips at the lower structure...
AUDUSD ANALYSIS I hope this should enlighten you more to know that we are now going to be printing some downtrends in currency AUDUSD, there was counter trendline analysis I made there and that should also help after completing the “M” formation we should see a little move to the upside and continue the downtrend, I’ll be glad seeing AUDUSD in $0.65-$0.60 levels
As you can see my OB a lot of buyer are placing their order at that price ranges.
Correct me if I’m wrong, Thank you!
USDJPY - Long setup around 113.300Hi everyone!
I see that price has come to a critical support area and i am looking to catch a long back up to the top of range, i feel that price is likely to test Asia lows.
ENTRY
BUY LIMIT @ 113.307
Stop Loss: 113.262 (Add Spread)
TP 1 (1R): 113.353 (Stop Loss → Break-Even / Scale-In)
TP 2 (3R): 113.444 (50%)
TP 3 (5R): 113.535 (20%)
TP 4 (10R): 113.762 (20%)
Is anyone else considering this?
NZDUSD - Buy to Sell ModelHi everyone!
Today i'm looking at a sell on the NZDUSD to round of the week, this entry is based on the volume profile and POI on the 5m and 15m Timeframe. I will be waiting for a break of orderflow before entering.
ENTRY 1
BUY LIMIT @ 0.67884
Stop Loss: 0.67867(Add Spread)
TP 1 (1R): 0.67902 (Stop Loss → Break-Even / Scale-In)
TP 2 (3R): 0.67938 (50%)
TP 3 (5R): 0.67974 (20%)
TP 4 (10R): 0.68063 (20%)
ENTRY 2
BUY LIMIT @ 0.68129
Stop Loss: 0.68162 (Add Spread)
TP 1 (1R): 0.68097 (Stop Loss → Break-Even / Scale-In)
TP 2 (3R): 0.68032 (50%)
TP 3 (5R): 0.67967 (20%)
TP 4 (10R): 0.67804 (20%)
Is anyone else looking at this?
$BTC - Pullback to Discount Level, Then Bullish *Smart Money**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.
Bitcoin is pulling up to possibly reach above the current small liquidity high resting near $50,850. I can see it pushing up a little harder to take out people thinking this is a "Resistance" level but then going to the median bearish order block of $51,3385 before getting pushed back down into the 1-hour fair value gap which is an imbalance that needs to be filled. Or it could simply touch the bottom of the 1 hour fari value gao from the "great fall" last week, and turn bearish and into the newly created 1 hour fair value gap, which is an imbalance it would most likely pursue and fill. At the bottom of this imbalance is the 61.8% (Discount level) of the fib if you place it at the recent current low to the current recent high. This area is also near the 4-hour Fair Value Gap bottom. So all of these confluences make sense as to where it would go before moving bullish. So I have the entry price as $49,160.
Now the target is above the current high and it's the next tiny 1-hour order block at around $52,645.So to be safe I put my target at $52,640.
See Chart
I'm giving it until the end of the week to make this happen so we have a nice green weekly candle.
If there are any Smart Money / ICT students out there that have any critiques or suggestions, please let me know what you think. Agina, this is not the retail way of thinking, if you tell me a Trend line and a triangle is going to somehow magically make the price do something, I would point you toward what the chart usually does and that is attack liquidity and balance. And I believe this idea has both.
Cheers and happy trading.
P.S. I'm still holding my trade from "The great fall" from last week. I knew it would come up but I'm just hoping it comes up quicker because my time decay is killing me on my futures call. COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD KUCOIN:BTCUSDT PHEMEX:BTCUSDT BYBIT:BTCUSDT OKEX:BTCUSDT FTX:BTCUSD