$EURUSD - Breaking Sell Side Liquidity to long 2020 Bullish OB ***Smart Money Theory - Nothing that I have learned in retail trading has brought m profits, So I use Smart Money Technique or Institutional Trading. Currently, with EUR/USD it Appears that the Price Action is slowly making its way back toward levels from 2020. It has hit an Order Block on a daily time frame (Wick) and I believe it will drop below the Asian range (Around 1,14385) to take out the sell-side liquidity, Possibly even spike down to the hit the body of the Daily bullish Order Block (around 1.14280) before turning around and making a reversal. I see the bullish bias Already because it has broken the market structure at 1,14560 taking out short-term highs. Once The New York Session may give it the charging it needs to break up and over the equal highs near 1.14775 and possibly to the end of the 4th varition of the Asian range which also fits near the Median of the old 2020 daily fair value gap. See chart for historical references.
I would be s little more careful on the stop loss with 30 pips and not 15 pips but have multiple take-profit zones along the way. The last without leaving 5 % on after going long near (now) 1.14360, highest aim would be 1,4885. Taking profit along the way at 1.14565, 1.1.4680, 1.14770 and lastly 1.14900
Orderblock
CADCHF 30M - LONGPrices taps into a weekly POI, gave us a shift in structure on the H8 timeframe establishing a new trading range for us to work with.
Now, we can get involved with the H8 timeframe's trading range instead of working the entire weekly range which is too huge. Wait for confirmations onto demand areas to get involved in BUYS.
XAUUSD H4 - LONGPrices left behind a 2 demand areas for us to get involved.
No, we do NOT place a buy limit order just like this. Instead, we wait for confirmations and a new range to appear, before looking for buy opportunities.
What do I mean by creating a new range? If we start to see a HTF Break of structure, like the H1 or the H4, we can trade them using the 5m-15m confirmations.
BITCOIN AT A FACTUAL TREND SUPPORT LEVEL Bitcoin finds temporary support at the R/S trendline on the weekly/daily timeframes. Bitcoin is likely to find its permanent support at the trendline as its a major level. However, we might get a wick down to the weekly low but price needs to be above the weekly low for overall bullish trend.
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CADJPY Long Entry IdeaPer myfxbook, retail is 68% short on CADJPY, making me short to mid term bullish. There are also more short term inefficiencies in CADJPY to the long side than the short side. Price has formed support right above the 50% mark of a 1D bullish imbalance, making me even more bullish. Looking for entry at the 50% mark of the 1D, and an ultimate TP at a major 1h imbalance. Plenty of places to trim along the way. Notice how the orderblocks and imbalances I marked up either start at, or have 50% levels around whole 25 pip values (quarters theory)
EURUSD Shorts EURUSD has just Liquidated previous lows. Usually when this happens, we should see a test of this area before moving lower. Right now, EURUSD is testing a LTF Bullish OB which should make EURUSD go up to our Short entry.
I see price reaching the SSL and to fill the Daily FVG Imbalance below. I dont see price reaching up any higher than the highest high it took out (marked with "x") before dropping.
USDCAD Is Heading Lower In Wave (v) of CUSDCAD decline from wave B high is taking the shape of Elliott Wave five-wave impulse pattern.
The corrective sequence within the impulsive decline follows the EW alternation guideline. Wave (ii) was a sharp correction that retraced 61.8% of wave (i) and wave (iv) is a complex correction and has retraced 38.2% of wave (iii).
Price is expected to head lower in wave (v) to complete the five-wave sequence in wave C.
Other Confluences:
- Price is retesting daily bearish order block (supply zone)
- Price is rejecting daily 50 EMA as dynamic support (not shown on chart)
- Doji at the supply zone
What's your view on USDCAD? Let me know in the comment.
Thanks.
Simplifying Order FlowThis chart analysis shows you the power of order flow using two main things:
OB - Order Blocks
BOS - Break of Structure
If you can determine a trend utilising impulse and correction, you can almost always ride the wave by scaling in positions using this method.
First, determine your trend and then wait for a break of structure of a low/high.
In this example, we are in a bearish market so we are anticipating a break of a low before we can draw up our order block.
Once we get a break we can mark the OB that created the break and then wait for demand at a later date for sells.
IF the price gets too far away from the OB and looks like it isn't going to return to that point, we can move on to the next BOS and OB.
Note: This does not always mean that price won't return but we can still capitalise on the short term moves.
I have left an example of what could potentially happen next, although I am doubtful because the trend looks like it is coming to an end.
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