Orderblock
NZDUSD (4H) Backtest : 46% win rate across 26 trades => 10.2 RBacktest results : prnt.sc
Icons on the chart
Thumbs up : Trade was a win
Thumbs down : Trade was a loss
Circle with a cross : Trade was breakeven
Cross : Did not take the trade due to presence of liquidity (equal highs) behind the stop loss
Variables
Avg winner = 1.6R
Strategy : wait for market structure break, then trade the retest of that zone. Zone is drawn using the first candle which crossed the pivot high/low to trap the traders.
$EURUSD - JUDAS SWING - Low of the week hit. (Idea)I personally called a buy to myself earlier this morning because I'm anticipating prices to get to 1.184-1.185 ish before we start to see a down trend. Here's The trade I personally called. I had a limit set and it hit in London and I woke up in profit so my natural instinct is that we would have a buying bias going into today anticipating that high for the week.
Then I saw another buy opportunity and took that.
And as you can see, that didn't work out
So like any normal trader I waited to see what was actually going on. And I still have my chart marked up with all of the order blocks and I couldn't have been more surprised to see that it hit the same order block from last week. So I bought based on that. It hasn't made a lower low so my analysis stands that it will eventually get to my high that I'm anticipating which is 1.184-1.185 ish. I've done too much analysis on this chart but I just got hit with something I didn't expect today. But that's ok. It just gives me another chance to get back to where it is going to be. So here's my current position to my current aim.
P.S. I don't believe in trend lines. Only discount prices.
$EURUSD - False Break Out ComingWhat I believe is depicted in the graph. Convince the retailers to buy during the London session while it runs into a bearish order block, there will be an abrupt turn around and price to head below the equal lows to trigger the retail sell stops. The probably a pull back and take those sell stops out at their stop losses. Then the continuation sell. The continuation sell will most likely happen around 6-8 a.m. CST. I would enter short anywhere between 1.17720 and 1.17900 and aim for 1.17250-1.17200. Hopefully Lower.