Orderblocks
EURUSD to the Ground, DXY to the Moon!I've called out stronger Dollar for months, and all targets have been reached. Go through my old posts to see previous markets being called out. And now, lets do it again... :)
DXY ANALYSIS:
Interest Rates:
The FED just raised the Interest Rates from 1,750 % up to 2,500 %. That gives us a Long-Term view on how Banks and Institutions are positioned in the marketplace.
The Interest Rates Market is the biggest and most important market, so that's why we follow it. It's like the father of all markets, whereas the forex market, stock market, futures market, crypto markets are its kids.
Bonds & Yields:
The Bond Market is inversely correlated with DXY.
Bonds just rebalanced and fully filled its Monthly Premium FVG. The Monthly candle also closed below a Bullish candle, and that Bullish candle should act as an OB for price to remain below.
If Bonds are poised to go Lower, Yields will increase. And price chases yield. I'm seeing the US30Y Yield reach up to 4,0 % and then potentially up to the equal highs at 4,852 %.
So in short:
I'm Bearish on the Bonds, and Bullish on the Yield - which both indicate that DXY will go higher.
Commodities :
Using the Gold Futures chart (GC1!), I'm expecting the Equal Lows to get taken out to at least around 1680.
If Golds go DOWN, DXY will then go UP...
(I didn't include the Bond Market/Yield, nor Golds in this chart as it took up too much space on the chart. Go to your own chart yourself and you'll see what I'm pointing at in these markets).
DXY :
On DXY chart, next target is a FVG where we might see some sensitivity, and should it get breached to the upside - the next target for DXY is the Equal Highs (they also have a LRLR signature, meaning itæs easy to go to and through them).
123.00 looks like a good area to sweep. I'd be content with that.
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EURUSD:
Obviously, EURUSD and DXY are inversely correlated. So when one goes up the other one goes down.
So again, I have a strong bias for DXY to go UP, which means EURUSD should go DOWN...
Nice Sellside Liquidity Pool at 0.83540. I wanna see it sweep and reach down into 0,8000.
As of from today where price currently is, I have a 2100+ pip target for EURUSD.
...
So travel to USA before it's too late when the Dollar is super expensive lol
BTC SHORT Hello trader
in today session i sell bitcoin
Reasons for entering the trade
Existence of a corrective model
market structure broken
order blocks
liquidity
XAUUSD aka GOLD since gold broke structure short term bulls are in play until shown other wise gold did get rejected around 1725 area bearish OB "order block" and now price is heading back down to confirm that bullish break of structure if we get another higher low could be a nice buy setup
AUDUSD TRADE FORECAST UPDATEDue to the US Bank holiday the newyork session did not produce sufficient liquidity to hit those targets today. However Price might make weird moves in Asian session so all trades have been closed. It was quite insightful hope someone watched this unfold.
What direction will the Fiber take this week setup based on the ICT methodology, taking into account different concepts
EURUSD: No Man's Land 🔄From a swing trader perspective, price is currently in no man's land. ⚠️
I would advise not looking for long-term swing opportunities until the price has either:
1 ) Swept liquidity from the un-mitigated supply and last swing high. (Sell Opportunity)
2) Swept liquidity from the mayor monthly order block low. (Buy Opportunity)
With the majority of the market sentiment buying, I assume price will just continue to drop to gather more and more likely, but whatever comes first I will take with my team.
Until then we must sit on our hands and make the most of some intra-day scalps.
Good luck trading this week guys! ✅
Smart Money Manipulation 🥊Alkaline is back baby! 💣
As smart money concepts gain popularity, liquidity increases.
I have taken a month away from trading to study the new forms of market manipulation and have been pleasantly surprised by what I have found.
Here is my discovery:
1) The market is currently focusing on taking liquidity from breakeven positions over fixed stop losses.
This is because emotional traders put their stops to BE quickly to avoid pain, especially during indecisive markets.
2) Order blocks are the perfect manipulation areas.
If you take time out to backtest significant order blocks, you will notice price will tap and lure or simply sweep above/below the zone before going in the intended direction.
3) That tight stop loss you are using is doing more damage than good.
Scale into your positions, trust me when I say this will reduce your emotions and give you a more relaxed trading style.
4) Use your brain, even if you are in denial.
If the majority of traders lose money, and the majority of traders now use smart money concepts, do the maths.
It feels good to be back after a long month of studying, I have lots of new things to teach and share.
I will be taking on new students shortly, have a great weekend everyone 👋
gold longlooking for this setup for the next week as gold is makinga a cup and handel formation and the target for reaches wxactly to the 1 hr OB whic will make a supply and drop to 1680
BTC SHORT
hello traders
In today's session, I am watching Bitcoin for an opportunity to sell to target the demand area
GoldI've been looking at that imbalance this week, and now that it has been filled I'm going bearish for Gold.
I believe we can treat this as a resistance.
I'm anticipating the 1703.87 low taken out first.
Then completing the run for 1693.80
We're also around a high for the DXY and we've been taking out consecutive highs there.
I'm using this as a hint for Gold.
NAS Shorts into SSLBuyside was taken prior to open
Looking at Shorts into SSL, target is a +4H OB.
Overall Buys should be the main focus into BSL
GBPUSD 15 MIN PROJECTIONGBPUSD is in Downtrend. Secondly it Has Grabed the Asian as well as New York Highs And After This, It made A ChoCh. So These All Confluences are Showing That the GBP Have A Lot of Chances to Move to the Downside..
NZDCAD 1H PROJECTIONNZDCAD Has Grabed The Equal High Liquidity And Touched The ORDER BLOCK. The OverAll Trend is Also To the Downside. So we are Expecting The NZD To Fall From Here Against CAD.
AUDCAD 2H PROJECTIONAUDCAD Firstly Make A False Move And Grab Equal Low Liquidity Then Make ChOch , But Don't Mitigated The ORDER BLOCK . Also There is Now Equal Low Liquidity Above The ORDER BLOCK. So That's Why we Have A lot of Chance That The Market will Reverse From the ORDER BLOCK ZONE to the Upside.
EUR/USD Order Block SetupToday I am trading a possible Order block setup on EUR/USD in the 4-Hour time frame.
Looking left, we can see that we had 4 wicks touching the previous support level. We then had a candle push through and close below that level.
This setup is very similar to yesterday's post on AUD/USD. The same rules for the position have been met.
I looked for the most recent bullish candle before the bearish impulse sending the price below this support level. I highlighted this candle from bottom wick to top wick and extended it right. This yellow zone is called the Order block zone. We can also abbreviate it and call it the OB zone.
I am now waiting for the price to retrace back into this yellow OB zone before opening up my short position targeting the previous price structure around the 0.997 price position.
EUR/USD is still bearish in my opinion. This means I am still looking for short entries.
Depending on where we place our entry will impact our possible risk to reward. Some traders place their entry at the very bottom of the OB zone. Some traders use the very top point of the OB zone. I prefer to place my entry somewhere in the middle of the OB zone. My stop loss will be a couple of pips above that previous large wick. I use this area just so I can protect myself from any possible stop hunts.
My risk to reward will be 1 / 2
Order blocks need copious amounts of backtesting. There are so many ways of trading them. Some traders will spot them in higher time frames and then use lower time frames to enter them. I am a swing trader and only have time to enter on the 4-hour chart. This is why I trade them as I do. Use volume to help confirm price movement and always remember to trade with the current trend. Trading against the trend is more tricky and can be hazardous to your trading account.
Remember to be mindful whilst trading.
See you on the next one.
The Vortex Trader
copper longlooking for a long set up in copper with confirmation. this chart doesnt give you signals but a way i see the market and suits my trading style.
EURUSD 15 MIN PROJECTIONEURUSD is Showing us A Great Setup with High Probability of Winning This Trade. Hope It will Play well.!!!
USDJPY - SIGNAL ON 15 MIN [BUY]Pair Name: USD/JPY
Time Frame: 15 MIN
Analise Type: liquidity zones, order blocks
Reasons:
•Bearish trend but London session created a false breakout
•New liquidity created that hopefully will be reacted by the price
•Previous liquidity reacted well by the price
•Daily low created in London Session
" Gold " Let's Take Buy Trade With Many Pips Good Morning Trader's ,, How Are You Today ?
Let's Explain Together "Gold" Chart And Reasons To BUY From This Area !
!! We Sell Gold From 1785 And Get All Tp Done ,, Now We Look For Buy Trade !!
1- What Is The Trend For Gold ? Now ,, It's In Down Trend ,, IF we Break Out 1800 We Will Going To Up Trend To 2070
2- Why We Will BUY From This Area ? Support Area + Golden Zone + SMC Area + Gann Level
3- When We Close The Target As Stop Lose ? Close Down 1670 Daily Candle
4- Best Area To Lone ? 1700 - 1680
Any Questions Please Write me On Comments !
