USDCAD - Smart Money Concepts Institutional Order Block StrategyGood Day!
High-level summary of trade:
i) 'Support' sitting at structure with 78.6% fib, induced Retail Traders to buy too early
ii) Break and re-test of support encouraged a Retail selling frenzy
iii) Both types of Retail traders above, would have likely been stopped out
iv) Our first trades were stopped at BE
v) Re-entry based on Wyckoff schematic, with 'Spring' confirmation, before swing trade with TP3 R/R in excess of 9.0
Let me know in the comments below: what you thought of this trade?
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Orderflow
Bullish Order FlowThis weeks price action was phenomenal on EURUSD. We had a clear bullish run respecting the order flow of the move.
After each break of structure, price was mitigated back to the order block that caused the breakout.
Over and over like clockwork.
If you can understand and grasp concepts like this, you can trade and stack positions when we have clear trending weeks.
Potential SELL to BUY on XAUUSDGiven the bearish engulfing displayed on Friday NFP I will be setting my SELL LIMITS at the top of the Fair Value Gap/Imbalance, and SL just above the swing high. BUY LIMITS are set at the 4H Order Block that has yet to be mitigated. Both are decent RR trades.
Please note that this is not financial advise, and is just merely the setups I am looking at taking in the week ahead on XAUUSD.
NZDCAD runaway trainThe NC pair has completed its corrective and hit a nice liquidity block (highlighted in yellow above).
From this point on, belief is that price will continue to trade lower and I would tend to lean on the side of a bear rally right back down to the previous lows.
There are several road blocks between entry and target but so long as price continues to break through each one, there's no reason why the trend wont continue.
$Gold $GL on accumulation buying process or another sell off.. $Gold $GLD has been falling down heavily for couple of days..
buyers came back at 1780s, and 1800-1805 will be potential for selling .. let see if big time frame buyers will accumulate at 1780s and above, or this will be another more selling to test 1760.
My bias is Neutral to bearish, and I don't see any strong bullish reversal evidence yet. I need Buyers to show their aggressiveness above 1800s area
EURUSD Swing Short PlanEURUSD has made some BIG changes to structure over the past week! We are no longer feeling the support of a weekly demand zone, price has broken below and will most likely continue through into the 1.1000 level and beyond.
Fundamentals point to a bullish US Dollar - the Federal reserve plan to raise interest rates 3x throughout the course of the year (bullish for the Dollar) and for the past 2 years we have seen neutral (no change) US rate decisions cause bullish action too, so I suspect we will see a continued theme this year as we did in January.
Pair this with the current technical collapse we are seeing and I anticipate some lovely swing shorts towards the imbalanced weekly 1.1000 demand zone & key level area.
THREE short zones are in mind, all approached with confirmation entries to make sure you don't lose multiple times before a win. Let the market flow into the zones and when clear reversal forms enter WITH the new bearish trend. Until that happens stay patient! My favoured zone for reversals is one nearest to price (being the zone that brought the most weakness & selling pressure) but the others should be kept in mind too!
Check out my full in-depth breakdown of the technicals and fundamentals here on YouTube!
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