GBPUSD LongThis is my take on GBPUSD for the upcoming days...
I will keep my eyes on the 1.37600 level where a beautiful bullish OB resides, and on its 50% level as well.
I expect for this OB+ to be respected and for the price to continue to go higher afterwards.
This pair has an old weekly high to take out and maybe to go and fill the FV GAP above.
Only time will tell. What is your opinion on this pair for this week?
There is risk in trading. This post is for educational purposes only.
Orderflow
Weekend Analysis + Market Re-cap Looking at some good trades i took on AUDJPY this past week
Also breaking down some of the pairs in which I am looking for some possible trend continuations or trend reversals based on the market structure that presents itself.
Any questions on the analysis please do let me know via a comment or message.
Take Care
Ben
EURUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal:
The price resumed rising after a sharp correction and totally absorbed it, which shows a weakness of sellers. Moreover, the upward move was supported by the increased volume and large positive delta, which implies that buyers are dominating the market now.
Volume Zones:
We need to point out an important level of resistance 1.1784 - 1.1792, which has been already tested and contains the large volume.
Sentiment:
This indicator shows that 68% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd").
c.radikal.ru
Consider Long Positions:
Given all these factors, we may open long positions after a smooth downward correction of the price, in order to get a better entry point. A stop loss may be placed below the support level.
Profit Potential:
More than 120 points.
To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Smart Money SHORT | NZDJPYLooking at NZDJPY we are currently in a daily POI and 4HR POI, on the 15min we have signs of bearish momentum kicking in with a break of structure.
Waiting now for price to pull back into the last area of demand on the 5min TF and see how price reacts
Any questions feel free to ask
EURUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal:
The price continued growing and broke out the previous resistance level, which is a good bullish signal.
Volume Zones:
We need to highlight a new level of support 1.1784 - 1.1792, which contains the large volume. Moreover, the price has already tested it and resumed rising.
Sentiment:
This indicator shows that 67% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd").
a.radikal.ru
Consider Long Positions:
Given all these factors, we may ponder long positions after a smooth downward correction, which will allow us to obtain a better entry point. A stop loss may be placed below the new support level.
Profit Potential:
Around 80-85 points.
To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
EURUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal:
The pair demonstrated a sharp surge and tested the level of resistance. The price did not break it out, but is still trading near it. The move was supported by the large volume and positive delta. It implies that there is a significant purchases imbalance at the moment.
Volume Zones:
We need to point out an important level of resistance 1.1796 - 1.1800, which contains the large volume.
Sentiment:
This indicator shows that 59% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd").
d.radikal.ru
Consider Long Positions:
Given all these factors, we may ponder a breakout of the resistance level, which will consent us to open long positions. The surge must be keen and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar.
Profit Potential:
Around 90 points.
To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Smart Money LONG | AUDCAD Looking at the structure we have formed at a Daily POI
With the descending kind of nature towards that level, we now have a break of major structure suggesting that price could be about to turn around and move to the upside.
Waiting for some sort of lower timeframe structure to form in order to get in on this position, so we shall have to wait and see how it plays out.
Any questions please feel free to ask in the comments or via a message
Thank you
Take Care
Ben
GME and Wyckoff's Composite Man“…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2)
Wyckoff advised retail traders to try to play the market game as the Composite Man played it. In fact, he even claimed that it doesn't matter if market moves “are real or artificial; that is, the result of actual buying and selling by the public and bona fide investors or artificial buying and selling by larger operators.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Method of Trading and Investing in Stocks, section 9M, p. 2)
Based on his years of observations of the market activities of large operators, Wyckoff taught that:
The Composite Man carefully plans, executes and concludes his campaigns.
The Composite Man attracts the public to buy a stock in which he has already accumulated a sizeable line of shares by making many transactions involving a large number of shares, in effect advertising his stock by creating the appearance of a “broad market.”
One must study individual stock charts with the purpose of judging the behavior of the stock and the motives of those large operators who dominate it.
With study and practice, one can acquire the ability to interpret the motives behind the action that a chart portrays. Wyckoff and his associates believed that if one could understand the market behavior of the Composite Man, one could identify many trading and investment opportunities early enough to profit from them.
Wyckoff's composite man theories, price cycles, schematics of accumulation/distribution and three laws have helped me a great deal in understanding how markets work.
Just as important has been Cem Karsan . The 19th I mapped out in this chart of a buy the dip trend:
was originally identified by Cem since 2020 as the Fed pumping stimulus (liquidity) into the markets. The Fed stimulus creates a well fed Gary (ape).
Gary is what people in vol markets refer to as how the majority of market markers are positioned for volatility. If a majority of MMs are long vol (well fed ape) it makes it harder for the underlying structure of the market to break down (corrections). Karsan identified this cycle of (dips) as a result of end of MM and HF 20 day cycles. With so much liquidity in the stock markets right now a well fed gary creates a pinning effect in major indexes for expiring contracts /hedging cycles.
Using order flow (supply / demand) of major derivatives, Karsan is able to identify market support/resistance levels from volatility hedges and dozens of other factors with weekly/monthly pin point accuracy.
What I think is causing all the short squeezes lately (AMC, SPRT, etc..) is that more people are identifying this cycle. All the short squeezes started up again at this wyckoff markup phase.
Gamestop is one of the OG short squeezes and the effects of these cycles/phases are clear in the charts now. There are several posts on popular subreddits related to these phases/cycles going back to the original short squeeze in Jan.
The thing with Gamestop are the Wyckoff price cycles are diminishing in volume and I don't know what that means.