4 forex break of structure OB ideas for todayHi, I prepared 4 high RR positions for today, applying my order block principles and All my knowledge I gathered the last 6 months.
I am not a professional, trade at your own risk, do your own research.
Order block principles:
1) OB must take liquidity or have the liquidity to take.
2) OB breaks something significant
3) OB is relevant to current price action
4) OB caused imbalance (made a fair value gap)
5) OB has a liquidity pool to target
Peter
Orderflow
USDJPY Short IdeaWe are Currently in Premium, testing a Bearish Orderblock in the form of PDA. Inside this Orderblock, we have a new orderblock from which price moved rapidly away from as well as it took out previous high, which validates the OB. Price Manipulated the Previous Highs with a long wick, making this a Smart Money Reversal. We have a lot of FVG and EQL (SSL) to fill in. As another confirmation, we expect a retracement down as we have an overextended W, which should attract the market to move downwards.
If the price should reach there, I'm looking to scale off some profits at around 110.077.
Two possible Scenarios,
One entry (main setup), it's a lower entry so more likely to get triggered.
One entry at Equilibrium (CE), which has way better Risk to Reward but is less likely to get triggered. (however, LTF created lots of imbalance inside the new OB, which could definitely get filled)
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Confirmations:
- In Premium
- Orderblock INSIDE bigger Orderblock
- Manipulation of the High
- FVG & SSL Targets
- W formation Retracement
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My ONLY Concern for me is that we have a lot of News today which could impact price to move the other direction.
This may fail, but at least I'm not afraid to show my risk to reward box BEFORE it happens, unlike 95% of everyone on this platform.
If it fails, I still have a strong belief that these FVG and SSL level will get filled soon, and I'll still keep them as targets for future trades.
GU trade ideaThis is what i am looking at on GBP/USD. In previous price action we took out a monthly liquidity and moved to the down side. We did take out a blot of liquidity to the down side so this area maybe exhausted, but never the less i am looking to take a trade from this area. DXY is in a very good position to gain strength, although we need to bare in mind we have got major news events today to trade with caution.
Smart Money Concepts swing trading odyssey|Ep.11|11R short|GoldTesting my own Phase C continuation limit order entry model for swing trading, using ICT's SMC toolkit.
Fed sentiment: Hawkish? bond yields up/possibly more hikes/USD strength
Trader sentiment: risk on? (Nasdaq rally/debt ceiling raise talks/inflation easing?)
Supply/Demand factors: people still in employment and spending money means demand
Overall sentiment: should be bullish if not for hawkish fed and dollar strength
Technicals: Gold overbought/in premium on higher timeframes, double top pattern yet to finish playing out. SMT divergence with Silver
Entry: Phase C pullback into premium of 4h swing high/fair value gap. tightened up stop because swept PDH (prev day high) giving a nice potential 11R return
Exit/terminus: MT of M -OB (50% of monthly bearish order block(Mean Threshhold))
Confidence: 7/10
Weekly chart:
Monthly chart (see order block):
Time to make profit on USDJPYhi every one
complete pullback to the trendline with 4% profit Potential
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hello guys, I'm back sorry for not posting for too much but i was busy working and improving my trading knowledge, i basically changed some things due to commissions that were eating into my profits.
This is my vision for E/U m15, again, remember that price does not have to get to the zone even if we can countertrade to get there, and so the most safe thing to do is to wait for price to enter that zone and then find a short entry.
I discovered that i need only one follower to start streaming my live trading, so basically guys i just need one of u to follow me and from monday i can start live trading.
have a nice weekend
Analyse of The S&P 500 Hello Folks.
The S&p 500 just breached the high at4227.25 of the candle of 19 May and rejected the Monthly C.E of the wick of the august candle, if the price retarce to the daily FVG showen here and find support at it i think that the high 4243.25 could be taken. if the price didn't respect the daily FVG and passes trough it i will treat it as a IFVG and i will look to take the Weekly SSL at the low 4114.00.
im open to all new idea and criticisms in the comment section
GBPNZD Short Setup is Here!On GBPNZD, we have a bullish setup after this morning's interest rate hike announcement. The price has risen to the 2.0240 area where we have a supply zone. Here, it created a spike, confirming the previous zone. Therefore, I will now wait for the creation of a short setup with a break of the lows and subsequent price rebound in the supply zone before entering short with a target of 1.98.
Let me know what you think.
Happy trading to all.
SPY Order Flow - Script Fires Rare Signals Of Buying FatigueHey traders,
Brace yourself for today's short and sweet insights on the use of the OFA script.
So, SPY has been levitating around the year highs...
However, as order flow traders, we don't marry to the long bias if the script sends the opposite signals.
What we care about is looking for the hidden signals not easily visible on a clean chart
By adding the OFA script, you could have called the back-to-back exhaustions, signaled via the DIAMOND patterns.
If then you applied my prop entry signal (around structure breakouts), it would have offered a very respectable risk reward...
Remember, when using the OFA script, it comes with highly accurate signals that, at its core, apply 2 main areas of study:
Magnitude: A major clue that will help determine the health of a trend is the type of progress by the dominant side in control of the trend. We need to ask the following question: Are the new legs in the active buy-sell side campaign as identified by the script increasing or decreasing in magnitude?
Velocity: When it comes to the distance the price moves, the magnitude is only ½ the equation. The other ½ has to do with the velocity of the move or the speed. Was the new leg created after a fast and impulsive move? Or did price make a new low or high with the movement being sluggish, compressive and taking too long to form? A good rule of thumb is to count the number of candles it took to achieve a new leg.
DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
Possible Trade Plan for GBPUSDFX:GBPUSD
Here is my view for an upcoming trade. Over all looking to be on the buy side , clean level of demand resting in an extreme discount at 1.24200 where we could target the imbalance resting above at 1.25700
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Peopleusdt is it true Orderblock?The footprints of institutions or whales have emerged in these two areas, including the PEOPLE/USDT market. From a price perspective, if we see a price reversal, we can expect an excellent reaction and response in Zone 1, particularly for PEOPLE/USDT. One important factor in this area is VRVP, which is precisely located on the Order Block 1.
V2.0 | 22R Gold Long Swing Trade | Smart Money Concepts/ICTThis is an updated plan for the macro Cup & Handle breakout
Previous setup for the 30R Gold long didn't play out; the unconfirmed SMT divergence didn't get confirmed and there was no impulsive move away.
The stop loss is larger due to the entry location.
Not financial advice but if this trade idea inspires you, you could use an even bigger stop to avoid potentially getting stopped out by an errant news spike. 22:1 risk reward sounds cooler though doesn't it?
SMT divergence in this setup between Gold & Silver has been confirmed this time; stops were swept on one pair but not on the other, before rallying upwards and creating a higher high on the daily timeframe.
In theory the swing where stops were swept SHOULD hold now.
NASDAQ ORDER FLOWThis is what I think about US100
- missing order around 990$ ( I know that is UNIMAGINABLE to reach there again but it is what it is)
- clearing orders at 1100$
-There is no sign of engulfing in top in higher scales
Therefore, i bilievethat price could swing from those 2 levels that pointed on chart ( BEARISH OB OR ORFL).
Attention The key of success in trading is how you manage your risk and your self, so this chart could not help you if you are unable to DO them!
EURJPY - AS EXPECTED, WAIT FOR THE SHIFT!Last week I shared my reasonings for the likely continuation on EURJPY, as we can see from the chart, we have now entered a major supply area of which I will be looking to go short after a market structure shift on the lower timeframes. (15m/5m)
There will be lots of fake moves/manipulations in this area due to it being a major zone. So remain patient, be vigilant and enter shorts ONLY when confident the environment is changing.
I will post further updates as necessary, good luck!
Best wishes,
Jake