Orderflow
2023 01 24 Daily ES updateBuyers tried to break the 4040 level, but the market was lethargic and slow. After a push with large volume, they were not able to start a bull trend, and eventually capitulated. Sellers took control, and broke the 4020 level. Buyers were unable to push over that level. Next target for liquidity is the 3990 to 3980 consolidation range. Let's see if the passive buyer orders can stop the downtrend.
2023 01 24 Daily ES updateWe consolidated between 3980 and 3980 during the Asian and European sessions. In pre-market, institutional buyers started to push for 4020 and above. At 4040, sellers started to liquidate at premium prices and buyers got exhausted at 4055. Then we tested again for liquidity at 4020.
The current high level is 4040; we need buyer pressure to break for higher prices.
EURUSD Bullish for nowThe last post I did I said I'm bearish on eurusd. But price is showing bullish orderflow and many people are bearish so there is a lot of liquidity at the top en we are also close to a major high on the left.
I'm expecting that price will make another move up and from there we will see how price moves.
follow me to keep getting updates on eurusd multiple times per week!
NZDCHF H4 TF, Next trading opportunity.Hello Traders, today I'm looking at the NZDCHF trading pair for possible shorting opportunities and here's why :
-We've seen the market react off a current supply zone and usually, for the demand and supply traders, a trading opportunity would have been right at that reaction/rejection.
-Although we missed the first entry, we see that the market formed a double top at the supply zone and the possibility of a pullback to say 50% fib level exist.
- If we get the pullback, then we would short to the next structure support level, keeping our RR at a minimum of 3.
Stay Reactive nonetheless.
bitcoin. $25,000 or $12,000, which is earlier BTCUSDTHi all. Let's start the analysis with higher TFs. This will allow us to form a medium-term view of the BTC price movement
1M TF
After the price filled more than 50% of the imbalance in the monthly TF, the price got a reaction. It is 12 days to the close of the monthly candle, but if the monthly candle closes exactly as it is now in the screenshot, then the monthly OB, which was formed in the POI, will be formed.
2W TF
On the two-week TF, an order block has formed, which pulls liquidity away from the June low. An important support zone has been formed, from which the upward rally could continue.
1W TF
On the weekly TF you can see the structure. The main structure is marked in blue and the sub-structure is marked in yellow. Plus, the marked orderblock on the weekly TF has been updated, which means it is losing its relevance. Considering that there is already a bullish orderblock on the 2W TF, it is possible to remove all of the substructure hives of the weekly chart.
In addition, all of the previous orders on the weekly TF have already been tested, which means that their validity is questionable; they can both work out and be stitched (it is better not to pay much attention to them).
Assuming that we have a range. And there was a deviation from the bottom, then it is logical to expect a deviation at the upper boundary of the rand. Especially if we consider the reaction from the monthly FWG, the formation of the orderblock on the 2W TF, and the fact that previous orderblocks have already been tested.
Bottom line, the bias is more bullish. To work out this scenario, we need a continuation of the bullish orderflow of the 1D TF.
1D TF
On the daily timeframe we observe a bullish OF. This growth was impulsive, during this rally, the price did not mitigate and after updating the old high, we should see a good correction.
Personally for me long positions will be relevant in the area of the daily imbalance and mitigating block. If the price holds above 16,260 (there may be sweeps), the continuation of the bullish rally is quite realistic.
If a long set-up is formed in this area on the daily or at least 4H TF, the scenario with the deviation at the upper border of the channel on the weekly TF is relevant.
Targets
The targets in this case would be HH 1D, the highs of the weekly TF substructure, the order block of the weekly TF (since it is a structural element of the weekly TF) and the filling of the monthly imbalance.
There is no need to use this information "foolishly." Watch the price formation and watch your money management
EURCAD NY SHORTObservation: Price momentum weakening at previous 4H high, 30 min and hourly body has closed below previous high
Overall trend: price has broke 4h structure bearish
Confirmation: broken structure lower time frame and hourly close below.
Entry: slightlty late
Stop: above previous high on lower tf 20 pips
2023 01 11 Daily update for the ESAftger the buyer rejection at 3970, sellers started the liquidation. They pressed specially hard at 3960-3935 and moved price under 3900.
After that, buyers took control, rejected with violence 3900 and 3911, then they consolidated around 3935 (it was a previus level of resistance on december).
We will see if buyers can consolidate over 3935, and test 3970 again.
GBPUSD Post NFPCable mitigated a bearish H4 OB and moved around 270pips in 9 days mitigating a bullish H4 OB... During NFP we saw the bullish H4 OB mitigation and rallied around 250 pips. My personal expectation is a continuation to the downside after seeing the multiple BOS to the downside to mitigate the bullish daily OB, in the coming trading week