Example of creating a trading strategy chart
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To interpret the chart from a trend perspective, you can use the MS-Signal indicator.
The MS-Signal indicator consists of the M-Signal indicator and the S-Signal indicator.
Therefore, you can analyze the chart by checking the arrangement of the M-Signal indicator and the movement around it.
The most important thing in chart analysis is support and resistance points.
Therefore, if you do not indicate support and resistance points, it can be said that the chart analysis cannot be used for trading.
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So, Fibonacci retracement and trend-based Fibonacci extension are widely used in chart analysis.
I used the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool.
I selected and displayed the low and high points pointed by the fingers.
The selection of the candles pointed by the fingers corresponds to the inflection points of the StochRSI indicator.
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If you connect these, you get a trend line.
The important thing when drawing a trend line is to connect the high points of the StochRSI indicator by connecting the opening prices of the falling candles.
When connecting the low points, you can connect the low points regardless of whether it is a falling candle or an rising candle.
This is because I think it best expresses the trend and volatility period based on my experience using it.
When drawing the Fibonacci ratio and when drawing the trend line, the selection points are different, so you should draw it with this in mind.
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If it is drawn as above, you can see that the chart is ready to be analyzed.
Since the channeling most commonly used in chart analysis has been formed, I think chart analysis will not be difficult.
However, the above method is a drawing for chart analysis, so it is not suitable for trading.
This is an important point.
If you are good at chart analysis, but wonder why you lose money when trading, you should change the drawing of support and resistance points.
Do not trade with Fibonacci ratios, but mark support and resistance points according to the candle arrangement on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and create a trading strategy according to their importance.
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The chart above shows the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
To display this, we used the HA-High, HA-Low, OBV 0, OBV Up, OBV Down, BW (100), Mid (50), BW (0) indicators.
To display the exact volatility period, we also need to draw a trend line on the 1M, 1W chart.
The indicators that are important for support and resistance points are HA-Low, HA-High, BW (100), BW (0).
Therefore, the point where the trend line intersects this point is likely to correspond to the volatility period.
It is not accurate because it is displayed only with the trend line that was created right away, but I think it explains well how to display the volatility period.
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If you display the volatility period like this and hide all indicators, you will have a complete chart that can be used for trading.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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Oscillators
The importance of explanation of the basis
(Title) The important thing in chart analysis is the explanation of the basis.
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You need to read the explanation below to understand the points, sections, and volatility periods that I'm talking about.
However, for those who don't need that, I'll briefly explain it first.
Support section
1st: 65920.71-67414.39
2nd: 61099.25-62540.0
Resistance section
68955.88-72078.1
The next volatility period is around November 7th, so the point to watch is which section of the section I mentioned above it is located in after passing this volatility period.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend after approaching the highest point (100).
The StochRSI indicator used in this chart is an indicator created by changing the formula of the general StochRSI indicator, so there may be a slight difference from the StochRSI indicator you are actually using.
The setting values of the StochRSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
In any case, since the StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend, it seems likely to lead to an additional decline.
However, if the StochRSI indicator has not fallen from the overbought zone, there is a possibility of a rebound, so it is necessary to check the support and resistance points formed at the current price position.
The current price seems to be located near the Mid (50) indicator and the HA-HIgh indicator is about to be newly created.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator is created at the 67414.39 point, the support around that point is an important issue.
Since the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is formed at the 65920.71 point, we can see that the important section is around 65920.71-67414.39.
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If the HA-HIgh indicator of the 1D chart is newly created, the HA-High of the 1D chart > HA-High of the 1W chart > HA-High of the 1M chart, so the regular array of the M-Signal indicator, which is a trend perspective, is expected to create a regular array from the post-trading perspective as well.
If this regular array state is created, it is more likely to create a new upward wave, so it is more advantageous to look at the market from a long (LONG) perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that the important point of observation will be where support is received at this initialization of the StochRSI indicator.
The initialization of the StochRSI indicator means moving from the overbought section -> oversold section, oversold section -> overbought section.
When this initialization process is performed,
- When falling from the overbought section,
- When located in the middle point,
- When rising from the oversold section,
Volatility is likely to occur when passing through the three areas above.
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Considering the importance of support and resistance points, the movement of the StochRSI indicator, and the M-Signal indicator, it is expected that the upward trend will continue if the price is maintained above 62540.0.
If possible, we should check if it can be supported and rise near 65920.71-67414.39.
If the BW (100) indicator on the 1D chart is not regenerated, it is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin only when it rises above 72078.1.
Therefore, from the current price position, it is expected that how it will break through the 68955.88-72078.1 range will have a major impact on the future trend.
The next volatility period is around November 7.
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(1W chart)
If you look at the 1W chart, you can see a clearer movement than the 1D chart.
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I think trading is classifying the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts according to importance and creating a trading strategy accordingly.
This is what I said in the previous idea about why support and resistance points are important.
In order to classify the importance, you need to look at how densely the candles are arranged.
In other words, you need to look at how many sideways sections are created.
You can also use the Renko chart for this.
If you share and use this chart, the HA-High, HA-Low, BW (100), and BW (0) indicators form the most important support and resistance points when trading.
And the next important indicators are the Mid (50) and OBV 0 indicators.
To check this, draw the indicators formed on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, and they will immediately act as support and resistance points.
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Although the coin market is a market that follows trends, you cannot know everything from the trend.
In other words, you need support and resistance points and the StochRSI indicator to check volatility.
If you don't check this, I don't think it's easy to check volatility.
I explained how to check trend lines and volatility periods with the previous idea.
I'll take the time to explain it again next time.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Bitcoin’s bullish break opens door for run to record highsBitcoin’s break of downtrend resistance has opened the door for a run towards the record highs set in March, especially with the price action today suggesting the break will stick.
Even though RSI (14) is nearing overbought territory, both it and MACD continue to offer bullish signals on momentum. One look at historic price patterns also tells you overbought conditions are no impediment for further gains in the near-term.
Rather than buy around these levels, I’m waiting for a potential pullback/retest of the former downtrend before establishing longs, allowing for a tight stop to be placed below for protection.
$70000 would be the initial trade target with $71931.60 and record high the next after that.
Good luck!
DS
EU Double Top Breaks Rising Support, 300+ Pip Sell Set-Up!Here I have FX:EURUSD on the Daily Chart!
After last weeks Double Top was Confirmed, we see Price make a Bearish Break to and through the Rising Support created by the April, June and August Lows.
-The Testing Candle alone generates ~500K in Selling Volume making the Rising Support weak enough to then Break Down to where price sits now.
Applying the Fibonacci Retracement Tool from the Higher High @ 1.12138 to the Lower Low @ 1.08107, we can see a couple things:
*23.6% Level sits right at the 200 EMA which is curving down and Price is now trading Below
*38.2% Level sits right in the center of the Resistance Zone created from the March Highs
*50% Level is at the Higher Low that was Broken to Confirm the Double Top
I suspect that Price will need to Retest the Break of Rising Support before it can continue to Push Down!
Potential Set-Up: Sell Entry
1.09058 (23.6%) - 1.09647 (38.2%)
SL - 1.10112 (50%)
TP - 1.0665
Configuring channeling between indicators
Configuring channeling between indicators (StochRSI, BW reference)
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
From September 22 to 28, the StochRSI indicator was maintained at the highest point (100).
Since October 16, the StochRSI indicator has risen above 99.
Accordingly, there may be additional increases.
At this time, the point of observation is whether it can rise to the vicinity of 71280.01-72078.1.
It is expected that the StochRSI indicator will have to rise above 68955.88 to touch the highest point (100).
I think that the longer the StochRSI indicator stays in the overbought zone, the stronger the downward pressure becomes.
Therefore, this pressure is likely to appear as a sharp change in the StochRSI indicator.
The StochRSI indicator cannot tell the fluctuation range.
Therefore, we can only make predictions by referring to the important support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
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In order for BTC to continue its full-scale upward trend, the price must be maintained above the HA-HIgh indicator.
Accordingly, from the current perspective, the price must be maintained above 61099.25-65920.71.
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(1M chart)
It seems that the change started on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, we need to look at the section where a new candle is created.
From the current perspective, the BW (100) line is created at 68955.88, 71280.01, and 72078.1.
Therefore, these points may correspond to resistance sections.
Breaking through this point upward means renewing the high section, which increases the possibility of creating a new wave.
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New indicators called OBV Up and OBV Down have been added.
These indicators also display the high and low sections.
It is expected to be useful when creating detailed trading strategies and response strategies.
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The HA-Low, HA-High, BW (0), and BW (100) indicators display the low and high sections, respectively.
Therefore, the basic trading method is to buy at the HA-Low, BW (0) point and sell at the HA-High, BW (100) point.
Therefore, the HA-Low ~ HA-High, BW (0) ~ BW (100) section can be considered as the box section.
A trend can be considered to be formed only when this section is exceeded.
The box section consisting of the HA-Low ~ HA-High, BW (0) ~ BW (100) section can be considered as channeling in a broad sense.
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(Renko 1D chart)
If the price is maintained above 68K, it is highly likely to create a new wave.
This makes it more likely to break out of the downward sideways movement.
If it falls below 68K, it is necessary to check whether it is supported around 58K-62K.
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(BTCUSDT.P 1D chart)
The key to futures trading is forced liquidation.
Therefore, I think how to close the transaction before being forced liquidated is an important issue.
In order to make a big profit, you need to set the leverage or investment ratio high.
However, you need to make a careful decision because the forced liquidation point is getting closer.
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If you traded as a sell (SHORT) at the 69001.8 point, and the price rises, and the forced liquidation point is formed above the 72153.8 point, I think you can maintain the sell (SHORT) position.
The reason is that the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone and is close to the highest point (100).
In this situation, I think the term used is rising short (increasing the proportion of SHORT positions when the price rises).
The opposite is falling long (increasing the proportion of LONG positions when the price falls).
You need to respond according to your forced liquidation point.
If possible, in futures trading, it is good for your mental health to start trading with one buy (LONG) and sell (SHORT) and cut your loss when the opposite movement occurs.
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Currently, the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1M chart, that is, a regular array.
In this case, it is better to trade with a buy (LONG) position.
However, when the StochRSI indicator is in the overbought zone as it is now, it is not the time to start trading with a buy (LONG) position.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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The start of a new wave: 2630.0-2772.42
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The support and resistance points are likely to have changed due to changes in the indicator formula.
Please note this.
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Fibonacci-related chart tools are used for chart analysis.
Therefore, you should be aware that the support and resistance points drawn using the arrangement of candles on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are different.
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(ETHUSDT 12M chart)
ETH is one of the coins expected to show a larger increase than BTC.
Therefore, I think it is a coin that is worth investing in long term along with BTC.
The most important volume profile section on the 12M chart is 736.42.
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(1M chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is formed at 3321.30.
Therefore, in order for a full-fledged uptrend to begin, the price must be maintained above the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart.
The current point of interest is whether it can be supported and rise near the MS-Signal indicator.
If the MS-Signal indicator falls,
1st: 2159.0
2nd: 1.585.33
We need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
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(1W chart)
Since there are many lines, it can be dizzying, so I marked important support and resistance zones with circles.
Therefore, you can create chart analysis or trading strategies centered on the zones marked with circles.
The current 2630.0-2772.42 zone is supported, and the key is whether it can rise above 3014.05.
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(1D chart)
I think you can see if the current zone, that is, the 2630.0-2772.42 zone, is an important support and resistance zone.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise above the current zone.
However, since the current StochRSI indicator is located near the highest point (100) of the overbought zone, the pressure for a decline will increase over time.
Therefore, the point to watch is how the StochRSI indicator is initialized.
In other words, when the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone to the oversold zone or rises from the oversold zone to the overbought zone, it is called initialization.
If the price is maintained around 2630.0-2772.42 when initialization is performed like this, it is expected to create a new rising wave.
To do so, it is possible that it will rise to around 3014.04 and then fall, or fall below 2630.0-2772.42 and then rise again.
Of course, it can move sideways like this.
In any case, the price position is an important key point when the StochRSI indicator is initialized.
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Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1W, 1M chart is passing through the 2630.0-2772.42 section, it is expected that a new rising wave will be created if the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart rises above the 2630.0-2772.42 section.
Therefore, I think it is highly likely that it will be the last buying section before the new wave starts.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Why Support and Resistance Points Are Important
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(APEUSDT.P 1M chart)
Usually, the arrangement of candles is used to indicate support and resistance points.
Basically, indicators are used to indicate support and resistance points.
However, I feel like support and resistance points are needed in the 1.9101-6.7780 range.
So, there is a possibility that support and resistance points are drawn near where the fingers are pointing.
The price is currently under 1.9101, so let's check it out on another time frame chart.
In any case, the point to watch is whether it can rise after receiving support in the 1.3270-1.9101 section.
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(1W chart)
When drawing support and resistance points using indicators, it is best to draw indicators that are currently marked with candles.
This is because it means that the current point is acting as support and resistance.
Other than that, you can mark indicators that are thought to have a longer horizontal line than other horizontal lines.
If you check the chart above, I think you'll understand what I mean.
Since the important support and resistance points are indicators that are currently marked with candles, you can create a trading strategy targeting the corresponding horizontal lines.
The sections marked as Support and Resistance on the chart correspond to those.
You can think of the remaining lines as lines that can be used for detailed strategies that allow you to conduct split transactions when conducting transactions.
In that sense, the 1.4870 point can be used for detailed trading strategies, that is, response strategies.
Accordingly, you can proceed with buying or selling.
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(1D chart)
The support and resistance points to be used for detailed trading strategies are indicated in the 1.320-1.9101 section.
That is, the points 1.3929 and 1.6755 are applicable.
These two points correspond to the HA-Low and HA-High indicator points.
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If you have indicated support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts as above, you can mark them according to the importance of the support and resistance points and create chart analysis or trading strategies for them.
Important support and resistance points are
1st: 0.5841-0.7505
2nd: 1.0670
3rd: 1.3270
4th: 1.9101-2.1090
You can use the points or sections above to create chart analysis or trading strategies.
When marking support and resistance points, do not draw them while thinking about chart analysis or trading strategies.
The reason is that if you do so, you will likely mark support and resistance points while reflecting your subjective thoughts and psychology.
Therefore, when marking support and resistance points, it is important to focus only on the arrangement of candles without thinking about anything else.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to touch the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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GBPUSD - Bullish Divergence - First HH After Bearish RallyFX:GBPUSD has formed the first HH on 1 hour chart after experiencing a bearish rally. Bullish divergence is also present on the chart indicating potential bullish momentum in the upcoming days! Additionally, after forming the HH price found support at 0.5 fib level to support the bullish bias!
Is Bitcoin's Breakout from Accumulation Channel a Sign of FurtheBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently surged past the $68,000 mark, setting a new local high and confirming its bullish uptrend. This significant breakout has ignited excitement among analysts and investors, who are closely monitoring the cryptocurrency's next moves. As Bitcoin continues its ascent, many are speculating about the potential for further gains and the factors driving this momentum.
One of the key factors contributing to Bitcoin's recent price surge is its breakout from a long-term accumulation channel. This technical pattern, which has persisted for over seven months, indicates a period of consolidation and accumulation before a potential price increase. By breaking out of this channel, Bitcoin has signaled a shift in market sentiment and a renewed bullish momentum.
Analysts and experts are closely examining various indicators to gauge the strength of Bitcoin's uptrend and identify potential resistance levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator, is currently hovering near overbought levels, suggesting that a short-term pullback may be necessary to consolidate gains before further upward movement. However, the overall trend remains bullish, and a break above the previous all-time high of $69,000 could signal a more extended rally.
In addition to technical analysis, fundamental factors are also playing a role in Bitcoin's price appreciation. The growing adoption of cryptocurrencies by institutional investors and corporations is driving demand for Bitcoin as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. Moreover, the increasing use of Bitcoin for payments and remittances is contributing to its mainstream acceptance.
However, it is essential to approach the current Bitcoin rally with caution. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can experience significant fluctuations. While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, short-term corrections are a common occurrence. Investors should be prepared for potential pullbacks and have a well-defined risk management strategy in place.
As Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory, several key factors will likely influence its future price movement. The regulatory landscape, particularly in the United States, will play a crucial role. Favorable regulatory developments could further fuel Bitcoin's adoption and price appreciation. Additionally, the macroeconomic environment, including interest rates and inflation, will also impact investor sentiment towards risk assets like Bitcoin.
Furthermore, the competition from other cryptocurrencies cannot be overlooked. While Bitcoin currently dominates the market, the emergence of new and innovative projects could potentially challenge its position. The development of scalable blockchain solutions and the introduction of new use cases for cryptocurrencies could impact Bitcoin's market share.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent breakout from a long-term accumulation channel has ignited excitement and speculation about its potential for further gains. While the overall trend remains bullish, investors should approach the current rally with caution and be mindful of potential risks. By carefully considering technical analysis, fundamental factors, and the competitive landscape, investors can make informed decisions about their Bitcoin investments.
Continuing the Moon Phase Vs Nifty chart further. Yesterday in the message we understood how The dark circle resonates with the dates of no moon day and Grey circle indicates the day when we saw a full moon. Invariably in most of the no moon days as can be seen in the chart index is at the peak near no moon day. Then there is a fall seen in Nifty. Recovery starts in few days of Full moon day and then again Nifty makes a peak near no moon day. We were trying to contemplate if it is a coincidence. Now we saw a small turnaround today. We do not know if this will hold and if the recovery will start from here and now but we will juxtapose Moon Phases Vs Nifty chart with our Mother, Father and Small Child theory, RSI and Bollinger bands and see what levels we get for support and resistances further.
RSI is currently on daily chart is at 41.27 having taken support near 37 zone. This seems to be a good support zone for RSI as it as bounced from there and there about several times. Nifty took baby steps to recovery on Friday as Full Moon is done. Lowest RSI on daily chart was around 32 that was exactly one year back so we can expect either of these two levels to hold fort.
Father line support is near 23404. Bollinger band shows a support zone near 24373 range in case Nifty takes a dip from here. Mother line resistance is near 25026 and Bollinger Median resistance is near 25372. Resistance for nifty based on Bollinger band top seems to be at 26372.
Mother, Father and Small Child theory is explained in my book Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. The book is available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. Do read it as many reviewers on Amazon consider it as a Hand book to equity investment.
In this way we have tried to deduce support and resistance levels of Nifty with the help of Mother, Father and Small Child theory, Bollinger band, RSI. We tried to predict the turnaround phases for Nifty’s upward and downward runs by juxtapositioning it with phases of Moon. To a normal eye all this looks a little complicated and difficult but when you dissect it and spend time with the chart you will be able to deconstruct it bit by bit, frame by frame and level by level.
Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
Steel Dynamics: Trendline BrokenSteel Dynamics slid in recent quarters, but now it may be going the other way.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs between April and September. The steelmaker began October by pushing above that falling trendline, which may suggest its intermediate-term decline has ceased.
The rebound also returned STLD back above its 200-day simple moving average. That may be consistent with a longer-term uptrend.
The shares next proceeded to consolidate between roughly $126 and $131. Strong earnings pushed them above that range on Thursday. Will potential buyers look for retests near the top of the recent price zone?
Finally, MACD has remained positive and started expanding again.
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$SPY October 18, 2024AMEX:SPY October 18, 2024
15 Minutes.
One of those flip flop days.
SL was hit.
At the moment below all moving averages in 15 minutes except 200.
At the moment looks like a double top in 15 minutes supported by Eliott oscillator divergence.
I prefer not to trade today.
Bias is downside towards 580 levels.
A Full Scope View of The Magnificent 7Today, we look at the Mag 7 via the following methods.
MAC (Moving Average Channel).
Valuation with Trend.
High Timeframe Divergence.
To summarize, overall, these markets are generally bullish. I outline areas of interest where I will be looking for trades to the long side.
Have a great weekend.
Short EUR/AUD setup looking for retest of 1.6000Thursday's bearish engulfing candle has seen the price move below 1.6188, a level that has acted as both support and resistance over recent weeks.
If the price can remain beneath this level into the European open, consider shorting below with a stop above for protection.
The initial target would be 1.6115. If that were to give way, a retest of 1.6000 could be on the cards.
Good luck!
DS
Example of conditions for Chase the Rally
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(SUIUSDT.P 1D chart)
It is necessary to check whether it can fall from the 2.2492 point and rise with support near the HA-High indicator (2.0299) on the 1D chart.
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, it is showing a strong downward trend.
Therefore, it is highly likely that it will continue to fall further, so caution is required when trading.
If it falls below 2.0299,
1st: 1.8735-1.9073
2nd: 1.6124
You need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Therefore, from a short-term and medium-term perspective, if the price is maintained above 1.6124, it is a time for additional purchase.
In other words, I think it is a time when Chase the Rally is possible.
At this time, if the Mid (50) line or HA-Low indicator is created and shows support, it will give you strength to proceed with additional purchase.
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The important thing to proceed with Chase the Rally is that the long-term moving average line is in a regular array.
If not, it should be considered as a purchase, not Chase the Rally.
In this chart, the M-Signal line of the 1W and 1M charts corresponds to the medium- to long-term moving average line.
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(1h Chart)
If you touch the 5EMA of the 1D chart or the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W, 1D chart, there is a high possibility of volatility.
Therefore, you can start trading depending on whether there is support around here.
However, since the 5EMA of the 1D chart or the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W, 1D chart is for viewing trends, you should draw support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, 1D charts and check whether there is support around those points and respond.
Since the current chart is a 1h chart, if there are no support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, 1D charts, you can start trading with the support and resistance points of the 1h chart.
However, a short and quick response is required.
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The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of forming a double top.
Therefore, if it falls below 2.088-2.0238, it is likely to touch around 1.8735-1.9073.
If the StochRSI indicator is reset while falling to the oversold zone, and the price maintains around the M-Signal line on the 1D chart, I think it is highly likely to turn upward.
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Reflecting this movement, it is expected that the trend will be formed depending on which direction it deviates from the box range (1.9752-2.0761) of the HA-Low indicator.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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The Coin Market is Different from the Stock Market
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The coin market discloses a lot of information compared to the stock market.
Among them, it discloses the flow of funds.
Most of the funds in the coin market are flowing in through USDT, and it can be said that it currently manages the largest amount of funds.
Therefore, unlike the stock market, individual investors can also roughly know the flow of funds.
Therefore, you can see that it is more transparent than other investment markets.
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USDT continues to update its ATH.
You can see that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market through USDT.
USDC has been falling since July 22 and has not yet recovered.
The important support and resistance level of USDC is 26.525B.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 26.525B, I think there is a high possibility that funds will flow in.
If you look at the fund size of USDT and USDC, you can see that USDT is more than twice as high.
Therefore, it can be said that USDT is the fund that has a big influence on the coin market.
USDC is likely to be composed of US funds.
Therefore, if more funds flow in through USDC, I think the coin market is likely to develop into a clearer investment market.
But it is not all good.
This is because the more the coin market develops into a clearer investment market, the more likely it is to be affected by the existing investment market, that is, the watch market.
This is because large investment companies are working to link the coin market with the coin market in order to make the coin market an investment product that they can operate.
In order for the coin market to be swayed by the coin-related investment product launched in the stock market, more funds must flow into the coin market through USDC.
Otherwise, it is highly likely that it will eventually be swayed by the flow of USDT funds.
Therefore, USDC is likely to have a short-term influence on the coin market at present.
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As mentioned above, the most important thing in the investment market is the flow of funds.
The flow of funds in the coin market can be seen as maintaining an upward trend.
Therefore, there are more and more people who say that there are signs of a major bear market these days, but their position seems to be judging the situation from a global perspective and political perspective.
As mentioned above, the funds that still dominate the coin market are USDT funds, which are an unspecified number of funds.
Therefore, I think that the coin market should not be predicted based on global perspectives and political situations.
The start of the major bear market in the coin market is when USDT starts to show a gap downtrend.
Until then, I dare say that the coin market is likely to maintain its current uptrend.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The StochRSI indicator is approaching its highest point (100), and the uptrend is reaching its peak.
Accordingly, the pressure to decline will increase over time.
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(1W chart)
The StochRSI indicator is also in the overbought zone on the 1W chart.
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(1M chart)
On the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone, but it is not expected to enter the oversold zone due to the current rise.
The movement of the 1M chart should be checked again when a new candle is created.
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You can see that the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is the most unusual among the three charts above.
In the finger area on the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator was in the overbought zone, but it is currently showing signs of entering the oversold zone.
Therefore, you can see that the current movement is different from the past movement.
Therefore, I think it is not right to predict the current flow by substituting past dates.
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I wrote down my thoughts on the recent comments from famous people who say that the coin market will enter a major bear market along with the stock market.
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Have a good time. Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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