Not a perfect setup, but it's AMZN, so I'm in at 211.65.It may be a touch early to take this trade, but I"d always rather be early than late on AMZN trades. This particular setup isn't exactly like the first 2 ideas I posted about AMZN, but it's been very profitable in general, even if it hasn't done that well on AMZN recently. That said, results of trades tend to mean revert just like stocks usually do (at least mine do).
Since the beginning of 2024, there have been 45 signals for AMZN using the method I'm using today. 43 of those produced wins, while 2 are open and losing (down 12% and 8% respectively). I'm not worried about those 2, because over the long haul, those losers eventually become winners almost 100% of the time, it's just a question of how long it takes.
I just closed a RDDT trade today that's been open since Valentine's Day (see my ideas for details on that) that when tactical DCA and quick closes of them were factored in, made 6x the long term average daily return for stocks while RDDT only went up 3%. AMZN has a longer, better track record of recovery than RDDT, so I'm not even a little worried about my money here.
The average gain and trade length over these last 19 months has been kind of spoiled by those losers and a couple of other lots that took a long time to close and made almost nothing. The average trade here took just under 13 trading days and yielded only about 2.26%. That's not great for me, but a) it's still a daily rate of return (.178%) about 4x the long term average of stocks, and b) 75% of the trades produced an average daily return better than that.
Additionally, AMZN is still above its 200d VWAP and money flow is at its lowest levels since November. While not perfect, low money flow levels in a stock like AMZN does a pretty good job of, if not picking a short/med term bottom, usually getting you closer to it than not.
71% of these trades closed in a week or less, so that is my goal here. If it's longer than that and AMZN throws off another buy signal, I will add accordingly, though additional lots will be exited at the first available profitable close.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
Oscillators
mew usdt looking good1. on the daily we are consolidating in a cup and handle we are right at the 200ma if we break above it we should get a move
2 on the weekly time frame its making higher lows with bullish divergence
3 most of the time frames have had time to cool down over sold, i would enter close to the point of control.
4 the first target would be around 85 %
5 btc dom. is falling which is very bullish for our alt coins god bless
GER40CASH (DE40) - potential short - HSThere is a potential head and shoulders continuation pattern.
What I like about this setup is the GER40 is potentially creating a bear flag.
Finding a continuation pattern within the bear flag, like the head and shoulders, is a great entry point for the second part of the downward move.
Still waiting for my system to confirm some variables before I take the trade.
Risk/reward = 4.3
Entry price = 23 905.3
Stop loss price = 23 955.4
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 23 733
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 23 628
DOT About to Explode or Collapse? Read This Before Entering!Yello Paradisers, are you watching DOT closely? Because this setup could either give aggressive traders a golden entry—or wipe out the impatient ones 👀
💎DOTUSDT is showing strength after sweeping liquidity and now sitting right at the supportive trendline of its descending channel. What’s catching our attention is the clear bullish divergence on RSI, MACD, and Stoch RSI, which together boost the probability of a bullish breakout from here.
💎If we get a pullback, the IFVG zone (Inverse Fair Value Gap) below offers a clean setup for a high RR (risk-to-reward) trade. That would be a more strategic entry for patient traders. But for those who trade more aggressively, the current price is already offering a decent RR setup—just remember, this is not advisable for beginners. Patience and discipline remain key, especially in uncertain zones like this.
💎However, if DOTUSDT breaks down and closes a candle below our invalidation level, the bullish scenario is completely off the table. In that case, the smartest move is to step aside and wait for better confirmation before making any decisions.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
WTI Crude: Bulls on the Back FootWTI crude oil has found plenty of willing buyers beneath $65 per barrel recently, often acting as a launchpad for abrupt squeezes higher. But with supply gushing as OPEC+ returns 2.2 million barrels per day to market at a time when concerns about the U.S. economy are growing, whether that continues remains debatable—especially after the sharp $5-plus slide over the past week.
With the price closing at its lowest level since early June on Tuesday, traders should be alert to the risk of an extension of the bearish move.
Given how often the price has been bid up beneath $65, the inclination is not to act immediately if Tuesday’s lows are taken out. Instead, $63.70 is a level to watch, having acted as resistance through May and June. A break below there would create a cleaner setup for shorts, allowing positions to be initiated with a stop just above for protection. $62.00 saw some action earlier in the year, but $60 looks the more compelling downside target.
RSI (14) is beneath 50 while MACD is negative, having already crossed below the signal line—both hinting that selling rallies may work better than buying dips near term.
Of course, if the contract can’t break $65 meaningfully despite the bearish backdrop, the setup could be flipped, allowing for longs to be established above with a stop beneath, targeting either the 200-day moving average or $68.44 resistance.
Good luck!
DS
Gold crash (SHORT) - head and shouldersGold is at an interesting crossroad.
It broke through its diagonal support on Friday the 25th of July.
Price is retesting previous support. Does it turn into resistance?
Further confluence is a head and shoulders of the H8 and H12, with the right shoulder coinciding with the retest of the diagonal.
Since I am long gold with my investments, I am hesitant to short gold through my trading business. However, if my pattern is available, I take the trade. This will be a very short term trade - a few days at most if the trade goes in my favour.
Risk/reward = 12.6
Entry price = 3382.5
Stop loss price = 3396.2
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 3230
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 3181
The risk reward is exceptionally high. However, I have taken a more conservative approach with my entry because of my apprehension to short gold. For this trade I will enter at the extreme end of the range in which I will look for entries. This is the reason for such a high RR. It might result in me missing an entry.
NAS100 (CASH100) Short - Double top 30minThe 15min head and shoulders setup got invalidated.
However, my double top variables are currently being met.
Still need confirmation before entering trade.
Risk/reward = 2.7
Entry price = 23 284
Stop loss price = 23 331
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 23 173
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 23 129
What does everyone thing the NASDAQ is going to do today?
GOLD (XAU) SHORT - Double top 30minRisk/reward = 2.8
Entry price = 3382.5
Stop loss price = 3390.5
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 3361.7
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 3356
I am considering a short on gold.
Still need some variables to fall into place before I enter the trade.
There is nice RSI negative divergence showing declining momentum.
Further confluence:
- Potential head and shoulders on higher time frame
- At area of previous diagonal support which could be turned into resistance if the 30min double top plays out
GER40 (DE40) SHORT - Double top 15minPotential short on GER40 with a double top on the 15min.
There is negative rsi divergence which is one of the indicators I use to look for double tops.
Still waiting on further confirmation before I take the trade.
Risk/reward = 3.2
Entry price = 23 905
Stop loss price = 23 965
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 23745
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 23684
What do you guys and girls think the GER40 is going to do from here?
NASDAQ (CASH100) SHORT - head and shoulders 15minPotential short on nas100 (cash100) with head and shoulders on the 15min.
Still waiting for confirmation on some of my variables before I enter.
Risk/reward = 3.3
Entry price = 23 262
Stop loss price = 23 287.3
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 23 184
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 23 153
What do you guys and girls think the nasdaq is going to do?
China A50 bullish setupChina A50 remains in an uptrend, marked by higher lows since April and repeated bounces from the 50-day moving average. With both 50 and 200-day averages pointing higher, the bias favours playing from the long side.
A break and hold above 13812 would generate a bullish setup, opening the door for longs with stop beneath for protection. 13900 is the first hurdle, followed by 14000, with 14185 as a potential target. A clean break there would put 14409 in play. If the index can’t hold 13812, the focus flips back to the 50-day moving average as near-term support.
Good luck!
DS
Crypto consolidating ahead of rally towards All Time HighsWith US equity markets closed for Juneteenth, I'm checking in on an equal weight basket of cryptos. Recently I said crypto looked to be heating up for a run at new highs.
As I look today, prices appear range bound on the daily chart. There's a bearish double-top formation, beside declining momentum. The bottom of the range resting at the 200 Day Moving Average, and a test of it seems likely.
Should there be a bounce off the 200 Day SMA, and a break through the top end of the range we might get a shot at those new All Time Highs.
Small Caps: Rebound or rollover at 200DMA?Near-term price action in U.S. small-cap stocks may be instructive for assessing longer-term directional risks, with the contract trading near the key 200-day simple moving average.
Despite breaking uptrend support and extending the bearish move late last week, buying dips remains the preferred strategy unless there’s clear evidence the U.S. economy is sliding into recession—an outcome unlikely to be resolved near-term with only second-tier economic data on the calendar this week. That also means market pricing for just under 100 basis points of Fed rate cuts by mid-2026 is unlikely to shift dramatically, helping to support risk appetite.
If the contract can reclaim the 200DMA and hold there, longs could be initiated with a stop beneath the level for protection against reversal. 2192 is an early hurdle for bulls with a break of that level opening the door for a run towards 2240 or even 2278.
Alternatively, if the contract remains capped beneath the 200DMA, the setup could be flipped with shorts established below the level and a stop above. Friday’s low and 2133 are obvious near-term targets, with support at 2075 the next downside level after that.
Momentum indicators remain mixed despite rolling over in late July, placing more weight on price action rather than any firm directional bias.
Good luck!
DS
$TOTAL2ES/BTC Weekly Close AlertA bit concerning seeing CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 get rejected at the 50WMA and close below it for the 3rd consecutive week against CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Also flirting below the neckline breakout.
PA is still above the EMA9, which needs to hold to keep momentum.
Saving grace is the bullish divergence on the RSI.
8/1/25 - AMZN: new SELL mechanical trading signal.8/1/25 - AMZN: new SELL signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
AMZN - SELL SHORT
Stop Loss @ 234.11
Entry SELL SHORT @ 214.75
Target Profit @ 181.53
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed below the upper channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3/2B SELL pattern...where the current highest top breakout price is less or only slightly peaking higher than the preceding top price.
$BTC One Last Flush Before the Next Leg Up!Technical Analysis really is a beautiful thing.
As mentioned, price heading down to ~$111k.
Had a small bounce off the 50DMA at $112k.
Hopefully PA doesn’t range for too long in the previous ATH POI. That will really take steam out of the bull’s engine.
I’m expecting one last flush to push the RSI a bit lower before we can continue the trend back up.
As always in a bull market, BTFD!
80% drop into the abyss for Solana? - July 2025** The months ahead **
Examination of the 3-week chart for SOLANA reveals several compelling technical signals that suggest a potential bearish trend reversal. This analysis highlights crucial patterns traders and investors of Solana should consider.
1. Formation of a 3-Week Death Cross:
A notable bearish signal prints on the chart: a ‘3-week death cross’. This follows a ‘2-week death cross’ that preceded a significant downward movement, just as in early 2022. The death cross, where a shorter-term moving average crosses below a longer-term one, is a strong indicator of a shift towards a bearish trend, especially on higher timeframes like this 3-week chart.
2. Broken Market Structure:
The chart clearly indicates a “broken market structure.” This typically occurs when the price fails to create higher highs and higher lows during an uptrend, or in this case, breaks below a significant support level that had previously held. It is absolutely possible price action backtests past support for a resistance confirmation, however on looking left, such a test never occurred on the last death cross.
3. Resistance from Previous Peaks (Head and Shoulders Pattern):
Price action leading up to the recent highs resembles a potential ‘Head and Shoulders’ pattern. The three distinct peaks, with the middle peak being the highest, suggest a classic reversal pattern. A subsequent break below the ‘neckline’ (implied support level below the peaks) would confirm the bearish outlook.
4. RSI Oscillator (bottom of chart) resistance
The lower panel of the chart displays an RSI oscillator indicator, which shows a clear pattern of "resistance." following a period of support since 2023. The RSI has clearly confirmed resistance from almost 3 years of support.
5. Solana vs Bitcoin
All the bearish observations made on the SOL-USD trading pair can be observed on the same 3 week time frame for the SOLANA - BITCOIN trading pair:
6. Potential for Significant Downside Target:
Based on the measured move from the previous death cross and breakdown and Fibonacci extension, the chart illustrates a potential downside target of approximately -70% from current levels toward the $30-40 area. While this is a projected target and not guaranteed, the historical precedent following similar bearish signals provides a context for the potential severity of the downturn if the bearish momentum continues.
Conclusion:
Considering the confluence of a 3-week death cross, broken market structure, resistance from previous peaks (suggesting a potential Head and Shoulders pattern), and the confirmation of RSI resistance, the outlook for SOLANA on the 3-week timeframe appears distinctly bearish.
Is it possible price action continues upwards after a 3200% rally? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
JD last correction is overSince fiscal stimulus announced by China, JD started to print an expanding diagonal which I labeled in black as 1-2-3-4-5. Currently, wave 4 is over (or will be over within a few days) and wave 5, the longest in such a type of diagonal, is set to unfold.
Which supportive evidence I found:
wave 4 is formed as a double three as (w)-(x)-(y) and (y) contains and ending diagonal - see green impulsive wave down. The diagonal's wave 5 reached the lower edge.
wave 4 retraced 61.8% of wave 3
wave can be seen as a bullish flag - it nicely fits into the channel (I showed in green)
both RSI and MACD show bullish divergence with price on daily
I believe JD will revert with strong impulse up in the coming days.
See divergences:
KIMLUN - DMI and RSI shows BULLISH SIGNAL KIMLUN - CURRENT PRICE : RM1.31
KIMLUN is in an uptrend for medium term as the price is making higher high and higher low. Supported by positive readings in technical oscillators such as DMI (+DI is above -DI) and RSI (above 50), it increases the bullish scenario. At current price trading near SMA 20, there is possibility for price reach upper band in bollinger bands indicator. Nearest support will be RM1.24 (-5.34%) and 1st target will be RM1.41 (+7.63%).
ENTRY PRICE : RM1.30 - RM1.31
TARGET : RM1.41 and RM1.47
SUPPORT : RM1.24
Notes : On the fundamental side, KIMLUN shows a strong recovery in earnings. For FY2022, company was loss RM7.2 million. Then the company rebounded with a profit of RM7.1 million in FY2023. For FY2024, company registered strong performance of profit RM50.3 million.
$BTC CME Gap + Bad Bart = Easiest Short EverCME Gap + Bad Bart is like taking candy from a baby 👨🏻🍼
Look at that textbook bounce off the .382 Fib 🤓
Pain ain’t over folks.
RSI still shows room on the downside 📉
Global Liquidity drain on the 4th.
Looking like the 50% Gann Level is next ~$111k
Get those bids in 😎
And never forget the BullTards who were telling you about the “Bollinger Band Squeeze” and UpOnly season 🫠