EURGBP Wave Analysis 2 December 2024
- EURGBP reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8325
EURGBP currency pair today reversed up from the support zone located between the strong support level 0.8265 (which has been revering the pair from the start of November) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the earlier impulse waves iii and (iii) –which belong to the downward impulse sequence 1 from August.
Given the strength of the support level 0.8265 and the triple bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic indicator, EURGBP currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8325.
Oscillators
EURUSD H1 02/12/2024 - SELL below 1.04850 OR BUY above 1.05750Overview of EUR/USD Price Action
The EUR/USD pair is trading in a consolidation zone between 1.04950 (support) and 1.05250 (resistance), as seen on the H1 chart.
Momentum indicators like the RSI (currently around 30-40 on H1) and Stochastic Oscillator suggest that the pair is oversold but lacks a clear directional trend.
The MACD shows bearish momentum weakening, indicating potential for a reversal if resistance is broken, while the Average True Range (ATR) indicates low volatility.
This creates the perfect scenario for breakout trades in both directions, depending on whether the market breaches the consolidation zone.
Buy Stop Setup: Bullish Breakout Case
Resistance Level at 1.05250: This zone has acted as a ceiling for the pair during the consolidation phase. A break above this level signals renewed buying pressure.
Entry Level: Placing the Buy Stop at 1.05300, slightly above the resistance, ensures confirmation of a bullish breakout.
Take-Profit Target: The next key level is around 1.05750, derived from:
The previous monthly high at 1.05790.
Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of the previous bearish leg.
Stop-Loss: Setting it at 1.05100, just below the breakout point, protects against false breakouts.
Rationale for a Buy Trade:
A breach above 1.05250 will invalidate the current bearish trend on H1 and confirm short-term bullish momentum.
This move aligns with possible USD weakness in the upcoming sessions due to softening fundamentals (e.g., dovish Fed sentiment or weaker US data, if relevant).
Sell Stop Setup: Bearish Breakout Case
Support Level at 1.04950: This level has provided solid support for the pair recently. A breakdown below this level signals bearish continuation.
Entry Level: Placing the Sell Stop at 1.04850, slightly below support, ensures entry only after confirmation of bearish pressure.
Take-Profit Target: The next target is around 1.04450, derived from:
Fibonacci 161.8% extension of the recent correction.
Psychological round number support at 1.04500.
Stop-Loss: Setting it at 1.05050, just above the breakout level, limits risk exposure from potential pullbacks.
Rationale for a Sell Trade:
A breakdown below 1.04950 signals bearish continuation, possibly targeting the lows seen earlier in November.
This move aligns with recent USD strength and market sentiment favoring safe-haven currencies.
Technical Indicators Supporting the Setup
RSI: On both M30 and H1 timeframes, the RSI hovers near oversold levels, showing a lack of momentum but creating potential for a breakout in either direction.
Stochastic Oscillator: Shows the market is at extremes, either overbought or oversold, adding further credence to the possibility of a directional move.
MACD Divergence: The MACD histogram on H1 is attempting to flatten, suggesting the bearish momentum is waning and that price could either consolidate further or reverse to the upside.
Ichimoku Cloud: The H1 chart shows price is trading below the cloud, indicating a bearish bias. However, price action is close to breaking out, supporting both trade scenarios.
Market Sentiment & Fundamental Factors
Dollar Index (DXY): A closely watched driver of EUR/USD, the DXY has been showing signs of indecision in recent sessions. Any weakening of the dollar could trigger the bullish breakout, while dollar strength supports the bearish case.
ATOMUSDT Long Setup Setting / Quick 15Min LongBINANCE:ATOMUSDT
COINBASE:ATOMUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
8.723
8.811
8.913
9.029
🔴SL:
8.358
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
DOGSUSDT Long Setup Setting / Quick 15Min Long BINANCE:DOGSUSDT
CRYPTOCOM:DOGSUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.000772
0.000784
0.000793
0.000804
🔴SL:
0.000714
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
USOIL (WTI)Today's trade setup is informed by a top-down approach, with a focus on the interplay between USD strength and commodity markets, particularly crude oil. During the Asian session, the U.S. Dollar displayed significant strength, which often exerts downward pressure on oil prices due to their inverse correlation. This relationship is rooted in the causality loop between the Dollar Index (DXY), global demand for commodities, and their pricing mechanisms.
A stronger dollar typically makes crude oil more expensive for international buyers, reducing demand and weighing on prices. The magnitude of dollar strength in today's Asian session reinforces the likelihood of subdued demand, aligning with our thesis for shorting oil.
On the technical side, crude oil futures have approached a key resistance level, which coincides with declining momentum on shorter timeframes confirming our bearish outlook. Furthermore, the overall risk sentiment in the market remains fragile, supporting safe-haven flows into the dollar and away from risk assets like crude oil.
Given these factors, a short position in oil aligns with both the fundamental and technical backdrop. Trade risk is carefully managed, with stop-loss placement above the resistance level and targets positioned to capitalize on potential declines toward the next key support area. This trade will be actively monitored for any signs of reversal, particularly in the European and U.S. sessions, as shifts in USD dynamics or geopolitical news could alter the setup.
This volatility period is expected to last until December 4th
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Please also click "Boost".
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
If it rises further, it is expected to rise to around 2 (106178.85).
If it falls, you should check if it is supported around 1.618 (89050.0).
-
(1W chart)
The slope of the StochRSI EMA seems to be almost horizontal.
It seems that the initialization of the StochRSI indicator is not far away.
When the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone, the point to watch is where it is supported.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can be supported near the HA-High indicator point of 96372.40 and rise above the BW(100) indicator point of 98892.0.
If it fails to rise,
1st: M-Signal on the 1D chart
2nd: 87.8K-89K
3rd: 79.9K-80.9K
You need to check where it is supported among the 1st and 3rd areas above.
-
This volatility period is expected to continue until December 4th, so be careful when trading.
If BTC continues to move sideways during this volatility period, altcoins are likely to show an upward trend.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Shiba Prints a Triangle, When Will It Break?Here on COINBASE:SHIBUSD we can see recent Price Action is outlining a Triangle Pattern having Pushed up through the Sept. Highs after the Pro-Crypto Trump Administration won the Presidency, and being rejected from May Highs!
Price has been able to find Minor Support in the .000023 - .000022 area, but based on Tests 1 and 2 of the Falling Resistance showing Less Volume with each touch, Buyers seem to be losing their strength.
Every Trendline needs at least 3 Tests to Validate their Strength and Probability of holding Price and we are currently waiting on that 3rd Test potentially in the .000027 area.
-If the Falling Resistance is able to hold Price, we could see it decline to the nearest area of Structure being the Support from the Sept. Highs @ .000021 - .000020
-If the Falling Resistance is broken, Price creating a new Higher High must be followed by a significant amount of Volume Validating the Break otherwise it could be a False Break!
The 200 EMA and DSR have printed a Golden Cross increasing the probability of Bullish moves to come!
Indicators:
- Price Trading Above 200 EMA
- RSI Above 50
- BBTrend Printing Green Bars
Let's check the movement of this volatility period
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The StochRSI EMA indicator has risen above 87.
Accordingly, the StochRSI indicator is expected to be reset soon.
At this time,
1st: 3644.71
2nd: 3438.16
We need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising near 3438.16, it is necessary to be careful as there is a possibility of a downward trend if it falls below 3265.0-3321.30.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether the price can be maintained around 3644.71 and rise after December 4th.
-
If the price is maintained above 3644.71, it is expected to renew the ATH.
-
Currently, the StochRSI indicator on the BTCUSDT 1D chart is rising in the oversold zone and is showing signs of changing to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, so it seems likely to rise.
Accordingly, if the StochRSI indicator of ETH is reset when BTC rises, ETH is likely to renew the ATH more quickly.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Perhaps something that has been long awaited.Two consecutive divergences seem to have done the trick.
However, the candle has not yet broken the Ichimoku cloud
(and also the rising trend line) and we need to keep watching.
But it is not a complete reaction for two consecutive divergences, that's for sure.
PEPE Is Falling, Should You Invest?Lets break down CRYPTO:PEPEUSD on the Daily Chart!
After Robinhood & Coinbase listed CRYPTO:PEPEUSD on their platforms, we see the accumulation of Trading Interest rise which helps push price up, breaking the Highs of May!
Since having created the Higher High @ .000025676, Price has been falling and seems to be creating a familiar Bullish Pattern called a "Falling Wedge", formed by Lower Highs (Falling Resistance) into Lower Lows (Falling Support).
Wedge Patterns are considered Continuation Patterns so given the Uptrend move prior to the formation of the pattern, we can suspect Price to Continue Higher after a Bullish Break of the Falling Resistance!
The Retracement or Pullback to the 50% Fibonacci Level while Price is in the Consolidation State of the Pattern typically suggests the Pullback has ended. The 50% Fibonacci Level or .000016697 sits right in the middle of the Support Zone established by the May Highs.
The Last Low @ .000017309 just missed the May High @ .000017223 and the 50% Fibonacci Level, so with Price still trapped by the Falling Resistance, we could see more Downside for CRYPTO:PEPEUSD before getting the Confirmation of Pattern with the Bullish Break!!
Based off the Extension from the Lower Low @ .000007718 to the Higher High @ 000025676 giving us a .000017958 or 232.68% Increase, we can derive that a .000038 Potential Target with a Valid Bullish Break is possible!
Indicators:
- Price Trading Above 200 EMA
- RSI Above 50
- BBTrend Printing Green Bars
- DSR Aligning with 50% Level
Inverse Head and Shoulders BTC - Neutral but big move aheadThe bear divergence is entering an inverse H and S pattern. The pattern is about to finalize shape. Big move ahead. Could go either way. Good luck and stay tight stop loss which ever way you choose. Volume will be on the rise at that test point
VRAUSD - Bullish RSIAs we enter a strong bull market altcoins like this one pop up all over the place
The flat horizontal nature of the RSI suggests the trend is changing
This RSI has been flat for 853 days, being in a bull market its only a matter of time before the breakout occurs.
Keep an eye out for RSI's like this on other Monthly chart coins as it means they are most likely in the early stages of a moonshot.