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U.S. Small Caps Eye Breakout as Fed Rate Cut Bets BuildUnless it’s accompanied by a recession, there are few things U.S. small cap stocks enjoy more than rate cuts—especially given how many rely on the kindness of others to fund their growth ambitions. With another soft core PCE report expected at the end of the week, and with some Fed officials signalling a preparedness to cut rates again as soon as July, the ducks look to be lining up for a potential bullish break in the U.S. Small Cap 2000. Recent price action backs this up, coiling within an ascending triangle on the daily chart just beneath horizontal resistance at 2170 and the key 200-day moving average just above. Price momentum is also on board, with RSI (14) breaking its downtrend and moving further above 50. MACD has crossed the signal line above zero, reinforcing the bullish message. One look at how price has interacted with the 200-day moving average in the past suggests the higher probability play would be to wait for a break and close above the level before establishing longs, allowing a stop to be placed beneath it or 2170 for protection against reversal. 2320 looms as an obvious target, coinciding with a known resistance level. If hit, traders can assess whether to cut, hold or reverse the trade depending on how price reacts at that level. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:US2000Long
by FOREXcom
JD last correction is overSince fiscal stimulus announced by China, JD started to print an expanding diagonal which I labeled in black as 1-2-3-4-5. Currently, wave 4 is over (or will be over within a few days) and wave 5, the longest in such a type of diagonal, is set to unfold. Which supportive evidence I found: wave 4 is formed as a double three as (w)-(x)-(y) and (y) contains and ending diagonal - see green impulsive wave down. The diagonal's wave 5 reached the lower edge. wave 4 retraced 61.8% of wave 3 wave can be seen as a bullish flag - it nicely fits into the channel (I showed in green) both RSI and MACD show bullish divergence with price on daily I believe JD will revert with strong impulse up in the coming days. See divergences:
NASDAQ:JDLong
by evgenii_tr_tech
6
USD/CAD: Failed Break Leaves Bears in ControlWhether it’s Monday’s bearish pin candle, the rejection at the 50-day moving average, or what increasingly looks like an evening star pattern forming, directional risks for USD/CAD look to be skewing lower following the false break of 1.3750. Those looking to position for renewed weakness could initiate shorts beneath 1.3750, with a stop above the level to guard against a reversal. 1.3650 and 1.3550 both stand as prospective targets, depending on the risk-reward profile you're seeking. While momentum indicators are off their lows, with RSI (14) rolling over beneath 50 and MACD still in negative territory, the overall picture continues to favour downside over upside. For those considering the setup, be aware Canadian inflation data will be released later Tuesday, with the key core rate (the average of the median and trimmed mean reads) expected to ease marginally to an annual clip of 3%. While offshore factors remain the dominant driver of USD/CAD moves, a stronger-than-expected result would likely benefit the trade. Good luck! DS
Short
by FOREXcom
Hong Kong 50: Bulls Back in Business Above 23,700Monday’s bounce from support at 23,200 has seen the Hong Kong 50 push above minor resistance at 23,700, generating a potential long setup to play the broader improvement in risk appetite seen in recent hours. Longs could be initiated above 23,700 with a stop beneath for protection, initially targeting the June 12 high of 24,429. A break above that would open the door for a possible run towards the March 20 swing high of 24,895. RSI (14) has broken its downtrend and remains above 50, suggesting bullish momentum may be starting to build again. While not yet confirmed by MACD, it’s beginning to curl back towards the signal line above zero, hinting that too may not be far away. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:HK50Long
by FOREXcom
Is Altseason Around the Corner? BTC.D looks tired AF!BTC dominance just hit the top of a rising wedge that has been building for over a year. Price is stalling at 65.64 percent, sitting right against long-standing resistance. Momentum is weakening. Stochastic RSI is at 72 and starting to roll over. RSI is sitting just under 70 and showing early signs of fading. The structure suggests we are close to a decision. If BTC dominance starts to fall from here, the conditions for an altcoin run are in place. Key levels to the downside are already mapped. First is 59.97 percent. Then 58.70 percent. After that, 56.88 percent. The 100-week simple moving average is also sitting at 56.51 percent. If dominance breaks below that level, it opens the door for a larger shift in market flow. Previous retracements in BTC dominance have aligned with strong moves in altcoins. This current setup is technically clean and nearing resolution. It is not confirmed yet, but the signals are starting to stack. This is a moment worth watching.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by DoozerInvest
Cup of the Morning for DXYThe TVC:DXY seems to be forming a Cup and Handle Pattern on the 1Hr Chart! Cup and Handle pattern is considered a strong Reversal Pattern where we should expect Bullishness for the USD. After the 2nd or Equal High to the 1st was formed, Price made a Retracement to the 38.2% Fibonacci level and found Support to the begin forming the "Handle" or Consolidation Phase of the Pattern. Price must Break and Close above the "Brim" or Equal Highs of the Cup @ 99.113 to Confirm the pattern! Once confirmed, we can then look for price on DXY to rise up to the next level of Resistance in the 99.6 area!
TVC:DXYLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
The 3 Step Rocket Booster Strategy – Bullish Setup BreakdownHey traders! Here’s a trade idea on GBP/USD using a multi-timeframe trend strategy I call the Rocket Booster Strategy. It’s based on trend strength, oscillator signals, and price action confirmation. --- 📊 Weekly Chart – The Big Picture The Stochastic RSI on the weekly chart recently pulled back near the 80 zone. This isn’t a reversal — it’s a healthy pause in a strong uptrend. I’m watching for a breakout continuation as momentum builds up. --- 📉 Daily Chart – Oversold Alert On the daily chart, the Stochastic RSI dropped below 20, signaling that GBPUSD might be ready for a bullish reversal. It’s setting the stage for a solid long opportunity — as long as the trend agrees. --- 🕯 4H Chart – Bullish Engulfing Entry This is where it gets exciting — a clear Bullish Engulfing pattern has formed on the 4-hour chart. That’s my entry trigger. This confirms the reversal idea with a strong price action signal. --- ✅ Rocket Booster Strategy Criteria To take a long trade using this strategy, I require all 3 of the following: 1. ✅ Price is above the 50 EMA 2. ✅ Price is above the 200 EMA 3. ✅ A breakout or gap-up is either happening or imminent All three conditions are currently aligning on GBPUSD — this is a potential high-probability setup. --- 💡 Optional Tip for Automation If you’d like to automate this entry using alerts on TradingView, you’ll need a paid monthly plan to unlock multiple alerts and advanced conditions like candlestick detection or EMA confirmation. --- ⚠️ Disclaimer Trading is risky. Always use: Proper risk management Well-placed stop-losses A demo account to test your strategy And take profits with discipline 🧠💰 --- 🔚 Final Thoughts This is a clean example of trend trading with structure and precision. I used multi-timeframe analysis, the Stochastic RSI, and price action to time the entry. If you're learning trading, this is a great case to study or test in your journal. Let me know what you think or how you'd manage this trade. Happy trading! 📈💥 ---
Long
by lubosi
Bitcoin Holds $100k as Risk Assets Shrug Off Mideast TensionsWeakness in risk assets has been relatively contained so far on Monday in Asia, despite the escalation in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East over the weekend—including in bitcoin. Yes, it’s down, but not by any margin that sets this open apart from the usual. And having bounced after a brief dip below the psychologically important $100,000 level—which also doubles as wedge support—it’s generated a potential long setup if risk appetite improves. Longs could be considered above $100k with a stop beneath today’s low to protect against a reversal. Targets include $102,500, $106,500 or even $109,000, depending on your preferred risk-reward. While momentum signals are neutral to mildly bearish, the price action so far has been constructive for the setup. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDLong
by FOREXcom
2
BTC MACRO PLAY - SHORT TRADE SETUP📉 BTC/USDT SHORT TRADE SETUP – WEEKLY TIMEFRAME 🔍 Trade Idea Overview: We are seeing a bearish divergence between price and volume on the weekly chart — while price makes higher highs, volume is decreasing, signaling a potential reversal or weakening trend. Further confluence is seen with the VMC Cipher indicator. If a red dot prints, it will confirm the short entry. If not, the trade idea should be abandoned. 📊 Trade Plan: Entry Zone: Around $106,300–$107,000 (wait for confirmation) TP 1 🎯: $102,000 TP 2 🎯: $97,500 TP 3 🎯: $93,000 🛑 Risk Management: Stop-Loss: Above recent highs at $111,800 (or adjusted based on your entry) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Once TP 1 is reached, move stop-loss to breakeven to protect capital and eliminate risk. TP 3 may never be reached, but it remains part of the plan to capture extended downside if momentum continues. If no red dot prints, there is no confirmation — be ready to abandon the trade.
Short
by petermichalides
2
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 19 June 2025- Nasdaq-100 reversed from long-term resistance level 22000.00 - Likely to fall to support level 21000.00 Nasdaq-100 index recently reversed down from the major long-term resistance level 22000.00 (which has been steadily reversing the price from the end of last year). The downward reversal from the resistance level 22000.00 will form the weekly Shooting Star candlesticks reversal pattern if the price closes this week near the current levels. Given the strength of the resistance level 22000.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to fall to the next support level at 21000.00.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by FxProGlobal
Crypto consolidating ahead of rally towards All Time HighsWith US equity markets closed for Juneteenth, I'm checking in on an equal weight basket of cryptos. Recently I said crypto looked to be heating up for a run at new highs. As I look today, prices appear range bound on the daily chart. There's a bearish double-top formation, beside declining momentum. The bottom of the range resting at the 200 Day Moving Average, and a test of it seems likely. Should there be a bounce off the 200 Day SMA, and a break through the top end of the range we might get a shot at those new All Time Highs.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by quickshiftinn
Silver Under Pressure with Dollar on the MoveSitting in a rising wedge and with momentum indicators rolling over, the ducks look to be lining up for a potential downside break for silver. Throw in signs the U.S. dollar may have bottomed—an adversary to commodity prices—and the unwind could be sizeable, especially if risk appetite were to evaporate. If silver were to break beneath wedge support and hold there, it would allow for shorts to be established with a tight stop above the level for protection. $35.50—where the price bounced strongly from on June 12—screens as an initial target. If broken, it would bring uptrend support established in early April, along with the October 2024 highs at $34.87, into play. Bullish momentum that helped power silver higher is also showing signs of waning—we’ve seen bearish divergence between RSI (14) and price, while MACD is also rolling over towards the signal line. The momentum picture isn’t outright bearish but just looks heavy. Another important factor to consider beyond technicals is that silver and other commodity prices often struggle in an environment where the U.S. dollar is strengthening. That point is reinforced by the inverse correlation between silver and DXY over the past month, sitting with a score of -0.66—not strong by any stretch, but not something you can ignore either. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD01Short
by FOREXcom
SOL: Short 19/06/25Trade Direction: SOL Short - Hedge Risk Management: - Risk approx 0.5% Reason for Entry: - H1 supply zone at resistance - H1 and M30 timeframes overbought - M15 bearish divergence present - Retracement into 0.718 Fibonacci level - Weak lows beneath price drawing liquidity lower - No breaker structure on higher timeframe; bearish grind continuing - Trade set as a continuation with expectation of a lower high and further roll over Additional Notes: - Clear technical alignment for a short continuation trade - Hedge against my FET Long
Short
by Ryn8111
USDCAD – Bullish Reversal After Completed Wave 5 and AO DivergenAnalysis: The USDCAD daily chart shows a textbook completion of an Elliott Wave 12345 sequence. Wave (5) has just completed, supported by clear bullish divergence on the Awesome Oscillator (AO) – a classic signal suggesting exhaustion of bearish momentum. What strengthens the bullish reversal bias is the presence of a bullish engulfing candle at the end of Wave (5), right at a key structural low. This candle formation, combined with the divergence, provides strong evidence that a corrective wave (likely Wave A or a larger reversal) may be underway. 🔍 Key Confluences: Wave 5 ends in a falling wedge structure. AO shows higher low on Wave 5 compared to Wave 3 → Bullish Divergence. Bullish engulfing candle confirms momentum shift. Price action breaking out of the wedge pattern. 🎯 Trade Plan: I am waiting for a pullback toward the breakout zone to find an optimal buy entry. The ideal entry would be a retest of the bullish engulfing candle low or broken wedge resistance, turning into support. 📈 Targets: Initial short-term target: ~1.3850 (previous Wave 4 region). Mid-term potential: ~1.4050 depending on structure development. 🛑 Invalidation: A daily candle closing back below the low of the bullish engulfing will invalidate the bullish outlook.
Long
by AwesomeOscDad
Best Free Volatility Indicator on TradingView for Gold Forex This free technical indicator will help you easily measure the market volatility on Forex, Gold or any other market. It will show you when the market is quiet , when it's active and when it's dangerous . We will go through the settings of this indicator, and you will learn how to set it up on TradingView. Historical Volatility Indicator This technical indicator is called Historical Volatility. It is absolutely free and available on TradingView, MetaTrader 4/5 and other popular trading terminals. TradingView Setup Let me show you how to find it on TradingView and add it to your price chart. Open a technical price chart on TradingView and open the "Indicators" menu (you will find it at the top of the screen). Search "Historical Volatility" and click on it. It will automatically appear on your chart. "Length" parameter will define how many candles the indicator will take for measuring the average volatility. (I recommend keeping the default number, but if you need longer/shorter-term volatility, you can play with that) Timeframe drop-down list defines what time frame the indicator takes for measuring the volatility. (I recommend choosing a daily timeframe) And keep the checkboxes unchanged . How to Use the Indicator Now, let me show you how to use it properly. Wider the indicator and analyse its movement at least for the last 4 months. Find the volatility range - its low levels will be based on the lower boundary of the range, high levels will be based on its upper boundary. This is an example of such a range on USDCAD pair. When the volatility stays within the range, it is your safe time to trade. When volatility approaches its lows, it may indicate that the market might be slow . Highs of the range imply that the market is very active In-between will mean a healthy market. The Extremes The violation of a volatility range to the downside is the signal that the market is very slow . This would be the recommended period to not trade because of high chance of occurrence of fakeouts. An upward breakout of a voliatlity range is the signal of the extreme volatility . It will signify that the market is unstable , and it will be better to let it calm down before placing any trade. Volatility Analysis That is how a complete volatility analysis should look. At the moment, volatility reached extreme levels on CADJPY pair. The best strategy will be to wait till it returns within the range. Remember This With the current geopolitical uncertainty and trade wars, market volatility reaches the extreme levels. Such a volatility is very dangerous , especially for newbie traders. Historical volatility technical indicator will help you to easily spot the best period for trading and the moment when it is better to stay away. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
9
USD/CAD: Signs of a bottom as bulls fight backTuesday’s bullish move in USD/CAD has delivered a signal often seen at bottoms, taking out several key technical resistance levels in the process, including the December 2023 uptrend. With bearish momentum starting to reverse, upside risks look to be building. Those in the market for a long setup could initiate positions around these levels with a stop beneath 1.3650 for protection. Tuesday’s high of 1.3693 now stands as an important near-term level. A break above opens the door to the June 10 high at 1.3728 as one potential target, along with 1.3750. If either level is hit, reevaluate whether to hold, cut or reverse, given the setup runs counter to the broader trend. Good luck! DS
Long
by FOREXcom
GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 17 June 2025- GBPUSD reversed from the resistance level 1.3615 - Likely to fall to support level at 1.3400 GBPUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the key resistance level 1.3615 (which has been reversing the price from the end of May) and the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from the resistance level 1.3615 formed the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Dark Cloud Cover – which was followed by the Shooting Star. Given the bearish divergence on the daily Stochastic indicator, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level at 1.3400 (former resistance from April).
Short
by FxProGlobal
1
Bitcoin - Levels of the Range On the hourly time frame it is clear that BTC is within a rangebound environment. Using key levels such as the weekly highs and lows with Mondays highs and lows to to paint a picture of where support and resistance may be. In the "weekly outlook" post for this week I suggested a retest of the $108,500 area, an orderblock that pushed prices lower and is notorious for protecting Stop losses of the shorts that pushed price lower, nearly instantly as the week starts we get that move to sweep the supply zone and stop hunt the short trades. After a successful sweep the swing fail pattern typically follows when in a rangebound environment or absent of a trend. This structure plays out and the sell-off follows. Price breaks through the Monday low with zero fight so momentum is with the bears in the low time frame. Should momentum continue the previous week low is @ $102,500 which is in line with HTF key level too. RSI is also entering the oversold zone and in a rangebound environment can be when price reverses direction, as seen by the previous Monday High and Previous week low. With FOMC just over 24 hours away volatility usually follows. No rate cut forecast however many think the interest rate should be brought down in line with inflation as the ECB has already done. In conclusion, BTC is in a clear rangebound environment on the hourly time frame. Stop loss hunt/supply zone sweep and then SFP, the LTF momentum is with the bears going into FOMC. Next point of support at $102,500 (Previous week low) and could be boosted by the oversold RSI. An FOMC rate cut should be bullish although currently thought to be unlikely.
by ProR35