2/21/25 - DNA: new SELL mechanical trading signal.2/21/25 - DNA: new SELL signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
DNA - SELL SHORT
Stop Loss @ 16.36
Entry SELL SHORT @ 10.82
Target Profit @ 6.98
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed below the upper channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3 SELL pattern...where the current highest top breakout price is less than the preceding top price.
Higher timeframe: Price peaked above the ATR (Average True Range) breakout high and then reversed.
Oscillators
Tesla Wave Analysis – 21 March 2025
- Tesla reversed from support level 220.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 280.00
Tesla recently reversed up from the support zone surrounding the multi-month support level 220.00 (which has been reversing the price from September).
The upward reversal from the support level 220.00 stopped the previous impulse wave 5 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from January.
Given the oversold daily Stochastic, Tesla can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 280.00.
Google Wave Analysis – 21 March 2025
- Google reversed from key support level 160.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 167.00
Google recently reversed up from the key support level 160.00 (which has been reversing the price from October) intersecting with the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from the support level 160.00 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer – which stopped the previous impulse wave C.
Given the strength of the support level 160.00 and the bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic, Google can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 167.00.
Promising Breakout Setup Ahead! Chart 1W CBOT_MINI:YM1! BLACKBULL:US30
Promising Breakout Setup Ahead!
The chart highlights RSI and Williams %R trendline breakout plays. My strategy? Identify trendlines on the chart, monitor RSI and Williams %R, and target breakouts on these momentum indicators.
Current Situation:
All key signals have already triggered.
Strong bullish seasonality
Favorable COT data (small specs bearish, commercials bullish)
Low open interest
This setup aligns with high-probability breakout criteria.
Chart Indicator
SMA 1W 52 (red)
SMA 1W 18 (green)
Bottom Indicators
WilVal
Williams R% 9 length
RSI 9 length
Not Financial Advice
for more questions ask in the comments or
check my X @valuebuffet
Silver Wave Analysis – 21 March 2025
- Silver reversed from resistance level 34.00
- Likely to fall to support level 32.00
Silver recently reversed down from the key resistance level 34.00 (which stopped the previous intermediate impose wave (3) at the end of October) standing close to the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 34.00 stopped the previous impulse wave 3 of the higher order impulse wave (5) from the end of 2024.
Given the strength of the resistance level 34.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, USDCHF can be expected to fall to the next support level 32.00.
RealReal, Inc.On the above bi-weekly chart price action has corrected over 90% since the sell signal (not shown) at $30. Now is an excellent long moment. Why?
1) A strong buy signal (not shown).
2) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
3) Bullish divergence. Multiple oscillators are printing positive divergence with price action.
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: investment
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: Don’t know.
Return: Don’t know
Stop loss: <= 90 cents
DXY, bullish or bearish?Welcome back!
Today i'm posting a small idea on the DXY. Usually i cover crypto but the macro is important. A weak dollar correlates with more risk being taken and a strong dollar with less risk being taken. Hence my analysis of the DXY.
In the above chart a couple of things can be seen which makes the outlook hard to predict.
On one side there is a bullflag on the monthly timeframe with a target of 130!
On the other side, looking under we can see a bearish MACD cross and a bearish stoch RSI. On average it takes half a year to a year for a cross like this to recover.
This causes me to be bearish on the dollar and bullish on risk-on assets.
Thanks for reading
EURNZD BUYThis symbol has a good buying opportunity based on price action conditions, but we don’t have a precise confirmation from the MACD indicator. However, overall, we can expect the scenario shown in the image.
#Forex #Trading #PriceAction #NZDUSD #ForexTrading #ForexSignals #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MACD #Trader #ForexMarket #TradingView #CurrencyTrading #FXTrader #ChartAnalysis
ETH - On which side will it break-out?Today, the FED will decide on the interest rate in the USA. It is almost certain (99% probability) that the rate will remain unchanged. The most important aspect to focus on in this meeting’s minutes is the FED Balance Sheet. Will they stop tightening the balance sheet this month, or will they wait until mid-year as stated in January?
Leading up to the FOMC meeting, ETH is squeezing within its 4-hour pattern, forming equal highs and higher lows. This suggests a potential breakout to the upside.
I have outlined two possible scenarios:
1. ETH breaks through the resistance zone with strong volume, then successfully retests it as support.
2. ETH fails to break the resistance zone and instead breaks below the rising trendline.
Scenario 1:
Many stop-loss orders are accumulating just above the equal highs. If ETH manages to break out of the resistance zone with high volume and fill the gap, there is a chance it will flip this resistance into support. To confirm this, we need multiple candle closes above the resistance zone.
However, there is also a possibility that the FOMC meeting could trigger a price pump, only to drop immediately afterward, taking out stop-losses along the way.
Scenario 2:
In this case, ETH breaks below its rising trendline. For this to be a valid breakdown, it must be accompanied by high volume and a new lower low. If ETH breaks the trendline without forming a new lower low, it could be a fake-out. Therefore, we need confirmation: a lower low followed by a trendline retest.
Interesting Observations:
Stochastic RSI on the Daily Timeframe is rising rapidly into the overbought zone, while ETH remains in consolidation. Typically, we want the momentum of the Stochastic RSI to increase alongside price action. However, that is not happening here.
If the Stochastic RSI enters the overbought area and then crosses downward, it could put selling pressure on ETH, potentially leading to new lows in this downtrend.
Conclusion:
My base case is that ETH will sweep liquidity/stop-losses during the FOMC meeting with an initial upside move, followed by a sustainable correction downward in the coming days or weeks, accompanied by a decrease in the Stochastic RSI.
We’ll have to wait and see how the FOMC meeting unfolds.
Thanks for your support!
Drop a like and leave a comment to have a conversation about this topic. Make sure to follow me so you don’t miss out on the next analysis.
AUDNZD Wave Analysis – 20 March 2025
- AUDNZD reversed from key support level 1.0930
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.0985
AUDNZD currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone between the key support level 1.0930 (former multi-month from December), support trendline of the daily down channel from February and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone will likely form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star – if the pair closes today near the current level.
Given the strength of the support level 1.0930 and the oversold daily Stochastic, AUDNZD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.0985.
EURCAD Wave Analysis – 20 March 2025
- EURCAD reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.5400
EURCAD currency pair recently reversed sharply from the resistance zone between the key resistance level 1.5800 (former major resistance from 2020) and the resistance trendline of the weekly up channel from 2022.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone will likely form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star.
Given the strength of the resistance level 1.5800, EURCAD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.5400.
ETH will retest uptend line soonPossible ETH long setup—yeah, the ETH chart looks brutal after last month’s chaos, but let’s take a sober look at the structure and spot some long opportunities. Here’s the deal: ETH broke its uptrend from summer 2022, smashed through the 200-day EMA, and liquidated most longs—even those with low leverage. End of the bull cycle or just a breather? We’ll see, but I’m leaning toward the latter. Still, in this macro mess, risky assets are struggling—new highs are unlikely until a fresh liquidity wave hits or the Fed keeps easing with rate cuts.
Right now, selling seems to be fading. On the 3D chart, we’ve got a Doji forming in oversold territory (same level as the June 2022 bottom), MACD shows selling momentum dropping, and on lower timeframes, a descending wedge is shaping up. All signs point to a correction after the last 2 months’ drop. Worth noting: we broke that key diagonal level but never retested the trendline. I expect us to hold above 2150$ soon. After some consolidation, price could retest the uptrend line—either to reclaim it or confirm it as resistance. Target: 2700-2800$. That’s where the 200 3D EMA and a big liquidity sweep level at 2860$ sit.
Nasdaq: Wave A Done – Now Lining Up for a Strong BounceThe Nasdaq is starting to look really interesting here. In my view, we've completed Wave ((a)) to the downside—a clean (abc) correction. Why do I think it's done? Because we've just tapped into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and saw a strong reaction, just above last year’s VWAP, which I always consider a key reference point on the higher time frame.
Ideally, I would have liked to see that 19,090 level get tagged—unfortunately, we didn’t quite reach it. But honestly, this reaction is solid enough to still keep the bullish scenario intact.
Adding to that, the RSI is now in oversold territory, and the last two times we’ve seen that, it was followed by strong upward moves. Based on all of this, I’m expecting a solid bounce over the coming weeks, likely lasting into Q1 or even Q2 2025 .
Where could this move take us? I see two key zones: the first between 22,000 and 22,425 and the second between 23,320 and 23,675. Could it land somewhere in between? Sure. But one of those zones is where I expect this corrective structure to wrap up. That would likely complete the larger ((abc)) correction, after which we’ll finally begin forming the macro Wave A—which will open the next big leg of structure.
So the bigger picture is in play here. In the meantime, I’ll be hunting for entries on the lower time frames, because I do think we’re setting up for a pretty solid push on this index in the coming weeks.
ETH BUY ZONE / ACCUMULATING LEVELBINANCE:ETHUSDT is looking bullish after retracing to 1900-2000 region. It should be noted that the same region was previous resistance which ETH broke in Dec 23' before making a new swing high.
This is a great buying zone technically for someone who does not trade and wants to buy/hold BINANCE:ETHUSDT for the long term!
Skeptic | Gold Analysis: Risk Management Amid Weakening MomentumWelcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic, and today we’re analyzing XAUUSD.
In my previous analysis , our long trigger at 2994.16 was activated, and by now, you should be sitting on an R/R above 5. The major trend on the daily timeframe is s till uptrend , but we’re sensing more trend weakness than ever.
⚠️ This doesn’t mean we skip a long position when our trigger activates—just that we should manage risk more cautiously.
On the 1H timeframe , it seems we’ve formed an upward channel , with clean reactions to the mid-line, ceiling, and floor. It’s worth noting that during the formation of this channel:
RSI has been declining
ADX is also decreasing
This indicates reduced trader interest in maintaining the bullish channel and hints at potential trend weakness. Considering all this, we have a slight short bias today, meaning we might assign a bit more weight to the short side.
Short Setup:
Trigger: Break below 3024.52 (coinciding with RSI entering the oversold zone)
Long Setup:
Trigger: Break above 3057.64
Thanks for sticking around! Let me know your thoughts, and see you in the next analysis! 💪🔥
Happy Eid to all my Persian friends! <3 :)))
EURJPY Wave Analysis – 19 March 2025
- EURJPY reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 161.00
EURJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 163.80 (which has been reversing the price from January) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star.
Given the overbought daily Stochastic, EURJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 161.00.
MPWR LongMonolithic Power Systems ( NASDAQ:MPWR ) is a great stock that has been beaten down for no reason at all, its profit margins are elevated compared to sector peers and it's P/E ratio is lower than it's sector peers, meaning that the stock is undervalued in terms of fundamentals. Technical base, the stock was on a rising wedge and it dumped off of it, it's currently at buy range and its consistent earnings growth should push the stock higher.
PT: 1000 (±5)
Current price: 629.84
Fartcoin is ready to let rip!Looks like Fartcoin has reached my Bear Bottom , and is ready for a Breakout above $0.36. Some may even get Liquidated from their Shorts ripping a powerful wet one . If that happens, believe that Fartcoin shall be propelled to da moon ; Making me a Fartcoin Million Air!
Not everyone RWA or AI; Not everyone Game; Not everyone Defi; But everyone certainly Fart!
It is clear to me that since everyone in the US fart (including the institution people and "smart money"), it is hence effectively a "Made In the USA" crypto, and would undoubtedly be included as part of the US Crypto Reserves eventually.
So until then, HODL your Fartcoin tightly in the Bottoms !
Diamond Pants!
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 19 March 2025
- EURUSD reversed from resistance level 1.0930
- Likely to fall to support level 1.0830
EURUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the key resistance level 1.0930 (a former monthly high from November, which also stopped the earlier minor impulse wave iii).
The downward reversal from resistance level 1.0930 is likely to form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star – a strong sell signal for EURUSD.
Given the overbought daily RSI and strongly bullish US dollar sentiment, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.0830 (low of the previous correction iv).
BTCUSD Daily Chart AnalysisBTCUSD Daily Chart Analysis:
As you can see on the daily chart, Bitcoin is currently at a critical juncture. We've witnessed a strong uptrend culminating in a high near $108,000, followed by a significant correction.
Key Levels:
Support: The $80,000 to $82,000 zone is proving to be a crucial support level.
Resistance: We have immediate resistance around $92,000 to $96,000, and the major resistance at the recent high of $108,000.
Technical Observations:
The recent pullback is testing the aforementioned support zone.
Crucially, I'm observing a bullish divergence on the RSI, indicating potential weakening of the downward momentum.
Additionally, a bullish MACD crossover is imminent, further reinforcing the possibility of a reversal.
Potential Scenarios:
If the $80,000 to $82,000 support holds, the bullish divergence and MACD crossover suggest a strong likelihood of a bounce. We could see a move towards the $92,000 to $96,000 resistance area. A successful break above that level could propel BTC back towards the $108,000 highs.
Conversely, a break below the $80,000 support would invalidate the bullish signals and likely lead to further downside, with potential targets around $76,000 and $72,000.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is currently presenting a compelling setup. The confluence of a key support test, bullish RSI divergence, and a potential MACD crossover suggests a high probability of a bullish reversal. However, risk management is paramount, and traders should be prepared for potential downside if the support fails.