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OTE

NZD Long Swing Trade IdeaBy looking at the monthly chart we can see that price action is overall bullish on a bearish retracement. Price just dipped below the 62%, hit equilibrium and and is now retracing again to the discount OTE zone on the daily chart at which time we can anticipate this overall long term trend to hold. Classic chartist pattern descending channel is forming on the daily recent price action which should false break to the downside, wick into the monthly order block mean threshold and expand away from it immediately. Ideal scenario is an entry around 0.58350 level where a fair value gap overlaps the monthly order block mean threshold. Ideal profit taking for a partial or first profit is above the highs on the daily chart at 0.65120, again at 0.68850 and finally at 0.75510 above the old weekly highs.
Long
by smsb1213
1
EURAUD sell to buy projectionPrice grabbed sell side liquidity and then broke structure on the 4h. Price broke minor sell structure, higher low, and is currently retesting, I’m trying to catch a 78% retracement to enter the sell. I believe the sell is to complete the buy retracement that broke structure to the buy side, also expecting price to sell down to the 78% as there is an OB there. As price gets to that OB, I want to see a lower tf change of character. Please let me know what you think and what you see!
by AlishaRenay
3
Harmonic + OB + IMB + OTE: Failed1. I used the Previous OTE ZONE as my entry area when it has already been tapped a few times... 2. I did not plot a fib ret on the latest swing low/high for some reason despite there being a ChoCh present. One thing to note about this though, is that the FIBRET is Reversed. Seeing the non-reversed version meant there was no OB + OTE confluence anywhere. Maybe that's why I didn't bother with it. Here's the thing though.. and what is probably a crucial information that I wouldn't have learned if I didn't lose this trade: Putting fibret on reverse, meant it confluenced with the FVG. So what I've learned: 1. OTE + FVG MIGHT JUST BE AS VIABLE AS OTE + OB. 2.Try out both reversed and non-reversed versions of fib ret. There might be a confluence you are not seeing. ALSO, VERY IMPORTANT NOTE: If price left your entry point, and reached target take profit (liquidity, fvg, s/r levels, etc) first... Close the trade. Reaching the target take profit means the market maker move is done. It means the intention has been fulfilled, and it's time to make a new price action setup. So the next time it reaches your target entry point, the price has a higher chance of not bouncing, because price is already moving with different intent. CANCEL COMPLETED TRADES. SAVE YOUR CAPITAL. DON'T GIVE IT UP EASILY.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HaribonALT
NAS Long - NY - Win - PA was rangey during Asia and LDN ---- PO3 Accumulation ---- 31 pips (handles??) - PA swept 62F lows @ 9:30-9:45am ---- PO3 Manipulation ---- Liq Raid to kick off move ---- 100 pips - Reversal @ 10:39am ---- 1 X FVG on 5m ---- 42 pip jump and BOS ---- this is significant for NAS - Target ---- PO3 Distribution ---- PDH ---- 193 pips Entry - I entered early because of SMT on SPX ---- Never waited for the OTE to form - NAS took longer to move ---- Almost 40mins ---- Also had better OTE eventually - SPX would have been a FVG entry ---- I don't like those because of bigger SL's Result: Win - 5RR - Textbook setup Psychology - Was a bit nervous - Especially when SPX moves early and NAS sat still - Good idea was to reduce my risk especially since I was in DD - So I was happy to take the loss - Moving to BE and closing my laptop also helped
NLong
by camKay
GF Short Sell to BuyHigher high created on the weekly that price is currently retracing. I have labeled 50% of the weekly buy and the 78% OTE level. The weekly 50% level is like a magnet so I’m expecting price to buy up to the weekly 50% and then continue selling to complete the weekly retracement for buys at or around the 78% level. The weekly 50% is also at the exact level that caused the daily structure break. 4hr shows another BOS for the buy but I don’t expect price to go higher than the weekly 50% just yet. My buy entry is 50% of the daily FVG and stop loss is just below the 4h FVG, 30 pips. RR = 1:7, TP 1.1436 as a safe exit as I do believe that price can trade higher. Good luck!
by AlishaRenay
2
ES/NQ Weekly Analisys Weekly Analysis June 20 - June 23, 2023 During the previous week, NQ entered the zone of the daily Order Block (OB) and came close to testing the Mean threshold of that OB. It also entered the Monthly BB-. Therefore, this week, I anticipate a retracement to the 4-hour OB level between 15188.00 and 15094. For an ideal scenario, I would like to see a bounce from the range of 15186.75 to 15142.50, targeting the Mean Threshold of the Daily OB at 15534.00. It's also worth monitoring the Critical Level of the Monthly Break Block at 15722.75, although it may not be reached this week. To recap the structure: Consolidation, followed by Expansion, and then a Retracement before the Order Block and resumption of movement. Alternatively, it could be Consolidation, Expansion, and then a Reversal. Hence, my retracement level before the Order Block is set at 15186.75. Inside that zone, there are 15-minute BB+, as well as 15-minute FVG and 1-hour FVG. If the retracement fails to hold at the OB level, we should anticipate a reversal phase where it breaks 15066 and drops further, ideally reaching the Daily SIBI level between 14963 and 14866.75. The same analysis applies to ES: ES also entered the zone of the Daily OB (4615.00-4486.25), which aligns with the Monthly BB-. Remembering the structure: Consolidation, Expansion, and then a Retracement before the Order Block and resumption of movement. Alternatively, it could be Consolidation, Expansion, and then a Reversal. For ES, my retracement level is set at 4431.75 to 4423.25. The 4-hour OB is located at 4419 to 4404.50, with 15-minute FVG and BB+ within this range as well. If the 4-hour OB fails to hold, we can expect a Reversal Phase, leading to a test of the SSL at 4393.75. The Daily SIBI is found at 4381.75 to 4369.50. However, a bounce from the Retracement Area should fill the Weekly SIBI at 4506.25. Additionally, there is a Daily Breakaway Gap to consider. Key levels to watch are 4524.00 and 4531.25, which correspond to the Mean Threshold of the Daily OB.
CME_MINI:NQU2023
by LumiTraders
BASIC FIB OTE + OB PULLBACK TRADING SETUPJUST CHECK THE PIC FOR THE IDEA. BUT BASICALLY HERE ARE THE STEPS: 1. DETERMINE CURRENT MARKET STRUCTURE USING 1) SWING HIGH & SWING LOW 2) BOS & CHOCH -this is more powerful if price has just made a break of structure(BOS), but not necessarily. 2. PLOT FIB FROM LATEST SWING HIGH & SWING LOW 3. LADDER ENTRY AT FIB OTE + ORDERBLOCK ZONE 4. PUT STOPLOSS AT ABOVE SWING HIGH "Invalidation Zone" 5. TAKE PROFIT AT SWING LOW That's it. Backtest it until the inception of Bitcoin if you want just to get a really accurate picture of how well it works. Basic is good. Fancy gets broken.
by HaribonALT
EURUSD Live Trading - Short OTE ProfitHi all, Its been a long time since I posted, I've been doing the deep work behind the screen to finally formulate my rule set and investigation. Very excited to take this one to a live funding scenario soon as I have seen great success on a macro and paper trading level. The concepts I use are ICT OTE, Adapted, Adjusted however you want to refer to it but bottom line, I only trade via the concepts I learn from ICTS channel which is all free. I combine this with a "combined technical scoring system" = This gives me my qualified entries onto market. Nothing more than that to it for me, I like to keep it as simple as I can, Utilise time and price and market sentiment. I Don't think It needs to be more complicated than that, So if your trading is maybe take a look into it. Things started working nicely for me when I stopped over complicating the process and focused on learning to find the set up in the charts ( THIS DOES NOT MEAN MAKE A TRADE FROM NOTHNG) It simply means to train the reticular activation system of your brain to see your set ups in market both historically and in live scenarios. This is why paper trading and practice is a must. Ignore the monetary values they aren't real money. Also - Small edit, I meant to say LOWER highs and lower lows is a good sign for a bearish market. If I find more success with my method, I might share via YouTube, Not because I have anything to teach (ICT trader) for this, Simply because I might be able to help some people filter out the noise and focus on the concept of building a rules based system that is qualified by CTS score. A rising Tide lifts all boats - Stay perspicacious Hunter.
Short
by hunterprotocolFX
1
25/01/2023 EU AnalysisBeautiful trading day today where Asian highs were taken out by London before dropping to a 70% retracement level of yesterday's low. Once that fib level was hit we saw signs of accumulation then a displacement leg upwards, if you haven't already entered the market by this point, then you could have waited for the retracement giving you a perfect ICT optimal trade entry as shown. We can expect EU printing higher and higher prices until the daily objective is hit, indicated by the red line above. Concepts used today: -FVG -OB -Market structure such as market structure shift, HH,HL, etc. -SMT Divergence between DXY and EUR/USD -ICT Judas Swing -ICT Optimal Trade Entry -70.5 retracement fib
by AlexD09
ICT EURUSD Studying tape 0000 - 0900 A look at how price arranges itself between the NY 0000 "Algo reset" time and 0900 the "NY OPEN" - ICT concepts state that the NY MD Candle is when the Algo resets, We know that 0900 Is the majority of volume for NY being the open gate. Price is HTFB uptrending. We Leave imbalances behind, OBs, Breaks of structure and FVGs give us clues as to what imbalances are important and relevant. But when you see this its different..... Watch in this video how price moves between its reset area THAT CREATES FVGs, And the NY open, Its like casting out a YOYO at 0000 NY, and just watching gravity bring it back while checking your watch. The important of TIME AND PRICE has never been clearer to me, Im thankful for all I continue to see in this never ending puzzle. (This is my first time discovering this / making it relevant on a tape read, so if i sound like im learning more than im sharing, forgive me and you know why) Let me know what you think. . .
by hunterprotocolFX