OTE
XAUUSD | Market outlook
Possible corrective move before Bearish trend continuation.
DXY is not much stronger. Despite a significant increase in inflation, which exceeded 5%, at yesterday's meeting, the US Federal Reserve decided to leave the parameters of monetary policy unchanged, and, according to the comments, a revision of the volume of bond buybacks will become possible only next year, when the current parameters of inflation and employment are adjusted.
Main trend is bearish as incomplete bearish pattern. Best to sell on rallies around 1842-1858
Note: Market can continue Bearish move without an upside correction.
ZB Short term Buy continuesAs explained in my previous ZB projection for long. It's the right time of the day and I see an ICT OTE pattern to deal from. If my projection is right, price is bullish and therefore it should respect the ICT Bullish Orderblocks. Friday's high is an objective I aim for to see price reach and breach then the next level will be the Liquidity pools on the Higher timeframe.
FRACTAL BASE FIBONACCI OFFSET - AUDJPYUsing the fibonacci tool on the market structure break upleg does not always give an entry as price turns before the golden ratio quite often. Over a sample size, if you study the market structure break upleg/swing you notice that it occurs in three legs mostly.
The retracements of the market structure break never make it to the first leg and most times the retracement occurs to the second leg before another swing up of same length as structure break swing.
To catch this retracement I usually identify the fractal bases before the structure break swing. In my own logic,the fractal base is the upside down V with two lows; the last one lower than the first since it is the liquidity grab (liquidiy grabs occur before markets change direction).
Having a fib stretch from the first(and higher) low to the high of the market structure break will often give you a golden ratio/ optimal trade entry on retracement!!
not financial advise
$EURUSD - JUDAS SWING - Low of the week hit. (Idea)I personally called a buy to myself earlier this morning because I'm anticipating prices to get to 1.184-1.185 ish before we start to see a down trend. Here's The trade I personally called. I had a limit set and it hit in London and I woke up in profit so my natural instinct is that we would have a buying bias going into today anticipating that high for the week.
Then I saw another buy opportunity and took that.
And as you can see, that didn't work out
So like any normal trader I waited to see what was actually going on. And I still have my chart marked up with all of the order blocks and I couldn't have been more surprised to see that it hit the same order block from last week. So I bought based on that. It hasn't made a lower low so my analysis stands that it will eventually get to my high that I'm anticipating which is 1.184-1.185 ish. I've done too much analysis on this chart but I just got hit with something I didn't expect today. But that's ok. It just gives me another chance to get back to where it is going to be. So here's my current position to my current aim.
P.S. I don't believe in trend lines. Only discount prices.
USDJPY TRADE IDEA!!I really like this trade idea to the upside. With that reaction off of the daily OB I will take that as a confirmation that we may be in a intermediate term low. Of course depending on what the DXY does for the rest of the weeks to come. I like the idea of the market coming down into the OTE which would be the blue zone and then continue on up. If this happens today I will take the trade idea but I would prefer for this to happen during the London session or NY session on Tuesday and hopefully that will be the low of the week. My main focus for the trade idea would be for the market to tap into 106.800 that is my final target. Which would be the Daily bearish OB I have highlighted. lets see what happens.