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Mixed Medium-Term Outlook for Wal-Mart (WMT)On March 29, 2017 Wal-Mart (WMT) crossed above its 200 day moving average (MA). Historically this has occurred 192 times. When this happens, the stock does not always continue to rise. It has a median gain of 3.407% and maximum gain of 36.667% over the next 15 trading days. When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 58.1906. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral and looking for direction but slightly moving up at the moment. The true strength index (TSI) is currently 7.9533. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is up. Even though it is still a positive number, it is trending downward. The positive vortex indicator (VI) is currently 1.000 and just crossed over the negative indicator. The VI determines current trend and direction. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is trending upward. Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, and VI levels, the overall near-term stock direction appears to be slightly trending upward. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position in a downward trend channel, the stock could gain 0.71% over the next three weeks. The stock recently broke out of its most recent downward micro trend channel and appears to be using the old resistance as the new support which is common. Over the next few months the stock will approach the bottom of its major support channel that is pointing upward. For this reason, I do not expect much upward movement over the next three weeks.
NYSE:WMT
by StockSignaler
WILL TRUMP’S INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN INFLUENCE THE DIRECTION OF OIL?Hello Traders, In this short weekly outlook it is not about any trading setup rather than an opinion if Trump’s infrastructure plan will influence the direction of Oil prices in 2017 and beyond? First, if we look at the US Oil price we can basically see three phases so far. We will start back in 2014 as oil prices started to plump massively in Q3 of 2014 from around $120/bbl. down to around $50/bbl. by the end of Q4 2014. This was an impressive loss of around 58%! However, this was not the final depreciation of oil as it started to fall further in mid-2015 below the 11year low of $33/bbl. Beginning of 2016, oil found its current button and started to increase again as it currently trades in a narrow range of around $52-53/bbl. Technically speaking, after US president Trump won the election in November 2016, oil prices broke the significant resistance level of $52-54/bbl. ($54/bbl. UKOil) to the upside as it currently trades in a narrow range waiting for significant driver for either direction. Technically speaking, oil seeks to break out of the narrow range in near future as it creates bullish signs in lower timeframes. Target may be around $60/bbl. as it will face there the next significant resistance level. This price target may be the direction oil faces on the technical side for 2017. Now coming to all the factor that oil influences in terms of price movement and direction. After the US elections in November, 2016 took place and president Trump won for the republicans to run office as 44th president of the United States, the oil price rushed a couple days from $43/bbl. towards the major weekly resistance zone of $51.5/bbl. to flirt with that level. Just several weeks later oil formed a narrow range in which it currently trades. Let us break down the price movement of the oil and the current divers. We define 3 main drivers as significant for oil development: Demand/Supply Ratio and their effect on further oil gains Causes of OPEC Output Freeze Sector Development causing massively demand for oil US Policy plan – Infrastructure and border tax plan by President Trump In 2015 oil started to recover a little as it also shows our Supply/Demand Ratio stated to fall in the first half of 2015 to stabilize in the range of $50-60/bbl. However, in the second half of 2015 oil turned again and reached its current swing lows after breaking its 12-year low $33/bbl. and reached $27/bbl. During this time, global oil prices continued to suffer from the oversupply (shown in our ratio), the increased signs of a slowdown in the Chinese economy and a devaluation of price in global equity and commodities markets. In 2016 market saw some wide recovery as the Ratio started to swing towards bullish sentiment. Global supply gave hints of declining non-OPEC supply and efforts to alleviate the persistent supply overgorge. This is also shown in our ratio in our main article. Additionally, OPEC stated started to meet for a possible Output Freeze to bolster demand surplus to strengthen the oil price. This will affect many countries as they depend of oil development (eg. Venezuela, Russia and Brazil just to mention a few). (...) Obviously, we don’t know whether this will happen or not. This analysis could also be wrong. Keep in mind that trading is probably game. Nobody is 100%. With this analysis, we wanted to show you why WE think that oil COULD be supported throughout this year to reach $60/bbl. This is not a guarantee for accuracy and that is will happen. We hope this article clarified some of our objectives on the development of oil. As always trading is a probability game and nobody is 100%. And please do keep in mind that this is just OUR PERSONAL Opinion. Have a great Sunday. Your Secrets2Trade Team
TVC:UKOILLong
by secrets2trade
GBPJPY a outlook. Many patterns are forming.GBPJPY comes with lots of patterns. 2 gartley patterns could form, while a triangle pattern is also forming. If we can break out of the triangle, then I will be long to the completion of the BLUE gartley pattern. Here I will take my profit. Then if priceaction comes back at structure, I'll go long until price hits D completion of the RED gartley pattern. Shall we see a BEARISH break of the triangle, I am short. This pair has lots of good trades! (If you like harmonics as I do ;D ) Trade with care.
by RandomDane
GBPJPY outlook (sell)After 4H structure was broken and we saw perfect retest before next move down confirmed usthat we ready for downtrend continuation on weekly overview (Weekly candle closed bearish engulfing) GBPJPY is now meeting some major daily support with down trendline at the same time. If we see break and retest, we will be looking for some excact sell setups and jump on downtrend continuation. Be careful of huge pullbacks, GBPJPY is very aggressive pair (Also be careful on potential weekend gaps, which might be coming today). Trade with proper risk management and caution.
Short
by PeryCapital
5
USD/CHF outlook based on my understanding of Wave Principle Hello! I hope everyone enjoyed the holidays! I picked up a few books on EW and a lot of my ideas are updates as I progress my understanding of the EW principle. Thanks for feedback so far, the likes and comments! Let me know what you were thinking! If you like the idea give a thumbs up and if you had an idea post it in the comments. I'm looking forward to 2017 and expanding my knowledge of wave trading. I will keep my ideas updated to the best of my ability! It's almost time to enjoy the new year! I'll be taking a break from executing any trades!
by adambiers
EURUSD Outlook for the weekWith the EURUSD we saw last week a break below a previous key level on the monthly. The pair has since come back up and found some resistance with this level. We have what looks like a bearish flag forming. We have had a 382 retracement, looking at the fib extension and fib inversion we see the 1.27 and 1.618 line up with an area of monthly support. I feel we could see further lows if the pair fails to break and close above the monthly level on the Daily charts
Short
by Wonour
EURJPY Outlook for the week 26/12/16Firstly Looking at the Weekly and Daily Charts we have come into an Area of resistance. We have started to see a bit of a bearish move on the Daily, looking on the 4 hr we have a few levels lining up. We have had a 618 retracement, looking at the Fib Extension of the first impulse leg down and the Fib Inversion of the pull back. The 1.27 and 1.414 levels all fall in an area of previous structure resistance on the Daily. We have a possible Bear Cypher forming its C completion at the 121.10 level and the C to D leg of a cypher would see us back up to my weekly Key level. Will watch on the lower time frames to see what happens and for possible entries
Short
by Wonour
AUDUSD Outlook on the Daily 25/12/16Firstly Happy Christmas where ever you are hope you are with loved ones and having a merry time. As all the Excitement is over now a bit of time to do some Tekkers. So one of my Goals for the coming year is to really get my tekkers on point and be a lot more methodical in my approach. We have seen this pair in a very bearish trend for the last few months. Looking at my Key Levels we have come down into a weekly level, this also lines up with the 1.27 level on the Fib Extension and also the 1.618 area of a fib inversion. RSI is down in the oversold area, another sign that this pair could be due a pull back. Where could the pair move? WE have had the X to A, A to B and B to C moves of a possible cypher, D Completion would put us up at the 0.76453 level which has acted as a previous level of resistance on the Daily. If we look at a Fib retracement on the overall move the 382 and 618 levels fall at lots of previous structure. One to watch on the lower time frames for entries and short term targets.
by Wonour