EURUSD If we take a look at the Monthly chartAs you can see EURUSD has 2 channels to play in on the monthly chart, wich means on lower timeframe charts it still has potential to touch the lowest monthly channel as seen in my 4Hr published idea.
If you look at my RSI in the past you see this similar bounces occure.
EURUSD might be heading slowly for a Monthly retracement move to the upside after wich it might reach a new bottom around 0.90 as it did in the past and if the bullish channel holds on the low, the EURUSD might come into a bullish stream.
Outlook
Usd/JpyContext:
this pair is ranegbound with support @118.600 and resistance @120.400 ,
the actual rejection of res. brought us near support again but still price resulted in a higher low
the induced rallie however got rejected @120.140 and formed a lower high , we stay in this range till we left that
range for good ;) till then selling and buying at the extremes is ok,
signs of strenght:
support holds
higher low
signs of weakness:
resistance holds
lower high
Gbp/Usd Daily Market outlookContext:
after a strong rallie price broke a major supplyline, but found resistance @1.555x
the correction resulting in that , brought us near the 50% retracement of the rallie, where price
now makes another attempt to tackle the resistance level, price formed somewhat near the recent high
an indecsion but it resoloved itself to the upside , which is a sign of stenght, if price fails again to takeout the
resistance we may form a range with support @50280 and resistance @555x , however a break of @555x is also a
major sign of strenght returning to the market
signs of strenght:
rallie broke major supplyline
50% retracement holds
indecision resolved itself to the upside
signs of weakness:
resistance still holds
Aud/Usd Daily Market outlookContext:
After the strong rallie attempt we failed to takeout the recent high on a 2nd attempt (0.8070) and formed a lower high
price then retraced somewhat back to the broken resistance , which now holds some minor support, as we formed
a higher low, we nolw have evidence of indecision at hands, and the future course of the market will be decided on
how that indecision will resolve itself.. breakout to the upside or downside ?
signs of strenght:
strong rallie
broken resistance
resistance tunred support
signs of weakness:
Lower high
Indecision
Eur/Usd Daily Market outlookContext:
After a nice rallie , we rejected a former middlepoint @1.135x , price tunred down and broke a demandline
formed a indecsion and cleared it to the downside , we have found some minor support @1.1135 ,
if that level fails to hold we head back to test the broken resistance @10200
signs of strength:
uptrend
broken resistance
signs of weakness:
rejection of MP
broken demandline
series of lower highs and lows
EURUSD Elliott Wave Analysis. Flat Correction CompletedEURUSD has potentially completed the wave 5 of the Flat correction on the higher degree time frame which is Wave IV correction. What this means is that the down trend resumes for the EURUSD and would break the previous lows. USDOLLAR Index is also showing the same chart patterns of Expanded Flat correction giving confirmations. One can go short on this pair with stop loss and targets as shown on the chart. A great risk reward potential on this trade.
Please do your own analysis before taking any positions.
Happy Trading!!
GBP/USD: Brearish Outlook.GBP/USD Pair is looking bearish. That's why I still looking for short postion in this pair. 1.4980 - 1.5010 zone is behaive lika a strong resistance for this pair and 1.4850-1.4840 zone is behaive like as strong support for this pair. If break this pair I hope our next target is 1.4698 level, 1.46330 level and 1.44890 level. I hope this pair touch those level.
We can take short position between 1.4980-1.5010 zone and out stoploss is 1.5080 or 100 pips. Or we can take short positon after break this 1.4850-1.4840 zone and out stoploss is near swing high point or 50 pips. Lets see what's happen.
Best of luck and happy trading.
USD/CAD: Bullish OutlookIn H1 TF I found a nice Acending Triangle Pattern, if break this triangle, I think this pair may be go to 1.30 level which is very strong resistance. And this pair is also in uptrend mode. We looking for Long position after break this above resistance line of triangle or after retrece from this resistance line. And put stop loss near swing low point of this pair. Our profit target should be at 1.2950 - 1.30 Level.
If usd/cad pair did not break upper resistance line of triangle and return from this level we look for long positon near support line.
So, keep eyes on this pair. Best of luck.
EUR/JPY: Triangle and Bearish Outlook.Eur/Jpy pair found nice triangle and in H4 and D1 timeframe 50, 100 and 200 EMA is above the market price which indicate this market is still downward mode. That's why I think, this pair triangle may be break in downward mode. So, we can look for short postion in this pair.
So, keep eye's on this pair and don't forget to press like button. Happy Trading !!!
Bitcoin price in "despair" stage of bubble (BTC chart 2015-2016)The downtrend is not over. I expect a drop down to the last lows to form a real bottom before we can return to the mean. For more detail please look at my zoomed in version of this chart:
Will Bitcoin crash? Or is now the time to buy? Part IIThe chance that this is the long awaited uptrend is growing. This is an update of my original chart, which I created 1 month ago: In this update I optimized several indicators to better reflect the current trend.
Overall it's looking good. But 2014's downtrend has not finally been broken as of today. That's why I post this as a neutral outlook.
This could be the end of Bitcoin's 2014 downtrend! Part IIAfter months of decline Bitcoin has found a bottom at $275 and is trying to move back into the uptrend area at $400 since taking the plane () and after testing the bottom at $315 (). Here is some guidance of where the price is moving in a larger scale right now on a daily chart. Next resistance is $403 and $418. Strong support is at around $338-$339.
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This could be the end of Bitcoin's 2014 downtrend!After months of decline* Bitcoin is arriving at a bottom. I see the momentum change to become bullish this week in this area above the Fibonacci retracement where Bitcoin is starting to create a double bottom pattern, if you only consider the real body of 1d candlesticks without the lower shadows (wicks). And BTC is currently at my scenario "B": meaning if the price bounces here it would be a strong signal.
If not, then we are in for a new tragic slow downtrend for another couple of months in 2015.
* ()
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Bitcoin Winter 2014/2015 Outlook: Important price areas to watchNew version! I looked at all the original information from MtGox which is still available on TradingView and noticed that my last chart using Bitstamp prices and pivot dates wasn't aligned perfectly with the real pivot price data from MtGox (which shaped the price from 2010 until the melt down in 2014).
BTC has still a high risk too fall even more. The pink Gann fan line is now aligned higher than before, above the current price. And I added a three year average price, also in the color pink. As visible in the chart we are already in the red Fibonacci area behind the blue 1.382 Fibonacci trend line.
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Back to square one in a few weeks-- UPDATE --
This long-term this risk is still there, but as long as we keep on slowly going up (earlier ) since the massive correction down to $275 then this chart scenario posted here is going to be proven invalid.
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The precise rules of Bitcoin price bubbles vary but it usually involves traders hopping from square to square, missing out the square containing their thrown targets. They go from one to (usually) eight or ten and then back to square one.
Bitcoin price doom analysis: Why Bitcoin might crash to $85-$110BTC could go as low as $250 and even $85-$110 is possible. Here is why:
My original chart which I made one month ago had the title: "Bitcoin price doom analysis - Why Bitcoin might crash to $333"
Sadly BTC is falling even faster than anticipated. BTC is now below a two year moving average price (EMA 720 - the red line) which was at $369! Therefore I'm lowering my most bearish target price from $333 to $100. Everything is possible now. But I hope that BTC bounces at $285-$320
P.S. When I published the chart the price was still higher and I originally wrote: "BTC could go as low as $300-$320"
The easiest way to decide to buy or sell BitcoinThis Gann fan is hitting so many pivot price points (marked in blue rectangles) that it seems to be worth watching the coming weeks.
It makes forecasting easy. Either we stay above the 9/1 Gann fan which started in Summer 2013 and slowly start a new uptrend in Winter 2014 - or the price falls much much lower.
Predicting the next Bitcoin bubble with Stoch RSI and DMI StochObviously the Bitcoin price is currently in oversold territory - meaning the price can still sink a few US Dollar lower, but the price dive shouldn't be as dramatic anymore like it was from $683 to $442 or previously from $1163 to $339.
Using two Fibonacci Time Zones interestingly the Coppock curve might reach a low area where the second Fib Time Zone (which started in Summer 2013 at the $63 pivot point) indicates a reversal point on September 14, 2014 (time zone line no. 3). The Directional Movement Index Stochastic and the Directional Movement Index Stochastic Extreme indicators both currently signal a buy cross during the time this chart was published (price at chart creation was $475).
P.S. The DMI Stochastic was adapted for TradingView by user TheLark () and user ucsgears changed it to the Extreme version ()
Crude Oil Daily Outlookif you can see on the daily analysis, we can see there is 3 bullish pattern that will play at 84.60 or 78.48 not only that, we have a news that showing bad news for US so price going down, not only that we have broken trend line. so in my opinion price will continue lower at least to 84.60 before going up.. or could go more down to 78.48 :)
Bitcoin price doom analysis - Why Bitcoin might crash to $333Huge risk that Bitcoin falls much lower than $450.
Here is the past value increase trading range and resulting future value decrease possibility in this Bitcoin price channel.
Look at the "related ideas" to find more bearish ideas in my previous charts, especially this one:
The real reason Bitcoin is doomed in Summer 2014It’s been a happy couple of weeks in May, June and July 2014 for Bitcoin enthusiasts like me. Sadly we didn't break out of the overall downtrend since falling from around 1200 US Dollar per Bitcoin in December 2013 so far.
I was very enthusiastic in June 2014 that the yearly price increase pattern (bubble) repeats very soon. But 600 US Dollar is only the 50% retracement from the last all-time-high, which opens the risk possibility that the BTC price goes lower than the 0.5 retracement in the coming weeks. The recent move from 560 US Dollar to 607 US Dollar (Bitstamp price) was a bull trap and will therefore turn out as a dead cat bounce on the way down (UPDATE: The price has already fallen from 592 down to 585 since I published this chart 4 hours ago).
The Stoch RSI indicator already shows the beginning of a larger downtrend. Lacking bull power, if the Bitcoin price doesn't break out above 700 US Dollar that would mean that the price is in a position to continue the downtrend in the summer. And if Bitcoin stays below 600 US Dollar (current price is around 590 US Dollar) then I expect the price to test the last support area, which is around 400 US Dollar (maybe we bounce of 425 US Dollar or 450 US Dollar). If you need another reason for the current downtrend then check the volume. Here is an example by TerryKinder:
The next Fibonacci retracement at 0.618 (61.8%) would mean the BTC price visits 500 US Dollar again. The following lower Fibonacci retracement at 0.764 (76.4%) would bring very critical Bitcoin price support at 350 US Dollar. My analysis is based on many indicators besides the Stoch RSI, maybe I will post all the other signals I found so far as updates in the comments of this chart. However the Stoch RSI alone is very reliable in the weekly chart. I once made a comparison for myself with the MACD vs StochRSI and I would have made much more money (around double the amount) using only the Stoch RSI as indicator in the weekly chart to determine entry and exit since 2012 than if I had used only the MACD.
Bullish outlook: If the price goes only down to 500 US Dollar and some very good news brings in much more new Bitcoin users - in that case the downtrend might reverse into a uptrend. Based on the (hypothetical) very good news we could see a new Bitcoin price rally, when we finally break the resistance at 700 US Dollar. That uptrend would then bring us back to test 1000 US Dollar. But we are not there yet. First the price has to clean up in the Summer the overall downtrend from the last all-time-high at 1200 US Dollar.
I created this chart as response to the bullish chart created by ItisCalvin: Make sure to visit "related ideas" (see below) where I added my last downtrend corresponding charts.
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"The point about a prediction is not that it’s true. A prediction is either a warning or a hope. Predictions should never claim to be true. But you can claim they are possibilities that there is something you ought to think about.” - Freeman Dyson