EURUSD SHORT!! EYES ON DATA!What we see on the EU is quite clear,
So we expect price to have bearish move in higher time-frame, in lower time frame we can collect some orders just above then we start out bearish move,
I do not believe we break 1.08464,
This week is challenging week for EU as we have different data coming in euro-zone,
SO you have to be careful of the data and you have to study them properly then imply them on the chart,
For now we are above important demand zone we expect to collect more liquidity from above to have a strong bearish move,
Personally waiting for London Session to open then decide and see how it goes,
Any question comment me bellow!
@FxShzd team
Outlook
XAUUSD: Gold Price Forecast!XAU/USD holds steady above 1,920 level, not out of the woods yet
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has indicated that interest rates may still need to increase by up to 50 basis points by the end of this year. Furthermore, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in his recent two-day testimony before Congress, stated that the US central bank does not foresee any rate cuts in the near future. The Fed will wait until it is confident that inflation is trending towards the 2% target before making any changes. As a result, the focus will be on the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, on Friday. This release could impact expectations regarding the next policy decision.
Some comments in the unstable market!GBPCAD: Although limiting wage increases should, in theory, help the Bank of England (BoE) tame inflation, such a decision could pave the way for union strikes and put the UK economy in a tougher spot than it already is. Meanwhile, the uncertainty surrounding this issue is likely to cause investors to stay away from Pound Sterling.
GBPJPY: On the Japanese Yen front, soft inflation data has added some pressure. Scrutiny of Japan’s inflation report conveyed that contribution from higher oil prices is fading and domestic demand is contributing effectively. This could be the outcome of higher wages due to consistent monetary stimulus by the BoJ.
EURJPY: The European Central Bank's forum on central banking in Sintra has started, with many central bank officials from around the world in attendance. ECB President Lagarde will speak several times, as will other ECB policymakers, starting on Tuesday. If the ECB wants to send a message to the market this week, it has an opportunity. The most likely scenario is to stick to the current "data-dependent" mantra, signaling another rate hike in July.
NZDCHF: The 4-hour chart highlights a possible Butterfly formation with the next leg being CD to the upside. We have formed a bullish Morning Doji Star pattern at the base. This formation is often seen at the bottom of a trend and the start of a new upside bias.
USD crucial week ahead... 😏Hey Traders! 👋
For Day 32/100 of our challenge, we will take a jab at USD and where it could head to next week
Technicals:
- Last week has been aggressively bearish
- We're now at potential support at 102.2
- Also the 62% fib retracement from swing high
> Can possibly see USD gain some strength on rebound at these levels
> Or at 101 support
BUT: Invalidation Area
- If 101 is breached to the downside, expect further bearish conviction
6/1: Daily Recap, Outlook, and Trading PlanRecap
Over the past few weeks, a pattern has emerged where Thursdays and Fridays see a violent squeeze, followed by a "hangover" state in the first few days of the next week. Both last week and this week so far have followed this pattern. We are currently in the sub-4200 congestion zone after yesterday's dip, having retraced about 60% of last week's rally.
The Markets
🌏 Asia: Mixed
🌍 Europe: Up
🌎 US Index Futures: Up slightly
🛢 Crude Oil: Up slightly
💵 Dollar: Down
🧐 Yields: Down
🔮 Crypto: Down a bit
Trading Plan
💪 4193 - 4185 is support
📈 Next minor is 4212, then 4221
📉 Pullback if 4185 fails is 4167, then 4145
Key Structures
The purple triangle backtest has a support level of 4147 and a resistance level of 4190. Resistance is now around 4221 on the small white channel. A new leg up to break the weekly high would begin if this area could be reclaimed.
Support Levels
4193 (major), 4185-88, 4176, 4167-70, 4160, 4146, 4137, 4125-28, 4112-15, 4099 (major), 4084, 4070-75, 4062, 4048 (major), 4036, 4030 (major)
Resistance Levels
4200-05 (major), 4213, 4221, 4230, 4240-43 (major), 4247, 4263, 4274
Trading Plan
Expect a more complex trading session today, with possibilities for both long and short setups. The 4190 triangle level was reclaimed at around 4194, offering some long exposure opportunities. However, trading in the 4185-90 zone requires skill and a strong real-time sense of action due to its messy and well-tested nature. An alternative is to test around 4185, then spike back up to 4192 for an entry. Potential knife catch long locations include the 4160 and 4146 levels if there is a leg down.
Wrap Up
Yesterday's session was complex and future sessions are likely to follow suit. After the easy trend last week, it's time to be strategic. Focus on reacting, with a loose lean as follows: as long as 4193-85 holds, a push back to 4213 and 4221, followed by another dip, is possible. If 4185 fails, a correction may be needed, possibly down to 4160.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
XAUUSD: Seller's Opportunity!Greetings to all traders! I have some valuable trading-related information that I would like to share with you. Please give it a read and if you find it helpful, kindly leave a positive feedback and consider following me ❤️
The technical indicators are signaling a potential increase in risk and a decline in earnings, which may worry those who are bullish on the stock market in 2023. As a result, the price of gold may be negatively affected. Additionally, it is important to consider the negative impact that silver's recent outperformance may have. Historically, silver tends to outperform gold before major market downturns occur. With silver having corrected 50% of its 2022 decline, this is a significant sell signal. Overall, there are several indicators that suggest that gold prices may decrease in the future. While seasonal factors may currently be boosting sentiment, it is important to maintain a realistic long-term outlook.
SELL XAUUSD zone 1998 - 2000
Stoploss: 2007
Take profit1: 1990
Take profit2: 1980
Take profit3: 1965
BUY XAUUSD zone 1983 - 1985 (scalping)
Stoploss: 1980
Take profit1: 1990
Take profit2: 2000
Note: Note: Full TP, SL for winning the market and safe trading!
GBPJPY(15min) BREAK AND RETESThello, currently GJ hit a price reversal number structure fib and am hoping for it to push down for a minor structure sell, but that will happen if the major and minor trendline are broken this is minor structure sell mainly for scalpers, only enter if your confluences are aligning accordingly.
JESUS LOVES YOU
AAPL - 2023 idea
NASDAQ:AAPL
Based on the current trends and information available, it appears that AAPL is in a corrective x wave uptrend. While there is always the possibility of unexpected changes in the market, the chances of this being the case are higher at the moment.
Looking ahead, it is expected that there will be a last z wave correction before the flat 2022 - 2023 correction. Once this occurs, it is anticipated that weekly wave 4 will be complete.
Overall, it is important to continue to monitor the market closely and make adjustments as needed based on any new information that becomes available.
There is an alternative (grey). The alternative would be that we have already completed the correction and therefore we are already in the new wave 1 and a new uptrend. But it doesn't look like a proper wave 1 right now, therefore I do only see 30% chance of this pattern.
GBPCAD Bullish Outlook and 2 Possible Scenarios
In this multi-time frame analysis, I go over the bullish outlook and forecast on GBPCAD.
I outlined the 2 possible scenarios of the price to wait for in order to confirm the next bullish up move.
Remember to clearly understand what forecasting is for to give you a better entry rather than blindly enter without any price action confirmations.
Higher time frame:
BTCUSD to Top and Drop Late JanuaryA couple of roadmaps from the past few months copied and pasted over the current market. Both are in alignment with one another, indicating BTCUSD to potentially have a significant drop of 10% to 20% on Monday 30th Jan or Tuesday 31 Jan.
There are further roadmaps aligning on smaller time frames also indicating a potential high Monday/Tuesday.
Let's see how we go.
2023-2024 Forecast - from Dow Jones 2000-2002 dot com RoadmapThis is a chart of the Dow Jones 2000-2002 dot com bubble market overlaid on the Australian share price index, but really, this Dow Jones market could be laid upon a number of U.S. indices and you would still find a high level of correlation.
The forecast dates are unlikely to align. The overlaid will need to be pushed and pulled forwards a backwards by a number of months to achieve 1, 2 or possibly 3 'best-fit' potential outcomes.
The major low is generally more likely to aligning with a secondary low (a low just before or after the major low), or possibly one of the highs between the lows.
S&P500 - Outlook - 2023 - 1st Week of JanuaryS&P500 Outlook for the 1st week of January 2023.
Looking for a minor high, or the beginning of a strong move to the downside to HEAVILY short the market within the first few days, or first trading week of January.
1) Always have your stop loss in place.
2) Always have your 'take-profit' target planned before entering.
3) Always be open to being wrong, and exit when the market is not heading in the anticipated direction.