Simple RSI-MA Algo Beats DOW By Huge Margin Over Past 100 Years!This simple RSI-MA long/short algorithm beats the Dow by a FREAKING HUGE margin over the past century (excluding dividends and trading costs).
The algorithm uses a fast SMA of the RSI as a buy/cover signal and a slow SMA of the RSI as a sell/short signal.
Backtest period = 09/17/1916 - 11/02/2015
DJIA = 98 --> 17,830 = +18,094% = 5.38% CAGR
Algorithm = net profit + open P/L = +43,349% = 6.31% CAGR
Notice how the algorithm dodged both the 30s' Great Depression and the 2008 Crisis. Pretty cool huh? :)
ALGORITHM'S FORMULA (use weekly chart):
Buy/Cover = MA10(RSI10) cross> 50
Sell/Short = MA50(RSI10) cross< 50
STRATEGY TESTER'S SETTINGS:
- Initial cash = $10,000
- Pyramiding disabled
- Re-investment enabled (order size = 100% of equity)
- Trade re-calculations disabled
DISCLAIMER: None of my ideas and posts are investment advice. Past performance is not an indication of future results. This strategy was constructed with the benefit of hindsight and its future performance cannot be guaranteed.
Outperformer
SPX Long/Short Momentum Algorithm Beats S&P500 By A Huge Margin!This simple algorithm uses Exponential Moving Averages of the S&P 500's Relative Strength Index to trigger buy/sell and short/cover signals on a daily chart. I've backtested the algorithm for SPY (1994-present), SPX (1981-present), SPX500 (1971-present), and it beats the S&P 500 in every occasion. The algorithm cannot correctly time every single crash or correction but for the most part, it can avoid and even profit from most major market downturns. Backtest results show that it would have timed both the 2000 and 2008 crashes beautifully.
By the way, a new sell/short signal was generated just a few days ago. The last time this happened was in 2008. Hmm... :)
Algorithm Rules:
Long Entry/Short Exit = EMA100(RSI50) cross> 50
Long Exit/Short Entry = EMA200(RSI50) cross< 50
Enjoy!
~Kory
China breaks out! Set to continue its decades-long Bull-MarketAfter the big pop in asset-prices in 2007, the Hang Seng Index seems to having broke out of its years long consolidation pattern (ABC-Structure) this month, and now is to continue its decades-long bull market. Very strong fundamentals such as a low P/E-Ratio and a good GDP-Growth support the trend. China has a very good chance to lead the emerging markets performance-wise.
Cash Rich Tech Small Cap- IQNT Ready to ExplodeIQNT has been on a tear all year long. Respecting its' trendline, IQNT has gained 550% since April of 2013, and with a p/e ratio under 10, it is STILL undervalued. This cash rich company has no debt, and its' growth potential is strong. The stock has recently made its' highest close in over 2.5 years. With the technical signals triggering buying oppurtunites, its' low float of 31.2 Million shares can send this stock flying. Short term price target is 18.50, and with earnings in July, this company can prove to be a 1 billion market cap stock.