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Overbought

USDCAD | Short H4 | Market Exe | Loonie to Ride the GreenbackTechnical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H1 & H4 time-frame - Price action is at a Supply Zone area - Price action may reverse towards the ascending support Trendline - Targeting the 38.2% Fibo retracement Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 1.3760 - 1.3800 SL @ 1.3854 TP 1 @ 1.3697 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 1.3611 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.12 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
6
BNBUST | Short H4 | Market Exec |Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 time-frame - Price action is close to a Resistance Trendline & a Consolidation are - Price action may reverse back towards the previous Demand Zone Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 560 - 570 SL @ 580.66 TP 1 @ 552 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 535.15 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.18 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
2
EURNZD | Short H1 | Market Exe |Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 time-frame - Price action reversed away from Supply area - Price action may reverse back towards Resistance Trendline and 61.8% Fibo Retracement Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 1.8100 - 1.8110 SL @ 1.8156 TP 1 @ 1.8057 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 1.8009 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.03 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
EURCHF | Short H1 | Market Exec | Taking a Safe Haven TradeTechnical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 & D1 time-frame - Price action is at a Consolidation/Supply area - Price action may reverse towards the lower Consolidation/Demand area Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 0.9815 -0.9835 SL @ 0.9879 TP 1 @ 0.9767 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.9707 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.00 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
EURGBP | MT Short H4 | Betting Against the EURPair: OANDA:EURGBP Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Short Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 and H1 time-frames - Price action has multiple resistance from trendlines & also a horizontal trendline (supply zone) - Aiming for the 50% Fibo Retracement which the horizontal line shows a supply-demand zone. Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Nothing much can dictate the movement of this FX pair as they are heavily trade-related like the FX:AUDNZD . Any major movement will come from supply-demand areas, monetary policies or economic data gyrations. Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 0.8590 - 0.8620 SL @ 0.8643 TP 1 @ 0.8562 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.8522 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.22 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
GBPCAD | Short H4 | Market Exe | Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 time-frame - Price action is at a Supply Zone area - Price action may reverse back below Resistance Trendline Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 1.7140 - 1.7160 SL @ 1.7258 TP 1 @ 1.7012 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 1.6809 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 3.41 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated ! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
USDJPY | MT Short H4 | Riding on BOJ InterventionPair: FX:USDJPY Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Short Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames - Price action may face some resistance from a previous support line - Price is close to 61.8% Fib Extension Level - Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Dividend repatriation season for Japan where MNCs bring back USD dividends and converts them to JPY - These levels may see BOJ intervening to stop the Yen weakness - Yield differential between USA and Japan cannot be denied and dovish BOJ doesn't help much; hence the weak JPY unless we see a firmer BOJ - Further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension may bring on risk-off moves and see the JPY strengthen Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 154.00 - 155.15 SL @ 156.56 TP 1 @ 151.30 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 149.27 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 3.03 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Short
by weekendanalyst
2
CHFJPY | MT Short H4 | The Battle of 2 Safe HavensPair: FX:CHFJPY Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Short Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames - Price action may face some resistance from a previous support line - Price has retraced to 61.8% Fib Retracement Level - Aiming for the lower Support trendline from the mid of 2023 Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - SNB has been repeatedly concerned about a strong CHF while BOJ is concerned about a weak JPY - These levels may see BOJ intervening to stop the Yen weakness and vice versa for SNB - SNB is the first developed nation to start their cutting rate cycles and BOJ has just started hiking Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 169.50 - 170.20 SL @ 170.84 TP 1 @ 168.68 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 167.18 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.31 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Short
by weekendanalyst
USDCAD | LT Short D1 | Oil to power CAD StrengthPair: FX:USDCAD Timeframe: D1 - Long Term (LT) Direction: Short Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames - Price action is at the top-end resistance of a parallel channel - Horizontal trendline looks like a supply zone across few periods - Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - A strong oil story from ongoing geopolitical risks is a strong story for CAD's economy to remain their hold on interest rates while US's reflation story has been priced in by markets - Risk is further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension which continue the rush to safe-havens like USD or JPY. Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 1.3750 - 1.3850 SL @ 1.3898 TP 1 @ 1.3640 (TP Half-Position & move SL to Entry level for B/Even once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 1.3567 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.08 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Short
by weekendanalyst
8
BTC | MT Short H4|Consolidation Period Pair: BTCUSDT Timeframe: H4 Direction: Short Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastic momentum is close to Overbought Conditions - Price action close to few Horizontal and Resistance Trendlines - Aiming for the 1st 23.6% Fibo Retracement Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - There is a large diversion between the positioning of Long-Term & Short-Term Participants in the futures space. A squeeze may happen. Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 70,700 - 71,200 SL @ 72,685 TP 1 @ 68,600 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 65,700 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 3.19(Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by weekendanalyst
🔥❤️GOLD TO 2370-2390🔥❤️❤️MY FOREX TEAM❤️ INFORMATION Gold price continues to rise amid growing geopolitical tensions. Gold prices hit record highs above $2,350 even as rate cut bets ease. A rally in gold persisted even as technical indicators showed the yellow metal was squarely in overbought territory. 💲BUY / SELL SIGNAL UPDATES SHORTLY💲 Follow channel for regular updates Everyone success..👍👍👍 ❤️MY FOREX TEAM - Technical Analysis Technical indicators SMA | EMA | MACD | SAR | VWAP | RSI | MARKET TREND | NEWS ❤️NOTE Gold price soars, supported by weakening US Dollar in face of high Treasury yields. XAU/USD was boosted by Fed Chair Powell hinting at rate cuts within the year, contingent on sustained inflation decline. Despite a strong job market as shown by ADP data, indications of a slowdown in services activity contribute to the precious metal's gains. ❤️MONEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT ⚡️ Only Trade With Risk Capital ⚡️ Cut Losses Short, Let Profits Run On ⚡️ Avoid Using Too Much Leverage ⚡️ Avoid Taking Too Much Heat ⚡️ Do Not Give in to Greed ⚡️ Take profit equal to 4-6% of your capital ⚡️ Stop lose equal to 2-3% of your capital
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by My_Forex_Team
SHIBUSD need to rest LONG again laterShiba Inu has pushed quite hard. I can only think of sled dogs ona long marathon push over a sun prepared snow trail. The ride might be frictionless but nonetheless grueling and perhaps time for a rest. The chart shows the breakout and then extension above the VWAP lines that are trying to catch up. In proper risk management. I will take half the position off here and have it ready to add at least part of it back if the rest is a stable consolidation in the upcoming day.
COINBASE:SHIBUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
11
GOLD, 2088 should be holding for the momentHello everyone, price action in Gold continues to be very strange and we saw a significant move to the upside after a bear trap formed below 2000. The move went directly to the 2088 resistance (and orderblock) and a correction from the local overbought conditions is likely. The elliot wave count at this stage is very unclear, but I left my count on the chart. It's still possible to break down again towards lower price targets in the 19xx area. At this moment it's not clear at all for me. I would like to see your comments and wave counts below, so feel free to share.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kyrean
2
BTC - When in doubt; Zoom out!🔎Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 After breaking above the $70,000, BTC is heading towards the next potential round number at $80,000 How high can BTC climb? The marked red arrow represents a significant resistance and overbought zone as it marks the intersection of the upper red trendline and $80,000 round number. 🏹 Thus it would be a robust area to anticipate a potential reversal. Meanwhile, as long as the 70k holds, a continuation towards the 80k would be expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
6
DOGE: Breakout Potential/ Long-Term Investment Considerations Accumulation Range Breakout: BINANCE:DOGEUSDT has successfully broken out of its previous accumulation range over the past few weeks. 🐃This breakout confirms a bullish trend reversal and indicates potential for further price appreciation.🐃 🍣Key Resistance Level and Consolidation: The price has reached a significant resistance level, leading to price consolidation and RSI reset. A successful breakout above this resistance level could propel the price towards the next weekly resistance at 0.3. 📊Volume and RSI Considerations: Adequate market volume is crucial to facilitate a breakout above the current resistance level. RSI approaching the overbought zone would indicate strong momentum and support the bullish case. 📈MID-Term Investment Potential: Based on higher targets, DOG could be a viable investment option if the overall market trend remains favorable. However, investors should exercise caution due to the inherent risks associated with cryptocurrency investments. 🔍📉Reversal and Ranging Scenarios: Rejection at the current resistance level and a breakdown of the RSI trendline could result in a price correction or extended consolidation. 🚫Investors should monitor these factors and adjust their strategies accordingly. 🚫This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and employ sound risk management practices before investing.🚫
Long
by solinash1
XVS Cryptocurrency Analysis: Uptrend Continuation or Correction This analysis examines the current state of the XVS cryptocurrency and assesses its potential future direction. Technical Analysis: Battling Weekly Resistance: XVS is facing a significant hurdle at the weekly resistance level, which could determine the course of its future trend. Escaping the Accumulation Box: The recent breakout from the daily accumulation box marked a notable 80% surge. Insufficient Rest Calls for Correction: The current uptrend lacks sufficient retracement, which is typically necessary for sustained upward momentum. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support: The blue trendline support acts as a critical barrier, with a breach potentially leading to a retracement towards the previous weekly resistance. Resistance: The next weekly resistance level presents a significant obstacle for further upward movement. RSI Indicator: Overbought Territory: The RSI indicator is approaching the overbought zone, suggesting a potential correction. Momentum Confirmation: A break above the overbought threshold could signal strong upward momentum. Lower Timeframe Analysis: 4-Hour Timeframe: A more detailed analysis on the 4-hour timeframe provides a clearer picture of the current price action and potential support and resistance levels. Conclusion: The XVS cryptocurrency is at a critical juncture, with the outcome of the battle at the weekly resistance level determining its future direction. A correction is likely before further upward movement can occur. but considering decreasing the volume the out come might be different. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and employ sound risk management practices before trading.
Short
by solinash1
Is MRVL overextended ? SHORTMRVL on the 60 minute chart certainly had an impressive run for two days gaining 16%. The chart however shows the bullish candles are decreasing in range and price is more than two standard deviations above the mean VWAP and far outside the high volume area of the volume profile. Bullish volatility fell to close the trading week on Friday afternoon. My trade plan is to watch MRVL for consolidation and then a retracement of its bullish move. A cross of the faster green RSI down under the slower red RSI will be the bearish divergence to be seen to consider MRVL for a short trade.
NASDAQ:MRVLShort
by AwesomeAvani
1
NCI NASDAQ's Cryptocurrency Index SHORTOn a 2H chart, the index has had a 125% trend up since October averaging 25% per month but accelerating. I wanted to see if there are any signs of an impeding correction given the uptrend's duration. The past week added about 10% which seems unsustainable. The RSI is not yet in high overvalued /bought territory but is on the approach. The predictive algo indicators may suggest some upside but when zooming in the trendlines are relatively flat. The candlesticks are showing prominent topping wicks. The Bollinger bands show a " upper band march" after the run up of the past week. Overall, at least for the immediate to intermediate term, I see no upside for this index. As applied to my trading, I will take no new long positions of BTC and ETH. I will consider taking partial profits at the highs of the upcoming several days at 10% each time. At some point when a reversal is more definitive I may take short positions in them.
NASDAQ:NCI
by AwesomeAvani
Price overextension: misconceptions and common mistakesPrice overextension remains a widely misunderstood concept in trading, causing both novice and seasoned traders to make errors in their decision-making. This misinterpretation often leads to placing trades in the wrong direction or, equally detrimental, overlooking profitable opportunities. In essence, price overextension signifies that the market has undergone a rapid and excessive movement in one direction. Such movements are often perceived as unsustainable. Numerous indicators, such as Stochastic, RSI, Bollinger Bands and many other, attempt to identify such "abnormal" price movements so traders could capitalize on them. Despite variations in statistical methods and calculations, their common goal is to detect instances where price went or down too much and is likely to reverse. In this discussion, I will use Relative-Strength-Index (RSI), a popular indicator, to convey my perspective on price overextension. While some traders argue for customization, the elusive question of "how" often remains unanswered. From my experience, there are no universally perfect settings that consistently yield optimal results. I’ll draw my examples from the recent SPY bar chart (February 2024). The first misconception The first misconception is that if price is overextended it is time to immediately start looking for a trade in the opposite direction. The most important phrase here is “start looking”. Many beginners misinterpret this as an invitation to commence trading, leading to the premature initiation of short positions during perceived market "overextension" and vice versa. So, the first and foremost important advice is to never try guessing top/bottom based on one indicator or gut feeling. Simple as it seems I remember many times breaking this rule myself because the temptation was too strong. It rarely ended up well. On the graph, I've highlighted three recent instances where the RSI exceeded 70 (indicating overbought conditions). What stands out is that, following each occurrence, the price surged significantly before consolidation set in, inflicting losses upon short traders. Even experienced traders, who look for confluence of signals, may fall into this trap. In the first two examples, bearish candlestick patterns failed to prevent subsequent price increases. Most likely, those candles were “created” by weak hands traders, who tried to short market, while it was actually controlled by strong buyers. These instances could have been avoided by considering the daily graph, revealing a robust bullish context – price was in an uptrend, one-time-framing up on weekly. There were couple of moments when bears gained short term control (Tuesdays 13th and 20th) but they never could take the previous week low; bulls always confirmed their control. The second advice is to avoid trading against higher level context. While sometimes those trades might work the result is usually mediocre and most of the times you’ll simply lose. If you really wish to trade against context you need to construct a solid dossier of evidence, supporting your trade. The second misconception What is the second misconception? It is that when price overextended it is not time to go with the market. In this scenario, traders refrain from initiating long trades after RSI indicates overbought conditions, potentially causing them to miss profitable opportunities. It might not hurt your account but who likes missing good opportunities? Surprisingly, seizing these trades correctly is not much harder than any other trade. It simply requires prudence and discipline and getting rid-off cognitive biases. For example, in the second example on the graph a trader could win up to 1% if he played off gap-up open after seeing that the new price has found acceptance. Conclusion It is possible to build a profitable strategy that relies on “price overextension” concept. However, it demands more than a cursory examination of a single indicator and adherence to textbook candle patterns. Personally, I reached a point where I entirely abandoned the use of RSI and similar tools because, instead of providing clarity, they seemed to cloud my thinking. Opting for a more effective approach involves keenly observing actual market behavior, which often defies conventional expectations. Study of high-level contexts, understanding key levels, and discerning confluence in price action signals on lower timeframes consistently prove invaluable. This method helps steer clear of common pitfalls and contributes to enhancing overall trading results.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by hermes_trisme
BTC / Bitcoin - Consensus of Indicator Analysis / ForecastOn this highly reliable weekly chart I have placed and added various indicators. My review of them is on the chart. Solely from the perspective of my review and analysis and not at all setting aside the idea of BTC to $250K in 2024, Bitcoin may be overbought with a high RSI and MACD about to cross lines over a relatively thin histogram. Price is higher than the 3rd VWAP band line 3 standard deviations above the mean of the anchored VWAP and the mass index is above the threshold for it to fall to trigger a reversal Accordingly, I will not add to my position and will hold what I have. Further, i will take a look at the NASDAQ Cryptocurrency Index and if it appears to be similar to BTC which is the biggest market cap within that index, I will not add to ETHUSD or any of the other "stable coins". I am prepared to short BTC on a forex exchange with leverage once an established trend is seen on a 60-180 minute chart with checking ADX and DI +.
by AwesomeAvani
BTC - Still Bullish...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. BTC is currently hovering around the upper bound of the orange channel. 📈 The bulls will remain in control, unless the last low marked in red at 50,400 is broken downward. 📉 In such a scenario, the bearish correction would start leading to a movement till 48,000 demand zone. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
8