DownSelling over bought in a down trend, quick fall to target in 1-2 days else just wait will it hit tp or sl
Oversold
Bitcoin Drops Over 10% After Rejection at $67,000Market Update:
In the last few days, Bitcoin's price has dropped by more than 10%, following a rejection at the $67,000 level.
BTC has now fallen to the critical support area at $61,000.
Technical Outlook:
The market is currently oversold, and there is potential for BTC to rise and test the next resistance level around $64,000.
It is crucial that the $61,000 support level holds, as a break below this area could trigger a deeper decline, with the next lower range support around $57,000.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoUpdate #SupportLevels #Oversold #BTCPriceAction
EURGBP:More Selling Is Indicated Next-week. Long positions soon.
An easy trend following Short of EURGBP, forget the complexities of for-example trading Gold, this one was 'in the bag' as a Short all week. Just pull up a 4 hour chart and it looks so easy!
Further Short-selling I think next week of EURGBP but if you take a look at the monthly-chart below you will see where the 200EMA-Monthly has supported price previously and lots of historical buying from Order-blocks from 0.8250 to 0.8316.
So a Short from current price 0.8377 should work well but I think buying accumulation from 0.8316 - 0.8250 and I think before long EURGBP which is severely oversold even on a weekly & monthly-timeframe, will get a bounce in price - but for how long?
Sellers could move back-in very quickly if the EUR does not bounce back with strength - Sellers would next time Short the EUR through and south of the monthly 200EMA.
The 4HR USDX W-Bottom Rocketing USD - Today!
I know it reads like a headline in a newspaper trying to sell the Sunday paper, but that is really not me. But I am also not the kind of person who finds keeping a good secret - a secret.
We are all here on Tradingview to watch each other's backs in a risk management and learning experience kind of way, in relation to being a consistent and profitable trader.
A couple of things to be aware of today in your Friday-trading. I am quite convinced that the USDX will be propelled upwards & finally through 101.85 causing a sustained breakout in the dollar over the next several days to a week.
I see this occurring right before, at the open or within in an hour or 2 of the NY market session today. What reason(s) do I have to be propagating this type of fear and panic into Traders today. I will tell you right below!
The 4HR W/Bottom is now properly formed. Well the finishing touches are being made to the right-side of the W as I write, which will give the dollar plenty of relative strength. Helping that cause? Well of course that would be the momentum -oscillators RSI & Stochastic's on the higher timeframes.
I watch these a lot in my own trading because they warn me about supply/demand levels especially when commodities, currency's, stocks, metals etc, enter their overbought and oversold zones - for example the USD has been beaten down the past month or so and it's now oversold, but when something is oversold, provided that it's a commodity, currency or thing that people want and demand again, it's oversold state becomes one with increasing buyer demand at cheaper prices - then boom - breakout.
I will be watching closely the Vix Index as well. I see it possibly breaking higher than 15% today and as for Gold - well after yesterday's shot-in-the-arm, I for one will be Shorting it back to 2430 to 2450 levels.
Finally, take a look at the following current 4HR USDX chart. What I see occurring with the Oscillators' is that the RSI / Stochastic's on the 1HR, 2HR, 4HR Daily & Weekly Charts, will cross-up out of their oversold condition's concurrently and simultaneously, igniting the USDX off it's W-Bottom and smashing through 101.85 without so much as the blink of an eye.
Maybe I am a looney you are thinking? Yes, but a looney who capitalises ahead of time.
e.l.f. Beauty (ELF): Oversold and Ready for a ReboundIt has been quite some time since we last took a look at e.l.f. Beauty, and our previous conclusion was that we could be seeing some more selling pressure. We were right about it; after a brief relief pump, the stock sold off by more than 45%.
In the end, our prediction about ELF being due for a sell-off was correct, and we are now back in the targeted area. Although we haven't touched the HVN POC yet, the situation looks both promising and concerning at the same time.
Additionally, the RSI is oversold for the first time since October 2023. Given the current market conditions and the prevailing uncertainty, we are not planning to go long on ELF at this time. However, it does appear ready to either fall a bit more or take off. We will continue to monitor it closely and have already set alerts. If we see an upward push, we might consider entering on a retest, but for now, we're staying on the sidelines.
We hope this update has been helpful to you 🔥
Bitcoin Sells Off For Demand To Re-Enter:Next Move-Up Likely BIG
I noticed on Friday at the NY close when Gold/Silver/Stocks, practically everything sold off as the VIX Index threatened it's climb & got to around 13% on the day.
But as NY wound down around 4pm local time, I saw all the Crypto's starting to hammer into green zones.
The main reason my feeling is that they had been beaten down severely in price & when price get beaten down, demand starts to increase and buyers swarm in. This is also supported on the higher time frame Stochastic's which I follow - call me old-skool but they tell me a lot.
What the Oscillators are telling me about Bitcoin presently is that a further oversold condition needs to occur (only a tad tiny bit more) which is more than likely playing out right now. The demand which enters Bitcoin on this leg down when price gets too hard to turn up, will be a massive turn up in price for Bitcoin.
Because of the laws of supply & demand and given that Bitcoin and Crypto are brutally oversold causing buyers to flood in commencing right now, it will be Bitcoin and Crypto that breakout in price way ahead of Silver and Gold in reference to the likelihood of an interest rate cut in just over 10 days time.
CAD JPY: Also Very Weak. Reversal Is Coming!
I posted the Chinese Yuan & Japanese Yen Short-Trade a little earlier.
Well the CAD JPY Daily Chart is almost a Carbon-copy of it. I would go so far as to say that this one is a tad weaker. Either should be a good Short-Trade. I will be on them both on Monday.
I need a break from trading Gold. Variety in your trading is the spice right! I love the explosive, fast moves in Gold so long as I'm on the right side.
I will work out a Stop Loss for this trade a bit later.
The CAD will turn around soon as the low prices will bring demand back into the Canadian -currency & it will very quickly come out of its oversold condition. Meanwhile, I am confident there is some further weakness in the currency before things start to get rosy again.
USDX Analysis going into next week's Trading. See Weekly-Chart!
Buy AAAPL, Buy Googl, Buy QCOM, Buy McDonalds Fast Food.
I honestly have not checked their charts. But they are some of the stocks that must be starting to turnaround in their share prices following the recent sell-off, these companies I would say with their global franchises & operations would be benefiting from a weakening US-Dollar.
You can see in the Weekly chart where USDX is coming down into an area of Support on the Weekly chart & my feeling is that it will start to turnaround this coming week as its very oversold. But of-course if I may hedge my bets a bit, the path of least-resistance is down as it's well under important moving averages, but a reversal is imminent is my feeling.
* Trading/Investing in precious metals, currency's, commodities & stocks is risky. Please don't rely solely on my financial advice.
Why I am getting very Cautious trading Long - Gold / Precious M
USDX has really fallen off a cliff this week & this lowering of the USD has been supportive of Gold & all at a time when Gold has been bided up a bit too much & making the Gold price overbought on the Stochastic's higher-time-frames.
With USDX and the Gold-price having an inverse relationship, my chart shows just how much the USD has been oversold this week on the important 4HR, Daily & Weekly Stochastics.
A strong cross-up on the 20 level could signal a rally in USDX soon, I tip it will rally next week if not before finding strength during late Thursday and Friday trading.
There is a tonne of economic news coming out today Thursday morning, will it be a mixed bag and what impact will have on the Gold price and USDX... We will know later.
$EL | Allocation | Market Exec | Technical Confluences:
- Fibonacci retracement since the beginning of NYSE:EL 's history, puts the price action at the 78% retracement level
- It coincides with a Demand Zone as can be seen across the price history
- Stochastics are in Oversold conditions from Monthly, Weekly, Daily, H4 and even H1
- Will likely put Buy Stop levels at the Interest Zone areas to target a move to the 50% Fibo Retracement of this drastic bear move
Fundamental Confluences:
- Deep discount on a well-renowned brand
- Earnings does not look too good at the moment but they do own some global brands names in beauty care
- Growth can be weak now, but do you see people stop putting on cosmetics and ignore their appearances when they go out? If no, this share is definitely worth a try
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Putting in 2 portions of my NYSE:EL allocation now with more orders to be placed on in the future
Long-Term value hold in my portfolio.
Remember, DYOR.
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Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
$HIMS | Allocation | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
- Price action is near the 50% Fibo retracement area
- Price action have bounced off the 200 MA (Red) and has a valid Resistance Trendline with an Interest Zone nearby
- Stochastics is inn Oversold conditions in the Daily & Weekly timeframes
- Elliot Wave 4 seems to be completing at the 50% Fibo line and aim for the 100% Fibo Extension line @ 29.51
Fundamental Confluences:
- Telemedicine with US being a focus market is great as healthcare issues seems to be increasing; demographics start to shift right
- The main health markets that they target are issues that many in the society prefer to remain anonymous about and telemedicine solves that for them
- One negative would be the high expenses they are spending on A&P budgets, a drag but overtime, we can see the impact of what they have been pushing all these while
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Putting NYSE:HIMS as part of my medical/health category of my portfolio.
Will start my first allocation now and look at adding more into it if price moves into 50% - 61% Fibo range (Interest Zone).
Remember, DYOR.
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Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
$NKE | Allocation | Market Exec & Buy Limit |Technical Confluences:
- Price action is at the 61% Retracement for Recent Lows to Highs and the beginning of Nike's time (Strong Support)
- Price action is also at a Demand Zone
- Stochastics is at Oversold levels on the Weekly & Monthly TF
Fundamental Confluences:
- Regardless of weak Earnings and Forward Projections, Nike is still considered as a market leader in various aspects (Fashion, Fitness, Sports, Status etc.); brand loyalty will be retained at least for the next few years
- Who doesn't love Nike; aside from Adidas?
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NYSE:NKE is the next in my basket of portfolio. Allocating the first 20% of single-stock into my Long-Term portfolio.
The Nike brand will not die off that easily. Definitely, a value buy; for me.
Remember, DYOR.
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Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
$CELH | Buy Potential D1 | Market Exec | Technical Confluences:
- Elliot wave may have completed Wave 4 and begin the Wave 5 move
- Price action is close to the 78% Fibo levels and a Demand zone (Yellow Zone) area.
- Stochastics are at Oversold levels on both Weekly & Daily timeframes (TF)
Fundamental Confluences:
- Earnings was positive with both domestic & international revenue increasing, EPS beat, EBITDA also up
- Slowly gaining market share in the Energy drinks segment
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I see these levels as good for me to being some allocation of my Portfolio into $CELH.
Blue Zones & Fibo Extension levels (in Blue) will be the starting point of some my TP levels.
Remember, DYOR.
________________________________
Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
Bottom Fishing - TATASTEEL📊 Script: TATASTEEL
📊 Sector: Steel
📊 Industry: Steel - Large
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Right now RSI is trading at 32 stock came out of oversold zone, one can go for Bottom Fishing.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 160
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 174
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 151
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
SPX500 is oversold on the hourly chartThe SPX500's daily chart is still trading in a bullish zone. The hourly chart has pulled back to oversold territory suggesting a bullish snap-back may be due.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
GBPCHF - Already Over-Sold!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 GBPCHF has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel in red.
However, GBPCHF is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPCHF approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NIO ? Are traders ready to love it again LONGNIO on the daily is 95% below its ATH Winter of 2021 and 50% lower YTD. In China NIO is
competing well with XPEV, LI , BYD and TSLA while it makes further penetrative into the
EU market. Its unique concept in action is battery leasing and battery swapping making
charging time no longer relevant. Apparently, the battery swapping time from a depleted
battery to one carrying a charge is 15-20 minutes. Being a bottom-seeking bargain hunter quite
often, I will take a long trade here with a planned duration of two earnings periods.
Where bitcoin goes MARA follows - Current Macro developmentsHi guys! As usually i keep my eye open for macro changes or signals that may lead to major moves. Of which Marathon (MARA) has been on my radar.
This analysis is done on the 1 week timeframe.
We are currently attempting to get Above our Major level/ area around $18-20.
This area also coincides with the 21 EMA.
Which we are also ABOVE as we speak.
However, remember it has not yet confirmed that we managed to get Support from 21 EMA.
Also note that we recently tested Support on 50 SMA and have maintained it 6 weeks in a row. This fact makes me think, we will continue UP -> At the very least to the Upper range of the consolidation orange rectangle at $28.00
We have not yet printed a death cross which is a good sign indicating probabilities pointing towards continuation of Uptrend.
Pay attention to next weeks candle close for more clues.
Ive also highlighted our current price action to be part of a Consolidation range, from $15.00 to $28.00
I think it makes sense for us to be consolidating as we are making our way out of the bottom of the market for MARA. (around the 3.50 area) Since then we've already climbed roughly 1000% to our top around $34.
21 EMA and 50 SMA flattening out also supports the Consolidation occuring.
Consolidation is basically when an asset tries to digest rallies, trying to catch its breath.
And now we have to assess whether theres further momentum left to continue our Bull market or make our way back down.
If Bull market continues, we can make our way back to this Major Resistance lvl labeled. We have touched this line 3 times in history previously and it marks Blow off tops of Bull markets for MARA.
If we get rejected from this Major level, we can make our way back to the sloping Support trendline labeled below.
So to find a sense of whether or not MARA will continue or come down to test the lows, we look to 2 indicators that i love using to assess "momentum".
Notice the STOCH RSI.
Everytime we come down to the 20 lvl, we stay Below for extended periods ranging from 57 days to as much as 126 days.
When we cross Bullish and move UP Above 20 lvl, we tend to have Rallies UP.
1 pattern though, with STOCH is its relationship with Moving Averages 21 EMA and 50 SMA.
When Purple (21 EMA) crosses Below Green (50 SMA) Moving Average and there is a STOCH Bull cross, sometimes it doesn't impact big rallies.
BUT When Purple is on top of the Green Moving Average and STOCH crosses BUllish Above 20 lvl. This is a pattern seen in relation to big rallies UP
So if we can get a STOCH Bullish CROSS Above 20 level, while our 21 EMA is Above our 50 SMA, we can expect to see a continuation rally. Watch also for a break Up and confirmation out of the consolidation zone.
The MACD is currently ABOVE the 0 level, with waning or decreasing Bearish sentiment. This is seen from the print of the lighter red bar of the histogram. The Blue/Orange lines are also attempting to Curve Up and try to Cross Bullish.
If we continue to print smaller lighter Red bars, and then see a Green bar print, it is likely momentum has turned Bullish.
Bullish Crosses ABOVE 0 level, tend to rally Upwards.
A MACD and STOCH CROSS together would be even better sign of uptrend to be PROBABLE.
ANd if we Breakout of the consolidation rectangle we are currently in -> its likely we test "Major Resistance" at around $60.
Keep observing and paying attention.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on MARA in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Can SBUX rise from beating beaten down 15% YTD ?SBUX of late has been in a descending channel and has sloped down heavily in April.
It is now in deep undervalued and overbought territory at the bottom of the channel and
above the 3rd lower VWAP band line. The RSI lines ( both faster and slower) are bearish as
well. My trade plan is to watch Starbucks for a reversal which may be signaled by
bullish divergence on the RSI. SBUX has fallen through a volume void under the high volume
area. Once it reverses it could rise fairly quickly to 90 and then slower to 94. These will be
the targets.
Break down on technicals for Alibaba near historical lowsHi Guys. As always, heres a macro chart setup i've found to be a MUST WATCH, at the very least if not a potential long.
Analysis done on 1 week, indicating a macro analysis.
Alibaba (BABA), at current prices is roughly 75% from its blow off top in 2020.
Around October- November 2022, we tested support at the historical bottom and bounced to test the Resistance zone with a REJECTION.
Bringing us to our current price action where we have managed to maintain a HIGHER LOW.
This supports the idea that perhaps trend is shifting towards BABA wanting to move UP.
Notice also the Blue, Green and Purple Moving averages, Flattening out. This can be an indication that price is showing demand after moving averages moved down so much from the highs.
look for curve up in MA with crosses happening. This would be significantly supportive of probabilities we see Uptrend.
Essentially the order from top to bttom we want to see is:
1. Purple on top
2. Green next
3. Blue below that
4. Red below all
This is an indication of a Bull cycle. As you can see blatantly in previous history.
Notice also Volume which has been steadily increasing since 2019. Maintainence of Higher lows on Volume is also a good sign, that perhaps BABA may rally if we continue this volume trend.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on BABA in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
EURUSD | MT Long H4 |Overly OversoldPair: FX:EURUSD
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Long
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action has some support trend-line holding it
- Horizontal trendline looks like a demand zone across the years
- Horizontal trendline (Red) is at the 1% Fib Extension Level
- Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- EUR weakness has been mostly been pricing in the expectation that ECB will cut in June and diverge from the FED. Currently, priced in.
- Risk is further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.0620 - 1.0650
SL @ 1.0589
TP 1 @ 1.0698 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.0758
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.44 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
NZDCAD | Long H4 | Buy Limit | Milk/Oil Economy - 2nd EntryTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on H1 & H4 time-frame
- Price action is close to a Demand Zone (Yellow Area) & has Support Trendlines around
- Aiming for the next Consolidation Zone of Price Actions
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Very different economies with market data gyration will pretty much determine the direction of this trade.
Suggested Trade:
Buy Limit @ 0.8098
SL @ 0.8051
TP 1 @ 0.8150 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.8213
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.40 (Depending on Entry Level)
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Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
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