GBPCHF - Already Over-Sold!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 GBPCHF has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel in red.
However, GBPCHF is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPCHF approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Oversold
NIO ? Are traders ready to love it again LONGNIO on the daily is 95% below its ATH Winter of 2021 and 50% lower YTD. In China NIO is
competing well with XPEV, LI , BYD and TSLA while it makes further penetrative into the
EU market. Its unique concept in action is battery leasing and battery swapping making
charging time no longer relevant. Apparently, the battery swapping time from a depleted
battery to one carrying a charge is 15-20 minutes. Being a bottom-seeking bargain hunter quite
often, I will take a long trade here with a planned duration of two earnings periods.
Where bitcoin goes MARA follows - Current Macro developmentsHi guys! As usually i keep my eye open for macro changes or signals that may lead to major moves. Of which Marathon (MARA) has been on my radar.
This analysis is done on the 1 week timeframe.
We are currently attempting to get Above our Major level/ area around $18-20.
This area also coincides with the 21 EMA.
Which we are also ABOVE as we speak.
However, remember it has not yet confirmed that we managed to get Support from 21 EMA.
Also note that we recently tested Support on 50 SMA and have maintained it 6 weeks in a row. This fact makes me think, we will continue UP -> At the very least to the Upper range of the consolidation orange rectangle at $28.00
We have not yet printed a death cross which is a good sign indicating probabilities pointing towards continuation of Uptrend.
Pay attention to next weeks candle close for more clues.
Ive also highlighted our current price action to be part of a Consolidation range, from $15.00 to $28.00
I think it makes sense for us to be consolidating as we are making our way out of the bottom of the market for MARA. (around the 3.50 area) Since then we've already climbed roughly 1000% to our top around $34.
21 EMA and 50 SMA flattening out also supports the Consolidation occuring.
Consolidation is basically when an asset tries to digest rallies, trying to catch its breath.
And now we have to assess whether theres further momentum left to continue our Bull market or make our way back down.
If Bull market continues, we can make our way back to this Major Resistance lvl labeled. We have touched this line 3 times in history previously and it marks Blow off tops of Bull markets for MARA.
If we get rejected from this Major level, we can make our way back to the sloping Support trendline labeled below.
So to find a sense of whether or not MARA will continue or come down to test the lows, we look to 2 indicators that i love using to assess "momentum".
Notice the STOCH RSI.
Everytime we come down to the 20 lvl, we stay Below for extended periods ranging from 57 days to as much as 126 days.
When we cross Bullish and move UP Above 20 lvl, we tend to have Rallies UP.
1 pattern though, with STOCH is its relationship with Moving Averages 21 EMA and 50 SMA.
When Purple (21 EMA) crosses Below Green (50 SMA) Moving Average and there is a STOCH Bull cross, sometimes it doesn't impact big rallies.
BUT When Purple is on top of the Green Moving Average and STOCH crosses BUllish Above 20 lvl. This is a pattern seen in relation to big rallies UP
So if we can get a STOCH Bullish CROSS Above 20 level, while our 21 EMA is Above our 50 SMA, we can expect to see a continuation rally. Watch also for a break Up and confirmation out of the consolidation zone.
The MACD is currently ABOVE the 0 level, with waning or decreasing Bearish sentiment. This is seen from the print of the lighter red bar of the histogram. The Blue/Orange lines are also attempting to Curve Up and try to Cross Bullish.
If we continue to print smaller lighter Red bars, and then see a Green bar print, it is likely momentum has turned Bullish.
Bullish Crosses ABOVE 0 level, tend to rally Upwards.
A MACD and STOCH CROSS together would be even better sign of uptrend to be PROBABLE.
ANd if we Breakout of the consolidation rectangle we are currently in -> its likely we test "Major Resistance" at around $60.
Keep observing and paying attention.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on MARA in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Can SBUX rise from beating beaten down 15% YTD ?SBUX of late has been in a descending channel and has sloped down heavily in April.
It is now in deep undervalued and overbought territory at the bottom of the channel and
above the 3rd lower VWAP band line. The RSI lines ( both faster and slower) are bearish as
well. My trade plan is to watch Starbucks for a reversal which may be signaled by
bullish divergence on the RSI. SBUX has fallen through a volume void under the high volume
area. Once it reverses it could rise fairly quickly to 90 and then slower to 94. These will be
the targets.
Break down on technicals for Alibaba near historical lowsHi Guys. As always, heres a macro chart setup i've found to be a MUST WATCH, at the very least if not a potential long.
Analysis done on 1 week, indicating a macro analysis.
Alibaba (BABA), at current prices is roughly 75% from its blow off top in 2020.
Around October- November 2022, we tested support at the historical bottom and bounced to test the Resistance zone with a REJECTION.
Bringing us to our current price action where we have managed to maintain a HIGHER LOW.
This supports the idea that perhaps trend is shifting towards BABA wanting to move UP.
Notice also the Blue, Green and Purple Moving averages, Flattening out. This can be an indication that price is showing demand after moving averages moved down so much from the highs.
look for curve up in MA with crosses happening. This would be significantly supportive of probabilities we see Uptrend.
Essentially the order from top to bttom we want to see is:
1. Purple on top
2. Green next
3. Blue below that
4. Red below all
This is an indication of a Bull cycle. As you can see blatantly in previous history.
Notice also Volume which has been steadily increasing since 2019. Maintainence of Higher lows on Volume is also a good sign, that perhaps BABA may rally if we continue this volume trend.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on BABA in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
EURUSD | MT Long H4 |Overly OversoldPair: FX:EURUSD
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Long
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action has some support trend-line holding it
- Horizontal trendline looks like a demand zone across the years
- Horizontal trendline (Red) is at the 1% Fib Extension Level
- Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- EUR weakness has been mostly been pricing in the expectation that ECB will cut in June and diverge from the FED. Currently, priced in.
- Risk is further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.0620 - 1.0650
SL @ 1.0589
TP 1 @ 1.0698 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.0758
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.44 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
NZDCAD | Long H4 | Buy Limit | Milk/Oil Economy - 2nd EntryTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on H1 & H4 time-frame
- Price action is close to a Demand Zone (Yellow Area) & has Support Trendlines around
- Aiming for the next Consolidation Zone of Price Actions
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Very different economies with market data gyration will pretty much determine the direction of this trade.
Suggested Trade:
Buy Limit @ 0.8098
SL @ 0.8051
TP 1 @ 0.8150 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.8213
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.40 (Depending on Entry Level)
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Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
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Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
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EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis
The EUR/USD pair shows intriguing developments in the 4-hour chart, hinting at potential upward movement. Starting with the RSI, it has recently hit massively oversold levels, indicating a likely reversal as the market may deem the Euro undervalued against the Dollar.
Simultaneously, both the MACD and its signal line are trending upward in unison. This parallel rise is typically a bullish sign, suggesting growing momentum in buying activity.
Speaking of momentum, this indicator has rebounded notably from its lowest point in four weeks, now ascending towards the zero line. This recovery suggests an increase in the rate at which the price is changing, potentially signaling a stronger move up.
Lastly, there's an untouched pivot point at 1.07165, serving as a magnetic target for price action. If current indicators continue to suggest a bullish bias, we might see the pair challenge and possibly reach this level soon.
Keep an eye on these indicators for confirmation of continued upward movement. As always, monitor market news and other economic indicators for shifts that might affect this analysis.
EURGBP | Long H1 | Market Exe | Two Zones StoryTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on H1 & H4 time-frame
- Price is currently at a 78.6% Retracement level from Previous Low-High
- Price action should bounce between both Supply-Demand Zones
- Price is entering a Demand Zone (Yellow Zone)
- Aiming for the next Supply Zone (Blue Zone) at a 61.8% Fibo retracement & resistance from Trendlines
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Nothing much can dictate the movement of this FX pair as they are heavily trade-related. Any major movement will come from supply-demand areas, monetary policies or economic data gyrations.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.8540 - 0.8550
SL @ 0.8526
TP 1 @ 0.0.8580 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.8606
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.63 (Depending on Entry Level)
________________________________
Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
________________________________
Roku Test with Destiny A 2 year Support trendline A Buy?Hi Guys. So i am always on the lookout for Macro trend setups, signs and opportunities. I believe ROKU is potentially in a position to take a nice swing.
This analysis is on 1 day.
Notice we have reached a Sloping Support trendline from December 2022.
We've had 2 touches previous that resulted in bounces.
Trendline theory states trendlines can stay intact for atleast 3 touch points.
Owing to the idea that our recent touch point is a solid area to take positions. Has a decent probability of a bounce.
On top of that we have the Blue horizontal trendline, which acts as an added layer of Support.
Incase the black trendline does not hold, this would be next lvl.
Stop loss/limit should be placed below trendlines based on risk tolerance. Small positions can have a larger % loss, vise versa.
Now to Support my theory of this buying a solid area to take positions.
I have 3 indicators.
RSI which is in Oversold conditions after 3+ months.
On top of that the momentum indicators MACD and STOCH. Are also oversold.
MACD is signaling a waning bearish momentum. As seen by the light red histobar prints.
We are looking for and eventually should see Green bars and a bullish cross. Which can bring in necessary demand we need for bounce.
Also STOCH RSI is below the 20 lvl, but crossing Bullish as we speak.
This must continue and a bullish cross ABOVE 20 lvl, will also bring in demand and help with bounce.
If we see bullish changes in the momentum indicaotrs, i believe there would be a even higher probability of prices bouncing.
So pay attention, be diligent and manage risk accordingly.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on ROKU in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
AUDUSD | MT Long H4 | Middle of Parallel ChannelPair: FX:AUDUSD
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Long
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action is now at the middle of a parallel channel
- Price is at 61.8% Fib Extension Level
- Aiming for the 50% Fibo Retracement which the horizontal line shows a supply-demand zone.
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Higher commodity prices is a positive for Australia economy
- Further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension may bring on risk-off moves and affect this trade
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.6390 - 0.6415
SL @ 0.6351
TP 1 @ 0.6448 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.6516
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.09 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Tesla on important triangle support, great risk-rewardTesla is getting way oversold and has reached an important support of the line linking the lows which represents the bottom of its large triangle pattern.
We are expecting at least a rebound here but potentially the start of a new upleg as long as the $136 area holds.
A break above the upper line of the triangle near $235 would open much higher levels while a break below would invalidate this bullish view.
Krispy Cream Donut Weekly God Candle Has me lookingHi guys. Always on the lookout for major changes/shifts or Macro signals. Yesterdays 40% increase in Krispy Cream Donuts, has me taking a look into this one.
This analysis is on the 1 week. Note, the current candle is not yet confirmed. Weekly close is obviously on fridays.
I have highlighted 2 zones. COnsolidation range and a Supply zone. We do need to pay attention to these 2 ranges.
BEcause atleast from previous history the supply zone is a resistance zone and thus a sell area. We would need decisive candle closes ABOVE for multi weeks for me to gain confidence that it has flipped to Demand or Support.
Same goes for breaking out of the consolidation range. More info is needed such as confirmation.
But nevertheless, What had me looking DNUT's way, was candle moving past the major resistance trendline that has haunted us since the stock being traded publically.
I would like to note on the weekly timeframe, confirmations have not come in yet, and until proven otherwise it can be a fakeout and can always come back into the consolidation zone. AGAIN, End of week will give us better information.
But it does not take away the fact that DNUT is moving. And atleast for now, DEMAND exists.
VOLUME needs to follow with continued increase.
Things to note in our indicators:
RSI, breaking a major trend by signaling a higher high. But again end of week will clarify this. If it prints, i see it as a positive sign.
STOCH RSI - crossing bullish with is almost above 20 lvl. This indicates possibility of momentum coming in to support an uptrend.
MACD - Has Bullish cross, however we need to see whether or not we can get ABOVE 0 lvl. This would indicate a high probability for a sustainable uptrend.
Being that this weeks candle has not yet closed. It is absolutely important to continue to observe. But DNUT has made it to my watchlist for sure.
Is Krispy Cream Donuts, the Donut for me and you? Well time will tell. LOL.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on MINAUSD in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Americas Car Mart Testing Multi-Year Demand Zone (Buy Zone)Hi guys!
This is a MACRO Analysis on AMericas Car Mart (CRMT). Macro meaning larger timeframe aka the 2 week in this instance.
Macro moves tend to speak louder than smaller timeframes like the 1 day for example when they start to move in price.
I believe CRMT has come to an important area and poses a great trade setup in my opinion.
If we look to Price action.
Notice 2 Support trendlines outlined. These are MULTI Year Support zones.
When price reached the trendlines, we ended up bouncing UP.
Notice our current price indicated by Orange box.
Our 2 support trendlines have converged. When 2 support trendlines meet it strengthens the Support.
Also notice the 21 EMA (Purple moving average) -> We have been below this since Septemberish of 2023. Moves below 21 EMA especially on the 2 week pose for good Buy zones as well.
So the combination of converging Support lines and being below 21 EMA = Good area to take positions
Now notice the 2 indicators ive included. These are momentum indicators.
STOCH RSI has crossed BULLISH. (where blue line moves above orange line)
Momentum can pick up and start a move up once this crosses ABOVE the 20 lvl.
MACD is currently below the 0 lvl. With the histogram bars changing from dark red to light red. This indicates a waning of bearish momentum. It is also attempting to create a higher low. All good signs. Look for a Bullish cross and green bars to show up. That will help drive prices up.
A cross ABOVE 0 lvl would bring about massive moves up.
Continue to monitor the indicators and price to stay above the Support zone indicated.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on CRMT in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
EL jumps on analyst upgrade LONGEL like ULTA was beaten down in covid times. It jumped in 2021 and fell in 2022 and 2023.
2024 might be the year they thrive again. On the weekly chart, EL is back to the support of
its levels of 2018. With an analyst upgrade coming from Bank of America it is now getting a
bit of attention. Trend strength and relative strength were down. I see this as a good entry
for a new long position in EL while also looking at ULTA. Targets are the fib zone and a
correction / consolidation area on the downtrend so 200 and 250. Now is the time to invest
in female beauty.....
RH appears ready to rise from its base LONGRestoration Hardware on the weekly chart rose from COVID and then retraced for almost
two years. It appears now ready to experience some investor and trader interest once again.
It is rising from the POC line of its long term volume profile. The trend strength indicator just
inflected and curled upward. I like to catch trends early to get as much of a move as
possible and before the chasing begins. This is a possible megacap short squeeze set up.
Targets are 380 and 480 as horizontal levels of importance.
NZDCAD - Already OverSold ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 NZDCAD has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel in red.
Currently, NZDCAD is approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDCAD is hovering around the circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AMZN Oversold - Initial LongCouple points to consider
1) RSI
2) Bullish divergence as drawn
3) Price below BB (In general price tends to print inside Bollinger Bands, usually a move below/above them will almost immediately result in the opposite move)
4) 5 oscillators flashing bullish on 3D chart
For me an easy 20-30% profit long trade. Too bad I can't be arsed to open a trading account on a broker.
PYPL falls into deep oversold zone LONGPYPL on the 30-minute chart over the past week fell 10 %, Based on the anchored
VWAP bands as well as the volume profile it is in deep oversold territory potentially
as a reaction to the stablecoin plan. Volumes are relatively hig while the ZL MACD
has had a line cross under a flipping histogram. I see this as an excellent long
swing trade setup targeting the mean VWAP or the POC line as the first target for 50%
of the trade and 25% each targeting the upper VWAP lines. I will take a combination
of a number of stocks and a put option 2-3 months out for some trade risk insurance.