PA1!2.15.22; PA1! I wanted to give you a follow-up a few hours after Today's earlier video so that I could provide more detail for that trade, but then I decided to draw a fresh pattern and show you how you could've done a long trade at support in addition to the long trade on the earlier video. And there was even a short trade you could have taken when the market moved higher to a 382 resistance. All of these were multi-thousand-dollar trades, not particularly enjoyable training in my view; but for certain traders these may be perfectly acceptable trades. They say "trade what you see"...but your experience changes what this means to you.
Pa1
PA1! part 2 : setup for a long trade if you are patient.2.14.22: PA1! part 2: I think this is a good example of complex wash and rinse cycles that ends up favoring buyers. If you are patient, and flexible you can find a high probability trade without a structural stop, but you will have to understand price action and reversal patterns.
PALLADIUM - Potential Bullish Reversal!Hello TradingView Family, this is Richard, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like or/and comment.
PA1! is sitting around a strong support area and round number 2000.0 so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
on H4: PA1! is forming a wedge pattern in red but the upper trendline is not valid yet, so we are waiting for a new swing high to form around it to consider it our trigger swing. (projection in purple)
Trigger => Waiting for that swing to form and then buy after a momentum candle close above it (gray zone)
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated , PA1! would be overall bearish can still trade lower.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
PALLADIUM - Wait For The Trigger!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
PA1! is sitting around the round number 2900 so we will be looking for sell setups on lower timeframes.
on M30: PA1! formed a valid trendline in red but it is not ready to go yet.
Before we sell, we want the sellers to prove that they are taking over again.
You don't want to sell a bullish market right?
Trigger => Waiting for a momentum candle close below the last swing low (in gray) to sell.
Until the sell is activated, PA1! would be overall bullish and can still trade higher till the 3000
and of course, as it approaches the lower green support 2500, we will be looking for trend-following buy setups.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Palladium Hits Strong Resistance! What Next?Since our last post, palladium has made good progress, moving up $90 to meet the resistance
from February 2020. Price is at an interesting point, because a clean break above and we
should see price move towards the all-time high at $3017.
The weekly 50 simple moving average has aided this gradual upwards move. The first break of
$2875 was short-lived as price came tumbling down and reentered consolidation in April/May.
Price is still in consolidation, and the longer it does so, the bigger the move we can expect
in the direction of the breakout.
So should we see a breakout to the upside, which is the bias as the prior trend was bullish,
we can expect a solid long-term uptrend to unfold.
This is why we want to position ourselves to take advantage of any breakouts that may occur.
It will require some patience while price sets itself up, but the reward will more than make
up for the time sitting on the sidelines.
We will continue to follow the journey of this commodity.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
Commodities - Palladium watch for ShortIdea for Palladium:
- 2 Potential short swing trades coming up with good R/R.
- Currently bullish Trend, bearish Trade.
- Can make Trend Ascending Triangle and breakout, or Rising Wedge reversal with a local Head and Shoulders.
- I am looking to short the re-test of the breakout to the downside.
GLHF
- DPT
Palladium (XPDUSD): The end of its parabolic rise.Palladium has been rising non-stop for 4 years (since January 2016), a rise that after 2019 turned parabolic. This parabola has broken down this March as the pull back exceeded the 0.382 Fibonacci level that has been holding in the previous two cyclical pull backs (August 2018 and May 2019).
The 1W chart is on a neutral state (RSI = 53.141, MACD = 105.160, ADX = 39.528) as it has recovered 50% of the March sell-off, however the danger is far from over. Until the 2,900 High breaks, Palladium (XPDUSD) will most likely remain under selling pressure and the Higher Low trend line (red line) which has been supporting the 4 year uptrend may be tested. This test involves the 1W MA200 (orange line) both of which (HL trend line and MA200) can 'meet' on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (of the whole 4 year move). This (0.618 Fib) is at 1,390. If that breaks to then the next Support and potential sell target will be on the 0.786 Fib at 980 where Palladium can again start looking like a strong investment.
Keep in mind that we have been strong Palladium supporters for quite some time:
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PALLADIUM PointersTrading in middle of 1 - 1/2 Gann structure, a bullish scythe can be observed however it doesn't look that strong, do divergences continue through price lines? just curious. Clear fractal can be observed with these bearish divergences. Best to go long in this scenario, major precious metals will see large increases with global uncertainty rising.
Palladium Suffering From Big Selling!Palladium saw a 93% rally from the August 2018 low to the March 2019 high and with every
big move we can expect to see price become exhausted and form a pullback, reversal or consolidation.
In this case, we saw a period of consolidation which appeared in the form of a cup & handle pattern.
A cup & handle in an uptrend is a strong continuation pattern but only if the neckline is broken.
That did occur on September 19th 2019 and since then we have seen a 13% rally.
The pattern of trends followed by pullbacks continues and we are currently experiencing just that.
The current pullback has moved down 122 points in just 2 days and is currently finding support at the 50sma.
To confirm a continuation to the upside we want to see a break and close
above the October 30th high at $1,823.
If price fails at the current support area then we have the resistance turned support level at $1.615
which is a major support area.
We need to give price some time and space to move and as the overall trend is up,
the bias is for a continuation to the upside.
In the meantime, we have to see if price will follow the momentum and continue trending for some time.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.