Buy on selver clear BSL by ICT We engage in 4H OB and take PCL of the 4H candle shift in 5 min. I enter; my stop loss is below the swing low.
Community ideas
Bitcoin vs Resistance Zones | Fake Breakdown Below the Channel!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been moving up and down with high momentum over the past 24 hours and finally fell below the lower line of the ascending channel . Is this break of the lower line of the ascending channel valid?
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,140) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($104,478-$103,941) . Since the volume of breaking of the lower line of the ascending channel is NOT high, the probability of a fake break is very high (in my opinion).
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , the structure of the main wave 4 seems to be an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . The main wave 5 could lead to the formation of a new All-Time High(ATH ).
One of the reasons why I think we saw a Fake Break below the lower line of the ascending channel is that I think the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ) will trend upward , and given the high correlation between Bitcoin and S&P500 Index these days, we can expect Bitcoin to increase .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again AFTER breaking the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,140) and touch the targets I have indicated on the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $101,800, we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD H4: Re-accumulation | Floor at 3K | TP Bulls 4K🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📉 Gold Eases: Prices dip to $3,213.35/oz amid ceasefire optimism and stronger USD.
🤝 Trade Tensions: U.S.-China tariff truce reduces safe-haven demand, pressuring gold.
📊 Technical Watch: Analysts eye $3,200 support level as key for market direction.
🔮 EUROTLX:4K Forecast?: JP Morgan projects gold to surpass $4,000/oz by Q2 2026.
⚠️ Credit Downgrade: Moody's cuts U.S. rating to "Aa1", citing rising debt, impacting gold sentiment.
🏠 Investment Shift: Gold's YTD return at 22.42%, outperforming many assets.
🌍 Central Bank Buying: Sustained demand from emerging markets supports gold prices.
🛡️ $3,200 Holds: Gold maintains key support despite volatility and profit-taking.
📈 Goldman Bullish: Forecasts gold at $3,700/oz by year-end, with potential to reach $4,500.
💰 Live Price: Gold at $3,228.80 (+0.01%) today.
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️pullback in progress currently
▪️3500 USD heavy resistance
▪️Re-accumulation in progress now
▪️Same as Q4 2024 - on the right
▪️Expect re-accumulation into June
▪️Downside capped by 3 000 USD
▪️short-term expecting range action
▪️Bulls still maintain strategic control
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️Accumulate in range
▪️Closer to 3K S/R zone
▪️Bulls 4K still valid target
TAO Potential 4H Flag & PoleBITGET:TAOUSDT has printed a clean impulsive move followed by a descending consolidation channel — resembling a bull flag or falling channel continuation.
The retracement went deeper than usual (down to ~$388, ~75% of the pole), which softens the textbook bull flag narrative — but doesn't invalidate the setup.
Key Elements
• Pole: ~$354 → ~$489
• Flag Low: ~$388
• Retracement: ~75% of the pole — a deep pullback, but still valid.
• Target: ~$550 — measured from breakout point, equal to the pole’s height projected upward.
Keep in mind that $460-$490 is a key S/R and the midline of a longer-term rectangle, so it could offer resistance. See here .
Volume Note
No clear volume contraction during consolidation, which weakens the classic flag interpretation. That said, volume could still confirm strength if it expands on a breakout.
Target Logic
Measured move from pole height points to ~$550 — only in play if a full breakout with strong volume follows.
Beneath the Blocks: The Real Tech That Powers CryptoCrypto is more than coins and charts. That’s the surface most traders never look beyond.
It's a stack of revolutionary technologies working together to build the future of finance, data, and trust.
But if you’re serious about understanding crypto’s long-term value—or timing its major shifts—you need to grasp what lies beneath.
Here’s your deep-dive into the true foundations of the crypto ecosystem:
🔸 1. DeFi (Decentralized Finance)
DeFi is crypto’s answer to traditional banking—without banks.
Instead of loan officers or custodians, you interact with smart contracts that handle everything from borrowing, lending, to trading.
Protocols like Aave, Compound, and Uniswap allow users to earn interest, provide liquidity, or borrow assets— permissionlessly.
No KYC. No intermediaries. Just wallets and smart contracts.
Total Value Locked (TVL) across DeFi platforms has been a major leading indicator for altcoin seasons.
📚 Why it matters: DeFi is crypto's real-world use case—and its biggest battleground for regulation.
🔸 2. Proof of Work (PoW)
PoW is Bitcoin’s original consensus mechanism.
It secures the network by requiring miners to solve complex math problems (hashes). Whoever solves the block gets rewarded with BTC.
This is energy-intensive, but it’s what makes Bitcoin nearly impossible to attack.
It aligns incentives: miners secure the network in return for rewards.
📚 Why it matters: PoW is the most proven security model in crypto—but it’s also under pressure for its energy costs.
🔸 3. Proof of Stake (PoS)
PoS replaces miners with validators—chosen based on how much crypto they “stake” (lock up) as collateral.
Used by Ethereum 2.0, Solana, Avalanche, Cardano, and many others.
It’s energy-efficient and enables faster, cheaper transactions.
Validators get rewarded in native tokens (e.g., ETH) for proposing and verifying blocks.
📚 Why it matters: PoS is scalable and green, but centralization risks arise if large players control too much stake.
🔸 4. Energy Consumption
PoW networks like Bitcoin consume significant electricity due to mining.
Critics argue this is wasteful.
Proponents argue it's essential for decentralized security and global financial sovereignty.
Solutions being explored:
Renewable-powered mining
Off-grid operations
Transitioning to PoS (as Ethereum did)
📚 Why it matters: Sustainability is a battleground narrative—especially as institutional adoption grows.
🔸 5. Hash (Hash Function)
A hash is a one-way cryptographic function that transforms any input (a transaction or block) into a fixed-length output.
Bitcoin uses SHA-256.
Changing just one character in the input changes the entire hash—making tampering obvious.
📚 Why it matters: Hashes secure every block, transaction, and address—forming the cryptographic backbone of all blockchains.
🔸 6. Smart Contracts
Smart contracts are self-executing agreements written in code, deployed on-chain.
“If X happens, do Y.” No lawyers, no third parties.
Enabled NFTs, DeFi, DAOs, and much more.
Popular platforms:
Ethereum (Solidity)
Solana, Avalanche, BNB Chain, etc.
📚 Why it matters: Smart contracts are what make blockchains programmable. This is the difference between BTC (digital gold) and ETH (Web3 platform).
🔸 7. Distributed Ledger
A distributed ledger is a database that is shared, synchronized, and accessible across multiple nodes.
Every node stores a full copy of the blockchain.
Consensus ensures all copies are aligned.
Immutable: You can only add to it, not edit or delete.
📚 Why it matters: This is what decentralization looks like. No single point of failure. Trust is built into the architecture.
🔸 8. Blockchain Technology
Think of blockchain as a chain of blocks, where each block stores transaction data and a hash of the previous block.
It’s:
Transparent: Anyone can audit it.
Secure: Tampering with one block invalidates the chain.
Decentralized: Run by thousands of nodes worldwide.
📚 Why it matters: Blockchain is the foundational tech. Coins come and go—but the architecture is the real revolution.
💡 Nerdy Tip:
Don’t just trade what you see. Learn what drives it.
The real edge in crypto comes from understanding the mechanics—before they show up in price action.
put together by : Pako Phutietsile as @currencynerd
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
After a powerful bullish rally since the beginning of 2025, gold has entered a corrective phase
In the current price zone, we expect a temporary upward retracement, potentially offering short-term relief, before the downtrend resumes.
For a safer bearish entry, it's recommended to wait for a confirmed break below both the marked support zone and the ascending trendline to validate continuation to lower levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Secular Bull Market in Platinum is ImminentOne of my higher conviction boomer plays of the next few years is long platinum. A variety of fundamental reasons why a secular bull run is potentially beginning but suffice to say it is a deeply hated and ignored asset trading roughly around production cost for over 10 years now. This has built a liquidity base of long term holders that can serve to propel a major advance. A defensible floor below current prices with powerful upside potential = tremendous upside asymmetry.
Data going back over 150 years shows the platinum/gold ratio is the cheapest since Civil War era; a time where the metal had no industrial use. Historically, platinum has always followed gold for each of its secular bull markets with some lagging period at first - the current lag the most dramatic in decades. It has the attention of very few investors, with ETFs seeing net outflows in recent years as a sideways market frustrated any steadfast believers.
Futures breaking out to new 3 month highs today. If we can convincingly clear $1,070 I believe the breakout has high likelihood of seeing substantial follow through and is more apt to be trusted than prior attempts over recent years.
BITCOIN BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 106,664.53
Target Level: 100,986.05
Stop Loss: 110,439.78
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Nvidia - The bullish consolidation flag!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - is still quite bullish:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
After Nvidia retested a major horizontal support just last month, we witnessed an extremely strong bullish reversal candle which resulted in a strong +50% rally. Considering the bullish flag consolidation, a breakout is much more likely, but not in the immediate future.
Levels to watch: $150
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nas Short with SMC and Pinex Capital📝 Short scalp with SMC zone - trade idea
In this setup, a quick short scalp was realised based on a prominent SMC supply zone. After an impulsive sell-off, the price returned to an unmitigated supply zone, indicating a possible reaction of institutional orders.
As soon as the price entered the zone and showed signs of weakness (e.g. wicks, smaller candles, BOS at lower TF), the entry was made. The stop loss was set just above the zone, the target was at the next liquidity accumulation or the last break-of-structure low.
pinexcapital.com
SELFKEY1 of these targets or is SELFKEY done? I see a bullish divergence on the RSI. Someone know if this one could make a run soon?
XAU/USD adding confirmation to the bullish outlookPattern Identified:
Inverse Head and Shoulders
Left Shoulder: Marked on the left with a price dip followed by a recovery.
Head: A deeper dip forms the lowest point in the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A smaller dip that mirrors the left shoulder, indicating the pattern's completion.
Neckline (Resistance):
The green horizontal zone marked as resistance connects the highs between the shoulders and head. A breakout above this level confirms the reversal.
Breakout Strategy:
Entry Zone: Around 3,304.82, just above the neckline, signaling the breakout entry.
Stop Loss Zone: Below the red shaded support area, around 3,218.65, to protect against a false breakout.
Target Zone: Projected around 3,446.27 – 3,520.00, aligned with the expected height of the inverse head and shoulders formation.
Indicators & Tools Used:
Ichimoku Cloud:
Shows past bearish momentum but recent price action is breaking above the cloud, adding confirmation to the bullish outlook.
Support Zone:
A strong support base is marked in red, acting as the floor for the pattern and prior accumulation zone.
Trend Channel (Left):
A bullish channel in early April supports the historical strength in price action before the head formation.
Trade Outlook:
Bias: Bullish
Signal Confirmation: Break above the neckline with volume (not shown but typically checked in execution)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, with a clearly defined stop loss and a high potential target area.
CADCHF - Sell Short - Trendline and Candle stick confluences. Market is making a series of LH and LLs- Market has rejected from trend line resistance. Bearish Engulfing candle formation is a strong confluence of market bearish trend.
we can instant enter in the market, SL would be slightly above Last confirmed LH and TPs would be with R:R of 1:1 and 1:2 respectively.
#FETUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Falling wedge breakout and retestFetch just regained 100EMA support and looks good for bullish continuation from here.
⚡️⚡️ #FET/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (4.0X)
Amount: 5.0%
Current Price:
0.7863
Entry Zone:
0.7806 - 0.7504
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 0.8561
1) 0.9244
1) 0.9926
Stop Targets:
1) 0.6897
Published By: @Zblaba
NYSE:FET BITGET:FETUSDT.P #4h #Fetch #AI fetch.ai
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +47.3% | +83.0% | +118.7%
Possible Loss= -39.6%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
Is Bitcoin Running Out Of Steam?Bitcoin remains perched near the recent highs but continues to show signs of exhaustion. We now have a confirmed bearish divergence on the daily RSI - price made a new high while momentum failed to follow through. That kind of signal, especially coming out of overbought territory, typically warrants caution.
So far, Bitcoin has held above the key $106,159 level, but the divergence plus fading volume suggest that bulls are losing steam. It’s worth noting that each daily candle since the high has had a long upper wick, implying sellers are stepping in on every push higher.
Technically, as long as Bitcoin remains above $99,517 - the prior breakout level - the structure is still bullish. But the divergence, coupled with a possible fake out above resistance and weekend euphoria, leaves room for a pullback. If we do see a correction, $99,517 and $92,817 are the levels to watch.
Bottom line: price is still trending up, but momentum is slowing. Time to tighten stops and manage risk carefully - especially as sentiment appears to be running ahead of the market.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 90 Min chart Regression channelThe pair is under pressure, and considering the USDX I think we will see lower over time. I have aborted BUY strategy (even-though NEUTRAL stance) and am going back to yesterday's sell idea.
Strategy SELL @ 18.0350-18.0750 and take profit near 17.8875 (as yesterday)
Lingrid | GBPJPY possible Channel BREAK Bearish MoveThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . FX:GBPJPY is consolidating after a strong rally toward the March high. Price is now testing support near 193.8, where the ascending trendline and prior breakout zone converge. A failure to hold this level may open the door for a drop toward 191.000. However, bulls remain in control while price stays above trend support.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 193.0 – 193.8
Buy trigger: bounce from trendline with bullish momentum
Target: 196.3
Sell trigger: break below 193.0
💡 Risks
Weak UK data may trigger bearish sentiment.
Yen strength due to safe-haven flows could pressure GBPJPY.
Break of trendline may lead to deeper correction below 191.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
ONEUSDT 1D AnalysisONE ~ 1D Analysis
#ONE Buy gradually from here with a short-term target of at least 10%++ from here.
Wick Tricks at Highs Based on conventional wisdom the SPX monthly chart looks super bullish with the big wick.
I want to explain how this can be misleading. For some "Creds" on the idea, I've attached a post made at almost exactly the low where I forecast the wick and spikes while stating this could be inside of a bearish setup. In the bearish setup, we'd often get bad news around this price.
These candles can be bullish, of course - I don't think I need to insult your intelligence by explaining the bullish read on these candles. You know them.
But did you know you also see one of these in almost every major top in history?
I just posted almost every notable drop from 2008 to 1966.
Here's a recent one.
I could go and start posting examples from the 1910s, but I hope I've made my point.
If it's a wick trap at a top, we generally will see a capitulation month within 3 months.
Usually, it'd be next month with this month closing weak to make a wick on top.
start new bitcoin bull marketnothing to explain the image is obvious and clear pattern target is 270 - 300 K
USD/JPY Dips FurtherUSD/JPY Dips Further
USD/JPY declined below 144.50 and is currently consolidating losses.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below the 146.10 and 144.90 levels.
- There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 144.25 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a steady decline from well above the 146.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below the 145.00 support against the Japanese Yen.
The pair even settled below the 144.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a spike below 144.00 and the pair traded as low as 143.72. It is now consolidating losses with a bearish angle. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 146.10 swing high to the 143.42 low at 144.25.
There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 144.25. The first major resistance is near the 144.90 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 146.10 swing high to the 143.42 low.
If there is a close above the 144.90 level and the hourly RSI moves above 50, the pair could rise toward 145.50. The next major resistance is near 146.10, above which the pair could test 147.50 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is near 143.70. The next major support is near the 143.20 level. If there is a close below 143.20, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 142.00 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD Regains PaceEUR/USD Regains Pace
EUR/USD started a decent upward move above the 1.1225 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro found support and started a recovery wave above the 1.1250 resistance zone.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.1280 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1135 zone. The Euro climbed above the 1.1200 resistance zone against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled above the 1.1225 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1340 resistance. A high is formed near 1.1339 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1223 swing low to the 1.1339 high.
Immediate support is near the 1.1310 level. The next major support is at 1.1280. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.1280 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1223 swing low to the 1.1339 high.
If there is a downside break below 1.1280, the pair could drop toward the 1.1225 support. The main support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1135, below which the pair could start a major decline.
On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 1.1340. The next major resistance is near the 1.1420 level. An upside break above 1.1420 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1550.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
SHORT | AMZN NASDAQ:AMZN
Current Price Action:
Price: $201.12
Recent Drop: -2.95 (-1.45%)
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $208–$212 (recent rejection zone)
Immediate Support: $193.06 (Target Price 1)
Further Supports:
Target Price 2: $187.83
Target Price 3: $167.55
Target Price 4: $164.72 / $163.55
Target Price 5: $151.54
Final Wave Target (c): $133.70
Trendlines:
Green Downtrend Line: Remains respected; price rejected at confluence.
Red Long-Term Support Trendline: Still valid; could act as a structural bounce level if tested.
Recent price action shows a breakdown from the short-term bullish move, indicating possible start of wave (c) to the downside.
Wave Structure:
Completion of corrective wave (b) followed by potential impulsive wave (c) targeting lower support areas.
Elliott Wave count suggests $133.70 is a possible wave (c) extension zone under bearish pressure.
Target Prices:
Target Price 1: $193.06
This zone is a minor support where bulls may attempt a defense.
Target Price 2: $187.83
A structural level from previous consolidation and a high-probability zone for price reaction.
Target Price 3: $167.55 – $163.55
Consolidated support zone; may attract buying interest or lead to acceleration if broken.
Target Price 4: $151.54
1-year support and psychological level.
Target Price 5 / Wave (c): $133.70
If the bearish wave unfolds fully, this is the projected terminal zone.
Summary:
Amazon (AMZN) has rejected a key resistance zone and appears to be entering wave (c) of a broader correction. The structure is bearish below the downtrend line and indicates further downside. Critical support levels to watch are $193.06 and $187.83 in the short term, with deeper targets at $167.55 and possibly as low as $133.70. This correction could accelerate if key support zones are breached.
