NVDA Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26, 202📌 Key Observations from the Charts
1. Market Structure & Price Action:
* NVDA recently broke down from 141-143, currently consolidating around 135.01.
* Support Levels:
* 134.27 (current price zone, short-term support).
* 129.08 (major support & put wall zone).
* 123-120 (critical gamma zone, could see acceleration if breached).
* Resistance Levels:
* 136.84 (POC, first resistance).
* 141.46 (VAH & key rejection level).
* If NVDA loses 129, expect a sharper decline to 123-120.
2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels:
* Point of Control (POC): 136.84 → Key resistance level that needs to be reclaimed for upside.
* Value Area High (VAH): 141.46 → Major resistance zone.
* Value Area Low (VAL): 134.27 → Must hold for buyers to prevent further decline.
3. Indicators Review:
* MACD: Bearish, downward momentum is still present.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold, but no confirmation of a reversal yet.
🛠️ Options GEX Analysis
* Call Resistance:
* 145-150 → High gamma resistance, strong call walls.
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 129 → Highest Put Wall & Negative NETGEX Support.
* 120-118 → Strong Put Wall—if broken, NVDA could drop significantly.
* Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx):
* IVR 51.9 | IVx Avg 79.4 → Higher volatility, larger price swings expected.
* Call Positioning 23.7% → Weak bullish positioning, suggesting more downside risk.
📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup)
🔹 Entry: Short below 134 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 129.08 (Put Wall Support).
🔹 Target 2: 120-118 (Put Wall Breakdown Level).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 138 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Buy PUTS 135/125 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms.
* Debit Put Spread (Bearish 135P/120P for risk control).
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 138-141, targeting 145+.
🔹 Target 1: 141.46 (POC, first resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 145.00 (major resistance).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 134 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Sell 120/115 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play.
🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions
* Main Bias: Bearish, unless 138+ is reclaimed.
* Gamma Risks: Below 129, strong gamma exposure can push NVDA lower quickly.
* Options Play: Puts look stronger based on GEX positioning & technical weakness.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Community ideas
BTC USD buy zone @89,300 H4chart analysis📉 BTC/USD Sell Signal 📉
🔹 Entry: 89,300
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
🎯 TP1: 94,000
🎯 TP2: 98,000
🎯 TP3: 100,200
🎯 Final Target: 106,200
🔹 Stop-Loss: 80,500
📊 Trade wisely and manage your risk! 🚀 It looks like you're identifying a buy zone at 89,300 based on your H4 (4-hour) chart analysis. Here are a few things to consider:
Key Technical Factors to Watch:
1. Support & Demand:
If 89,300 aligns with a strong support level, it could be a good buy zone.
Check if price has bounced from this area previously.
2. Indicators Confirmation:
RSI: Is it near oversold (below 30)?
Moving Averages: Is price interacting with a key MA (50, 100, or 200)?
Fibonacci Levels: Does 89,300 align with a retracement level?
3. Market Structure:
Look for bullish candlestick patterns (hammer, engulfing) in this area.
Trend direction—are we in a larger uptrend or downtrend?
4. Liquidity & Order Flow:
If there's a liquidity grab (fakeout below a previous low), this could trigger a bullish reversal.
5. News & Fundamentals:
Keep an eye on economic data (interest rate decisions, inflation reports).
Would you like help with entry confirmation strategies or stop-loss placement?
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Let me know if you want any modifications!
CHECK GBPUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(GBPUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (GBPUSD) ready for( BUY )trade ( GBPUSD ) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (1.26400) to (1.26350) 📊
FIRST TP (1.26600)📊
2ND TARGET (1.26800) 📊
LAST TARGET (1.27000) 📊
STOP LOOS (1.26000)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
USDJPY Signal - 5 months support test 24.2.25148.60 to 152.70 range
Currently trading at 149.70
Support of 148.60-149.80 range is holding strong for the past 5 months.
Standard correction 300 pips up towards 152.70 makes sense following the expanding wedge pattern highlighted on the chart.
100 pip downside compared to 300 pip upside swing trade.
Make logical, timed, calculated action sticking to a plan and managing risk as top priorities.
GOOD LUCK!
BOME to Boom 500% by end of March?Price action has corrected 85% since mid November, a number of reasons now exist to have long exposure. They include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Regular bullish divergence. Look left.
3) Falling wedge confirmation forecasts circa 550% extension.
Is it possible price action continues correcting? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Bitcoin broke down- Is 75k next target?Over the past three weeks, Bitcoin has remained virtually unchanged, trading within a range of 95K–97K.
However, yesterday, the price broke below this range, dropping to the 91K confluence support—a key level I’ve highlighted in previous analyses.
After briefly spiking as low as 87K, BTC has rebounded to around 90K, but if we analyze the price action objectively, there are no clear bullish signals.
From a technical perspective, the three-month trading range has broken to the downside, suggesting a continuation of the downward trend.
I anticipate further losses for BTC, and a drop to 75K in the coming months wouldn’t be surprising. 📉
XRP is Showing Weakness – A Breakdown Incoming?Yello, Paradisers! Is XRP on the verge of a major breakdown, or are the bulls about to step in? Let’s analyze the latest Ripple setup:
💎#XRP is struggling at a key resistance zone around $2.5083, repeatedly failing to break through. Each rejection, with low volume accompanying these attempts, suggests that the bulls are losing steam. If this weakness continues, a bearish reversal is becoming increasingly likely.
💎 The key imbalance zone to watch sits at $2.5210—a drop below this level could trigger a sharp decline, with the next target in the $2.41 - $2.50 range. Additionally, the Change of Character (ChoCh) further confirms a possible trend shift, increasing the probability of a downward move.
💎 On the flip side, the bearish invalidation level lies just above the strong resistance zone. If #XRP manages to close above $2.63 with significant volume, it could enter a markup phase, potentially driving the price higher. However, until that happens, the bias remains bearish, and lower levels seem much more probable.
💎The market is at a crucial tipping point—will XRP break down, or will the bulls reclaim control? Let us know your thoughts in the comments. Are you preparing for a markdown, or do you see a surprise rally coming? Let’s discuss!
🎖 Strive for consistency, not quick profits. The market rewards discipline and patience—trade smart, Paradisers!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
GBP/USD HOLDS ABOVE 1.2600 AMID CAUTIOUS MARKETSGBP/USD holds steady above 1.2600 in European trading on tuesday,helped by a fresh bout of Us Dollor Selling even as markets remain cautious amid trade war fears.Atention turns to BOE chief Economist pill's speech and US consumer Confidence data for further impetus.
GOLD Daily, H4, H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasDaily Timeframe:
TVC:GOLD has been rising rapidly recently but has almost stopped since February 11, when it hit its uptrend channel line.
With the RSI hitting resistance at 77 and showing signs of falling, there is a high probability that a corrective wave is about to begin.
Four-hour Timeframe:
A rising wedge pattern has formed in the price.
As long as the price does not break the resistance at 2955 and the red line of the rising wedge continues upwards, a downward wave is expected to begin.
A strong bearish divergence has also formed in the RSI.
One-hour Timeframe:
A head and shoulders pattern is forming.
If the price can break the neckline downward and the blue trend line of the rising wedge is also broken, the probability of a downward wave will be very high.
Eurusd Short holders Beware!!!Hello Guys
Here We have a long setup for the Euros where we are most likely to target above the retail resistance level 1.0535 and above, where all stoploss resides.
i have uploaded the entry stoploss and target already to play out the long setup here.
Good luck Good trading
:)
BTC - Beartrap??Comparing btc range to Wyckoff I would lean more towards distribution tbh..
Re-accumulation usually follows after a downtrend, in this case the range has been a "pause" during an uptrend movement.
While distribution follows a "mark-up" phase..
Not calling on $78 - 70k as yet but we need to stay grounded here and discuss these possibilities.. To make the best trading decisions going forward.
Link attached for those seeking a deeper understanding of the Wyckoff theory..
There is a strong possibility that this is a "bear trap" scenario but in that case we would need to see the weekly close above $91300 imo.. Would be even better if we close the daily back inside the range..
So far the price has shown a decent reaction off the 1.13 Fibonacci extension area which would be the perfect area for a "failed wave" / beartrap to trigger more shorts then run back up and go on a massive liquidation spree.
February has been an interesting month, will we see another historical liquidation event by running back up and taking out shorts?
Currently around $5 Billion worth of liquidations towards the $100k range..
BTC TESTING SUPPORTBitcoin has seen a significant breakdown, losing key support at 95,000 and accelerating downward toward the demand zone around 89,000. Price wicked below this level before recovering slightly, suggesting buyers are stepping in at this historically important range. However, the overall structure remains bearish, with the 50-day moving average now acting as resistance and the trend showing clear lower highs and lower lows. Volume has spiked, confirming strong selling pressure, but it remains to be seen whether this is a true reversal point or just a temporary pause before further downside. Bulls need a decisive reclaim of lost support levels, while failure to hold above 89,000 could open the door for deeper corrections toward the next key support levels. $74,000 is the previous all time high that was never tested as support - you have heard me talk about it MANY times.
GBPCAD-SELL strategy 12 hourly chartThe pair has some upward pressure, and it feels it may remain this way. The stochastic is topping out slightly, and also Fisher is overbought, with a slightly overbought RSI. the chance is there to see lower levels in the short-term.
Strategy SELL @ 1.7990-1.8025 and take profit near 1.7887.
British Pound / U.S. DollarHello Dear Traders
Pound Analysis
Based on the bullish analysis of DXY, I present to you the updated analysis for the Pound. The Pound chart has confirmed its bullish daily confirmation, and I expect the major daily ceiling, which is the main price target, to reach 1.34340 in the coming weeks. However, we have a long way to go until the price reaches our target.
Currently, based on the bullish analysis of DXY, I have identified a suitable selling area in the 1-hour timeframe. Additionally, the minor 1-hour chart indicates a bullish trend. The Change of Character (CHoCH) has provided confirmation of a temporary correction in the 1-hour timeframe. Therefore, with this trend change, we can utilize this area of the Secret Order Block (1H) for entering a sell position.
Again, in the selling area, a 5-minute confirmation can help us optimize our entry into the trade.
First Support: 1.24866
1-Hour Liquidity: 123748
Potential Suitable Buying Area: 1.22928, which I will update once the price reaches this level.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Centre (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
US Tech 100 Volatility Alert Ahead of the Nvidia Earnings UpdateUS equity markets are starting to show some strain. On Monday, the US Tech 100 dropped 1.2%, bringing the decline since Friday to around 3.5%. The main catalyst seemed to be a reduction in long positioning in some key Magnificent Seven stocks ahead of AI bellwether Nvidia’s quarterly earnings update that is due out after the market close on Wednesday.
These results are likely to be an important influence on sentiment towards the US Tech 100 across the rest of the week. Adding further emphasis is the fact that these are the first set of earnings from the company since Chinese start up DeepSeek emerged as a potential major disruptor in the AI space.
Traders and investors are likely to be keen to gain insight into what impact, if any, this has had on the company’s ability to deliver on future revenue expectations.
However, this may be only part of the story for the recent performance of technology stocks. President Trump and his team indicated on Monday that they are drawing up tougher versions of the current semiconductor restrictions in place on exports to China. They also stated that they have encouraged allies to do the same, in the latest attempt by the US to limit China’s ability to increase its technological progress.
It seems that President Trump’s trade and tariff policies may be starting to increase volatility in US stock markets again after a brief respite since the start of February.
Technical trends and reactions in price to potential support and resistance levels may also influence the direction of the Nasdaq 100 moving forward across the week.
Technical Update: Support Pressured Ahead of Nvidia
An important focus this week for the technology sector could be the Nvidia earnings, but even before this potentially important driver of future price trends, the US Tech 100 index has started to see price weakness emerge.
The index does appear to be testing some potentially interesting support levels. How these levels are defended on a closing basis, into and after the Nvidia earnings, may provide an important insight into where the US Tech 100 may move next.
Having posted a new intra-day all-time price high of 22226 on February 18th, the US Tech 100 index has seen selling pressure develop, a move that meant early February strength has failed to close above the previous 22142 December 16th all-time high.
An inability of buyers to overcome such an important upside extreme on a closing basis especially if it is then followed by price declines, may suggest increased potential for a sentiment change, one that could even lead to further weakness. However, for this to happen, support levels must be broken on a closing basis to see this downside potential develop further.
Looking at the above chart of the US Tech 100 index, the latest price weakness has now seen what might have been viewed as a potential support, marked by the Bollinger mid-average give way, which currently stands at 21694.
While this is no guarantee of an extended phase of price weakness, Monday’s closing break under support marked by the February 10th low at 21344, may also indicate risks of a more extended phase of price weakness.
If this is the case, price activity may move down towards 20477, which is the January 13th extreme and if this support was broken, declines could potentially move towards 20326, which is the 38% Fibonacci retracement of August/ December 2024 strength.
What About Resistance?
As we have said, reaction to Nvidia earnings may see increased price volatility, potentially even renewed upside, and traders must build that possibility into their trading strategy over coming sessions.
With that in mind, what are the resistance levels that if broken might lead to a further phase of price strength?
Initially traders might be focusing on the interim resistance marked by the mid-average, which currently stands at 21694. Closes above here, may lead to the suggestion that lower support levels are holding, which may open the potential for fresh strength to higher levels.
While in the longer term, it may be the resistance marked by the February 18th all-time high at 22226 that needs to give way to suggest further price strength.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
BTC - Why I’m Bullish at This LevelWe’re seeing a significant pullback, but I believe this is where opportunity lies. Here’s why:
1️⃣ Key Support Zone: Price just wicked into a strong support area around $91K- GETTEX:92K , which has historically been a bounce zone.
2️⃣ Oversold Conditions: Market Cipher B is flashing clear signs of momentum bottoming out — we’re seeing the wave curving up, indicating potential reversal strength.
3️⃣ Liquidity Grab: The recent dip may have been a liquidity sweep below support — often a signal that smart money is preparing for a move up.
4️⃣ Volume Profile Support: We’re near a high-volume node on the profile, suggesting strong buyer interest in this range.
🎯 Targets:
First: POC around $96,750
Next: Resistance at $100K
Ultimate: LIQ zone at $102,500
🛑 Invalidation: A clean break and close below $90K would make me reconsider this bias.
Let’s see how this plays out. Let’s learn and grow with crypto together! 💪
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