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NQ: End of day analysis!We got an irrelevant daily close . Tomorrow, we have PPI data. NQ will behave in the same manner of CPI: 1- Overshoot: NQ down; 2- Inline or Undershoot: A bounce and down (zigzag). What I want to highlight is that the current area 19100-19600 seems to become ST/MT Support or Resistance. Hence price might continue to be around it until the end of the week and the next few days. When price will break it, it will give the sign of next direction. To this end, what do we have: 1- Recession, inflation and tariffs are all negative factors. NQ should continue down; 2- FED next week: free money; rate cut. These are positive factors. NQ downtrend ends and we move back up. 3- Tax cut and deregulation are also positive factors. So as you can see, we have many opposite forces happening or markets expect them to happen. Any delay of the positive factors, markets will move down to make pressure. Have a good evening/night!
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl
1
German $DAX ($EWG) Topping Out?Is the XETR:DAX topping out? Monthly RSI @ 80+ w/ weekly nosing over and daily bearish divergences observable. Index high from 3/6 coincided with the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of the 11/2021-10/2022 uptrend correction. Confirmation short setup could materialize DAX closes below pivot low of the 1D uptrend (22226), bounces off of short-term demand (ex: 22142-21691, and trades into supply ≥ 22226. This scenario is speculative - the market needs to show its hand. Presently, DAX is up > 1.5% alongside US stocks, which dipped into intermediate-term demand and benefited from softer-than-expected CPI prints. However, DAX (and domestic) bulls haven't proven anything yet. Unless buyers manage to push the DAX higher - initially above 22900 and secondarily through 23000-23200 - on accelerating momentum, risk remains to the downside (IMO). German stocks have been global relative strength leaders as of late, so if they do correct, other equity indexes may retreat in tandem. Long-term charts for US indices ( SP:SPX , NASDAQ:NDX , TVC:RUT ) look more bearish vs. bullish (I still have some shorts on), though a near-term recovery is plausible. If domestic equities do trade lower, selling could materialize in Asian and European markets. Use LTF charts to monitor price action/manage risk and splice into shorts if German stocks AMEX:EWG start to crack. My $0.02. Feedback welcome. Also, would appreciate any follows on X (more active there)! Jon X: @JHartCharts
XETR:DAXShort
by JHartCharts
2
Ethereum: Rebound from here or Drop to $881?Hey everyone! Let’s explore what’s happening on Ethereum’s monthly chart. Right now, there seem to be two main possibilities to keep in mind. The first and more likely scenario involves a dip toward the lower price zones—around 881.56—and then testing important supports near 579.41 and 756.03. Observations suggest that if the price heads down to these areas, there could be a bounce, though a deeper move is possible (even if it seems less likely). On the flip side, if the price climbs from its current level toward its previous peak, we’d want to revisit this analysis for updates. Key price zones are highlighted on the chart, showing where a lot of buying or selling could happen. A change in trend would typically be confirmed by a clear candlestick pattern and solid trading volume, so those are worth watching. As with any market, unexpected moves can always occur, so it’s good to stay prepared and flexible. Remember, these are just observations based on the monthly chart, and personal research is always important. Stay curious, stay safe, and never hesitate to dig deeper into your own analysis before making any decisions. Good luck out there! 💼📈
Short
by whalebuzzz
1
MARKET ALERT: Sound the AlarmOver the past few years as price has reached major potential turning points in the market I have sounded the alarm that LONG SIDE RISK has risen and to be on HIGH ALERT for a potential downturn. Of course as we have seen this Bull Market has had significant legs and has continued to grind higher. What now? I told you in September that it did not matter who was elected that the Market would turn weak...and it did We have been going essentially sideways since November I also said that around Jan 15th the market would turn lower...and it has I also said that lower move would take us down to the 5600-5700 region..and it did Now I am telling you that we are setting up for what appears to be ONE FINAL PUSH HIGHER Where does that move take us? Somewhere near 6500 What happens after that? You can expect a SWIFT CRASH LIKE move back to almost exactly where we are now but probably around 5400 And its at THAT point that ALL CARDS WILL BE ON THE TABLE You should expect a retracement back up from that 5400 region If that retracement is CLEARLY CORRECTIVE in nature then you can expect a move down to 5000 and if the market cant hold that region then its: GAME OVER Can I be wrong? Absolutely...and for the sake of the people I love, this country that I call home and my brotherhood of fellow humans around the world I HONESTLY HOPE I AM Because if I'm not wrong then whats coming over the next decade will be potentially MUCH WORSE THAN A RECESSION PREPARE YOURSELF
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
PPI, gold price opportunity to create new ATH above 2956⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, eased from 3.3% in January to 3.1% year-over-year, signaling ongoing disinflation in the U.S. economy. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model projects a -2.4% contraction for Q1 2025, marking the first negative reading since the COVID-19 pandemic. Money market traders have adjusted their expectations for Federal Reserve easing in 2025, pricing in 71 basis points of rate cuts—down from 77 bps the previous day, according to Prime Market Terminal data. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold has accumulated, continues to grow and heads towards a new ATH: 2976 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2954 - $2956 SL $2959 scalping TP1: $2950 TP2: $2945 TP3: $2940 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2975 - $2977 SL $2982 TP1: $2968 TP2: $2960 TP3: $2950 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2920 - $2918 SL $2913 TP1: $2930 TP2: $2940 TP3: $2950 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
The Official Start of Alt Season (Only Up For 217days)I dare to say that it’s the official start of alt season. Over the next 217 days, we are going only up... ONLY IF WE HOLD THE LINE. So, throughout this technical analysis (TA), you will see some very important charts that we need to hold the line on. If the line is broken, there is no alt season for me; the line in the sand will be drawn. The main chart above is currently TOTAL2, which means the total crypto market cap WITHOUT BTC. What you’re about to see here on these charts is nothing short of amazing. The chart on the left is my new secret weapon for knowing when alts have bottomed. As you can see, every time we hit the top of this resistance on this chart, it marks a major alt bottom. So far, it has been happening once a year since 2022. As of this week, we have gotten the 4th hit. The stars are once again aligning. Finally, once I see everything lining up, I know that there’s an extremely high chance that I will be correct. What are the chances that we hit the top of this resistance for the 4th time on the week of the Fibonacci time sequence you see on the main chart, which also happens to be the bottom of this diagonal support? Again, too many things are lining up here for me. This time, the Fibonacci sequence I’m following failed to give us anything on the first two hits, but the third (2.618) showed a nice pivot, and the fourth (3.618) showed us the August 2024 alt crash, which is a very important date and event because it mirrored the COVID crash of the last cycle in many ways. So far, then, we have a 50% hit rate on this sequence. We shall see if this week’s Fibonacci count is the actual bottom and pivot of the year. The most important date for me is the one after October 13th, 2025. This has very much piqued my interest because this is exactly when I think the altcoin market will top this year. Why October? Well, if you take a look at my Bitcoin TAs, I think September 2025 will be the Bitcoin cycle top this year, and what normally happens is the altcoin market rallies 20–30 days after BTC has topped. Let’s take a look: As you can see, Bitcoin topped in April 2021, and 28 days later, the alt market topped. In the 2017 bull market, the same thing happened: Bitcoin topped, and 22 days later, the altcoin market topped. My thesis for Bitcoin is that we are currently starting the final Wave 5 that will top in mid-September. As you can see, my Fibonacci time sequence has a hit on this timeframe, which is also 1,050 days from the cycle low—the exact length the last two cycles have taken from bottom to top. So if Bitcoin tops in Mid September 2025 its very much possible that 20-30days after that alt market will top which line up with Mid October ! The ascending triangle technical target is about a 5 trillion market cap at the 3.618 level, which is the Fibonacci level we topped out at last cycle. Many of the greatest rallies have started at this RSI level. The Wyckoff Spring indicator fired off for the third time in ETH history. This is a real-time signal; it has no lag. Could this be the spring? Conclusion I’m 99% sure this is the bottom as long as this diagonal support is not broken. That’s the only condition here. If it holds, a V-shaped recovery is likely, and expect only up for 217 days.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by Sporia
17
Don't Miss Out We Predicted S&P 500 Drop to 5740 It Happened📉 Don't Miss Out – We Predicted S&P 500 Drop to 5740 , and It Happened! 🔥 In our previous recommendation, we clearly stated that S&P 500 would drop to 5740 , and it happened exactly as predicted, reaching the 61% Fibonacci level! ✅ 🚨 Will You Wait Until You Fall with Losing Stocks? 🚨 The market doesn’t wait, and opportunities don’t last forever! If you’ve been following our recommendations, you’ve avoided the collapsing stocks we warned about. ⚠️ Don’t let the market get ahead of you – Follow our recommendations to stay on the winning side! 🔥💰 #SPX500 #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestmentOpportunities
SP:SPX
by stocksfox
2
GOLD Impact of Lower-than-Expected US CPI Data on Gold and the Dollar Department Responsible: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases CPI data. Key CPI Results (March 12, 2025) Metric Actual Forecast Previous Core CPI (m/m) 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% CPI (m/m) 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% CPI (y/y) 2.8% 2.9% 3.0% Immediate Market Reactions US Dollar (DXY): Bearish Pressure: Cooling inflation boosts bets for earlier Fed rate cuts, weakening the USD. Technical Impact: DXY breaks below (critical support) Fundamental Driver: Lower inflation = Reduced need for restrictive monetary policy. Gold (XAU/USD): Bullish Surge: Gold jumps as lower rates diminish USD appeal and enhance non-yielding gold’s attractiveness. Technical Impact: Gold breaches $2,930 resistance (Feb high) toward $2,956–$3,000. Fundamental Driver: Safe-haven demand + Fed dovish bets. Trade Directional Bias Bearish,Fed likely to prioritize rate cuts over inflation control amid cooling CPI. Gold Bullish,Lower rates + weaker USD + tariff/geopolitical risks = Strong gold momentum. Market Sentiment & Analyst Views Fed Rate Cut Bets: Cooler CPI gives the Fed room to ease policy, supporting gold. Summary USD Outlook: Bearish short-term due to dovish Fed repricing. Gold Outlook: Bullish, with $3,000/oz in sight if CPI-driven momentum holds.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSD
by Shavyfxhub
1