NFLX & chilling w/ putsUpdate to my chilling status on NFLX. 4/7/25 gap down, retest of a critical breakdown point for me 910.
Target 825-775 (this week or next week).
Overall mkt bearish due to Tariffs.
@ContraryTrader even left us a clue in my previous update (May/June).Thank you!
*The magic wand feature seems to be extra... & I love that. I'll get a handle on it. Until next time, shorting pops through earnings.
Community ideas
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday AnalysisGold is currently trading within a narrow range between 3018 and 3040, reflecting clear indecision in the market. This sideways consolidation suggests neither buyers nor sellers are fully in control, with price temporarily caught in a holding pattern.
Key levels to watch:
• Potential buys above 3042: A confirmed break and hold above this level could open the door toward 3052 and beyond, especially if momentum kicks in. This area may attract breakout traders eyeing continuation toward previous highs.
• Potential sells below 3018: A clean breakdown under this support could trigger sharp downside, targeting levels around 3010 or even 3000 depending on follow-through volume and sentiment.
For now, price is respecting both edges of the range. Be cautious of fakeouts near the boundaries—wait for confirmation and clean structure before jumping in. Ranging conditions like this often precede significant moves, so staying patient could pay off big.
CHAINLINK: Continuation of Downtrend Toward Key Support LevelsChainlink (LINK/USD) remains in a strong downtrend after failing to break above key resistance at $14.45.
Selling pressure continues to dominate, increasing the likelihood of a drop toward $11.582, a major support key-level. Read on for a full technical breakdown.
Chainlink (LINK) continues to struggle under heavy bearish pressure, failing to reclaim the $14.45 resistance level. The rejection at this key level confirms the weakness in buying momentum, reinforcing the broader bearish structure. As of today , Chainlink is trading at $14.18, maintaining a bearish trajectory as sellers push prices lower.
The immediate focus is on $11.582, the next key local support, which represents an important short-term profit target. A decisive break below this level will likely accelerate downside moves all the way toward $6.35, marking the previouse major low point from August 2024.
Chainlink’s Vision & Market Position
Despite the current bearish momentum, Chainlink remains one of the most influential blockchain projects, providing decentralized oracles that enhance smart contract functionality. Its role in enabling secure, real-world data feeds for blockchain applications remains a fundamental strength. However, short-term market sentiment continues to weigh heavily against LINK, increasing the probability of an extended corrective move before any potential recovery.
Bearish Catalysts & Technical Breakdown
Failure to Break Key Resistance: The rejection at $14.45 highlights weak buying momentum and reinforces the downside bias.
Sustained Bearish Momentum: The price structure remains firmly bearish, with lower highs and lower lows signaling continued selling pressure.
Break Below Local Support Imminent: If LINK fails to hold above $14.45, a rapid move toward $11.582 becomes highly probable.
Extended Bearish Cycle in Play: Broader market sentiment suggests that Chainlink could remain under pressure unless buyers reclaim control above $14.45.
Key Price Levels to Watch
Major Resistance: $14.45
Current Price: $14.18
Local Support & Profit Target: $11.582
Major Bearish Target: $11.582
Stop-Loss Consideration: Above $16.037
Conclusion
Chainlink’s failure to reclaim $14.45 signals a continuation of the current bearish trend, with $11.582 and even $6.35 as the next downside targets. Unless LINK can stage a significant recovery and break key resistance, sellers remain in control. Traders should monitor price action closely, particularly around $14.45, as a breakdown below this level will likely confirm further downside movement.
EWTSU EURUSD subminuette wave v unfolding
Elliott wave trade set up
subminuette wave v unfolding
micro wave ((1)) ended
micro wave ((2)) unfolding in a zigzag wxy FIB target 1.780/1.0820
Volume profile - price should break below 1.0870 target 1.0790/740
ICHIMOKU support area 1.0820
invalidation : 1.0870 hold -> price break out 1.1048
USD/JPY M30 | Falling to overlap supportUSD/JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 146.62 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 145.71 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 148.09 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – Investor Panic After Fake News🟡 GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – Investor Panic After Fake News, Bearish Bias Remains
📉 Current Strategy: Focus on SELL setups at key resistance zones – short-term bearish outlook remains valid
📌 US Session Recap:
Gold saw a sharp sell-off after a fake news report circulated about the US delaying its planned tariff policy.
→ While the White House later confirmed it was misinformation, the damage was done — panic selling hit across global markets.
💥 As a result, gold dropped aggressively and reached the 295x zone, aligning perfectly with AD’s previous short bias.
Meanwhile, US equities also continued to bleed red.
🧠 Market Sentiment: “Cash is King” is Back
With global instability and fear on the rise:
🔹 Investors are hoarding cash
🔹 USD demand increases, along with inflows into US government bonds
🔹 Risk assets like gold, stocks, and crypto are being dumped
💡 This could be part of Trump’s larger play — forcing global capital to flow back into US Treasuries while applying pressure on speculative markets.
🔮 AD’s View:
Unless we see a clear shift in investor sentiment, the base case remains: → Sell rallies through midweek, then reassess.
🧭 Key Technical Zones to Watch:
🔺 Resistance: 3005 – 3016 – 3035 – 3056 – 3076
🔻 Support: 2980 – 2969 – 2956 – 2930 – 2912
🎯 TRADE PLAN:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2930 – 2928
SL: 2924
TP: 2934 – 2938 – 2942 – 2946 – 2950
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3034 – 3036
SL: 3040
TP: 3030 – 3026 – 3022 – 3018 – 3014 – 3010 – ???
📌 Keep an Eye on DXY:
The US Dollar Index is currently testing a major 3-year support level.
→ If equities fail to recover and fear persists, DXY could bounce — and gold would likely continue its correction lower.
⚠️ Final Note:
We’re in a highly volatile and uncertain environment.
→ Stick to the plan. Respect your SL/TP levels. Avoid emotional decisions.
—
📣 Found this perspective useful? Follow for daily macro-backed trade ideas and real-time market structure breakdowns.
Clarity. Consistency. Risk Management.
— AD | Money Market Flow
EURUSD: Dancing on the Peak - Awaiting the CPI WaveEURUSD is feeling restless as it hits the resistance zone of 1.1095. After a strong rally, the price has stalled and lost its previous momentum. On the H4 chart, the price keeps bouncing up and down within the consolidation zone, while the two EMAs 34 and 89 seem to be holding onto the uptrend, but not with the same enthusiasm as before.
Overall, the 1.1095 area appears to be a solid wall; if it fails to break through, the price is likely to retreat back to the support zone at 1.0914. With the upcoming CPI release, market sentiment could quickly shift. If the CPI comes in higher than expected, the USD could gain strength again, pushing EURUSD down below 1.0914. On the other hand, if the CPI is lower, the price might make another leap, testing new highs.
MKRUSDTmy entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest above an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise
Entry; $01390
Take Profit; $1267
Stop Loss; $1429
USD/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.846 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bitcoin Holding PRZ Support Lines – Is a Weekend Rebound Coming?First of all, I would like to say that the Trading Volume is generally low on Saturdays and Sundays , so I don't expect the Support Lines and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) [$82,340-$82,000 ] to break. Of course, we should always be prepared for any scenario.
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Support lines and PRZ , and with the help of the Failed Falling Wedge Pattern , Bitcoin has declined in the last few hours .
Educational Note : In technical analysis, if a Reversal Pattern fails , it often acts as a Continuation Pattern instead .
I expect Bitcoin to trend upward in the coming hours and be able to reach the targets I have outlined on the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $81,900, we should most likely expect more dumping.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bear With Me: When AI Spending disturbs the hibernationSpent too much time coding and cycling today, so no time for a video.
Now we know for sure: it was a deeper correction, and it’s indeed too close to a bear market to be ignored. What's next?
I think the tariff war merely anticipated something that was bound to happen sooner or later: the AI bubble burst. For me, that explains why the NASDAQ entered the bear market first. Big tech was very bold in announcing billions of dollars in AI spending, yet many investors—mostly clueless about what this means for future growth—weren’t ready to accept it.
However, the Trump maneuver isn’t straightforward and could lead to real complications. Without diving into macro analysis (which I admit is beyond my expertise), here are some scenarios derived from the chart:
A – We bounce off the confluence of two major supports: the ascending wedge, the lateral from the 2021/2022 top, and the AVWAP anchored there. It’s a real possibility that we could simply bounce from here and reach a new ATH. However, even in this scenario, I doubt we’ll see the sun before the dark. The AI bubble has to burst before the real winners in that race can show their value. So, we may experience a blow-off top, only to return to bear market territory—possibly by the end of the year or next year.
B – We lose this critical support and head for the hills.
C – We bounce off the next level down and march back up (very unlikely, in my opinion).
D – We complete a bear market with over a 50% correction. The downside could be harsh, with many whipsaws and false hopes along the way.
I’ve never been this bearish in my life. Yet, I remain very bullish on AI. I’m at least 10x more productive with AI, and I believe everyone will be—and so will every company making the right moves. That will create amazing opportunities for traders.
But until then… brace yourself.
Trump Goes "The Peacemaker", as Crude Oil Turns Gradually LowerThe notion that crude oil prices might decrease due to an abatement of the Ukraine's war not seems to be counterintuitive, as the conflict has historically led to increased oil prices due to supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions.
There are several factors that could contribute to a decrease in oil prices if tensions were to ease.
Factors Contributing to Decreased Oil Prices:
Easing of Sanctions on Russia: If tensions between the U.S. and Ukraine were to ease, it might lead to a relaxation of sanctions on Russia, potentially allowing more Russian oil to enter the global market. This increase in supply could help reduce prices.
Market Perception of Reduced Conflict: The market might perceive a decrease in conflict as a sign of reduced risk to global oil supplies, leading to lower prices. This perception could be influenced by expectations of increased oil availability from Russia and other regions.
OPEC Production Increases: If OPEC decides to increase production, as it has recently done, this could add more oil to the market, further pressuring prices downward.
Global Economic Concerns: Economic slowdowns or concerns about global growth can reduce demand for oil, leading to lower prices. The Ukraine conflict has contributed to economic uncertainty, and its abatement might not necessarily increase demand if global economic concerns persist.
Fundamental considerations
Well, in early March 2025, oil prices fell due to a combination of factors, including tensions between the U.S. and Ukraine and OPEC's decision to gradually increase output. Brent crude fell to around $71.08 per barrel, and WTI to about $68.01 per barrel.
Impact of Sanctions: Despite sanctions not directly targeting Russian oil, they have affected its exports by limiting financing and causing some buyers to avoid Russian crude. Easing these sanctions could increase Russian oil exports, potentially lowering global prices.
Market Dynamics: The war in Ukraine initially caused oil prices to surge due to supply concerns. However, if the conflict were to abate, market dynamics could shift, leading to decreased prices as supply risks diminish and global economic factors come into play.
Post war challenge
Crude oil and gasoline prices today are moderately lower, but crude oil tends to breakthrough a long-term 3 - to - 4 years low.
Crude oil prices are under pressure as US tariff uncertainty weighs on the outlook for energy demand.
Also, ramped-up Russian oil exports boost global supplies and are negative for prices.
In addition, crude prices have some negative carryover from Wednesday when weekly EIA crude inventories rose more than expected to a 7-month high.
Conclusion
In summary, while the Ukrainian war has historically driven oil prices up due to supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions, an easing of tensions could lead to decreased prices through increased supply, reduced market risk, and global economic factors.
--
Best 'Peacemaking' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
#EOSUSDTIn my opinion, these targets will be touched soon.
And it seems the whales of this coin are they are slowly leaving from this coin
In a market where all coins are falling and this coin grew so much in one day, the only reason for that was market makers and whales of this coin, not the good fundamental of this coin.
This coin is not worth investing in from a fundamental point of view.
ES1 - Took Profit on Shorts, Now Time To Go LongS&P Fear & Greed index hit a deep low of 4 on Friday close.
The herd are in extreme panic and the media have been blaring fear based news so everyone "knows" that its time to sell.
S&P Futures and CFD have gapped down to open the week.
The gap hits a 1:1.618 Golden Window extension.
We haven't yet had any bounce more than a limp 0.382 retracement where a 3 wave continuation pattern topped out as Trump's tariffs came into effect.
And so with no significant bounce, this extension is very deep and there is a decent chance that a significant bullish pivot will print in this area; perhaps tidily within this Golden Window band; between the 1.618 - 1.786 overshoot.
...
The 2022 market top support intersects tidily within the Golden Window.
There will be plenty of short sellers taking profit at this very significant support.
This will be an area of very high liquidity and the market makers love to trade against high liquidity.
...
The Week RSI has gone significantly oversold for the first time since the 2020 Pandemic Crash.
And the day RSI just went sub 18.
The day RSI is actually lower than any time since 2015!
And notice that on the Futures chart above there is a very large gap to open the week.
Considering the aforementioned, there is decent chance that it is an Exhaustion Gap that would precede a bounce.
...
So all of this sets up a nice contrarian trade here.
Even with all these technicals, it is a dangerous positional entry in high volatility chart.
I think we will likely see another bearish wave following a bounce to complete a high time frame correction with a minimum of 3 correction waves.
But a bounce is due really...
I have taken profit on stock shorts positions on Friday, sold my crypto short positions as stock index Futures / CFD opened with this detail.
Now I am positioned long S&P CFD.
Even if it continues to slump, I think this will be due a bounce soon enough.
But a tidy Golden Window catch would be ideal.
Not advice
Lingrid | BTCUSD breaking KEY Support Levels. Potential ShortThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It reached the target. BINANCE:BTCUSDT recently broke and closed below the March low. Furthermore, it broke below the psychological key level at 80,000 and the upward trendline. The weekly candle also closed bearish with a long tail, suggesting that the price may fall below the next support level at 70,000. On the daily timeframe, the price action is forming an ABC move which also suggests that the price may go below the 70,000 level. I think if the price remains below the 77,000-78,000 resistance zone, there is a chance of movement toward lower levels. I expect the price to retest the support level and channel border. My goal is support zone around 70,000
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EURUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.0842, a pullback support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.0947, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.0731, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.