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XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEIn this video, I break down my bullish outlook on XAUUSD (Gold) from a 4H and broader market perspective.
With gold currently consolidating near the 3,260 zone, I believe there’s strong potential for a move toward 3,400 in the coming sessions.
One of the key drivers I’m watching is the escalating geopolitical tension between Israel and Iran. If conflict resurfaces or intensifies, we could see a renewed rush into safe-haven assets like gold — historically a reliable response during uncertainty and risk-off sentiment.
Watch the full analysis for detailed levels, market structure, and what I’m looking for in terms of confirmation.
Bitcoin Just Broke Out - Smart Traders Are On This Zone Next?📈 BTCUSDT 15m – Trendline Breakout with Retest Opportunity
Price broke out of a descending channel with strong bullish momentum, forming a new higher high, confirming a short-term bullish reversal. Currently pulling back toward a key support zone around $108,200–$107,800, offering a potential buy-the-dip opportunity.
• Trendline Breakout confirmed with volume surge
• Retest zone: $108.2K–$107.8K (prior resistance → support)
• TP levels: $109.8K / $110.5K / $111.2K
• SL: Below $107.3K for risk control
• R:R: 2:1 to 3:1 potential
Watching for bullish reversal confirmation before entry. Trade what you see, not what you feel!
Do You Have a Trading Edge?A Practical Guide to Figuring Out if What You’re Doing Is Actually Working
There comes a point in every trader’s journey when you stop asking “what indicator should I use” and start asking something much more important.
Is what I’m doing actually working?
It’s an honest question. When the P&L has been chopping sideways or dipping red for weeks, it’s easy to feel stuck. Maybe you’ve been grinding for months, jumping from one setup to another, but still not seeing consistent progress. Before you give up or double down, it’s worth stepping back and looking at the one thing that matters most.
Do you have an edge?
What Is a Trading Edge, Really?
A trading edge isn’t about being right all the time. It isn’t some secret indicator or a feeling in your gut. It’s a cold, hard number.
Your edge is the amount of money you can expect to make or lose on average every time you place a trade. If the number is positive, you’re on the right side of probability. If it’s negative, then no amount of motivation or mindset work will stop the account from bleeding over time.
Thankfully, there’s a simple formula that tells you exactly where you stand.
The Formula: No Hype, Just Maths
Edge per trade = (Average Win × Win Rate) − (Average Loss × Loss Rate)
Or more simply:
Edge = W × R – L × (1−R)
Where:
• W is your average winning trade in pounds
• L is your average losing trade (as a positive number)
• R is your win rate, written as a decimal (so 55% becomes 0.55)
This is your trading edge. It’s not a concept. It’s a number. And it either works or it doesn’t.
Let’s Put It Into Practice
Say you win 45% of the time. Your average winning trade makes £180. Your average losing trade costs £120. Plug the numbers in.
Edge = £180 × 0.45 minus £120 × 0.55
Edge = £81 minus £66
Edge = £15
That £15 is your expected value per trade. So if you take 100 trades following that same pattern, you’d expect to make £1,500 before costs. That’s the kind of maths you want working in your favour. It’s not glamorous. It’s not loud. But it’s sustainable.
What if the Edge Is Negative?
This is where a lot of traders lose heart. But it’s actually good news. If the formula tells you the edge isn’t there, you can stop guessing. It means you’ve identified the problem.
A negative edge just tells you that, on balance, either:
• you’re winning too infrequently
• your losses are too large
• your winners aren’t big enough
And every one of those can be adjusted. This isn’t about tearing down your whole system. Often, a small shift in one variable is all it takes to turn a negative edge into a positive one.
Three Ways to Nudge the Numbers in Your Favour
1. Improve the win rate slightly
Look for trades with more confluence. Stick to clearer trends. Avoid taking marginal setups during unpredictable conditions. You don’t need a huge jump, even going from 40% to 47% can have a big impact.
2. Increase the size of your winners
Let trades run a little longer when the conditions are right. Take partials if it helps your mindset, but keep a portion on to capture the extended move. Most traders cut profits too early and let losers drift too far.
3. Tighten up the losses
Use hard stops. Respect them. Review your biggest losing trades and ask yourself if they really had to be that big. Often they didn’t. The goal is to keep losses small and repeatable, not devastating and unpredictable.
A Note on Sample Size
Five or ten trades won’t give you a reliable read on your edge. You need a bigger pool. Ideally 50 to 100 trades minimum. Patterns emerge over time, not in the heat of one session.
A strong edge can go through losing streaks. A poor strategy can get lucky for a while. But when you track your numbers over enough trades, the truth becomes very clear.
You’re Probably Closer Than You Think
If you’ve never done this calculation before, don’t feel behind. Most retail traders never actually work out their edge. They focus on indicators, entry techniques, or mindset work without ever stopping to ask if the numbers stack up.
But once you do the maths, things start to change. You stop judging yourself by your last trade and start thinking in averages. You stop chasing every setup and start focusing on quality. You stop worrying about being right, and start focusing on being consistent.
That’s what separates hobbyists from professionals. The numbers are the difference.
Summary:
If your edge is negative, you now know where to look. If it’s positive, even just slightly, you’ve got something worth building on. Either way, the path forward is clearer.
Trading is hard, no question. But it’s not magic. It’s probability, risk control and discipline applied consistently. And it all starts with understanding the maths behind what you’re doing.
So next time you’re questioning whether your system is any good, don’t ask how it feels. Run the numbers.
Do you have a trading edge?
If yes, protect it. If not, now you know what to fix.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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The Long Haul: ETH EditionHey traders,
Price action is committing very well to structure, and ETH/BTC is also showing a bullish structure. I've entered the swing trade and expect to scale in further as price continues to commit.
PA has swept the lows and is currently forming a 3-touch flag, having swept the inflection point on the LTF. Ideally, I would have preferred a sharper execution, but this entry is sufficient for now. I’ll look to add to the position if the market allows and once I can take risk off the table.
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
BINANCE:ETHBTC
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
That's why everyone should have LINK⚡️ Hello, everyone! I decided to continue exploring fundamental altcoins. Next up is LINK. This is definitely a key project in terms of technology, and without it, the crypto ecosystem we know today would not exist. Their oracle technology is used by approximately 90% of ALL protocols.
So it's hard to underestimate its importance, but let's take a look from a technical point of view. How much trading potential does LINK have?
➡️ The token has been in correction for a long time, like practically the entire market. During the decline, it formed a GAP at the level of $25.65 - $20.55. And as we know, 95% of GAPs tend to close sooner or later.
Globally and locally, the token is currently in a flag pattern. Therefore, high volatility and a period of consolidation can be expected in the near future. During this period, the further direction of the token's movement will become clear.
⚙️ Metrics and Indicators:
Volume - a divergence with the price has formed. Throughout the correction, sales volumes have decreased. This signals the exhaustion of sellers.
Money Flow - harmony with the price. Liquidity continues to slowly decline, but at the same time, it does not form new lows, which means that demand for the token remains.
Support/Resistance - LINK has now reached a key level at $12.64, which could trigger a surge in buyer interest. However, if it cannot hold, the next strong support is at $10.09. At the same time, slightly higher, at $15.52, there is strong resistance, which is also a strong psychological resistance (round number).
📌 Conclusion:
LINK certainly still has potential for decline. It is quite undervalued, even with Bitcoin being so expensive. But if Bitcoin falls, LINK will fall even lower, as will the entire market.
And at times like these, everyone's attention turns first to fundamental assets that are truly valuable and currently too cheap. No one is rushing to buy HarryPotterObamaSonicInu10 because no one knows its true value.
🔥 So be patient, LINK is definitely a fundamental asset, and if you want to add it to your portfolio, now is definitely not the time.
CADJPY Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 105.190.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 104.340 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Bitcoin Short Setup at Key Daily ResistanceIn this analysis, you will find a clear scenario for a potential short setup with precise conditions for confirmation and invalidation. No fluff or guesswork—only institutional analysis of capital footprints and pure price action. I will provide updates for every stage of price interaction with the POI in near real-time, so you can make timely trading decisions, not just observe events after the fact.
Context: What Happened Before?
Bitcoin has perfectly played out Scenario 2 from my previous long analysis. After the liquidity sweep below, which confirmed that the instrument is locked in a large global range, it began an aggressive, correction-less rally. This is often the case after absorbing a large amount of liquidity, which essentially became the fuel for this rise.
The Short Setup
To break out of the range to the upside (or at least make a deviation above it), Bitcoin must overcome the first serious resistance zone. This zone consists of:
The 78.6% Fibonacci level from the daily structure.
Liquidity from the Previous Week's High (PWH).
My plan is to look for a short position if we see a reversal reaction from this zone after the liquidity is taken. The minimum target for this move would be the lower boundary of the range and the daily order block located there. This local move inside the range can be seen as a shorting opportunity.
Invalidation of the Short Scenario:
A break of the 78.6% level with the price closing firmly above it would cancel the short scenario. In that case, Bitcoin would likely continue its move towards the next resistance level.
EURUSD Selling from Resistance at 1.17500 EURUSD Analysis –
4H Timeframe
The pair continues to respect its ascending channel, but current price action suggests a potential sell opportunity from the 1.17500 resistance zone.
🎯 Technical Targets:
🔻 1st Target – 1.16000 (Key demand zone)
🔻 2nd Target – 1.14500 (Deeper support area)
🔻 3rd Target – 1.12500 (Bullish Order Block)
💡 Watch for confirmation signals near resistance before entering shorts.
💬 Like, follow, comment, and join us for more real-time trade ideas and updates!
📲 Let’s grow and trade smart together 💼✨
— Livia 😜
XAU/USD – Bullish Trend Faces Resistance at $3,350 XAU/USD – Bullish Trend Faces Resistance at $3,350 | Watch for Breakout or Pullback!
📅 Published on: Jul 01, 2025
✍️ By: MR_MARK0
🧠 Market Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) has been riding a strong bullish wave, pushing through multiple resistance levels. Currently, price is hovering just below the $3,350 resistance, which marks a critical level for either trend continuation or a potential pullback. Momentum remains in favor of buyers, but signs of exhaustion are beginning to surface.
🔍 Key Zones:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,350.0 – $3,352.5
🟢 Support Zone: $3,338.0 – $3,340.0
🟢 Demand Block: $3,310.0 – $3,315.0 (bullish base before recent breakout)
📌 Strategy in Play:
The chart reflects a Trend Continuation Strategy with key support/resistance zones identified. Price has shown strength, but we are now at a make-or-break level. Patience is crucial here.
🧭 Trade Idea:
🔁 Buy the Dip:
Entry Zone: $3,340 – $3,342
SL: Below $3,338
TP1: $3,352
TP2: $3,360
🔁 Breakout Play (Aggressive):
Entry: On breakout above $3,352 with bullish volume
SL: Below breakout candle low
TP: $3,360 and $3,372
⚠️ Risk Note:
Price is extended; a fake breakout above $3,350 may trigger a bull trap. If price fails and drops below $3,338, expect a corrective move toward $3,330 – $3,310. Watch volume divergence and candle rejection patterns.
Gold may collapse again, don't get buried in it!In the past two trading days, gold began to rebound from a low of around 3245, and has now rebounded to around 3358, with a rebound of up to $113. Moreover, there has been no significant retracement during this rebound, indicating that gold has little intention to fall, and may even continue to rise.
But for me, gold rebounded from 3245. Even if a double bottom structure with 3275 as the secondary low was constructed on the technical level, it should not be enough for gold to rebound more than $113 in just two days as it fell below many supports in the early stage and bullish confidence suffered a serious blow. Moreover, it happened before the uncertain news of the NFP market.
So I have to consider that the market did it deliberately, and its primary purpose was to kill a large number of short chips in the market and lure more attracted long chips; secondly, the sharp rise before the NFP market may be to reserve room for the NFP market to fall in advance; in addition, I have to consider that the US dollar has fallen to a three-year low. If it continues to fall, there may be a global crisis of confidence in the US dollar, and the oversold rebound demand for the US dollar will also suppress gold.
Therefore, I still will not advocate chasing the rise of gold for the time being; on the contrary, I will actively seek opportunities to short gold in the 3350-3370 area; and once gold turns to a downward trend again, it may at least test the 3325-3315-3305 area downward in the short term.
Top-Down Analysis in Action – Live Trade: Where I Enter and WhyIn this video, I walk you through my full trading process – starting with a clean top-down analysis.
I begin on the daily chart to spot key market structure and levels, then zoom in to the 1-hour chart for confirmation, and finally execute my trade on the 5-minute chart.
You’ll see:
✔️ How I define my zones and structure
✔️ Why I wait for confluence across timeframes
✔️ Exactly where and why I enter the trade
Just real analysis and real trades.
If you’re looking to improve your entries and learn how to align multiple timeframes, this one’s for you.
🔔 Don’t forget to like, comment & subscribe for more real-time trading content!
NASDAQ:AMZN
NYSE:ANET
NASDAQ:CSCO
NASDAQ:CZR
NASDAQ:GOOG
NYSE:IONQ
NASDAQ:MRVL
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NASDAQ:MU
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GOLD 3H Chart Pattern, I have marked a cup formationGOLD 3H Chart Pattern, I have marked a cup formation, which often indicates a bullish reversal setup. Based on the chart:
Key Levels:
Current Price Zone: Around 3,323 - 3,330
First Target: Near 3,380 - 3,400
Final Target: Near 3,440 - 3,460
Analysis:
Price is forming a cup pattern with resistance around 3,380 - 3,400
Break above 3,400 could lead towards the final target zone of 3,440 - 3,460
Watch for price reaction near Ichimoku Cloud; clean breakout above the cloud confirms bullish momentum
Suggested Targets:
✅ First Target: 3,380 - 3,400 USD
✅ Second Target: 3,440 - 3,460 USD
Note: Wait for confirmation above 3,330 - 3,340 and bullish momentum to continue.
If you want, I can also give stop-loss and entry suggestions based on this chart. Let me know!
SILVER US$ 1H CHART PATTERNSilver (XAG/USD) 1H timeframe, here’s a breakdown of the target levels indicated:
📈 Chart Analysis Highlights:
The chart shows a bullish ascending triangle pattern, which is typically a continuation pattern signaling upward movement.
The price has recently broken above resistance around the 36.36–36.40 area.
You’ve marked two target points:
---
🎯 Target Levels:
1. First Target Point:
Price Level: Approximately 37.40 USD
This is the first significant resistance level after breakout, potentially reachable if momentum continues.
2. Second Target Point (Extended Target):
Price Level: Approximately 37.80 USD
This would be a more ambitious target assuming strong bullish follow-through.
---
📌 Notes:
Ensure to monitor volume on breakout for confirmation.
Risk management is important — consider stop-loss near 36.10 or below the ascending trendline.
Watch for any false breakouts especially near Ichimoku cloud resistance zones.
Would you like help setting up entry/exit levels or risk-reward ratios?
XAUUSD Consolidates Near Resistance After Strong RallyGold (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe has staged a solid bullish reversal from the 3,263 USD support zone, reaching a recent high of 3,357 USD. Now, the market is entering a consolidation phase just below this resistance. This price action may be setting the stage for the next directional move.
After breaking a clear descending trendline, XAUUSD formed a two-leg bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows – a classic signal of trend reversal. The rally paused around 3,357 USD, a previous swing high acting as short-term resistance. The price is currently ranging between 3,330–3,340 USD with decreasing volume, indicating a potential accumulation zone rather than distribution.
Resistance: 3,357 USD – breakout target
Support zone: 3,330–3,335 USD – short-term demand zone
Invalidation level: 3,306 USD – below this, bullish structure breaks
As long as price holds above 3,330 USD, a bullish continuation remains the primary scenario. Traders can look for pullbacks or bullish patterns within this zone for potential long entries. A break and close above 3,357 USD would confirm strength, opening the path toward 3,370 or even 3,390 USD.
Stop-loss should be placed below 3,306 USD to manage risk if the breakout fails. If price loses the 3,306 support decisively, the setup turns neutral to bearish short-term.
The breakout leg was supported by rising volume, validating real demand. Current low-volume sideways movement suggests the market is “cooling off” after the rally, often a precursor to the next breakout move. Watching for bullish engulfing candles or volume spikes near support can offer trade confirmation.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a bullish technical structure on the 1H chart. The current range between 3,330–3,357 USD is key. If price breaks above resistance, we could see strong continuation toward higher levels. Traders should stay patient, manage risk carefully, and let price action confirm the next move.
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 2 July 2025Hello Traders,
Today all eyes on breakout of 3360-70 zone in order to GOLD go for further advance below this zone all eyes are remains on 3318 level if market successfully maintain 3330 level then will go down further towards 3300 Psychological Level after passing 3318
NFP main event of the day which is held by tomorrow
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Check support at 108316.90-111696.21
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Among the many trend lines, the one marked 1W is the important one.
Therefore, we need to look at whether it can rise above the 1W trend line or rise along the trend line.
If not, and it falls below 108316.90, it may lead to further decline, so we need to think about a countermeasure for this.
This volatility period is expected to continue until July 3, but it is expected to last until July 11, so caution is required when trading.
-
Indicators that indicate high points are DOM(60), HA-High, and StochRSI 80.
HA-High and StochRSI 80 are formed around 108316.90, and DOM(60) is formed at 111696.21.
Therefore, the 108316.90-111696.21 section is a high point boundary section, and if it is supported and rises in this section, it is highly likely that a stepwise uptrend will begin.
The conditions for a stepwise uptrend to begin are:
- The K of the StochRSI indicator must show an upward trend below 80,
- The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator must show an upward trend above the 0 point,
- The OBV of the Low Line ~ High Line channel must show an upward trend. If possible, it is better for the Low Line ~ High Line channel to form an upward channel.
When the above conditions are met, I think that if it is supported and rises in the 108316.90-111696.21 section, it is highly likely that a stepwise uptrend will continue.
If the above conditions are not met, it is likely that it will show a downward trend again while pretending to rise.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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ETH/USDT : Gearing Up for a Major Breakout? (READ)By analyzing the Ethereum chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price has started rising just as expected and is now approaching the first target. For now, ETH faces major resistance in the $2,600–$2,900 zone.
If price breaks above this key area, I expect a strong bullish move from Ethereum!
Based on the main analysis, the short-term targets are $2,700 and $2,890, while the mid-term targets are $3,100 and $4,100.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
DeGRAM | XRPUSD seeks to retest of the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● A third rebound from the rising purple support (green dots) printed a bullish engulfing that has already forced price back above the short-term grey down-trend, signalling a momentum shift.
● XRP is now coiling inside a contracting triangle capped by the purple resistance line near 2.40; the 18 ¢ consolidation width implies 2.45 on a break, while the April pivot at 2.65 lines up with the upper channel for the next objective.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Ahead of the 23 July SEC – Ripple status hearing, HSBC’s digital-asset unit announced a pilot using XRP for cross-border settlement, lifting social volume and spot bids.
✨ Summary
Buy 2.10-2.20; confirmed close above 2.40/2.45 targets 2.60-2.65. Thesis void on a 16 h close below 1.98.
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