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AUDJPY - Follow The Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AUDJPY has been bearish trading within the falling channel in red. Currently, AUDJPY is approaching the upper bound of the channel. Moreover, it is retesting a strong structure marked in orange. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the structure and upper red trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDJPY is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
5
'Safe Haven' Strength going to continue? YES - SELL GBPJPYAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Short
by Simply-Forex
2
IWM Below $195! Can it Survive the Gamma Squeeze Pressure?🧠 Macro Context * The Trump tariff news shocked risk-on assets, and small caps were hit hardest. * IWM broke below the $195-$199 demand zone, now sliding into dealer gamma hedging territory. * GEX flow now clearly suggests a momentum-driven selloff, with risk of gamma acceleration if $192 breaks down. 📊 Technical Analysis (1H) 🔺 Previous Structure: * IWM retested $201 after consolidating for days, then dumped hard, invalidating the breakout structure. * The large red candle broke through the HVL zone ($199) and cleared multiple support levels in one move. 🔻 Current Zone: * Trading near $192.40, where there's no immediate gamma support, making this a vulnerable spot. Key Levels: * Immediate Resistance: * $198 – PUT Wall zone (2nd wall) * $199–$201 – HVL, former support now resistance * $203–$206 – stacked GEX CALL walls * Support Zone: * $191.43 – session low * $190–$188 = potential short-term bounce zone if VIX compresses * Below $188 = open gamma air pocket to $185 🧨 GEX + Options Sentiment GEX Analysis (Options GEX ): * 🔴🔴🔵 GEX = short gamma, dealers are likely short puts and hedging by selling into weakness. * $198: 2nd PUT Wall and GEX floor — breaking this triggered the slide. * No firm GEX support until $190, meaning price can overshoot downward. Options Oscillator: * IVR 40.4 / IVx avg 39.7 – moderate vol setup, but rising put pressure post-tariff. * PUTs 21.5% – leaning bearish * Spike in upcoming OPEX gamma positioning means dealers are reactive, not supportive. 🎯 Trade Setups 🐻 Bearish Continuation: * Entry: Breakdown below $192.00 * Target: $190 → $188 * Stop: Above $195 reclaim * Contracts: 0DTE or 2DTE $190P / $188P 🐂 Bounce Reversal Play: * Only viable if $192.00 forms a strong base and we reclaim $195 with volume * Target: $198–$201 (retest of breakdown) * Contracts: 0DTE $195C / Spread to $198 🔍 Conclusion: IWM is under pressure with no strong gamma cushion until $190. If $192 fails, expect volatility spikes. Dealers are likely hedging against further downside. Only reversal signal would be a strong reclaim above $195–$198, which may spark a reflex rally. Suggested Play: * Scalpers: $192.00 key pivot * Swing: Bearish bias into $190 unless bulls reclaim $195 HVL zone * Options: Puts for continuation / tight call spreads only above $198 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk and trade with discipline.
AMEX:IWM
by BullBearInsights
1
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Technical Outlook NAS100 is currently in a corrective phase, trading at $18,900, with bearish momentum suggesting a potential move toward the $18,300 support level in the coming week. If this level holds, a rebound could push the index back up toward $20,300, creating a temporary recovery phase. However, if the price struggles at $20,300 and fails to sustain bullish momentum, it would confirm the formation of a descending channel, reinforcing the broader downtrend. In this scenario, NAS100 could extend its decline toward $16,100, where the price may find support. Key structural levels to watch: Support Levels: $18,300 → $16,100 → $14,600 (Major support from 2021) Resistance Levels: $20,300 → $16,000 (Resistance from 2023) If the index reaches $16,100, this could serve as a critical level where a strong reaction may occur, as it aligns with historical price zones and previous sell-off extensions. The $14,600 support from 2021 remains a last defense level, potentially preventing deeper declines. Traders should monitor volume and price action confirmations at key levels to assess whether the index is setting up for a reversal or further downside continuation.
FUSIONMARKETS:NAS100Short
by QuantumFusionWave
Calibrating Trading Indicators for Different MarketsCalibrating Trading Indicators for Different Markets: A Beginner's Guide (Simple Steps to Adjust RSI , MACD , and Other Tools for Better Results) Key Idea : Just like you'd tune a guitar differently for rock vs. classical music, trading tools like RSI or MACD need adjustments depending on what you're trading (stocks, crypto, forex) and how it moves. This guide shows you how to tweak these tools using price swings (pivot points) to make them work better for your specific asset. --- Why "One Size Fits All" Doesn't Work Most traders use default settings for indicators (like RSI's 14-day period). But these defaults were created for "average " markets. Real markets aren't average! Example: - Crypto ( CME:BTC1! ) : Super volatile → Needs faster, more sensitive indicators. - Blue-Chip Stocks ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) : Less wild swings → Needs slower, smoother indicators. If you use the same RSI settings for both, you'll get bad signals. Calibration fixes this. --- The Pivot Point Method for Calibration One effective approach to calibration is measuring the natural rhythm of price swings between high and low points. Here's how to do it step by step: Step 1: Find Pivot Points on Your Chart Pivot points are like "price turning points." Use TradingView's ZigZag indicator (or draw them manually) to spot these swings. How to Add ZigZag on TradingView : 1. Open your chart. 2. Click "Indicators" → Search " ZigZag " → Select it. 3. Adjust settings (defaults work fine for starters). The ZigZag will draw lines between significant highs (peaks) and lows (valleys). --- Step 2: Measure the "Rhythm" of the Market Count the bars (candles) between pivot points to find the market's natural cycle. Example : - If Bitcoin swings from peak to peak every 14 bars on average, its "cycle" is 14 bars. - If Apple does this every 16 bars, its cycle is 16 bars. In the picture above, we used the Williams Fractal to identify pivots. Formula for Indicator Settings : - RSI Period = Half the average cycle → If cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days. - MACD Settings : Fast EMA = ¼ cycle, Slow EMA = ½ cycle → Cycle = 16 → Fast EMA = 4, Slow EMA = 8 --- Step 3: Test Your Calibrated Indicators Backtest on TradingView : 1. Add your indicator (e.g., RSI) with the new settings. 2. Use the Strategy Tester (click "Add to Chart" → " RSI Strategy ") to see if signals improve. Look For : - Fewer false signals (e.g., RSI saying "oversold" too early). - Clearer trends (MACD crossovers matching price moves). --- Calibrating Popular Indicators (Simple Rules) 1. RSI (Relative Strength Index) - Default : 14 days. - Calibrated : Half the average cycle length. - Example : Cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days. Why It Works : Shorter RSI reacts faster to volatile markets (like crypto). 2. MACD - Default : 12, 26, 9. - Calibrated : - Fast EMA = ¼ of cycle. - Slow EMA = ½ of cycle. - Signal Line = ⅙ of cycle. - Example : Cycle = 20 → Fast = 5, Slow = 10, Signal = 3. Why It Works : Matches the asset's natural momentum shifts. 3. Williams %R - Default : 14 days. - Calibrated : Same as RSI (half the cycle). --- How to Avoid Common Mistakes Mistake 1 : Overfitting (Making It Too Perfect for the Past) - Problem : If you calibrate too precisely to old data, it might fail in the future. - Fix : Test on 2 types of data: 1. Training Data : First 70% of your chart (to calibrate). 2. Testing Data : Last 30% (to check if it still works). Mistake 2 : Ignoring Market Changes - Problem : What works today might not work next month. - Fix : Recheck your settings every 3 months or after big news (e.g., Fed rate hikes). --- Free Tools to Help (No Coding Needed) 1. TradingView's "Auto-Detect Cycle" Scripts Search for indicators like "Cycle", "RSI Adaptive" or " Rainbow Adaptive RSI " in TradingView's public library. These automatically calculate cycle lengths (Not tested). 2. Adaptive MACD/RSI Indicators Try pre-built adaptive indicators like: - Adaptive MACD : Adjusts itself based on volatility. - Dynamic Pivot : Uses pivots to set stop-loss and take-profit levels. --- Building a Simple Pivot Calibration System Basic ZigZag Calibrator Method : 1. Add ZigZag to your chart. 2. Manually count the bars between 5 recent swings. 3. Calculate the average → Divide by 2 → Use that number for your RSI/MACD. Example : - Swings: 12, 14, 16, 10, 8 bars → Average = 12. - Calibrated RSI = 6 days. --- Why This Works (Without the Math) Markets move in waves. By matching your indicator's speed to the wave length, you "surf" the trend instead of fighting it. Research shows adaptive methods like this beat default settings. The Science Behind It When you calibrate to an instrument's natural rhythm: - Oscillators (RSI, %R) catch extremes at the right time - Trend indicators (MACD) signal changes faster - Volatility bands (Bollinger Bands) expand and contract appropriately --- A Step Further: Multi-Timeframe Calibration For even better results, calibrate across timeframes: 1. Calculate cycles on daily charts for swing trading 2. Calculate cycles on 4-hour charts for day trading 3. Use both calibrated indicators together for confirmation --- Final Tips for Beginners 1. Start Small : Calibrate one indicator (like RSI) first. 2. Use Free Tools : TradingView has thousands of free scripts to automate calculations. 3. Keep Records : Document what settings work for which assets. 4. Be Patient : Finding the right calibration takes time, but the results are worth it. Calibration isn't about being perfect—it's about making your tools work better for specific markets . Happy trading!
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by TradeVizion
2
Bonds Don’t Lie: The Signal is ClearU.S. 10-year Treasuries are a crucial cog in the global financial machine, serving as a benchmark borrowing rate, a tool for asset valuation, and a gauge of the longer-term outlook for U.S. economic growth and inflation. As such, I keep a close eye on 10-year note futures, as they can offer clues on directional risks for bond prices and yields. The price action over the past few days has sent a clear and obvious signal as to where the risks lie: prices higher, yields lower. Futures had been grinding lower within a falling wedge for several weeks but broke higher last Friday on decent volumes following soft U.S. household spending data. It has since extended bullish the move, reclaiming the 200-day moving average before surging above key resistance at 115’09’0 after Trump’s reciprocal tariff announcement on Wednesday. RSI (14) is trending higher but isn’t yet overbought, while MACD has crossed the signal line above 0, confirming the bullish momentum signal. That favours further upside, putting resistance at 116’11’0 and 118’12’0 on the immediate radar. For those who prefer it expressed in yield terms, that’s around 4% and 3.8% respectively. Good luck! DS
CBOT:TN1!Education
by FOREXcom
GBPUSD I Weekly CLS, KL - Order Block, Model 2Hey Traders!! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! 🧩 What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. ✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. 🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. 📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” David Perk ⚔
Short
by David_Perk
3
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: SMC Trading point update This chart is a technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown 1. Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an upward channel, showing a bullish trend. Higher highs and higher lows confirm the uptrend. 2. Support and Resistance Zones: Yellow Boxes: Key support zones where price previously consolidated before moving higher. Red Arrows: Marking resistance zones where the price faced rejection. Green Arrows: Indicating support levels where the price bounced. 3. Current Price Action: Price recently dropped to a key support zone (around $3,050). A bullish reaction is expected from this level. If support holds, the price may continue the uptrend toward the target of $3,186. 4. Projected Move: The black zigzag line suggests a potential bounce from support. If the support level holds, price could move back up within the channel. Mr SMC Trading point Conclusion: If price respects the support zone, there could be a good buying opportunity. A break below the support zone would signal potential bearish movement. Monitoring price action around the yellow zone is crucial for confirming direction. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow )
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.5761 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.5713 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.5831 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Gold Analysis March 4Fundamental Analysis Persistent concerns over the potential economic impact of US President Donald Trump’s tit-for-tat tariffs could act as a catalyst for the safe-haven precious metal. Meanwhile, risk-off sentiment, coupled with expectations that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle early, has caused a sharp decline in US Treasury yields. This, in turn, has pushed the US dollar (USD) to its lowest level since October 2024 and helped limit the downside in non-yielding gold. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for a sharp sell-off to confirm that XAU/USD has topped out. Technical Analysis Today’s trading range is likely to see a fairly high probability of a drop. If it breaks 3116, gold will find its way back to 3081. In case gold breaks the downward structure as analyzed in the upward direction, pay attention to the SELL zone around 3148-3150. Wishing everyone a successful trading day.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 3 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first, then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
Bitcoin Market Auction Theory – Volume Levels & Market RotationHello Traders, Bitcoin’s price action is currently respecting key volume levels, aligning with market auction theory. This concept suggests that price tends to rotate between value area high (VAH) and value area low (VAL), using the point of control (POC) as a midpoint. With price recently rejecting the VAH, the probability of a move lower has increased. Key Technical Points: • Market Auction Theory: Price typically rotates between VAH and VAL, with the POC acting as a key pivot. • Current Price Structure: The VAH at $88,200 has seen rejection, increasing the likelihood of a move toward the POC at $67,200. • Volume Profile Insight: Declining volume suggests consolidation is nearing its end, with an expected volume spike driving the next major move. If Bitcoin loses the POC at $67,200, it significantly increases the probability of a full rotation down to the VAL at $49,500, completing the auction cycle. However, a bounce from POC could provide short-term support before the next major move develops. For now, Bitcoin is consolidating, but the volume profile suggests a breakout is imminent. Traders should monitor key levels closely, as an influx in volume will likely dictate the next major directional move.
Short
by AzizKhanZamani