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Bullish Divergence and the Impact of Trump’s TariffsOn the daily chart of the S&P 500, I’m currently spotting a clear bullish divergence. This type of divergence is a technical pattern that suggests that, despite recent price drops, the downtrend is losing momentum and a potential upward move could be on the horizon. It shows that the index has underlying strength, which the price hasn’t fully reflected yet — making a bullish reversal very likely in the short to mid-term. In this context, the recent drop in the S&P 500 has been largely driven by Donald Trump’s tariff announcements, especially targeting China and other countries. However, based on my analysis, I believe that these tariffs were more of a negotiation tactic than a long-term economic strategy. And now that things are clearly not going as expected, I’m convinced that Trump will be forced to scale back the tariffs or start accepting less favorable trade agreements just to stop the bleeding — because I highly doubt he will allow this sharp market decline to continue unchecked. Why tariffs aren’t coherent or beneficial for the global economy Tariffs are additional taxes on imports. Although they’re often marketed as a way to protect local industries, in reality, they increase prices for consumers and destabilize global supply chains. The result is damaging for both the countries imposing the tariffs and those receiving them. In the case of the U.S., despite Trump’s promises, these tariffs are actually hurting American companies that rely on imported materials and products, leading to higher internal costs and squeezing consumers. Worse yet, this ongoing trade war has created a climate of global economic uncertainty, which is driving down investment and confidence. That uncertainty has translated into market selloffs around the world, and the S&P 500’s current decline is a direct reflection of that. Importantly, it’s U.S. businesses — not foreign governments — who are absorbing the cost of these tariffs. What to expect going forward Despite the pressure from tariffs, I believe that Trump — seeing the damage already being done to the markets — will have no choice but to start dialing things back. My take is that to avoid a deeper economic hit and restore investor confidence, the U.S. will likely pursue more balanced deals, even if it means compromising a bit. If this scenario plays out, I expect the S&P 500 to begin recovering, especially as investor uncertainty fades. The bullish divergence on the chart further reinforces the idea that once these external political and economic pressures ease, the market could see a strong and sharp rebound. Conclusion Trump’s tariffs were intended as leverage — but they’re clearly backfiring and doing more harm than good. The current S&P 500 correction, in my opinion, is actually a buying opportunity for those with a long-term view. With potential tariff reductions and fairer trade deals on the horizon, the market is likely to rebound strongly, especially with the bullish divergence we’re seeing on the charts. Markets may have already priced in the worst, and now we’re seeing the first technical signals of a potential turnaround. If confirmed, the price could begin to rally significantly in the coming days or weeks.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EmmanuelCova
1
"Gold Approaching Key Support – Will Bulls Take Control?"🔹 Market Structure: Gold is currently in a corrective phase after a strong bullish run, facing a pullback from recent highs around $3,160. The price has now approached a key horizontal support zone near $2,980 - $3,020. 🔹 Key Levels: ✅ Resistance: ~$3,160 (previous high) ✅ Horizontal Support: ~$2,980 - $3,020 (marked in blue) ✅ Target Level: ~$3,099 (potential bounce area) 🔹 Potential Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish Reversal: If the price finds support in the marked zone and forms bullish confirmation (e.g., hammer candle, bullish engulfing), we could see a retest of $3,099 and potentially higher levels. 2️⃣ Breakdown Scenario: If support fails, gold may see further downside towards $2,950 or lower. 🔹 Trading Plan: 📈 Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmation near support (~$3,020) with a target of $3,099 - $3,120. 📉 Sell Setup: If support breaks, short positions could target $2,950 - $2,920. 🔸 Bias: Bullish above support, bearish below it. 🔸 Risk Management: Use a stop-loss below support (~$2,980) to manage risk. Would you like me to refine this further or add any indicators like RSI, Moving Averages, etc.? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
1
BTC Mid-Term Outlook: Key Levels & Wave StructureAs long as March lows hold, there remains a technical possibility for one more wave up toward the 130K resistance zone. However, given the corrective three-wave structure of the recovery (rather than an impulsive five-wave move), I am now leaning toward the mid-term top being in place at January highs. If price remains below last week’s high, my operative scenario favors one more leg down to the 64K–55K–51K macro support zone. If the downside scenario unfolds, it would still be technically valid for the entire corrective wave (2) to complete within the support zone mentioned, especially considering the underlying fundamental strength of the asset. Should price break above last week’s high in the coming weeks, the odds shift in favor of a renewed uptrend, potentially reclaiming ATH and targeting 130K. The super-macro structure that I'm following as an operative wave count, assumes multi-decades bullish cycle, with the next long-term expansion phase expected once price establishes a firm bottom in the discussed support zone: Wishing you successful trading & investing decisions. Thank you for your attention! PS: The wave structure of BTC, proposed in March 2024 idea, has fulfilled itself:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by artemfedorov
1
EUR/USD 4h pair ......My eyeing a EUR/USD short from 1.09730, with a clear multi-target strategy: Trade Setup: Sell Entry: 1.09730 Target 1: 1.06000 (~373 pips) Target 2: 1.03750 (~598 pips) Target 3: 1.02086 (~764 pips) Considerations: Trend Check: Is the D1 or H4 chart showing bearish structure? Fundamentals: Watch for ECB/Fed policy divergence, inflation data, or NFP reports. Risk Management: Consider SL above recent swing high (maybe 1.1050+ depending on your timeframe). Scaling Out: You could take partial profits at each target to lock in gains while letting the rest ride. Want help analyzing the current chart to confirm your bias or refine entry/exit?
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
Bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 127.2% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 66.59 1st Support: 64.82 1st Resistance: 67.96 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by ICmarkets
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5788.8.Dear colleagues, I am still counting on an upward movement. It seems that the sellers have not lost their strength yet and I see that an update of the low in the area of 5445 is possible. Then I expect a resumption of the upward movement with a target to reach the 5788.8 area. As usual there are 2 possible entry options: 1) Market entry 2) Entry by pending limit orders if the price starts a small downward movement. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
13
LTCUSD Litecoin OH NO TARIFFS! Everyone SELL NOW!The market reacted to the tariffs negatively as expected. I don't think these tariffs will last long. Countries will cave and remove their tariffs. Bottom line is they need us more than we need them. Once global free and easier trade starts you're going to see a boom cycle like never before. This is the bottom and the beginning of the biggest bull run you'll ever see. I don't get involved in politics but this move that Trump made with the tariffs is going to be a major positive for the USA and the world moving forward. This isnt 1929, we live in a much more advanced world now. Collapses and depressions are a thing of the past in my opinion. As for Litecoin I see it coming down to test around $70 dollars by the middle of April. This is also timed almost perfectly to the 2017 run Litecoin had, coincidentally trump was starting his first term in 2017 as well. Also timed perfectly to when tax day is over for USA. Many have capitulated and sold everything thinking a giant recession is coming, or a war, or a collapse, or aliens, or you name it people are scared of their own shadows lately. Like a plague of Grackles where one gets spooked and the whole lot of them get scared and take off when they dont even know why. This is how the markets work though, most will make the wrong decision so the few who made the right decision can profit from their mistakes. Once the market starts to run again those who sold will think its just a fake pump or dead cat bounce and wont buy in. Then the market will continue to rise and rise and finally when its near an all time high those who capitulated and sold early will fomo back in and buy the top to provide liquidity for those who were called crazy for buying the bottom. Its a cycle thats been happening since markets started. So Im sticking with my predictions for Litecoin, I am not falling for this bear trap crap. Im doubling down. This is not financial advice. This is just my opinion.
KRAKEN:LTCUSDLong
by Bitgolder
Trader's Alert: Gold Potential Top, Signal (Bullish Bitcoin)Gold today is making a strong move after hitting a new All-Time High. The current session is red and has the highest volume since November 2024. This is an early signal that can be interpreted as the top being printed. Very early. Gold peaking can have a strong significance for us Cryptocurrency traders. Gold has been in a strong uptrend since December 2024. Bitcoin peaked and went sideways with bearish tendencies in December 2024. They have been moving in contrary direction. This can mean that a Gold top would produce a Bitcoin bottom. The Gold peak can mean a change in market dynamics, all markets. Bullish goes bearish and bearish goes bullish. Gold is still bullish on the weekly timeframe but with a parabolic rise. A parabolic rise tends to end with a sudden crash. A true parabola. This is a friendly alert to all Gold traders. XAUUSD is likely to go down. Confirmation is needed. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by MasterAnanda
3
COSTCO: Massive rebound on the 1W MA50 can go for +45% profit.Costco has just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.966, MACD = -6.590, ADX = 35.211) as it's on the 3rd straight green week ever since it touched and held the 1W MA50. This rebound, though not an absolute bottom on the 2 year Channel Up, is the new technical bullish wave of the pattern. We've had so far 2 main +45.14% price surges in the past two years. We estimate that to be the 3rd and last up until the end of the year. Go long, TP = 1,270. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by InvestingScope
GBPCAD - Is Bullish Breakout Ahead?TF: 4h GBPCAD is initiating along opportunity by completing 4th intermediate wave at 1.83464 . We can expect a retracement then reversal with near the lower trendline of the parallel channel. Once price comes down, we will have the opportunity to go long with minimum stop level at low of the wave 4 at 1.83640 . The bullish scenario is capable GBPCAD to provide 1.8654 - 1.8748 targets to the buyers. If the breakdown occurs, wave (4) will go deep. We update this chart time to time. Traders should only buy after a clear reversal.
by Money_Dictators
1
BTC - Elliott Wave Impulse and Corrective StructureThis chart illustrates an Elliott Wave pattern on BTCUSDT in the 4-hour timeframe. The market initially completed a 5-wave impulse move to the upside, labeled as (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5), signaling a strong bullish trend. Following the completion of Wave (5), a corrective ABC structure has begun, indicating a potential retracement phase. - The 5-wave impulse structure suggests a completed bullish cycle. - Wave (A) marks the initial corrective decline, followed by a recovery in Wave (B). - Wave (C) is in progress, likely targeting lower levels before a potential reversal or continuation of the trend. Traders should watch key support and resistance levels to identify potential reversal zones or continuation patterns. If BTC finds strong support at a key level, it could indicate a buying opportunity for the next bullish wave. Conversely, a deeper breakdown could confirm extended correction. Always apply proper risk management and confirm setups with additional technical indicators.
Short
by wdstrades
19
Nifty 50 - Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern | Potential Reversal🔍 Pattern Identified: Inverse Head & Shoulders (IHS) We can see a classic IHS formation on the Nifty 50 Index (4H timeframe), which is a bullish reversal pattern. 📝 Key Observations: ✅ Prior Downtrend: A prolonged bearish move before the pattern formation. ✅ Left Shoulder: Initial low followed by a bounce. ✅ Head: A lower low, forming the bottom of the pattern. ✅ Right Shoulder: A higher low, signaling reduced bearish pressure. ✅ Neckline Resistance: Breakout above 23,500 could confirm the pattern. 📊 Potential Trading Plan (For Learning Purposes Only! Not Financial Advice) 🔹 Entry: Above neckline breakout (~23,500) 🔹 Target: Measured move projection (~24,500-24,700) 🔹 Stop-Loss: Below right shoulder (~22,750) 🔹 Risk-Reward: Should be favorable (minimum 1:2) ⚠️ Important Considerations: 🔹 Volume Confirmation: A breakout should have strong volume to be valid. 🔹 Retest Possibility: Price may retest neckline before moving higher. 🔹 Market Conditions: Always check global cues and sentiments before executing trades. 📢 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions. Trade responsibly! ✅
NSE:NIFTYLong
by thetradebull
4
Gold prices cool after tariff announcement⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) surged to a new all-time high during the Asian session on Thursday as investors flocked to safe-haven assets amid heightened risk aversion. Market sentiment took a sharp downturn after US President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping reciprocal tariffs on Wednesday evening, igniting fears of a global economic slowdown and a potential US recession. The announcement triggered a broad sell-off in equity markets, reinforcing the risk-off mood and further fueling demand for gold as a traditional store of value. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold hits 3167 peak, buying pressure gradually decreases. Adjustment waiting for new moves from other countries on Trump's tariff policy ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL 3165 - 3168 SL 3172 TP1: $3160 TP2: $3150 TP3: $3140 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3108 - $3110 SL $3103 TP1: $3115 TP2: $3130 TP3: $3140 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
4