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EURUSD reached a 20-month Resistance. Potential for heavy sell.The EURUSD pair has almost hit the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the July 18 2023 High and immediately got rejected. The Resistance Zone that connects the last 3 major Highs within a 20-month span, follows the same pattern, especially with the 1D RSI Lower Highs peak formation. Right now we are on the Lower High rejection, which on the previous three peaks hit initially the Support 1 level and then at least the Higher Lows trend-line (if not lower). As a result, we expect heavy selling to start on EURUSD, targeting 1.0730 and 1.0500 in succession. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
SOL Trade Plan: Daily Support, Liquidity Grab & Trade Idea.Solana (SOL) is currently navigating a challenging market environment, with broader sell-offs across the crypto space weighing heavily on its price action. On the daily and 4-hour timeframes, SOL has traded into a significant support zone, marked by previous swing lows. This area has historically acted as a magnet for buyers, but the recent dip below these levels suggests a liquidity grab is underway. This move has likely triggered sell stops sitting below the lows, creating the potential for a reversal as smart money steps in. ⚡ Zooming into the 15-minute timeframe, SOL is consolidating within a tight range, reflecting a period of indecision. This range-bound behavior often precedes a breakout, and a bullish break above the range could signal the start of a recovery. A shift in market structure—marked by higher highs and higher lows—would provide further confirmation of bullish intent. Key Insights: Daily Timeframe: SOL has dipped below key support levels, sweeping liquidity. 4-Hour Timeframe: Price is overextended, trading into a critical demand zone. 15-Minute Timeframe: Consolidation within a range, awaiting a breakout for directional clarity. Trading Plan: Patience is Key: Wait for SOL to break out of the 15-minute range to the upside. 🚀 Market Structure Confirmation: Look for a clear shift to bullish market structure (higher highs and higher lows). 📊 Entry Strategy: Enter long positions after confirmation, with a stop-loss placed below the range low. 🛡️ Profit Targets: Focus on resistance levels on the 4-hour and daily timeframes for potential take-profit zones. 🎯 Levels to Watch: Support Zone: Previous daily swing lows, now acting as a liquidity zone. Resistance Zone: The upper boundary of the 15-minute range and key levels on the 4-hour chart. This setup highlights the importance of waiting for confirmation before entering a trade. While the liquidity grab below support is a promising signal, a breakout and bullish structure are essential to avoid false moves. As always, this is not financial advice—traders should conduct their own analysis and manage risk appropriately. ⚠️
by fxtraderanthony
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish FallBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 3049.32, a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 2956.84, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 3114.63, an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM
Gold market trend analysisFrom the perspective of global market performance, after the opening of Monday, the three major U.S. stock index futures all fell sharply, with the Nasdaq futures falling by more than 5.5%, the S&P 500 index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling by more than 4.7% and 4% respectively, and crude oil prices also fell below $60 per barrel. Although gold and silver rebounded after a sharp drop, they still could not escape the selling pressure as a whole. The market panic sentiment is quite similar to the outbreak of the new crown epidemic in March 2020. The U.S. tariff policy and the trade war it triggered have caused the biggest disruption crisis in the global supply chain since the epidemic. In the morning trading today, the gold price once fell sharply to $2971.5, and then quickly rebounded by $84 to a high of $3055, and then fell back to around $3015, which we suggested to go long, and also reached the expected target of $3035. After the early morning plunge, the rebound was strong, but it was still suppressed by two large negative columns on the daily chart, and the overall trend was weak, but the European session continued to rise. The current upper resistance is at $3050-3055, and the lower support is at $3020-3015. The operation suggestion is to go long on the callback, and to go short on the rebound. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go long on the callback of 3007-3000, with a loss of 2093, and the target is 3030-3050. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go short on the rebound of 3058-3063, with a loss of 3070, and the target is 3025-3005.
PYTH:XAUUSD
by Oliver389
XAUUSD - Will the trendline HOLD? Gold has reached a critical juncture as prices have sharply retreated to test the major uptrend line that's been in place since late January. Currently trading at $3,038.98, the precious metal has experienced a significant pullback from its recent all-time highs above $3,160. This trendline has supported gold's impressive rally for months, making this test particularly important for determining the near-term direction. If buyers step in at these levels, we could see a bounce and continuation of the broader uptrend; however, a decisive break below this trendline could trigger a more substantial correction, potentially targeting previous support zones around $2,950-$3,000. The sharp nature of the recent decline suggests increased selling pressure, making the next few trading sessions crucial for determining whether this is merely a dip in an ongoing bull market or the beginning of a deeper retracement. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by financialflagship
2
USDJPY - 4H more fall expectedFX:USDJPY - 4H Update 🔻 If you've traded USDJPY in recent years, you're no stranger to the significance of the 150.00 zone. This level has historically acted as a critical resistance and psychological barrier. Now, the pair is trading below this key level and has also broken the ascending channel support on the daily timeframe, signaling that bulls are likely out of the game. The recent drop to 147.00 and bounce toward 151.00 could be setting up the next short opportunity. 📌 What to watch for: A liquidity grab above the 151.50–152.00 zone could occur before the next fall. This aligns with institutional behavior, hunting stops before continuing the trend. We're now in a sell-the-rally phase, watching for confirmations around the red zone. Remember, I previously signaled a short from the 157 zone, which played out beautifully. We’re now gearing up for the next big short, and this setup might just be it. 📉 Stay cautious, wait for price action signals, and trust the structure. 💸 If you’ve missed previous entries, don’t miss what’s coming next! 🔔 Follow for real-time updates and live trade ideas!
Short
by Sober_Trading
11
Is This a Bear Market or a Golden Opportunity?The indices have plummeted sharply, and whether you believe this is due to Trump’s tariffs or would have happened anyway, regardless of the trigger, the reality remains the same. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are officially in bear market territory— defined by a decline of more than 20% from their peaks . Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down approximately 15%. Given these facts, the big question is: Are we in a bear market, or is this a fantastic buying opportunity? 📉📈 Now, let's break down the key levels, potential scenarios, and how to approach the current market environment. 🚀 Dow Jones 30 (DJI): Navigating Key Support and Resistance Levels On the weekly chart, DJI has been in an uptrend since the pandemic lows of 2020. The double top formation from 45k measured target has already been exceeded, and the index is now approaching a critical confluence support zone between 37k and 37,700. 📌 My Outlook: • I believe this support will hold in the near future, presenting a buying opportunity. • Resistances: 40k and 41,600 are important technical levels and potential targets for bulls. 💡 Alternative Scenario: • If DJI starts rising without testing the long-term confluence support, I will focus on selling opportunities, particularly around the 41,500 zone, as we have 2 unfilled gaps from last week. ________________________________________ S&P 500 (SPX): Bear Market Territory, But Still Holding Uptrend (posted main chart) According to classical theory, SPX is now officially in bear market territory. However, we are still above the ascending trend line established from the 2020 pandemic low, and approaching a confluence support zone around 4,820 - 4,900. 📌 My Outlook: • I will be looking for buying opportunities if the index continues its decline towards the 4,820 - 4,900 zone next week. • Target: Filling the first gap at 5,400. 💡 Alternative Scenario: • If the week begins positively, and SPX doesn’t reach the 4,900 support zone, I will focus on shorting opportunities on gap filling, aiming for a return to 5,000. ________________________________________ Nasdaq 100 (Nas100): Hovering Above Key Support Unlike DJI and SPX, Nas100 is still well above the ascending trend line from the 2020 pandemic low. However, it is nearing an important horizontal support defined by the 2021 ATH and the 2024 lows. 📌 My Outlook: • Drops towards 17k or slightly lower could present good buying opportunities, anticipating a potential rise to fill the gaps. 💡 Alternative Scenario: • If the price rises above 18.500k zone without dipping under 17k I will look for selling opportunities. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Where can Bitcoin turn bullish again? (2D)Before anything, pay attention to the timeframe of the analysis. This is a 2-day timeframe, so it will take time. The green zone is where Bitcoin can start moving toward the specified targets. If the ATH is broken, Bitcoin could also move toward $120K and $140K. However, based on the chart, there is currently no certainty about Bitcoin’s final target. Reaching the green zone may take more than 4 to 5 weeks. We are looking for buy/long positions in the green zone. A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by behdark
10
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike 🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF 🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution. ☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 17000 Zone Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence ———— CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 16880 Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 16350 Strong Rejection from 16350 – The Ultimate Pivot Strong Rejection from 16890 – The Ultimate Pivot 🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation Twin Wicks @ 16890 – Liquidity Engineered Twin Wicks @ 17000 – Liquidity Engineered ☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory —— 💯 18 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900 💯 11 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900 💯 18 jan 2024 – Bullish Run After Break That level 👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
Trading UVIX for Effective Hedge📊 Trade Idea: UVIX Multi-Layered Entry Strategy (Scalping Volatility Spikes) The current market environment presents a unique opportunity to trade the Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX), which has surged nearly 50% on Thursday and 124% over the last week. With ongoing fears surrounding President Trump's reciprocal tariffs, volatility is expected to remain elevated. 🔍 What Is UVIX? UVIX is a leveraged ETF designed to provide twice (2x) the daily return of the Long VIX Futures Index. Unlike the VIX itself, which measures expected market volatility, UVIX holds futures contracts on the VIX, aiming to profit from both upward spikes in volatility and the structure of the futures market. Pros of UVIX: High Return Potential: Can deliver significant gains when market volatility spikes. Effective Hedge: A powerful tool to offset losses during broad market declines. Liquidity: Offers easy access to volatility exposure without directly trading VIX futures. Cons of UVIX: High Volatility: Amplified moves can result in large gains or substantial losses. Decay & Compounding Issues: Daily rebalancing and futures roll costs can erode value over time. Not Suitable for Long-Term Holding: Designed for short-term plays, not buy-and-hold investing. Here’s my detailed risk-managed trading plan to profit from continued volatility. 🚀 Entry Strategy: Layered Buy Entries with Trailing Stops 🎯 Initial Entry: Entry Price: 80.00 (Just above the breached Supply Zone 0: 56.80 - 66.38) Stop Loss: Below the lower trend line from the recent parabolic move (For example, around 70.00). 📈 Position Scaling: Adding to Winning Positions Use Buy Stop Orders: As the price breaks above significant supply zones, place Buy Stop Orders to add positions. Scale in positions at: Level 1: Above 89.20 (Top of Supply Zone 1) Level 2: Above 113.25 (Top of Supply Zone 2) Level 3: Above 147.24 (Bottom of Supply Zone 3) Level 4: Above 182.36 (Bottom of Supply Zone 4) Manual Entries: Alternatively, you can manually add positions on strong breakouts during or outside Regular Trading Hours (RTH) to catch volatility spikes. !!!Use Limit Orders Outside RTH!! Place limit orders during off-hours to capture sharp volatility moves when liquidity is lower. Market volatility often increases during pre-market or post-market sessions. Capitalize on these moves with well-placed limit orders. 🛡️ Risk Management: Trailing Stops & Break-Even Protection Initial Stop Loss: Set below the lower trend line (e.g., 70.00). This provides a wide margin for market fluctuations while still protecting your position. Trailing Stop Loss: As the price progresses upward, move your stop loss to higher levels to secure profits. Use a dynamic trailing stop that follows major support levels or recent lows. Break-Even : Once UVIX has moved 10-20% above your entry point (80.00), move your stop loss to break even (80.00) for a risk free trade. 📌 Profit Targets Target 1: 130.79 (Historical 350% level from July 2024 move) Target 2: 165.46 (Top of Supply Zone 3) Target 3: 210.30 (August 2024 High) Adding positions as the price moves in your favor allows for maximum profit potential while limiting risk on initial entries. Moving the stop loss to break-even creates a risk-free trade, allowing you to ride the momentum without worry. Continually adjusting stops protects profits as they accumulate, ensuring that gains are secured even if the market turns sharply. 📣 Final Thoughts The Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX) is a powerful instrument for profiting from short-term volatility spikes. Given the current geopolitical and economic uncertainty, this setup offers a strong risk-reward opportunity. 💡Advice: Avoid Greed & Gambling in Volatility Trading Trading the Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX) offers tremendous profit potential during periods of heightened market volatility. However, the same leverage that can generate huge gains can just as easily cause significant losses. Avoiding greed and gambling behavior is crucial for your long-term success.
CBOE:UVIXLong
by MESHANL
1
Support zone: 1340.12-1935.34 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (ETHUSDT 12M chart) I can't get on the plane and it's falling. The maximum decline zone is expected to be around the Fibonacci ratio 0 (1190.57). - (1M chart) Since it has fallen below the support and resistance zones, I think it's a good idea to check the turn with a relaxed mind. In order to continue the uptrend, it must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. If it falls to around 736.47, it is better to buy without thinking from a long-term investment perspective. The minimum holding period is 1 year. - (1W chart) When looking at the 1W chart, the HA-Low indicator on the 1W chart is formed at the 1340.12 point. Therefore, if it shows support around this area, it is a time to buy. If it falls below 1340.12, it is a time to buy when it rises again and support is confirmed. In the explanation of the 1M chart, I said to buy unconditionally if it falls to around 736.42. This is a condition for holding for at least 1 year, so if not, it is recommended to buy when it is confirmed to be supported by rising near 1340.12. - (1D chart) ETH's volatility period is from April 5 to 7. ETH's next volatility period is around April 17 (April 16 to 18). - The most important thing on the ETH chart is the rising trend line (1). Therefore, volatility is likely to occur when it passes the rising trend line (1). - Let's look at the chart from a short-term perspective. Currently, the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 1935.34 point. Therefore, from a short-term perspective, when it is confirmed to be supported by rising near 1935.34, it is the time to buy. Therefore, you should think about the average purchase price of the coins you currently own and think about how to respond. - The best method is to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit. This method is most efficient when used during a downward trend. You write down the purchase price and amount separately, and if the purchase price rises more than the purchase price and a profit is generated, you sell the purchase amount within the purchase amount range to leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit. The reason why this method is explained from a short-term perspective is because you have to conduct day trading or short-term trading. If you continue to trade until the upward trend turns like this, you will make a large profit when the upward trend turns. In addition, since the pressure on funds has decreased, you will also have the opportunity to seize the opportunity to make a full-fledged purchase. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. To check the entire range of BTC, I used TradingView's INDEX chart. I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges. Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range. In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
NZDUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my NZDUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
GOLD...XAU/USD SELL CHART PATTREN 4h PAIR...It seems like me identifying a sell opportunity for gold based on a trendline breakout. Here's a quick summary: Sell at: 3035 Target Points: 2980 2882 If the price breaks below a key trendline and moves below 3035, it might signal a downward trend. The first target would be 2980, and if the bearish momentum continues, it could drop further to 2882. Would you like any further analysis on this setup or additional technical indicators to watch for confirmation?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Doller_Magnet
USDJPY H4 | Falling from the 61.8% FiboBased on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 148.24, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement. Our take profit is set at 145.40, a support level. The stop loss is set at 150.18, an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
XRP now approaching buy zone at 1.55-1.60 levels as forecastedAs indicated in prior posts, XRP is now approaching the liquidity target levels at 1.55-1.60 levels as part of a final liquidity run. Possibility exists for extended sell wave as low as 1.06 (worst case scenario imo) but most likely scenario is that 1.35-1.55 will be the zone in which the final low on the consolidation structure is formed. The next move is gearing up to be explosive towards 10$ & then on towards 100$ range once 10$ fails to hold as resistance. I am convinced we will witness progress on towards 500's within several years (assuming comprehensive integration into financial system etc)...time will tell if we get into the 1,000's!!! Hope this helped some of you gain (re-)entry at greater discounted levels!!
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by DaveTradesLive
Don’t Trade the Headlines—Trade the Chart: My BTC Game PlanThere’s been a flood of noise in the media over the past few weeks—headlines shouting about uncertainty, new U.S. tariffs, market crashes, and an impending recession. Years ago, I used to pay close attention to this kind of news, identifying myself as a "fundamental analyst". It didn't take long until I realised that I was looking in the wrong direction. What changed my mindset was reflecting on how I felt during past market dips and how that feeling often contradicted what actually happened next. In almost every major move, my emotions—heavily influenced by media narratives—led me the wrong way. This time, I believe, is no different. Despite bearish sentiment and doomsday headlines, I see opportunity. Even if a recession is on the horizon—and I do believe it’s likely—the market has a way of pricing in fear before the real damage hits. That means the upside may start before the worst news becomes obvious. Before diving into my analysis and strategy, I recommend reading my privous publication, which is also linked to this publication Chart Analysis & Market Status: As anticipated, Bitcoin is currently retesting the capitulation price range that was first reached on February 28. Since then, volume has remained relatively low, while the Fear & Greed Index has started to slightly rise—indicating that panic selling may have already subsided. The price is also sitting around the 20-week EMA, a level that has historically acted as a strong support zone. This alignment suggests that bearish sentiment may already be priced in, and we could be at or near the bottom of the current cycle—regardless of the broader macro fears. My Current Strategy 🔹 Position: I remain bullish at current levels. 🔹 Exposure: 30% of my capital is already deployed. Bullish Scenarios Scenrio 1: (More Likely) If the market bounces in the next 1–2 weeks, then retests this same price range with a healthy pullback, I’ll deploy another 40% of my capital. From there, I’ll follow the "blue model" (my projected price path) all the way up until either my timing target or pricing target is hit—whichever comes first. I’ll keep the remaining 30% in reserve to adjust my average buy-in during unexpected market moves. Scenario 2: (Less likely) If Bitcoin loses the current support at the 20-week EMA, I’ll allocate 20% at the $71K–$72K range and remain bullish—as the broader macro structure stays intact— considring this price as Wyckoff Spring. Then I will eploying further 20% at around $80K when market bounces back considering it as Sign of Strength of current Re-Accumolation zone. I’ll keep the remaining 30% in reserve to adjust my average buy-in during unexpected market moves. Bearish Scenario: (Least Likely) If Bitcoin breaks below the FWB:73K level—the peak of the previous wave—I’ll deploy another 20% around the 50-week EMA (currently near GETTEX:64K ). This would invalidate the current bullish model, but my strategy adapts: my average entry would drop to ~$73K. In that case, I plan to sell on the next bounce that retests the 20-week EMA. I’ll still keep the remaining 30% in reserve to adjust my average buy-in during unexpected market moves. Final Thoughts: As I always say: This market is stochastic—not deterministic. You can’t plug in numbers and expect a fixed outcome. There is no perfect formula. That’s why a well-structured Plan B is essential for survival and success. Don't let headlines write your trades. Let the chart do the talking.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Ali-Mani