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USNAS100 Drops 500 Pip–Bearish Momentum Extends Below Key LevelsUSNAS100 Analysis – February 25, 2025 📉 Bearish Momentum Extends Below Key Levels USNAS100 has continued its downward trend as we anticipated in our previous idea , dropping 500 pip after failing to hold above 21,900. The price has now broken key support levels, confirming further bearish pressure. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 21,390, the downward momentum is likely to extend toward 21,166, with further downside targets at 20,987 and 20,667. A 4H close below 21,166 would accelerate the sell-off. 📈 Bullish Recovery: A potential rebound above 21,390 could lead to consolidation within the 21,390 - 21,807 range. However, a confirmed bullish breakout requires price stabilization above 21,807 for further upside movement. 📊 Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Resistance: 21,390 | 21,807 | 22,100 🔹 Support: 21,166 | 20,987 | 20,667 📉 Directional Bias: The bearish trend remains active, with further declines expected unless 21,390 is reclaimed. A breakdown below 21,166 would reinforce downside pressure.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
Bitcoin is gonna step on you, the shoes are onGood evening everyone as you can see we have a classic Shoe Pattern sell signal forming on the Bitcoin eight hour chart. Naturally, shoes want to step on the ground, and anybody who might be hanging on underneath. This appears to be a classic Docker with full leather upper and potentially a steel toe. Please take appropriate action. And while I'm confident bitcoin is coming down, this is not investment advice, it's a drawing of a shoe. But as you can see, the shoe fits. CRYPTO:BTCUSD CME:BTC1!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Hollywood260AB
6
GBP/USD – Bearish EHNW Pattern in Play!📉 Bearish Reversal Alert! GBP/USD has formed a Bearish EHNW Pattern, signaling a potential reversal near the 1.26720 – 1.26810 resistance zone. 🔍 Key Technical Insights: Price is approaching the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of the O-X leg, a critical level for pattern completion. The B-point retracement aligns with a 1.414 extension, reinforcing bearish confluence. If price respects the 1.26720 – 1.26810 zone, we could see a sharp rejection leading to a potential drop toward lower support levels. 📊 Trading Outlook: Bearish Confirmation: Watch for rejection signals in the resistance zone before entering short positions. Invalidation: A strong break above 1.26810 could invalidate the setup. Target Zones: Initial support levels around 1.26100 – 1.25800. 🔥 What’s Next? Will GBP/USD respect this bearish setup, or will bulls push through resistance? Drop your thoughts below & don’t forget to boost & share if you found this analysis valuable! 🚀📉
Short
by Mohammad_Mirdehghan
BTC is still bearish (1D)A resistance flip zone has formed on the chart, we have a bearish CH, and a supply zone has been created. The common area of the supply and flip zones is a low-risk region for another Bitcoin short. With these bearish signs, Bitcoin is expected to at least reach the green zone. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
GBP/USD 4H Chart Breakdown – Bullish Outlook Toward Daily SupplyMarket Structure & Key Zones: Current Price: 1.26217 Daily Supply Zone: 1.26744 – 1.26252 (Strong Resistance) Higher Timeframe Order Block (HOTW): 1.26744 Lower Timeframe Order Block (LOTW): 1.26252 Key Support Zone: Around 1.25500 (Recent Liquidity Sweep) Key Observations: 1. Break of Structure (BoS) Confirmed: Multiple BoS events indicate a bullish shift in market structure. Price has been making higher highs and higher lows, showing strength. 2. Liquidity Sweep & Trendline Support: A previous liquidity grab below 1.25500 has fueled bullish momentum. The ascending trendline suggests continued support for higher prices. 3. Possible Bullish Scenario: Price might retest the LOTW zone (1.26252) before a push higher. If buyers hold this level, expect a move toward the HOTW level (1.26744). A breakout above 1.26744 could see GBP/USD extending towards 1.2700+. 4. Bearish Rejection Scenario: If price fails to hold above 1.26252, it may retest the liquidity sweep zone near 1.25500. A deeper drop below this level could shift sentiment bearish. Final Thoughts: Bullish Bias: As long as price holds above 1.26252, expect a move toward 1.26744. Breakout Watch: A confirmed close above 1.26744 could open the door for higher prices. Invalidation Level: A drop below 1.25500 would challenge the bullish outlook.
by Steve_xAs
Bitcoin RSI Dips Below 30 Again!The above chart highlights Bitcoin's price action alongside the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on a daily timeframe. Historically, every time the RSI dropped below 30, indicating oversold conditions, Bitcoin experienced a price bounce shortly after. The chart marks these moments with blue circles and green arrows, showing clear upward reversals following each dip. Currently, Bitcoin's RSI has once again fallen below 30, with the price around $87,000 after a sharp 10% drop. If past patterns hold true, this could signal an upcoming bullish reversal.
Long
by HexaTrades
2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar📉💵 2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar! 🔥 The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness after breaching key support levels. With interest rate cuts on the horizon and a shift in economic policy, we may be entering a new phase for the dollar’s normalization. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Resistance: 107.5 (Immediate resistance) 🔹 Key Mid Support: 100.95 (Next major level) 🔹 Final Target: 94.8 (Major support & potential bottom) 📰 Fundamental Factors Driving the Move 💡 Trump’s Dollar Policy: Historically, Trump has favored a weaker dollar to boost exports. His recent remarks during the Executive Order signing on January 23, 2025, reinforce this stance, as he pushes for interest rate cuts and lower energy costs. Remarks by President Trump at Executive Order Signing (January 23, 2025): Q: Mr. President, you said earlier that you would like to see interest rates come down. THE PRESIDENT: Yeah. Q: How much would you like to see them come down? THE PRESIDENT: A lot. Q: And will you talk with Powell? THE PRESIDENT: I’d like to see them come down a lot, and oil prices will come down. And when oil prices come down, everything is going to be cheaper for the American people — and actually for the world — but for the American people. So, I’d like to see oil prices come down. Q: Are you worried that there’s too much going on at once if you’re trying to bring interest rates down and get the economy back going? THE PRESIDENT: No, no. It just works that way. I mean, it just economically works that way. When the oil comes down, it’ll bring down prices, then you won’t have inflation, and then the interest rates will come down. Q: You said that you would demand that the interest rates come down. Do you expect the Fed to listen to you? THE PRESIDENT: Yeah. 📉 What’s Next for the Dollar? 🔸 If 100.95 breaks, we could see further downside, testing the 94.8 region. 🔸 A retest of resistance at 107.5 would be a key test before further declines. 🔸 The global macro environment (oil prices, inflation, and geopolitical shifts) will heavily influence the dollar’s trajectory. 🌍 Economic & Geopolitical Impact Beyond monetary policy, Trump’s trade and labor policies are also playing a role in shaping the inflation outlook. His push for tariffs and tighter immigration policies has led to higher labor costs, causing short-term inflation. However, on the global stage, Trump's potential deal with Putin to resolve the Ukraine conflict could help ease inflation worldwide by stabilizing supply chains and reducing geopolitical risks. With Trump pushing for rate cuts, the Fed under pressure, and DXY losing momentum, could we see a full-scale dollar correction in 2025? Let’s discuss! ⏬ 📢 Follow for more macro insights & market analysis! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
TVC:DXYShort
by FX_Professor
SEIUSDT Target is $0.8888!SEIUSDT – Eyeing a Breakout to $0.8888! 🚀🔥 SEI has been consolidating after a strong downward trend, but is this the beginning of a major reversal? The 4H chart is showing some key signals that traders should keep an eye on. Let’s break it down: 🔹 Current Market Structure SEI is currently trading at $0.2719, holding above the key support zone at $0.2438. This level is crucial—if it holds, we could see bullish momentum building up. 🔹 EMA Break & Trend Shift? The price is testing the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which has acted as resistance in the past. A clean break above this EMA could confirm a trend reversal and push prices higher. 🔹 Major Resistance & Breakout Level 🚀 The ultimate target on my radar? $0.8888 📈. This level represents a key resistance area where a major breakout could occur. If SEI gains enough traction, we could see a strong push towards this price point in the coming months. 🔹 What’s Driving SEI’s Future? Beyond the charts, SEI remains a game-changing Layer 1 blockchain, optimized for decentralized exchanges (DEXes) and NFT trading. With growing adoption and strong fundamentals, SEI has long-term potential, with analysts forecasting prices reaching $1.12+ in 2025 and $3+ by 2030! Key Levels to Watch 🔥 ✅ Support: $0.2438 ✅ Breakout Zone: $0.30 - $0.35 ✅ Major Resistance: $0.8888 ✅ Long-term Target: $1.12+ Final Thoughts 💡 SEI is showing signs of life, and this could be the start of a bullish move. If momentum picks up and price reclaims key resistance levels, we could see explosive growth in the coming months. Are you watching SEI? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀 📢 Follow for more market insights! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
XRP is Showing Weakness – A Breakdown Incoming?Yello, Paradisers! Is XRP on the verge of a major breakdown, or are the bulls about to step in? Let’s analyze the latest Ripple setup: 💎#XRP is struggling at a key resistance zone around $2.5083, repeatedly failing to break through. Each rejection, with low volume accompanying these attempts, suggests that the bulls are losing steam. If this weakness continues, a bearish reversal is becoming increasingly likely. 💎 The key imbalance zone to watch sits at $2.5210—a drop below this level could trigger a sharp decline, with the next target in the $2.41 - $2.50 range. Additionally, the Change of Character (ChoCh) further confirms a possible trend shift, increasing the probability of a downward move. 💎 On the flip side, the bearish invalidation level lies just above the strong resistance zone. If #XRP manages to close above $2.63 with significant volume, it could enter a markup phase, potentially driving the price higher. However, until that happens, the bias remains bearish, and lower levels seem much more probable. 💎The market is at a crucial tipping point—will XRP break down, or will the bulls reclaim control? Let us know your thoughts in the comments. Are you preparing for a markdown, or do you see a surprise rally coming? Let’s discuss! 🎖 Strive for consistency, not quick profits. The market rewards discipline and patience—trade smart, Paradisers! MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success 🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
4
Halving: Diminishing returns and degrading coefficient. To be honest, I think the only thing someone has to do to make a working theory on the halving is to look at the coefficient between SPX and BTC. The 30 co during this "Cycle" has been over 70%. Which is higher than the co of BTC forecast and actual price move. This coefficient would drop to around 0.5 if BTC trades 10 - 20K lower (which would also annul all the rules of the halving, essentially breaking the thesis). But apart from all that, let's take a look at the diminishing returns and degrading coefficient that tell us the halving seems to be losing it's prediction power in BTC. Diminishing Returns of Bitcoin Halvings Bitcoin Halvings: Occur every 4 years, cutting the mining block reward in half to control Bitcoin's supply, leading to potential price increases due to greater scarcity. Historical Halving Price Increases: 1st Halving (2012): Bitcoin price surged by ~5,500%. 2nd Halving (2016): Price increased by ~1,250%. 3rd Halving (2020): Price rose by ~700%. Trend of Diminishing Returns: The percentage gains after each halving are decreasing, signaling that the scarcity effect is becoming less impactful. Factors Contributing to Diminishing Returns: Market Maturation: As Bitcoin’s market grows, the reduced issuance becomes less significant. Supply Dynamics: With the cap approaching 21 million BTC, the absolute reduction in new BTC per halving diminishes, reducing scarcity. Conclusion: While price increases continue, the diminishing percentage gains suggest halvings are less influential over time. The Diminishing Coefficient of the Halving Thesis and Real Outcomes Halving Thesis: Predicts price increases due to reduced Bitcoin supply (assuming constant or rising demand). Evidence Supporting the Thesis: Post-halving price rallies support the thesis: significant increases in 2012, 2016, and 2020. Challenges to the Thesis: Diminishing Impact: The percentage price gains are reducing (5,500% → 1,250% → 700%), suggesting the scarcity effect weakens over time. External Factors: Market Sentiment: Speculative buying can exaggerate price movements. Macroeconomic Conditions: Inflation and financial crises may overshadow the halving's effect. Miner Dynamics: Lower rewards may affect security, but higher prices have historically balanced this out. Short-Term vs Long-Term: Short-term reactions can be volatile, but the long-term trend remains upward, indicating the halving thesis still holds. Correlation Coefficient Between BTC and SPX What it Measures: The correlation between Bitcoin’s price movements and the S&P 500 (SPX), reflecting Bitcoin’s role in the financial landscape. Historical Context: Early Years: Bitcoin had a low or negative correlation with SPX, often moving inversely. 2019: BTC showed a sharp negative correlation with SPX during its bull run, suggesting it was a hedge against traditional markets. Recent Trends: In the past 5 years, especially during macroeconomic disruptions (e.g., COVID-19), Bitcoin has shown a strong positive correlation with SPX. The 30-day correlation has frequently exceeded 70%, indicating Bitcoin’s behavior as a risk asset in times of market stress. You can copy and paste the a
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by holeyprofit
1
All orders closed above #2,952.80 benchmarkAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "I have engaged at least #4 Buying orders throughout Friday's session (#2,925.80 entry point) and closed on #2,935.80 - #2,942.80 delivering excellent Profits as I kept final one #2,927.80 entry point / optimal Target remains #2,952.80 benchmark. I have stated that Traders should keep Buying the dips on Gold and my #4th order I will look to close as near as #2,952.80 benchmark. It is indeed excellent last week's closing and entering current week in decent Profit. Once I close my order there, I will observe market from sidelines and will Gold defend #2,948.80 - #2,952.80 newly formed Support zone with market closing. If it does, I will Buy Gold on spot towards #2,972.80 Higher High's extension. Indeed I am more than satisfied with my returns." Technical analysis: The Price-action is basically consolidating again on Hourly 1 chart’s within so far well known Neutral Rectangle only to give Scalpers and Buyers a chance / opportunity for Intra-day returns. Hourly 1 chart’s invalidated Neutral Rectangle and extended former Ascending Channel however soon enough I may be getting a serious break-out (the pattern usually breaks to the upside and favors Buyers if cycle is replicated). I am currently on the sidelines, simply maintaining my Buying model as I will Buy Gold as Lower as I can (as near as local Low’s). I need to state for the record (again) that when I mention pullbacks on my remarks I am not suggesting Traders to Short right away. I am suggesting a more optimal place to re-Buy the market. Gold is now overall Bullish market as I have stated since the start of the Month that my strategy is to be Buying (and accumulating) on pullbacks. Those who've been following me for Years know that I am always accurate on Medium-term declines which I will spot for us once again as many times before however under such Bullish setting on Gold, Selling is not favorable. Despite Price-action Trading within an Hourly 4 chart’s Bullish motion (pattern which is spotted multiple times on Hourly 4 chart lately), Gold is purely responding to the Fundamentals of the DX and world's geo-politics which are on High speculation mode. My position: Keep Buying every dip with #2,918.80 - #2,922.80 Medium-term Support zone intact. As long as Gold is above mention zone, #3,000.80 benchmark is my Target and Bullish Short-term trend is preserved.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
LTC Litecoin Could Do One More Round Of Bouncing Within WedgeThis is a possible scenario here. This is in line format not candles so wicks could be lower than than this. Lines remove all the wicks and are just on an open and close basis, kind of cleaning up the noise. This is not guaranteed to happen but it is a possible scenario before we break out again around the end of March. I'll post below a candle chart as well so you can see those levels. As long as we stay within this wedge on a closing basis and within the channel on the candle format then we should be fine. If we break down below the wedge or channel and close below it then thats not going to be very good. I don't see this happening thats just worst case scenario. Follow me for more updates. Not financial advice. Thank you
COINBASE:LTCUSD
by Bitgolder
NASDAQ Three conditions met for strong BUYNasdaq is trading inside a Channel Up in 2025 and today the price reached its bottom. At the same time it marginally crossed under the MA100 (1d), making today's low the best technical buy opportunity since January 27th. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 22370 (+6.92% rise like the previous two bullish waves). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) got oversold on the same level as the Jan 27th low. Overall, an oversold RSI on Nasdaq's last 6 month price action, has been a great buy opportunity. Please like, follow and comment!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingBrokersView