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NATURALGAS - BEARISH Trend/ D cup formation confirmed?NATURALGAS – Weekly Update
Timeframe: 1HR | Symbol: NATURALGAS1! (MCX)
Pattern : D Cup Formation Completed
Natural Gas has formed a textbook "D Cup" pattern, indicating a rounded top reversal structure. After a parabolic rise in late April, prices have gradually given up gains, confirming the pattern with a breakdown toward 270.
Resistance Zone: 295 – 298
Immediate Support: 284 → 278.9 (EMA 55)
Breakdown below ₹283.9 can accelerate selling pressure.
Weekly View:
Bearish momentum increasing post pattern completion
Volume spike adds confirmation to recent breakdown
Watch for EMA resistance retests or breakdown below ₹283 for next short opportunity
Strategy:
Sell on rise below 292–295
#NaturalGas #MCXNG #CupFormation #TrendReversal #CommodityTrading #PriceAction #NGFutures
NZDJPY Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 85.439.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 85.706 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold Trading Strategy for Today
Gold fell rapidly today, but this is not a genuine decline—it is merely a correction, and the overall bullish trend remains intact.
Currently, the gold price still maintains an upward momentum. In our trading, we only need to adhere to a long-only strategy.
Gold Trading Strategy for Today:
XAUUSD BUY@3200
SL:3190
TP1:3230
TP2:3250
USDCHF Channel Breakout: Sell SetupUSD/CHF Analysis: Bearish Outlook Strengthens After Channel Breakout
The USD/CHF pair is currently retesting a critical technical zone near the 0.8299–0.8300 region following a decisive breakdown from a longstanding descending channel. This level, now acting as resistance, coincides with the underside of the breached structure and aligns with a descending trendline that has capped previous bullish attempts. The confluence of these factors reinforces the potential for renewed bearish momentum—provided that price fails to reclaim this territory with strength.
The current price action suggests that this retest could be interpreted as a classic "kiss of death" pattern—where broken support converts into fresh resistance, often preceding a continuation of the prevailing trend. A firm rejection here would likely confirm the bears' control and set the stage for a deeper decline toward the next major support zone around 0.8140, which served as a strong floor during prior consolidations.
Unless the bulls can generate a decisive push above 0.8300, ideally supported by strong volume and a sustained daily close, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. In the absence of such confirmation, any minor rallies are likely to be treated as opportunities for fresh short entries rather than signs of genuine reversal.
🔍 Technical Breakdown & Trade Structure
Sell Opportunity:
The most compelling bearish setup unfolds if price is rejected from the 0.8299–0.8300 region, particularly on the back of bearish candlestick patterns or confirmation from momentum indicators (e.g., RSI divergence or MACD cross). In such a scenario, a short position targeting 0.8140 offers a favorable risk-reward profile.
Key Resistance Zone:
0.8299–0.8300 – This zone marks the retest of the broken channel and the descending trendline, presenting a textbook sell opportunity for trend-following traders.
Target Support Zone:
0.8140 – A key structural level from previous sessions, this support zone is likely to attract profit-taking and potential buy interest, making it a logical area to scale out of short positions.
🚫 No Buy Setup Yet
Under Trendline:
As long as the price remains below the descending trendline, there is little technical justification for long exposure. The trend remains firmly bearish, and any premature long attempts carry elevated risk.
Buy Trigger (Invalidation of Bearish Bias):
A strong and sustained break above 0.8300—ideally accompanied by a shift in market sentiment or broader USD strength—would be required to neutralize the current bearish thesis and open the door to bullish opportunities.
⚠️ Risks to the Bearish Scenario
False Breakout Potential:
A failed breakdown below the trendline could trap sellers and fuel a swift short-covering rally, particularly if economic data or risk sentiment shifts in favor of the U.S. dollar.
USD Fundamentals:
Broader USD strength—perhaps triggered by strong macroeconomic data, hawkish Fed commentary, or risk-off flows—could quickly undermine the bearish setup and push USD/CHF back into the prior range.
Choppy Price Action Near Resistance:
Consolidation around the 0.8300 region without decisive movement may delay directional clarity and frustrate both bulls and bears. Patience is key in such scenarios.
📌 Conclusion
The retest of the 0.8300 zone represents a pivotal moment for USD/CHF. Bears are closely watching for signs of rejection to reassert downside pressure, while bulls remain sidelined until a strong breakout invalidates the bearish structure. For now, the bias remains bearish, but traders should stay nimble and responsive to evolving price action and macro cues.
"DOGE - Time to buy again!" (Update)So if you pay attention to the doge chart you can see that the price has formed a Ascending FLAG or wedge which means it is expected to price move as equal as the measured price movement.( AB=CD )
NOTE: wait for break of the FLAG .
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – May 22, 2025 Structure Wins. Noise Gets Trapped. Let’s Get Paid.Only Snipers Survive.
Hey traders, GoldFxMinds here! Big day for gold tomorrow, with major USD news set to trigger volatility. Here’s how to stay ahead of the crowd — and not get hunted.Here’s your big picture, bias, and every level that matters.
📈 Macro Structure (D1/H4)
Bias: Bullish-to-neutral as long as 3290 holds.
Trend: Higher highs & higher lows. Price is in accumulation, not distribution, waiting for a real breakout.
News:
• USD Unemployment Claims
• Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI
• Existing Home Sales
— All high-volatility triggers!
🕹️ SCENARIOS & SNIPER PLAYBOOK
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO
News comes in weak for USD, gold holds 3320–3313 or sweeps 3302–3292 and instantly reclaims.
Action: Long only on M15–M30 confirmation
Targets: 3357–3362, then 3380–3388, with runners possible up to 3408 or even 3427 if the squeeze goes wild.
🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO
Data is USD bullish; gold breaks & holds below 3302–3292.
Action: Sell rallies into 3320–3313 (now resistance) or on M15/M30 rejection at 3357–3362/3388 ONLY if you see a hard reversal
Targets: 3287–3282 (first), then 3266–3258, finally 3238–3230 if selloff accelerates.
🟠 FAKEOUT/WHIPSAW
Expect first move after news to be a liquidity hunt – stop run above 3357 or below 3292.
Sniper move: Wait for the fake, then take the reversal with confirmation – not the first spike.
🎯 TRADE EXECUTION GUIDELINES
Never chase news. Let the stops get hunted, then strike with confirmation only at key levels.
Use the level context:
Reversal/fakeout = wait for rejection, don’t front-run.
Sweep and reclaim at demand = sniper buy.
No confirmation = no entry.
Plan for volatility windows: 2:30pm – 4:00pm is where the traps are set.
👀 EYES ON TOMORROW
BUY ZONES: 3320–3313, 3302–3292, 3287–3282
SELL ZONES: 3357–3362, 3380–3388, 3400–3408, 3420–3427
Control pivot: 3320–3313 decides intraday bias after news
Gold doesn’t care about your FOMO. Structure tells the truth.
Drop a comment if you want this style daily, smash like & follow for sniper-level clarity, and stay patient — the real trade comes when everyone else gets trapped.
Stay sharp!
GoldFxMinds 🚀
XAUUSD: Channel Down top with Death Cross. Best sell enty.Gold marginally turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.472, MACD = 17.780, ADX = 34.620) as the price has been rising since last Thursday. Technically however, it is on the most efficient sell entry as it is just under the LH top of the 1 month Channel Down. The big difference now is that it formed a 4H Death Cross and last time we had one inside a Channel Down was almost 1 year ago (June 3rd 2024) and set in motion one last bearish wave to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. We are therefore short with TP = 3,050.
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GBPJPY Channel Breakout: Bearish SetupGBP/JPY Technical Outlook: Consolidation at Key Support Ahead of Potential Breakout or Breakdown
The GBP/JPY pair has entered a phase of consolidation following a robust bullish rally that propelled the price toward its March high. After an impressive upward run, the pair now finds itself at a pivotal juncture—testing a critical support zone around 193.8, where the ascending trendline, previous breakout zone, and psychological price structure converge.
This area is particularly significant because it represents not just a technical confluence but also a sentiment battleground. Buyers will aim to defend this zone to preserve the broader bullish structure, while sellers may view any weakness here as an early sign of a deeper retracement.
The pair’s behavior at this level will likely define its direction for the sessions ahead. Holding above this trendline could reinforce bullish momentum and potentially send GBP/JPY higher toward the 196.3 resistance zone. On the other hand, a firm breakdown below 193.0 would violate key trend support and could trigger an extended corrective move, possibly targeting 191.000 or lower.
🔍 Technical Structure and Trading Scenarios
Key Support Zone:
The area between 193.0 and 193.8 serves as an immediate demand zone. It’s not only the site of a prior breakout but also intersects with the current rising trendline that has guided price action for several weeks.
Bullish Continuation Setup:
If GBP/JPY rebounds from the 193.0–193.8 area with confirmation from bullish momentum indicators (such as a bullish engulfing pattern or RSI bounce from mid-levels), the pair could resume its uptrend. A move toward the 196.3 target zone would then be on the cards, especially if broader risk sentiment remains supportive.
Bearish Breakdown Setup:
A clean break and close below 193.0 would be a significant bearish signal. This would indicate that buyers are losing control and that the trendline has failed to hold as dynamic support. Such a move would likely trigger follow-through selling, opening up space for a decline toward the 191.000 support region—a level that previously acted as a strong demand zone during price consolidations.
📈 Trading Levels to Watch
Buy Zone: 193.0 – 193.8
Ideal area for long positions if price stabilizes and shows signs of strength.
Buy Trigger:
A bullish bounce from trendline support, especially on increased volume or intraday reversal patterns.
Target: 196.3
Represents prior highs and a likely resistance area where sellers may step in again.
Sell Trigger:
A breakdown below 193.0, confirmed by a daily close or breakaway candle.
⚠️ Fundamental & Sentiment Risks
Weak UK Economic Data:
Any disappointing economic releases from the UK—particularly related to inflation, employment, or growth—could weigh on the pound and limit GBP/JPY’s upside potential.
Safe-Haven Yen Demand:
In times of geopolitical uncertainty, risk aversion, or equity market stress, the Japanese yen often attracts safe-haven flows. A resurgence in yen strength could pressure this pair even if the pound remains stable.
Trendline Break Risks:
A violation of the trendline would mark a shift in short-term sentiment and could trigger algorithmic and technical-based selling, accelerating the downward momentum toward 191.000 or even lower if broader risk sentiment turns negative.
📌 Conclusion: Pivotal Moment for GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY is currently navigating a highly strategic technical zone that could define its near-term trajectory. Bulls will need to defend the 193.0–193.8 region with conviction to preserve the broader bullish structure, while bears are likely waiting for a breakdown to exploit any weakness. Patience and disciplined trade management will be key as traders await confirmation of the next move.
This setup offers an attractive risk-reward environment for both breakout and mean-reversion traders—but only if the technical signals align with broader macro and sentiment drivers.
Gold's strong rise continuesToday's opening fell directly, and tested 3206 yesterday's low again. The more it tests, the greater the probability of breaking. Focus on the pressure of 3222-3232 during the day, the watershed is 3240, the target is 3190-3170, and the support is 3154-3120! Before the real big drop, it may be accompanied by the rise of the five-minute K line, up and down washing, which needs to be noted.
As long as the European market is not strong, it can still be short; if the European market weakens, it will be short for the second time, but pay attention to the timing and beware of rebound.
Finally, I would like to emphasize that the current decline in gold does not affect the long-term bullish direction. The US dollar index will continue to weaken and enter a downward cycle. It is only a matter of time before the US Reserve cuts interest rates, so the bull market of gold is still there, there is no doubt about it. It's just that the abnormal surge in April will always have some corrections. The market needs to cool down and return to rationality. The price base is high and the increase is large, so the correction range must be large, so look at it rationally.
Gold 100% Profit SignalFrom the daily chart, the daily K-line has gone through three consecutive positive patterns and broke through the middle track pressure. The current price stands firmly above 3,300 US dollars. The short-term bullish momentum is sufficient. If Wednesday and Thursday are positive, the upper side is 3,347 and 3,400. Therefore, there is a good upward space above the daily line. The 4-hour level breaks through the upper track, the Bollinger opening is upward, and the moving average system diverges upward. Therefore, the cyclicality is absolutely strong and unilateral. Then, the intraday support point is the conversion position of the key points of strength and weakness this week, 3,280. Although the Asian and European sessions have gone out of the direct upward momentum, the principle of not chasing highs is still to wait for a fall back to 3,285 to do more. The small cycle can also be looked at with confidence, without paying too much attention to the back and forth range, and waiting for the Asian and European sessions to adjust and trade. This wave of rise is expected to be seen after Thursday, and then see if there is room for adjustment on Friday.
BTC Analysis – 1H
1️⃣ Market Structure
Bitcoin remains extremely bullish. After a clean accumulation phase above the bearish OTE zone, price didn’t even bother sweeping liquidity to the downside.
➡️ No south-side manipulation, clear sign of institutional strength
2️⃣ Key Zone in Play
BTC is now directly challenging the 109K resistance zone, which stands right before the ATH.
Buying pressure is clear, with constant upside movement and no significant retracement.
3️⃣ Behavioral Reading
Price is absorbing every dip with higher lows.
Despite small RSI divergences, momentum remains strong, buyers are in control.
4️⃣ Probable Scenario
🟩 Break above 109K ➜ ATH incoming
🚀 If confirmed ➜ Fast extension toward 115K–120K
🧠 Conclusion
BTC looks loaded. This is one of the cleanest bullish phases since March.
No fakeouts, no liquidity sweeps, just steady pressure gearing up for a major breakout.
🎯 Short-term target : ATH
🎯 Mid-term target : 115K–120K
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 21/05/2025Today will be flat opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty sustain above 24750 level then expected upside movement upto 24950 level. This level will act as a strong resistance for today's session. Any upside rally can reversal from this level. Major downside expected if nifty starts trading below 24700 level. Downside 24500+ level expected in today's session.
Platinum May Be Coming to LifePlatinum has been dead money for years, but now it may be coming to life.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trendline along the highs of last May and October. The metal just ripped through that resistance with its biggest daily gain since December 2022.
Next, MACD is rising and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. Those signals may reflect bullish short-term momentum.
Third, prices have been near the 200-day simple moving average since late last year. That suggests the long-term trend is neutral, which may create the potential for a new uptrend.
Next, why would such a move begin? A Bloomberg report yesterday may have provided clues: Chinese demand jumped as retail buyers amassed coins and bars as an alternate to gold.
That brings us to the final indicator: a monthly ratio chart comparing platinum to gold. Its significant underperformance for decades could make some investors think it’s relatively undervalued.
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ADA Bull Flag Pattern - Weekly ADA has broken out of the weekly bull flag pattern, signaling a potential continuation of the prior uptrend. The measured move projects a price target near 1.75, following a likely retest of the 1.01 level as new support. Momentum remains bullish as long as price holds above the breakout zone.
CURRENT OUTLOOK FOR EURJPY
The pair is in an uptrend, having successfully broken through the daily trend line and completed a retest. I'm anticipating a second retest around the 162.450 level, which could form a double bottom 'W' pattern. If this pattern confirms, our target would be 165.205, with a stop loss set around 162.034 to manage risk.
ATH BTC 134K BULLISH📈 BTC Eyes $134K — Bullish Broadening Triangle Breakout CONFIRMED 🚀
🔄 Pattern: Bullish Broadening Triangle (1W + 1D)
Bitcoin has cleanly broken out from a bullish broadening triangle on both the weekly and daily charts — and now, with price cruising above $106K, the structure is fulfilling its classic textbook behavior.
📈 The triangle showed expanding volatility and accumulation, with higher lows and increasingly aggressive retests of resistance — and now we’re in full price discovery mode.
🧠 Pro View
From a macro-technical standpoint, this is more than just a breakout:
Weekly close above triangle resistance confirms continuation of the post-halving bull trend
Daily structure supports momentum continuation, with rising OBV and RSI still not in overbought territory
The triangle’s breakout target aligns precisely with major Fibonacci extension levels and historic cycle fractals
📊 Targets
🔹 First Target Hit: $106K ✅
🎯 Next Major Target: $134K — projected move based on the triangle's measured breadth
🧲 Final extension could go even higher depending on market euphoria and institutional flow
📉 Downside risk is now defined: as long as BTC holds above GETTEX:97K –$100K (former resistance), the bullish structure remains intact.
🔔 This is the kind of setup that defines crypto cycles — clean structure, strong confirmation, breakout in motion. Don’t fade the trend.
📍 Watch for volume surges and weekly close strength. This isn’t just hype — it’s technically and cyclically backed.
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTA #BullishBreakout #PriceDiscovery #BTC134K #TradingView #Crypto
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BTC.D 2H BTC dominance 2H timeframe:BTC dominance has broken below the rising wedge on the 2H chart — a classic bearish signal.
If it retests the breakdown level and holds, we could see more downside…
And you know what that means — lower BTC dominance usually means altcoins are ready to pump!
🔥 Keep an eye on it!