NASDAQ: Minor Pullback, Still on TrackOn Friday, the Nasdaq experienced a slight pullback, which was quickly absorbed at the start of the week. Currently, the index is still developing the turquoise wave B, which should top out just below resistance at 23,780 points, signaling the start of the bearish wave C. This move should lead to the low of the magenta wave (4) within our turquoise Target Zone between 17,074 and 15,867 points. Alternatively, there is a 42% probability that wave alt.(4) is already complete. In this scenario, the magenta wave alt.(5) could carry the index immediately above the mentioned resistance.
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Dow Reverses for Pullback, Bullish Case Valid Above 44,400US30 OVERVIEW
Dow Jones Maintains Uptrend, Poised for Retest and Potential Extension
Dow Jones futures edged up by 69 points early Wednesday, signaling cautious optimism as investors shifted focus away from technology stocks to kick off the second half of the year.
The price continued its bullish trend until it reached the resistance zone, then reversed for a correction, falling below 44,630. Remaining below this level could extend the correction toward 44,400, which now serves as key support and pivot line for confirming a bearish trend.
As long as the index trades above 44400, the bullish trend remains intact, targeting 44,630, and potentially crossing the resistance zone within 44760 and 44920.
Resistance Levels: 44,630 โ 44760 โ 44920.
Support Levels: 44400 โ 44120 โ 43960.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) โ 4H Analysis UpdateBTC is currently holding above the key resistance-turned-support zone of $106,057, after a clean breakout from the symmetrical triangle last week. Price is consolidating just below $107,000, signaling a potential pause or minor pullback before the next leg.
Technical Overview:
Trendline support from May is intact
$106K zone flipped into support โ critical for bulls to hold
Price action is compressing under resistance at $107,000
Holding here may lead to a retest of $108,895, then $111,785
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
$106,057 โ Immediate support
$101,409 โ Mid-range demand zone
$98,898 โ Rising trendline
$93,343 โ Strong base zone
Resistance:
$107,000 โ Minor resistance
$108,895 โ Major resistance
$111,785 โ Upper breakout target
Outlook:
Bulls need to defend the $106K zone to maintain momentum. Failure to do so could cause the price to pull back toward $101K. On the flip side, strong volume above $108900 may trigger a rally toward $111K+.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
Gold Trade Plan 02/07/2025ูDear Traders,
On the 1-hour chart of XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD), we observe a breakout of the descending trendline, followed by a successful pullback and continuation to the upside.
The blue demand zone around 3295โ3310 acted as a strong support and triggered a bullish move.
As long as the price holds above this support, we expect the uptrend to continue, targeting the resistance areas between 3360โ3375 and potentially up to 3390โ3400.
The RSI has pulled back from the overbought zone but is still holding above the 50 level, supporting the bullish sentiment.
๐ Conclusion:
If the price holds above the support zone, further upside towards the resistance zones is likely. If the support fails, the bullish scenario may be invalidated for now.
Regards,
Alireza!
Excellent opportunities on GoldAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have engaged #4 Scalp orders throughout yesterday's session (all in Profit) and will continue to do so however on the other side (Buying) from my key entry points. Keep in mind that overall trend remains Bullish and Trade accordingly."
As I expected upside extension as per above, I have waited for #3,352.80 - #3,357.80 my local Top's for the sequence and started aggressively Selling Gold from #3,348.80 first, then #3,352.80 #4 aggressive Selling Scalps and #3,357.80 final two Scalps which I held all the way towards #3,345.80 Support for the fractal (cca #130k Profits Intra-day).
My position: Since #3,337.80 was neckline for upside Bull structure, I was aware if it gets invalidated to the downside, it will open doors for #3,327.80 extension (which held twice throughout late U.S. and Asian session). I don't expect much Selling action today however Bulls need another Fundamental push to invalidate wall of Resistances at #3,340's and #3,350's. I will continue Scalping as opportunity arise / no Swing orders.
USDJPY: Strong Bullish Price Action ๐บ๐ธ๐ฏ๐ต
I see 2 strong bullish confirmation on USDJPY after a test of a key daily
support cluster.
The price violated a trend line of a falling channel and a neckline of
an inverted head & shoulders pattern with one single strong bullish candle.
The pair may rise more and reach 144.45 level soon.
โค๏ธPlease, support my work with like, thank you!โค๏ธ
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Bitcoin Is Looking For A Bullish ContinuationMorning all! Bitcoin has impulsive characteristics on 4h time frame, and we can clearly see five waves up that can send the price even higher after recent projected ABC correction. With the current impulsive recovery back above 106k area, it confirms that bulls are still here and we should be aware of further rally in July, especially if breaks above channel resistance line near 110k area. Seems like it's in wave (1) of a new five-wave bullish impulse, so after current wave (2) pullback, we can expect more gains within wave (3).
BTC/USDT 4H Analysis.
BTC remains in a retest phase after breaking out of the first descending broadening wedge.
The price has returned to test the upper wedge trendline, which is now acting as support around ~$105,500.
The purple 1 00-period MA (~105,570) overlaps this retest zone, adding additional confluence to the support.
Ichimoku
BTC is inside a green cloud, indicating indecision but not a confirmed trend reversal.
The cloud provides dynamic support in the ~$104,500โ105,500 area.
Stay alert!
Critical moment! Where will gold go?After rebounding for two consecutive days, gold prices consolidated in a narrow range in the Asian market on Wednesday, hovering below a one-week high. Although the US dollar rebounded slightly and the market's improved risk appetite suppressed safe-haven demand, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations and trade uncertainties limited the downside of gold prices. The market is waiting for the upcoming ADP and non-farm data to determine the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut. The key technical resistance is $3,358.
Gold received a positive cross in June. At present, the monthly line has an upper shadow for three consecutive trading months, and the shadow is long, indicating that the upper selling pressure is relatively large; in this way, for the future market, we are more optimistic about the highs and falls. In the recent stage, gold is not interested in US data, but Trump frequently calls for the Fed to cut interest rates, which we still need to pay attention to. The sharp rise in gold in the past two days is not unrelated to the Fed's expectation of a rate cut. On the other hand, it is also related to the market rumor that the US President Trump's tariff deadline on July 9 is also related. If the US dollar index bottoms out and rebounds, ushering in a phased upward trend; then, it is bound to suppress gold.
Short-term resistance is yesterday's high point 3350-3360 area. If it breaks above, it is expected to hit 3375-80, and further 3400 mark; before breaking above 3400 area, there is still a large sweep range. If it goes up, the bulls will have a wave of acceleration, and the upper 3425 and 3450 may even hit the historical high. For the day, the 5-day moving average 3315 area will form a strong support after breaking through. If it rebounds and rushes higher, it cannot break below. Once it breaks below, the market will continue to fall, further 3300~3295, and then 3275 and 3255~45 areas; that is, the rise on Monday and Tuesday means the end of the bulls. Therefore, in terms of operation, the short-term relies on the 3315-3325 area to support low longs, and if it rises, it will continue to short with reference to the resistance area.
Time to double down on ACHR > Target 20$+This is a short post:
Archer aviation respects 50MA. The Fib retracement to 0.5 lvl is achieved and we will see a Hard rally to the upside from here onwards. I am expecting this stock to make ATH within next few months. My target is still 20$ for this year. Which means if you hold this stock, you can double the money within 4 to 6 months.
Crypto Stocks to the moon?NASDAQ:MSTR , along with numerous other publicly traded companies with significant cryptocurrency exposure, experienced a remarkable rally during the previous crypto bull market. There are indications that a similar dynamic could be emerging once again.
#bitcoin #crypto #stocks #stockmarket #portfolio
I would be looking for reversal patterns on the ES and the Russe7 1 25 I made a few mistakes naming some of the markets but if you can deal with that then I explain what my concerns are regarding some of the patterns. most of the trades that I posted as trading opportunities have moved higher and did not require large stops. I spent time on a certain pattern that I don't really talk about but it influenced my Trading and gives me caution not to stay in a market to Long.... and I tried to use the the gold and the silver because I really am tied into those markets and I'm concerned about a pattern on the gold that is actually giving a signal to be long but I'm still concerned about it and I tried to articulate that in the video.... it's about the concept of what that pattern represents to me..... and incorrect or the market trades differently it's not a big deal..... the irony in the video is that I tried to show that pattern thinking that I was in a certain Market and I had the wrong Market..... the only thing I would say is there's a certain pattern and they think Gold's a very good example and will give me a chance to talk about it in a couple of days and I want to see if it actually can make a new high which I am concerned about because I want that new high to sell some of my goal but I want a good price and it's a large amount.... and I'm not doing this to be egotistical or trying to prove a point.... I'm willing to show something that's actually going on and I'm willing to talk about it. a number of people are entering in my trades which is perfectly fine and they try to make statements in my videos that require that you go back and reevaluate those videos to see what happened and that's the best way to learn. I stopped looking at other people's charting mostly because I'm happy with what I do but also when people chart something and project a Target but never do anything else to help you determine if that projection was correct that's not of any value. if you can find somebody who finds an entry and tells you what it is or that it's about to happen and that person does a video on it which he cannot change so that even though you don't see the actual trade the market trades in the direction and has reversals that are outlined before they happen that's the best way to trade it completes the cycle of trading.... and the beautiful thing is if you post it you can't erase it.... that's how you can learn effectively if you go back and create the patterns that were shown to you previously.
Lingrid | PEPEUSDT Inverse Head and Shoulder. Bullish Reversal ?BINANCE:PEPEUSDT is forming a potential reversal setup after rebounding from the 0.00000876 support within a well-defined downward channel. Price action shows signs of accumulation with a right shoulder (RS) formation and a potential breakout brewing above the descending blue trendline. A clean push toward the 0.00001125 resistance would confirm the pattern and may trigger further upside toward the red trendline.
๐ Key Levels
Buy zone: 0.00000876โ0.00000900
Sell trigger: failure below 0.00000876
Target: 0.00001125
Buy trigger: breakout and retest of 0.00000960โ0.00000980
๐ก Risks
Strong resistance from downward channel could limit upside
Breakout failure may trap buyers near 0.00000980
Low liquidity increases volatility risk near major levels
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. Iโm excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | CADJPY Potential Downside Move After BreakoutThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:CADJPY is facing continuous rejection from the descending trendline, maintaining its position within the downward channel. Price is struggling to hold above the 105.00 region, showing signs of distribution after a fake breakout and lower high formation. A sustained breakdown below 105.00 would confirm the bearish continuation targeting the 104.00โ104.50 zone.
๐ Key Levels
Sell zone: 105.40โ105.50
Buy trigger: breakout above 105.60 and retest
Target: 104.500
Sell trigger: confirmed break and close below 105.00
โ ๏ธ Risks
False breakdown could lead to sharp recovery toward 106.20
Oversold conditions may slow downside near 104.50
Range re-accumulation above 105.00 could trap short-sellers
Thin liquidity around 104.20 might cause price spikes
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. Iโm excited to read your thoughts!
What is Inflation Climate and Weather? Copper is NextThe key driver of most markets โ and a major influence on their trends โ is inflation.
Once we understand the difference between short-term inflation weather and long-term inflation climate, we can better recognize where risk meets opportunity.
On this half yearly chart. We can see as the close on 30th June, copper settled firmly, closed above its $4.44 resistance that has been tested for years.
This study indicates that copper could be at the beginning of an uptrend. I will be looking out for buying-on-dips opportunities whenever they arise.
Mirco Copper Futures
Ticker: MHG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $1.25
Disclaimer:
โข What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
โข Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
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Wait for your EDGE...
Discipline is what separates professionals from amateurs.
Stay patient. Wait for your edge. Let the probabilities work in your favor.
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USNAS100 Bullish Momentum Holds Above Key PivotUSNAS100 โ Overview
The price successfully retested the 22,610 level and resumed its bullish trend, reaching 22,750 as anticipated in our previous idea.
Currently, the index needs to maintain stability above the 22,610 pivot line to sustain the upward momentum toward the next resistance at 22,790. A sustained move above this level may open the path toward 23,000.
However, a 1H candle close below 22,610 could trigger a corrective move down to 22,480. A break below this support would expose the next key level at 22,280.
Pivot: 22,610
Resistance: 22,790 โ 23,000
Support: 22,480 โ 22,280
7.2 Gold price continues to fluctuate! Non-agricultural positionGold is still temporarily maintaining a wide range of fluctuations in the daily trend, and the price is temporarily under pressure around 3360. In the 4-hour level trend, after continuous high-level narrow fluctuations, the technical pattern has begun to weaken. The short-term moving average has gradually flattened from the previous upward divergence. After the continuous small-scale high-rise and fall back, the upward momentum in the short-term trend is insufficient. In the hourly level trend, the current running space is very compressed, but in the small-level cycle trend, after continuous fluctuations, the technical pattern has begun to weaken. The price has begun to slowly move out of the narrow range of fluctuations. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment and repair.
XAU/USD M5 โ Bearish Fib Retracement & Downtrend Continuation SeXAU/USD M5 โ Bearish Fib Retracement & Downtrend Continuation Setup
Gold is currently testing the Fibonacci 0.236โ0.382 retracement zone after a clean bearish leg, aligning with the descending channel structure. Price is now forming a possible lower high, hinting at a potential continuation of the intraday downtrend.
๐ Key Technical Highlights:
Bearish Market Structure: Price remains inside a well-respected descending channel, respecting both lower highs and lower lows.
Fibonacci Confluence: Retracement into the 0.236โ0.382 zone (around $3,345 โ $3,347) may act as a resistance.
Rejection Expected: Small distribution forming near $3,347 inside the channel resistance.
Downside Targets:
1.0 extension: ~$3,338
1.618 extension: ~$3,330
Extended target: Lower channel boundary
๐ Trade Setup:
Bias: Short (scalp/intraday)
Sell Area: $3,345 โ $3,347 (Fibonacci + structure confluence)
Stop Loss: Above $3,350
Target: $3,330
Risk:Reward: ~1:3 (depending on entry)
๐ง Tactical Note:
Watch for a break and retest below $3,343โ3,342 demand zone (purple box) to confirm continuation. A breakout from the descending channel would invalidate this scenario.
Tesla Drop Pressures Nasdaq โ 22,470 Key to Hold RecoveryUSNAS100 | Overview
Tesla dropped approximately 5%, weighing heavily on the Nasdaq, amid public tensions between Elon Musk and Donald Trump.
Yesterday, the price declined below 22,610 due to the impact of Teslaโs fall but remained above 22,470. As long as it trades above this level, a recovery attempt is likely, with the price expected to break through the consolidation zone between 22,615 and 22,740.
However, if the 1h candle closes below 22,470, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 22,280 and potentially lower.
Pivot: 22,470
Resistance: 22,615 โ 22,740 โ23,000
Support: 22,280 โ 22,200
AMZN Is Coiling Up for a Gamma Push โ Donโt Sleep on This Zone๐ GEX Outlook & Option Bias:
Amazon (AMZN) is sitting right at the heart of a bullish Gamma setup. The 220โ225 zone is where the action is:
* Highest Net Positive GEX sits at 225 โ major gamma magnet and potential squeeze target.
* 49.56% Call Wall at 222.5 confirms call-dominant sentiment.
* IVR at 27.4 and IVX avg 32.9 show room for expansion.
* Call dollar flow is 58%, signaling buyers are still active.
๐ GEX Implication: Price above 217.5 opens door for a push into 222.5 โ 225. This is a clean Call Entry Zone for 0DTE or 2DTE scalpers looking for quick momentum moves into gamma walls.
๐ TradingView Chart Analysis (1H):
From the second chart:
* AMZN broke bullish structure last week and is now consolidating after the CHoCH near 218.
* The price is respecting the uptrend channel and sitting just above the midline support.
* Volume is steady and bullish OBs below offer strong bounce potential.
๐ข Trading Idea:
Call Setup (if price stays above 219.4):
* ๐ฏ Entry: 220โ221
* ๐ฏ Target: 222.5 โ 225
* ๐ Stop: 217.5 (below bullish OB & PUT support)
Put Setup (if price loses 217.5 with volume spike):
* ๐จ Entry: below 217.5
* ๐จ Target: 216.7 โ 212
* ๐ Stop: 220.3
๐ฏ Bias & Final Thought:
Market wants to test 222.5 and possibly gamma squeeze to 225 if buyers step up. If it fails to hold 219.4, fade it down into the lower OB zone around 212.
Watch volume at support โ low volume means a trap; high volume confirms real move.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.