Bullish bounce for the Aussi?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st, pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6352
1st Support: 0.6292
1st Resistance: 0.6502
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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ADAUSDT – Major Breakout Brewing, Watch These Key Levels! 📈🔥 ADAUSDT – Major Breakout Brewing, Watch These Key Levels! 🚀
Cardano is waking up from its long consolidation phase, and the chart is setting up for a potential major impulsive wave. History shows us what happens when ADA compresses at the lower all-time trendline—and we’re right back at that critical point!
📊 Key Technical Levels:
📌 Immediate Support: $0.6799
📌 Resistance Levels to Watch:
$1.1930
$1.4757
$1.8937 – Major Resistance Zone
🎯 Ultimate Target: $3.65 – Upper All-Time Trendline
📚 Historical Context:
We saw a similar accumulation phase back in late 2020 before ADA skyrocketed.
The current price structure mirrors that move, with a clear breakout pattern forming.
🚦 Action Plan:
As long as ADA holds above the $0.6799 support, momentum favors the bulls.
A break above $1.1930 could trigger the next powerful rally toward $2.00 and beyond.
⚠️ Stay mindful of volatility as this breakout zone is tested. Rejections at key resistance could lead to short-term corrections before the next leg higher.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
PS. You HAVE to watch out for this first:
$NAS100 / $QQQ – The 200 SMA Breakout... or Bull Trap?📈 Nasdaq just charged through the 200-day moving average like it wasn’t even there. But if you zoom out, this level has acted as a brick wall before — and we may be walking straight into a trap.
🔍 Key Observations:
The last failed breakout above this zone led to a major rejection.
We're back at horizontal resistance from prior tops.
Price action resembles a Rope-a-dope move — run up, suck in longs, then rug pull.
⚠️ No real breakout without confirmation + volume. Don’t let the short-term green candles distract you from the macro ceiling above.
XRP MACRO STRUCTURE – “Exit Liquidity” Trap ModelIn this XRP macro view, we can see a repeating pattern across multiple market cycles:
🔶 Yellow dots highlight "exit liquidity" phases, where price aggressively pushes higher before a major crash.
This final pump draws in retail buyers chasing breakout highs, while institutions use that liquidity to offload positions.
🔁 The repetition of this pattern is notable:
Pre-crash surges into premium zones
Followed by a sharp markdown
Often returning to previous imbalanced zones (highlighted)
🧠 Key Observations:
The market tends to fill old imbalances before each major leg
Price action engineered liquidity traps are consistently placed before the markdown
These highs are often used to entice late buyers while larger players exit
📌 Study how liquidity is harvested, not just how price moves.
Let me know your thoughts below — do you think we’ll see this again?
#XRP #CryptoAnalysis #SmartMoney #LiquidityTraps #ExitLiquidity #PriceAction
BITCOIN about to test its ATH following HUGE U.S. - China deal!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is marching towards the $109000 Resistance, which is its All Time High (ATH), following the U.S. - China trade agreement 3 hours ago. This can be a huge fundamental boost to the bullish trend as technically, every time the Resistance level broke during this Bull Cycle, the break-out that followed was extremely aggressive.
On October 2 2023, the Resistance test resulted into a strong break-out, which completed a +96.18% rise from the bottom before a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) pull-back. At the same time of the Resistance break-out, we had a 1D MA50/100 Bullish Cross and a 1W MACD Bullish Cross.
The October 29 2024 Resistance test on the other hand was initially unsuccessful and made a 5 day rejection back near the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before the next successful test. Again the rise was more than +96.18%.
As a result, we are expecting to see at least $145k by July (+96.18%) once the Resistance breaks.
Do you think that is a realistic time-frame for $145000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NEAR Protocol Easy Targets Up To 482%We just looked at Cardano and Binance Coin. See how different this chart looks. The large cap. projects have a pattern while the mid-cap. have a completely different one. The bigger cycle affects all the pairs in the same way but the charts are drawn differently, that is, a bear market will produce a decline on all projects at the same time but some will hit new lows while others will remain at support and so on.
So a bull market will produce growth all across but some will grow 10,000% while others only grow 500%. Some will hit new All-Time Highs while others will peak very low compared to their ATH.
Here, NEARUSDT, the bottom is confirmed through the higher low. The low followed by a higher low and then the continuation. The continuation is what seals the deal. We knew beforehand that the bottom was in but from a technical standpoint, the move 8-May and the chart as it is now is what confirms the bottom. With the bottom confirmed, we can look UP!
On the chart, these are all easy targets, even the higher ones.
Namaste.
XAUUSD is a buy nowI expected earlier gold to tap into weekly demand zone but price moved back up before reaching it. Now for half day atleast, XAUUSD is expected to record buy. I am confident with the direction while sharing nearest entry point. You can make use of this direction and enter at your calculated level if my entry point is violated. I share one entry point refined to minimum stoploss in a H2 zone btw. If this gets broken i look for next entry level. TPs highlighted. I will keep updating if needed.
FXAN & Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaBINANCE:ETHUSD
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of ETHUSD, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
moodengusdtALot of short positions have been built up in Moodeng and many are liquidated too. however this time a clear bear divergence is seen on 4Hr time frame from a previous resistance zone of Fib. extension. seeing other confluences like
1.drop in volume,
2. dropping MFI and DMI
3 coinglass liquidation building up larger in lower price then higher, making it magnetic pull towards low price
4. lower long/short ratio despite of high price on 4h TF
It is safe to say that short position can be built in moodeng
here is the setup. I suggest less then 5 leverage as it could be risky trade
1. short at CMP if you don't want to miss the trade
entry 2. 0.2715
DCA at 0.31
SL. 0.321
TP 1. 0.202
TP 2. 0.168
This make your risk to reward ratio of 2.5 collectively. Happy earning
14/5/25 Bulls Need More Follow-through Buying FCPO
Tuesday's candlestick (May 13) was a bull doji closing slightly below the middle of its range with prominent tails above and below.
In our previous report, we said the market may gap up early. Traders would see if the bulls could create a follow-through bull bar closing near its high, or if the market would trade higher, but the candlestick closes with a long tail above or a bear body instead.
The market gapped higher, followed by an intraday pullback, then traded off the day's low to close with a small bull body. The bulls got some follow-through buying, although not as strong as they hoped, yet.
The bears see the current move as a pullback.
They want it to stall around the 20-day EMA (around 3950), or around the 3970-4000 area, forming a double top bear flag with the April 25 high.
If the market trades higher, they want the 4050 or the April 25 high to act as resistance.
They want the pullback to be weak, sideways, and lacking in strong follow-through buying (overlapping candlesticks, bear bars, doji(s), and prominent tails above candlesticks).
The bulls want a reversal from a lower low major trend reversal and a wedge pattern (Apr 9, Apr 22, and May 8). They want a failed breakout below the January low.
They hope to get at least a small two-legged sideways to up pullback lasting a few days. The pullback phase has begun.
If there is a pullback, they want at least a small second leg sideways to up to retest the current leg high (now May 13 high).
They want a TBTL (Ten Bars, Two Legs) Pullback, lasting about 2 weeks.
They must create follow-through buying, trading far above the 20-day EMA to increase the odds of a reversal.
While the selloff since the April 2 high to May 8 low was strong, the move has lasted a long time and is slightly climactic.
The wedge pattern increases the odds of a small 2-legged sideways to up pullback. The move is likely underway.
So far in the night market, the candlestick is an inside bull bar.
For tomorrow (Wednesday, 14/5/25), traders want to see if the bulls can create sustained follow-through buying, closing above the 20-day EMA. If they can do that, the odds of a 2-legged sideways to up pullback will increase.
Or will the market trade higher, but the market stalls around the 20-day EMA area (around 3950) and close with a long tail or a bear body instead? If this is the case, that would indicate the bulls are not as strong as they hope to be.
Breakouts from trading ranges can fail, and odds slightly favor the trading range to continue until there is a strong breakout with sustained follow-through selling/buying.
Andrew
S&P500 room for growth?If you compare S&P500 trend from 2025 with previous years, you might either see two things:
Room for growth. In that scenario, later in the year we might see again see some upwards trend again. Instead of the current more or less flat line. Similar t o the year 2020.
Or you could compare this year with recession of some sort like the year 2022. Where we would end up in an overall loss of this year.
China could potentially escalate a war between India & Pakistan.
But I'm a bit more optimistic now. I hope they will rather now have a trade deal with the US instead of a war. Easing the tension of the trading wars. Putting this whole context together, we might actually see a small plus (like 8-10%) YoY for 2025. Or even a solid 15-20%?
What do you think?
See:
The last 4 previous Stockmarket Fear spikes were great buys...for Bitcoin, allowing investors to enhance their long-term holdings.
Purchasing risk assets when the #VIX exceeds 50 and over 20% of stocks fall below their 200-day moving average has consistently yielded positive returns, with a success rate of one hundred percent when evaluated one week, one month, and three months later.
This particular scenario has only happened 11 times in the history of the S&P 500, and the reading from Monday, April 7th, marked one of those rare instances.
#BTFD
Check if the price can hold above 2627.18
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart has risen above.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can find support near 2677.18 and rise.
If OBV rises above the A line, the price is expected to rise significantly once more.
Then, it is expected to rise to around 3265.0-3321.30.
-
If it falls without being supported near 2627.18, it is necessary to check whether it is supported near the right Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (2295.84).
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1D charts is passing near that point, it is expected to play an important role.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator is in the overbought zone, it will eventually show a downward trend.
It is not known how much this decline will occur, but since the StochRSI 50 indicator is currently formed near 2359.35, it is important to check whether there is support near that area.
Therefore, in order to proceed with a new transaction, I think it is better to check the support point when the StochRSI indicator shows a downward and then upward trend in the overbought zone.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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XAUUSD – Market Update & Daily Plan May 14, 2025🧠 Macro Outlook – Eyes on Thursday
CPI is done. The next major catalyst? A full lineup of USD data + Powell speaking tomorrow, Thursday, May 15.
📊 Key Events – May 15 (NY Session)
🟩 Core PPI m/m → Forecast: 0.3% (prev. -0.1%)
🟩 Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.0% (prev. 1.4%)
🟩 Core Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.3%
🟩 Unemployment Claims → Forecast: 229K
🟧 Empire State + Philly Fed Manufacturing Indexes
🔴 ⚠️ Fed Chair Powell Speaks
This is not a light news day. It’s a full macro storm. Expect strong reactions from gold depending on how inflation, retail demand, and Powell’s tone align.
🔍 Market Flow – Price Action Overview
Gold remains in a retracement phase after bouncing cleanly from 3215–3225.
It’s now consolidating at 3244–3252, a mid-range supply zone. Above this, we track a clear mitigation path toward untouched OBs and FVGs.
No structure has broken cleanly to confirm bullish reversal yet — so we remain reactive, not predictive.
🧱 Sniper Mitigation Map
🔢 📍 Zone ⏳ Status ⚙️ Reason
1️⃣ 3244–3252 🔄 In play Mid-range supply zone currently in test
2️⃣ 3280–3288 ❗Unmitigated M30 OB + inefficiency pre-CPI
3️⃣ 3315–3320 ❗Unmitigated Asian session FVG / Gap
4️⃣ 3330–3338 ❗Unmitigated H1–H4 bearish OB (key reversal area)
5️⃣ 3350–3360 ⚠️ Only if structure shifts Upper OB — reserved for extreme flow
📌 Key Technical Zones
Zone Type Level Context
✅ Demand Zone 3215–3225 Confirmed post-CPI bounce zone
🔄 Active Supply 3244–3252 Current area of compression
🟧 M30 OB 3280–3288 Clean bearish OB not yet tested
🟥 FVG Magnet 3315–3320 Asia imbalance likely to attract price
🟥 HTF OB 3330–3338 Valid HTF reversal supply
⚠️ Upper OB 3350–3360 Only if 3338 breaks with strength
🧠 How to Use This Plan
Watch what price does at each zone, then build your own plan based on confirmations like BOS, CHoCH, rejection wicks, or liquidity sweeps.
Scenarios:
Tap & reject 3288? → Short scalp idea back to 3244
Break above 3288? → 3315–3320 becomes next magnet
Strong reaction at 3330–3338? → HTF sell zone in play
Powell hawkish? → Gold likely pressured down from OBs
Powell dovish? → Price may reclaim above 3338
📣 Final Note
Thursday = 🔥 Macro Meltdown Day 🔥
Powell + inflation + retail data = high-probability moves. Let price lead. Don’t force early entries into chop.
💛 Appreciate clean, structured levels?
📲 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily updates — no fluff, just structure and timing.
— GoldFxMinds ✨📉
Ethereum (ETH): First Signs of Weakness, We Will Drop SoonEthereum is still showing strong sentiments where, despite smaller corrections, we had buyers overtake current zones again and now are leading to another upward movement, which might possibly fill our target area of $2700.
As long as we are not near this zone, we are going to just wait or if we see another wave of sell-off with proper MSB and retest.
Swallow Academy
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 100.37
1st Support: 99.93
1st Resistance: 102.02
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
LINKUSD: Expected to give +100% return.Chainlink has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 70.291, MACD = 0.870, ADX = 19.937) and has validated the start of the new bullish wave of the Channel Up as it crossed above both the 1W MA200 and MA50. Both prior bullish waves rose by nearly +300%, the most recent by +275%. Technically it can repeat at least that and double in price (TP = 35.00) before the wave peaks at the top of the Channel Up.
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