QUICK Looks Bullish (12H)Two key trendlines have been broken. We have a strong support zone for a Rebuy, and given the clearance of supply zones, a retrace to the downside is expected.
We are looking for buy/long positions in the green zone.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Community ideas
AUDJPY: Bullish Continuation Confirmed 🇦🇺🇯🇵
On a today's live stream, we spotted a confirmed bullish reversal on AUDJPY.
The price formed a huge inverted head & shoulders pattern on a 4H
and violated its neckline during the London session today.
A bullish movement is now expected at least to 94.0
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euraud sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
3.13CPI is bullish, gold cautiously rises and falls in short terThe CPI data released in the evening was lower than expected, which is bullish for gold in the short term and continues to fluctuate during the day.
In the short-term 1-hour chart, according to 4, the price has risen above the directionless 20-period SMA and 100-period SMA, while the 200-period SMA is rising below the above short-term moving averages. At the same time, technical indicators have lost directional strength and turned slightly lower within the neutral level, predicting that gold prices may fall soon.
Short-term trading: short near 2935, stop loss 2945, take profit 2920/2915
XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market Robbery Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🚀
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (4.100) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or Swing high or low level should be in retest.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (4.400) swing Trade Basis Using the 2H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Primary Target - 3.600 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Secondary Target - 3.200 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Global Market Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Additional Tools and Resources, Inventory and Storage Analysis, Next Trend Move:
⛽XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend., driven by several key factors.
⭐☀🌟Fundamental Analysis⭐☀🌟
Supply and Demand: The current supply and demand dynamics suggest a surplus in the market, leading to downward pressure on prices.
Production and Storage: US natural gas production remains high, while storage levels are above the 5-year average, contributing to the bearish trend.
Weather: Mild winter weather has reduced demand for natural gas, exacerbating the bearish trend.
⭐☀🌟Macroeconomic Factors⭐☀🌟
Economic Growth: Slowing economic growth can lead to reduced energy demand, negatively impacting natural gas prices.
Inflation: Low inflation can lead to lower energy prices, including natural gas.
Interest Rates: Changes in interest rates can impact the cost of production and transportation of natural gas.
⭐☀🌟COT Data⭐☀🌟
Commitment of Traders: As of March 5, 2025, the COT report shows:
Commercial: Net-short 120,000 contracts ( increased by 10,000 contracts from previous week)
Non-Commercial: Net-short 80,000 contracts (increased by 5,000 contracts from previous week)
Managed Money: Net-short 50,000 contracts (increased by 2,000 contracts from previous week)
⭐☀🌟Intermarket Analysis⭐☀🌟
Crude Oil: Natural gas prices often correlate with crude oil prices. A decline in crude oil prices can lead to lower natural gas prices.
US Dollar: A stronger US dollar can make natural gas more expensive for foreign buyers, potentially decreasing demand.
⭐☀🌟Sentiment Factors⭐☀🌟
Market Sentiment: The current market sentiment is bearish, with a majority of traders and analysts expecting lower prices.
Options Data: Options data suggests a bias towards put options, indicating a bearish sentiment.
⭐☀🌟Seasonal Factors⭐☀🌟
Seasonal Trends: Natural gas prices often follow a seasonal pattern, with prices tend to rise during the winter months (December to February) and fall during the summer months (June to August).
⭐☀🌟Additional Tools and Resources⭐☀🌟
Technical Indicators: RSI (14) is at 30, indicating an oversold condition.
Chart Patterns: A bearish flag pattern is forming on the daily chart.
⭐☀🌟Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐☀🌟
Short-Term Targets
Primary Target: $3.80
Secondary Target: $3.50
Ultimate Target: $3.20
Medium-Term Targets
Primary Target: $3.00
Secondary Target: $2.80
Ultimate Target: $2.50
Long-Term Targets
Primary Target: $2.20
Secondary Target: $2.00
Ultimate Target: $1.80
⭐☀🌟Overall Summary and Outlook⭐☀🌟
The overall outlook for XNG/USD (Natural Gas) remains bearish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. While there are potential risks and uncertainties, the current trend and market sentiment suggest lower prices in the short to medium term.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
The Uptrend Bulls Expect has Failed: They've not noticed it yet.I'll split this post into a couple sections, general theory and then the actual TA that supports the FACT that the uptrends have failed - as per the expected path of typical breakouts.
All We See or Seem is Just a Dream Within a Dream
The Myth of Crypto Cycles
Crypto bulls cling to the idea of cycles like a religion. They believe that no matter what happens—regulation, macroeconomic shifts, market maturity—Bitcoin and the broader crypto market will continue to follow an inevitable four-year cycle, bringing new all-time highs like clockwork. To them, the past is prophecy, and history repeats itself in a perfect rhythm. But what if all of this is just an illusion? What if the so-called cycles are merely coincidences, statistical artifacts of a young, speculative market rather than fundamental laws of financial physics?
Markets are not mechanical. They do not operate on fixed timetables dictated by past performance. Traditional finance has spent centuries trying to uncover cycles, and while patterns do emerge, they are fragile. They are shaped by human behavior, macroeconomic conditions, liquidity, and regulation—all of which evolve. Yet, crypto bulls insist that the simple halving-based narrative is immune to all these external forces, that Bitcoin's supply schedule alone dictates its destiny. This is an astonishingly naive belief.
The illusion of predictability is one of the most seductive traps in markets. People see patterns where none exist. The human brain is wired for pattern recognition, and when an asset like Bitcoin goes through multiple boom-and-bust cycles that seem to align with block reward halvings, it's easy to mistake correlation for causation. But every cycle has been driven by different factors: early retail speculation, ICO mania, institutional adoption, unprecedented money printing. None of these will repeat in exactly the same way.
The Dangerous Complacency of Cycle Dogma
Worse still, the cycle dogma breeds dangerous complacency. It convinces participants that they don't need to analyze fundamentals, macroeconomics, or risk. It fosters an echo chamber where dissenting opinions are dismissed as FUD, and anyone who questions the cycle is ridiculed. Yet, all bubbles share one trait: overconfidence. The moment something becomes "obvious" in markets is often the moment it stops working.
What if Bitcoin is simply a speculative asset that benefited from a perfect storm of conditions? What if the previous cycles were the product of unique liquidity injections rather than an immutable pattern? What happens if the next bear market doesn't end in two years, but instead lingers for a decade or more, as seen in other speculative booms throughout history?
Crypto bulls are trapped in a dream, believing that cycles are laws rather than fleeting illusions. But the market does not care about dreams. Reality eventually asserts itself, and when it does, those who failed to question the narrative will find themselves waking up to a nightmare.
The Willful Blindness to Cycle Failures
Crypto bulls treat historical cycles as gospel, but when reality starts to diverge from their expectations, they find ways to dismiss or rationalize it. The belief in a simple, repeatable four-year halving cycle is so ingrained that even when the data contradicts it, they remain convinced that "this time is no different." But cracks are already forming in the cycle narrative, and those who ignore them do so at their own peril.
The Growing Deviations from the Cycle
If Bitcoin's price truly followed a strict four-year halving cycle, we would expect the timing of peaks and troughs to align predictably. Yet, recent market behavior has deviated significantly from past trends.
Timing Delays and Weaker Peaks – Previous cycles saw Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs within 12-18 months of the halving. However, the most recent cycle has shown weaker momentum and prolonged consolidation. The expected "blow-off top" has yet to materialize, and implied forecasts based on previous cycles have already been missed.
Diminishing Returns – Each bull cycle has produced a lower percentage gain than the last. The 2013 cycle saw a roughly 50x return, 2017 brought a 20x return, and 2021 struggled to even 10x from its prior lows. This diminishing return pattern contradicts the idea that future cycles will be as explosive as the past.
Extended Corrections and Macro Influence – Previous bear markets followed a sharp collapse followed by a predictable recovery, but the current cycle is increasingly intertwined with macroeconomic factors like interest rates, liquidity conditions, and institutional risk appetite.
The Stronger Link Between Crypto and Risk-On Assets
Crypto bulls want to believe Bitcoin is a revolutionary, independent asset class immune to traditional financial cycles. Yet, empirical data shows that Bitcoin is increasingly behaving like a high-beta tech stock, tightly correlated with broader market risk sentiment.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq Correlation – Bitcoin's correlation with major equity indices has reached record highs in recent years. During major risk-off events—such as Federal Reserve tightening cycles—Bitcoin has followed equities downward, contradicting the claim that it's an uncorrelated store of value.
VIX and Crypto Volatility – Traditionally, Bitcoin was seen as a hedge against uncertainty, yet its correlation with the VIX (volatility index) suggests it is actually a risk-on asset. When volatility spikes, Bitcoin dumps alongside other speculative assets.
Liquidity Dependency – Every major crypto bull market has coincided with periods of excess global liquidity—whether it was loose monetary policy post-2008, the 2017 ICO boom, or the 2020-2021 stimulus-driven rally. As liquidity dries up, Bitcoin and altcoins suffer. The idea that crypto will boom on a predetermined schedule without liquidity support is a fantasy.
Ignoring the Red Flags
Despite mounting evidence that the cycle narrative is failing, crypto bulls remain steadfast in their belief. They dismiss deviations as temporary, blame external factors, or move the goalposts entirely. Some common coping mechanisms include:
"The cycle is just delayed" – Rather than admitting the pattern may be breaking, bulls claim that price action is simply lagging and will soon "catch up."
"Institutions are suppressing the market" – When the expected parabolic rally doesn't arrive, some turn to conspiracy theories, insisting that institutional players are manipulating prices.
"Bitcoin is still early" – This argument suggests that cycles will remain intact indefinitely because adoption is ongoing, ignoring how asset classes mature and become less volatile over time.
The Dream is Fading
The belief in crypto cycles is rooted in historical data, but history is not destiny. The cracks in the cycle narrative are growing larger, and those who refuse to acknowledge them risk being caught in a painful awakening. The correlation with risk-on assets, diminishing returns, and macroeconomic headwinds all point to a market that is maturing—and one where blind faith in the past could be a costly mistake.
Bulls may continue to dream of predictable cycles, but markets do not move on dreams. They move on liquidity, macro conditions, and shifting investor sentiment. And right now, the cycle dogma is facing its greatest test yet.
The Illusion of Omniscience: A Classic Bubble Symptom
One of the most reliable signs of a speculative bubble is the widespread belief that everyone understands exactly how things will play out. Crypto bulls are no exception—they treat their cycle models, price targets, and narratives as if they are indisputable truths. But history has shown that when the majority of market participants believe they have it all figured out, they are usually the ones about to be proven wrong.
Overconfidence and the Death of Skepticism
Bubbles are fueled by collective overconfidence. The deeper people are entrenched in a market narrative, the less willing they are to entertain opposing viewpoints.
- **Every dip is a buying opportunity** – Bulls assume every pullback is a setup for new highs.
- **“Smart money” is accumulating** – When prices drop, the default explanation is that institutions are “loading up.”
- **Dismissing fundamental shifts** – Major changes in macro conditions, regulatory risk, or liquidity constraints are ignored or brushed aside.
This type of thinking leads to an echo chamber where no amount of contradictory evidence can change the prevailing belief. Markets reward skepticism, but bubbles punish those who dare to question the narrative—until reality forces a reckoning.
The Fallacy of Predictable Certainty
When everyone assumes they know the future, they stop considering alternative scenarios. Crypto bulls assume:
- **Price targets are inevitable** – Rather than acknowledging risk, many treat certain price levels as a matter of “when,” not “if.”
- **Cycles are set in stone** – The assumption that Bitcoin will continue to follow a clean four-year cycle disregards the role of external factors.
- **There is no exit plan** – Most bulls do not prepare for the possibility that the cycle framework might be invalidated.
These beliefs are symptoms of a market where participants are detached from risk. Once the consensus view reaches a peak of confidence, the probability of the opposite occurring increases dramatically.
The Danger of Crowded Thinking
When too many people are on the same side of a trade, the market tends to move against them. We have seen this in past bubbles:
- **Dot-com boom (2000)** – Internet stocks were viewed as a one-way bet, right before the crash.
- **Housing bubble (2008)** – Everyone believed home prices could never fall, until they did.
- **Crypto 2017/2021** – The “supercycle” narrative dominated, only to be proven false.
Each time, the crowd was convinced they had discovered a new paradigm, only to learn the hard way that market cycles are far more complex than they assumed.
Conclusion: The Limits of Certainty
The moment everyone believes they have the market figured out is the moment risk is highest. The crypto space is filled with certainty—certainty that cycles will repeat, certainty that Bitcoin will hit six figures, certainty that institutions will drive perpetual demand.
But markets do not reward certainty. They reward those who adapt.
And right now, crypto bulls are marching forward as if they already know how the story ends. That is exactly why they are at risk of being blindsided.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
After every historic BTC dump it followed the conventions of a technical bullish breakout. Breaking the 1.61 fib and rally to at least the 2.20. Which is a healthy sign for a trend.
This worked on every single major BTC breakout ... expect this one.
Now ... it is actually viable we trade 1.61 - 1.27 and then uptrend. This is one of the possible patterns, but the forecast of the classic BTC breakout has failed. Everyone who made it was wrong. They made it based on good observations of the past and then something changed. At this point, so should their opinion have changed.
This may or may not be a 1.27 hold, but if the 1.27 fails we have a technical failure of the uptrend and a complete failure of the popularly forecast breakout.
The alts ... all those things people boldly forecast (on scant data) - they failed.
And they failed in a SUPER OBVIOUS way, technically.
During the formation of an up or down move we'll form pending harmonics. These are a default staple of the market and we've seen these in markets for a 100 yrs. When these form, major trend decisions are to be made.
IN AN UPTREND - THE HARMONICS BREAK.
They fail. And price goes parabolic. That's what happens. There's staggering evidence to back this. If they do not fail ... that's a bad sign for the uptrend. Commonly when harmonics do not break - we've seen the blow off in an uptrend.
Here's a post with the alts harmonics.
Go check these charts ...and see how it worked out.
Everything the bulls said the cycle would be, it's not been.
But they just revise it to tell you how they'll be right later.
Everyone becomes an expert at following the trend in the last leg of the trend.
Bearish drop?NZD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 86.22
1st Support: 83.43
1st Resistance: 86.10
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD Looks Parallel Channel Hello Guys Here Is Chart Of GBPUSD in 30-M AT
Support: Around 1.2900
Target Will Be : 1.3000
Resistance: The upper trendline of the Trend CHENNEL around 1.3000
This analysis assumes the price respects the trend channel. A breakdown below support could invalidate the setup.
Bullish momentum to extend?GBP/CAD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce tot he 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.8515
1st Support: 1.8403
1st Resistance: 1.8751
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Silver Could Be on Breakout Watch Before the FedSilver has been clawing higher as gold soars. Is the white metal ready to break out?
The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trendline along the highs of October, February and March. Traders could watch that resistance for evidence a move is starting. They may also notice the rally after a similar line was broken in January.
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) just crossed above the 100-day SMA. Both are above the 200-day SMA. The alignment, with faster SMAs above slower SMAs, may reflect increased bullishness over the long-term.
Third, the low reading on Bollinger BandWidth reflects tight price action. Could that narrow range create potential for price expansion?
Finally, silver has spent most of the last six months above its peak from early 2021. That is also potentially consistent with a longer-term breakout.
All these points could make the commodity important to watch with initial jobless claims and producer prices tomorrow, retail sales Monday and the key Federal Reserve meeting on March 19.
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Is the #BTC downtrend over?📊 Is the #BTC downtrend over?
🧠From a structural perspective, the current rally is over. If we want to reverse the daily downtrend, we need to build a bullish structure of the same cycle. That is to say, we can only remain optimistic if we succeed in standing above 84,500.
➡️If we continue to break below the low L: 76,562, the next support area worth our attention is 69,000-72,000
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
EURNZD: Bullish Trend Resumes After PullbackEURNZD is currently moving within a rising, expanding channel and has recently posted a new higher high on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking through a key horizontal resistance level.
This breakout suggests a potential continuation of the bullish trend, targeting the 1.920 resistance area.
An ideal entry would be within the demand zone aligned with the broken structure and supported by the ascending channel’s trendline.
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 12, 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above.
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Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions.
Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change.
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Need any other charts daily, comment on this.
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Pullback From Resistance
In comparison to Gold, Silver looks bearish after a test of a key daily resistance cluster.
A head and shoulders pattern on an hourly time frame confirms a local
bearish sentiment and overbought state of the market.
The price may continue retracing at least to 3291 level.
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Bullish bounce off overlap support?EUR/GBP is falling towards the support which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce tot he 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8387
1st Support: 0.8355
1st Resistance: 0.8452
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTCUSD - If it is a Similar Situation to 2017If we are experiencing a similar run to 2017 we would be 847days into the bull run
I have shown the bars pattern for where price could go with the rest of the time left, which shows a 3500% gain this bull market. This is compared to the 2017 run which was a 9000% gain to the top.
We have some bull time left is the take away if the runs are comparable.
Weekly chart.
A Pseudoscience called Technical analysis!Pseudoscience is characterized as a system of theories or beliefs that are presented as scientific but lack the rigors and foundations of the scientific method. It often uses scientific-sounding language while being rooted in unsubstantiated claims or cultural beliefs, and it can be misleading and harmful.
My Evolution as a Market Analyst
Early Success on TradingView
In 2020-2021, I established myself as a leading analyst on the TradingView platform, becoming the top-rated contributor for equities and high-volume tickers including TSLA, AAPL, AMZN, ARKK, COIN, RIOT, WKHS, PLTR, NIO, and Bitcoin.
Educational Background
My journey began fifteen years ago with a comprehensive study of technical analysis methodologies. I immersed myself in seminal works including:
"Technical Analysis of Financial Markets" by John J. Murphy
"Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques" by Steve Nison
"Trading with the Andrews Pitchfork" by Glenn Wilson
"Elliott Wave - Fibonacci High Probability Trading" by Jared Sanders
Professional Recognition
While my initial goal in publishing analyses on TradingView was personal performance tracking, industry recognition came unexpectedly. Within three months, I ranked among the platform's top six contributors, advancing to the highest-rated position by the fourth month.
This visibility led to multiple partnership offers from brokerages and cryptocurrency projects, including Tiger Broker (NASDAQ: TIGR), all of which I declined to maintain independence.
Client Development
Following requests from followers, I established a contribution system to support ongoing analysis. My work attracted institutional attention, including a hedge fund managing hundreds of millions in assets that engaged me for educational services.
I developed a customized curriculum delivered via virtual platforms, maintaining a rigorous teaching schedule that ultimately revealed limitations in traditional technical analysis approaches—confirming Richard Feynman's observation that "When one teaches, two learn."
Methodological Evolution
This realization prompted a strategic pivot. I paused teaching to focus on skill development, particularly in programming and data analytics. I integrated advanced concepts including:
Game theory applications
Quantitative analysis frameworks
Behavioral finance principles
AI Integration
The emergence of accessible AI models represented a significant advancement for my practice. I leveraged Gemini (formerly Bard), ChatGPT, and Claude to enhance my options trading system, developing proprietary metrics to identify market inefficiencies in derivatives pricing.
Current Approach
Today, I operate as a substantially transformed analyst with a modernized market perspective. While my analytical methods employ sophisticated quantitative techniques, I continue presenting findings in traditional visual formats to accommodate audience preferences—a phenomenon explained by patternicity.
Understanding Cognitive Biases in Trading
Patternicity
A concept introduced by Michael Shermer describes our tendency to identify meaningful patterns within random noise
Highlights humanity's inherent drive to impose order on chaotic information
Significantly impacts decision-making processes as our minds actively seek connections, sometimes where none exist
Apophenia
The broader tendency to perceive connections between unrelated phenomena
First defined by German neurologist Klaus Conrad in 1958 as "unmotivated seeing of connections"
While common in everyday cognition, extreme manifestations can indicate psychological concerns
Trading in the AI Era
For market participants continuing to rely exclusively on traditional technical analysis methodologies—pattern trading, Elliott Wave theory, harmonic patterns, or price action systems—I offer this perspective: these approaches alone are increasingly insufficient for achieving consistent market outperformance in today's technology-driven environment.
Eurusd outlookThis chart represents a technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting key support and resistance levels.
Key Analysis:
Resistance Level: Marked around 1.09500, this level serves as a potential selling zone where price may struggle to break higher.
Support Level: Identified near 1.08000, this is a demand area where buying pressure may emerge.
Current Price: EUR/USD is trading at approximately 1.09183, near the resistance zone.
Expected Price Movement: The analysis suggests a potential rejection from resistance, leading to a downward move toward the support zone.
Outlook:
The market structure indicates a possible bearish retracement from resistance. If the price fails to break above 1.09500, a short-selling opportunity may arise with a target around 1.08000. However, if the resistance is broken, further upside momentum could be expected.