NZDUSD Short-term Channel Up aiming higher.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a 20-day Channel Up and today hit its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Last time it did (February 18), it held and initiated a rebound marginally above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
Given that the current pull-back is almost as strong (-1.30%) as the previous, but more importantly the 4H RSI hit its 1-month Higher Lows trend-line, we expect a rebound. Our Target is again the 1.236 Fib ext, this time at 0.57900.
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SMCI - Play of the year!Correction - I made the last video on this SMCI opportunity two months ago in mid-December stating "Golden opportunity right in front of us?". And I was just thinking - is this too obvious? Clearly it was and I'm glad I took advantage. This was the most educated gamble of all time! Was worth every penny that could have been lost.
From here, I expect similar movement after sufficient liquidity is built in a controlled manner. Not rushing into another position here until I see certain levels and algorithms in play - But the breakout of our HTF selling channel is a great start and now would love to see ourselves build controlled liquidity prior to another breakout!
Happy Trading :)
Adventure Gold: Slow & Steady, Fast Super Growth (2025 Bu-Boom!)Here I am showing a long-term higher low (HL) because there are much lower prices in 2022 and 2023. Most recently, there was a major low in August 2024. The higher low comes in early February 2025 and this low I am suggesting is the bottom of the correction following the late 2024 bullish wave. If this is the bottom of the correction it means that the market is consolidating before its next rise. The next rise will be really big, the biggest ever. Are you ready?
What does the biggest ever really mean?
It means amazing, simple.
It means that it is something that cannot be put into words.
It means that the market will grow 20, 30X and more.
It means a really huge/strong bull-market. The biggest ever.
Almost everything will grow.
Well, everything will grow but not everything will grow at the same speed and in the same way.
Some have been growing already for years but there are always swings. The market never moves straight down nor straight up. Growth is defined as higher highs and higher lows. In this definition, Adventure Gold (AGLDUSDT) has been growing since November 2022. And this is true.
Technical analysis
Notice the huge volume in November 2024. Green.
The green arrows shows what I see coming. There is no doubt about this. 1,000,000% certain. Sure. Absolutely. Definitely. Great. True. Done. Confirmed.
Notice the sign on August 2024. After this low, we have slow and steady growth and then a final boom.
Something like this we can expect but this time it is different because a bull-market ends in a bull-run phase. In previous bullish waves there is no bull-run and the process was short-term, lasting only a few months. This one should be bigger, better and stronger.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistsance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 71.85
1st Support: 70.11
1st Resistance: 72.91
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WTI Oil H1 | Bearish momentum gaining further tractionWTI oil (USOIL) could pull back towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 70.89 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 71.35 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 70.11 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete ?HUGE, HUGE drop of 650 PIPS today on Gold! Price action has been beautiful. Completion of Wave 5 of the EW Theory, followed by a much needed correction.
I’ll be keeping an eye as Gold has now rejected a minor support zone of $2,889. I’ll keep you updated if further upside can resume.
What are your thoughts?
BTCUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE This chart represents a bullish breakout setup for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe.
Key Observations:
1. Downtrend Breakout Attempt:
The black trendline indicates a previous downtrend.
Price is attempting to break above this trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal or short-term bullish move.
2. Entry & Target:
The green zone suggests a long (buy) position with an entry around 88,980.
The target is around 94,311, indicating an expected move toward previous resistance.
3. Stop-Loss Placement:
The red zone (86,841) is the stop-loss level, meaning the trade would be invalidated if BTC falls below this point.
Possible Trade Idea:
Buy if BTC confirms a breakout above the trendline.
Stop-loss below 86,841 to manage risk.
Target 94,311 for potential upside profit.
Are you already in this trade, or waiting for confirmation?
EURUSD Channel Up aiming at 1.06300.EURUSD is trading inside a Channel Up on the 1hour time frame.
The two previous bullish waves both topped on a +2.27% rise.
Having made a new low on February 19th, we are now on the 3rd bullish wave.
We expect a symmetric +2.27%, based also on the identical 1hour RSI it shares with the previous 2 bullish waves.
Buy and target 1.06300 (top of Channel Up at +2.27%).
Previous chart:
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UP UP N AWAY TODAY LOW is 5 waves down for C or 1The chart is the spy The wave structure is a very clear 5 waves down to end wave 1 of the BULLISH Count wave C for WAVE B Low BOTH are Bullish Understand NOW . Best of trades WAVETIMER I am 70% long from 5969 and down at 5945 and added at 5908 enjoy the LONGS IF NOT Miss out
GBP/USD LONG POSITIONSGBP/USD 4H - This is an update from our Sunday Sessions analysis, as you can see price has played out perfectly, trading down and into the Demand Zone we had marked out.
After trading down and into this area we have seen price go on to set new highs which is great as price continues to put in bullish structure.
We should be actively looking to go long in this market until price breaks a protected low set within the 4h timeframes, once we have relevance to go short we will do but until then look to go long.
If you look closely price has recently come to clear the inefficient structure that was created from this large green candle. Now would be the perfect time to look for areas to go long from.
All orders closed above #2,952.80 benchmarkAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "I have engaged at least #4 Buying orders throughout Friday's session (#2,925.80 entry point) and closed on #2,935.80 - #2,942.80 delivering excellent Profits as I kept final one #2,927.80 entry point / optimal Target remains #2,952.80 benchmark. I have stated that Traders should keep Buying the dips on Gold and my #4th order I will look to close as near as #2,952.80 benchmark. It is indeed excellent last week's closing and entering current week in decent Profit. Once I close my order there, I will observe market from sidelines and will Gold defend #2,948.80 - #2,952.80 newly formed Support zone with market closing. If it does, I will Buy Gold on spot towards #2,972.80 Higher High's extension. Indeed I am more than satisfied with my returns."
Technical analysis: The Price-action is basically consolidating again on Hourly 1 chart’s within so far well known Neutral Rectangle only to give Scalpers and Buyers a chance / opportunity for Intra-day returns. Hourly 1 chart’s invalidated Neutral Rectangle and extended former Ascending Channel however soon enough I may be getting a serious break-out (the pattern usually breaks to the upside and favors Buyers if cycle is replicated). I am currently on the sidelines, simply maintaining my Buying model as I will Buy Gold as Lower as I can (as near as local Low’s). I need to state for the record (again) that when I mention pullbacks on my remarks I am not suggesting Traders to Short right away. I am suggesting a more optimal place to re-Buy the market. Gold is now overall Bullish market as I have stated since the start of the Month that my strategy is to be Buying (and accumulating) on pullbacks. Those who've been following me for Years know that I am always accurate on Medium-term declines which I will spot for us once again as many times before however under such Bullish setting on Gold, Selling is not favorable. Despite Price-action Trading within an Hourly 4 chart’s Bullish motion (pattern which is spotted multiple times on Hourly 4 chart lately), Gold is purely responding to the Fundamentals of the DX and world's geo-politics which are on High speculation mode.
My position: Keep Buying every dip with #2,918.80 - #2,922.80 Medium-term Support zone intact. As long as Gold is above mention zone, #3,000.80 benchmark is my Target and Bullish Short-term trend is preserved.
The key is whether it can rise above 2674.15
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(ETHUSDT 1M chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the important support and resistance area of 2513.01-2706.15 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If it fails to rise, you need to stop trading and check the situation.
The reason is that there is a high possibility of further decline.
-
(1W chart)
In order to turn into an uptrend, it is expected that the price will have to rise above 2706.15 at least to maintain it.
The reason is that the M-Signal indicators on the 1W and 1M charts are likely to cross near that point.
If it falls below 2316.10, it is likely to fall until it meets the HA-Low indicator.
Since the HA-Low indicator is likely to be newly created as the price falls, it is important to see if there is support near it if it is newly created.
The HA-Low indicator is currently formed at 1340.12.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can find support near 2316.10-2513.01 and rise above 2674.15.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to show a step-down trend.
Since it has currently fallen below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it can be seen as a downward trend from a long-term perspective.
However, since the transaction with the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart is not far away, it is thought that it is likely to rise.
Therefore, the HA-Low indicator point of 2674.15 is likely to be the high point of the rebound.
-
Basically, the time when we can trade is when the price rises above the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart and maintains the price.
And, when the M-Signal indicators of the 1W and 1M charts are aligned.
Otherwise, the transaction must be short and quick.
When the downtrend begins during spot trading, it becomes busy.
The reason is that we need to increase the holding quantity.
There are two ways to increase the number of holdings: investing a lot of money to buy, and increasing the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit.
If you have a lot of cash or about 20% of the total investment, you can use the method of buying when the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart rises above the level and making a profit.
-
If you have little or no cash, you will eventually have to sell the coins (tokens) you currently have and buy them again to increase the number of holdings.
In other words, when there is a rebound, you should sell part of the purchase principal, and when there is a decline, you should buy back the amount you sold.
The ultimate goal of this method is to recover all of the purchase principal and hold the remaining number of coins (tokens).
I think there is no better way for long-term investment.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Market Update: Caution on $PEPEMarket Update: Caution on CRYPTOCAP:PEPE
There was hope. The consolidation looked exhausted, and a daily pump was forming.
Then Bybit got hacked , Bitcoin dumped, and now everything seems canceled.
⚠️ Warning: CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , despite being a solid and well-managed meme coin, is still a meme. Institutions appear to be selling off anything that looks like an animal in crypto.
What to Do Now?
✅ Wait for market stabilization— CRYPTOCAP:PEPE is at an attractive price, but it can drop much lower.
✅ Refill your bag at the bottom of the correction, not during dead cat bounces —unless you're a pro at trading bearish markets.
The Reversal Will Be EPIC! 🚀
This is temporary. Once the market bottoms out, the bounce could be massive. CRYPTOCAP:PEPE can do x2 or x3 in a month when sentiment improves!
🔍 DYOR
Downtrend in Applied Materials?Applied Materials has struggled since the summer and some traders may see further downside in the provider of chip equipment.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher lows between late December and mid-February. Earnings beat estimates on February 13, but conservative guidance pushed the stock below that line. The result is a potential bear-flag breakdown.
Second, short- and long-term moving averages may show bearish trends. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) crossed under the 100-day and 200-day SMAs in September. Two months later, the 100-day SMA slid below the 200-day SMA.
The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossed under the 21-day EMA two weeks ago. MACD has also been negative.
Finally, you have the big event of NASDAQ:NVDA Nvidia earnings tomorrow afternoon. Given its importance to the entire semiconductor industry, AMAT could be especially volatile around the news.
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Bitcoin breaks 95-day range – bulls need to brace for painBitcoin has finally broken out of its long-standing range, but it’s not the move bulls were hoping for. With a potential drop to FWB:73K , we break down key levels, shorting opportunities, and what bulls need to watch for a reversal.
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