NZDCHF Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
In the NZDCHF currency pair chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are clearly defined. Now this 5-wave pattern is an upward contracting triangle that usually forms in waves 1 or 4 or 5 or C.
Considering the counting of the previous waves, which is a wide ABC with a C wave extended or waves 1 to 3, we assume that we are facing wave 1 or 4. It is definitely not wave 5 or C.
So if it is wave 1, then it must correct at least 50 to 61.8% of Fibonacci from wave 1.
So the first target is the 04800 range.
If it is wave 5, it must go below the bottom of wave 3 and the second target is at least the 04600 range.
This movement usually occurs with a break of the trend line and a pullback to it.
Good luck and be profitable.
Community ideas
CHZ 50x plus tradeTraders,
Here we are again pointing out an amazing trade idea for you, the solicitors 👧🏿 and dealers 🙍🏿♂️who will likely end up transacting all of your winnings with! CHZ a great wagering project that will make you a killing this run. This one is cut and dry, we have a wedge pattern along with a possible flag that will likely play our by the end of this year!
We hope you enjoy the free trades that we have been sharing from the VIP group and look forward to seeing you enjoy these gains year round if you come check us out!
As always, stay profitable folks!
Savvy!
Berger Paints at Make-or-Break Point:Descending Triangle PatternBerger Paints is currently testing the upper boundary of a long-term Descending Triangle on the weekly chart — a pattern known for sharp breakouts or breakdowns.
📊 Resistance Zone: 600 – A breakout above this level could trigger a powerful upside rally towards 825+, supported by the pattern's height projection.
🔻 Support Level: 543 – A breakdown below this level may lead to a sharp fall towards 400 levels.
⚠️ Bearish Pin Bar Candle at resistance signals caution; confirmation is key before entering any trade.
📌 Watch closely for a decisive move – this zone is critical for trend reversal or continuation.
This setup offers a high-reward opportunity for positional traders, with clear entry and exit zones. Manage your risk wisely and follow with volume confirmation.
WELCOME TO THE BEGINNING OF ALT COIN SEASON!Traders, Hodlr's and Soon to be Liquidity (late retail buyers),
This is likely the moment we have been waiting for. Last week in our weekly VIP market update we discussed just a few things that would really show us if we just saw the bottom of the alts and if it was now time to start seeing some new local HH's and then HL's showing us a shift in trend. I had posted a few trades pointing this out. We have now at this point accomplished what we were looking for to see if we would be starting Alt coins season.
We have been watching a few things. The first being Bitcoin Dominance or CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D as this is a great chart to watch and look for reversals prior to looking at the chart of the specific alt coin against BTC to see if it also is showing it could have a rally or a pullback based on your bias on this BTC.D chart. For instance if I were to want to see maybe when XRP would likely start breaking out say that this BTC.D chart is in fact correct and the triangle trend line will end up being the top for btc dominance at around 64.4% of the total market I would go to BITSTAMP:XRPBTC to give myself some insight on confluence of market movements.
Being that we are now here at the point that I believe we will start to see money flow into alts based on this chart and others such as CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 , CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 and CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI and the specific BTC pairings that I am holding by looking up the ticker of my alt coin/BTC and studying that chart I will honestly say that I am in the 90%/10% bullish on alts to bearish.
I hope this information helped you in your journey to get more information and come up with your own analysis to base your investment decisions and you become prosperous for doing soo!
Stay Profitable Folks,
Savvy!
MERCK Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 042525Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 82/61.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
𝗧𝗲𝘀𝗹𝗮 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗸𝗼𝘄𝗻: Priced for perfectionPriced for perfection in an imperfect market
NASDAQ:TSLA nearly hit its 200dma and key resistance area (~288–292) after a roughly 20% post-earnings squeeze, and as long as it stays below that level, it risks retesting the long-term uptrend line that has marked major lows twice since COVID.
𝘛𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘧𝘧 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘺-𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬: Tesla depends heavily on Chinese-made battery and electronic components now hit by reciprocal U.S. tariffs, while over 60% of global neodymium and dysprosium—vital for its EV motors—are mined and processed only in China, creating a critical bottleneck that could sharply elevate its input costs.
𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘷𝘴. 𝘭𝘰𝘧𝘵𝘺 𝘷𝘢𝘭𝘶𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: Q1 price cuts of up to 20% on core models drove Tesla’s auto gross margin to its lowest since 2020, calling into question the sustainability of its >70× forward P/E multiple, which assumes exceptionally high profits from future ventures like robotics and autonomous fleets.
$NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX TVC:VIX #Stocks #TrumpTariffs 🇺🇸 #ChinaTariffs 🇨🇳
Trump Coin at Make-or-Break Resistance — 0.618 Retest in PlayTrump Coin surged aggressively but is now testing a bearish retest zone including the value area low, 0.618 Fibonacci, and anchored VWAP. These levels form a strong technical ceiling for price action.
Two Key Points:
Volume profile shows a climactic node, often marking temporary tops.
Reclaiming current resistance is needed to avoid a full retrace to $9.30.
As it stands, the recent impulse may be topping out. If the local low breaks, bears could regain full control with eyes on a move back to the impulse base.
TSLA
TSLA Did break through a resistance line but this amount of price volitlity was unexpected, there is a big resistance line at around 287-288. Price will most likely consolidate or bounce down. Price could breakthrough and bounce back then continue on upwards. I have never seen this before not even with the Covid crash. Someone else probably has but I sure haven’t. I will probably buy the rebound if it breaks through and enter a long position but as of right now unsure.
NASDAQ:TSLA
Breaking: $BSV Spike 38% Today Amidst Breaking out of A Pennant The price of Bitcoin forked token called Bitcoin SV ticker name ( AMEX:BSV ), saw a notable uptick of about 38% today amidst breaking out of a falling wedge with current market metrics hinting at another leg up.
What Is BSV?
Bitcoin SV (BSV) emerged following a hard fork of the Bitcoin Cash (BCH) blockchain in 2018, which had in turn forked from the BTC blockchain a year earlier following the blocksize wars.
BSV claims to fulfill the original vision of the Bitcoin protocol and design as described in Satoshi Nakamoto’s white paper, early Bitcoin client software and known Satoshi writings. BSV aims to offer scalability and stability in line with the original description of Bitcoin as a peer-to-peer electronic cash system, as well as deliver a distributed data network that can support enterprise-level advanced blockchain applications.
Technical Outlook
Since April high of 2021, that saw the asset deliver a stunning 826% in gains, the asset quickly retraced losing about 94% of market value for over 4 years now. The rise in price today is integral for AMEX:BSV in order to bring back life to the project as the altcoin has been mute lately with no on chain development or ecosystem growth.
However, present market metrics shows we might experience a brief respite before another leg-up as the asset is oversold as hinted by the RSI at 92. Our next support is the $40- $37 zone.
The gold weekly line is about to close and the short position coThe downward trend remains unchanged!
At the same time, after the current decline in gold, traders who have positions above should pay attention that the early morning rebound cannot exceed the stage pressure of 3292-3300. The larger the rebound, the weaker the downward momentum. After a continuous decline, the 3260 position can be seen below. After breaking, the 3230 point needs to be paid special attention to below. This is the golden section position of 50% retracement since the rise from 2956 to 3500 in this round. It is also a multiple resonance area in the trading concentration area. After reaching this point, traders who hold short positions should consider being more cautious.
EURUSD COT and Liquidity Analysis Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing.
Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday.
Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
So what we see in the report of this week:
We can see slight decrease in the longs and increase in the shorts but for the reversal it has to happen in the liquidity pool. So for the bigger pullback I think market makers will be adding shorts att highs as well as closing longs.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Phoenix Global Massive Growth Ahead Bullish Bias ConfirmedLast week produced the highest volume ever, extremely high, after a very strong bottom candle and signal. Phoenix Global is set to enter a major bullish trend and bull market cycle. The bottom is in.
Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, this is a great and interesting chart.
The best signals come from the candles, the best support from the volume indicator, here we have both working in unison. Great.
A doji is the candle that produced the correction low. The session ended green and with high volume. The doji is a reversal signal when confirmation comes and confirmation is in.
The following candles after 7-April are high volume candles, extremely high and full green. That's it. These past three weeks confirmed two things: (1) The bottom is in and (2) a new bullish wave will develop.
A new uptrend can last months or it can even go for years. So it is very interesting to be able to find these charts while they are trading at bottom prices. Joining the market at this time, buying and holding, can be life changing, truly. You will have your confirmation in a matter of weeks. It will take only 4-6 weeks for everything Altcoin to trade 300% higher. And that will only be the start.
» PHBUSDT activated its two strongest support levels, that is August 2023 and November 2022. The 7-April low produced a technical double-bottom and a factual long-term higher low. Another signal in support of massive growth comes next be ready and prepared.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
USDCHF: Important Breakout & Bullish Outlook Explained
USDCHF broke and closed above a key daily horizontal resistance area.
The broken structure most likely turned in a strong support.
I expect a bullish continuation from that next week.
Goal - 0.8356
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD 1HGold Analysis
Continuing the previous analysis
The market faces a critical test at 3340.
A confirmed break and stabilization above this level would invalidate today's analysis and shift the trend bullish.
However, based on precise mathematical modeling, the expectation is clear:
The market is likely to fail in breaking above 3340, opening the way for a strong bearish move toward:
3235
3170
3130
Stay disciplined, trust the math, and move with confidence.
In a world full of uncertainty, we follow certainty.
Stay with me!
Potential GBP/NZD long trade setupOkay, let's delve into each of those aspects for this potential GBP/NZD long trade setup:
Probability of This Setup Playing Out
While bullish divergence within a descending wedge can be a strong indication of a potential reversal, it's crucial to remember that no trading setup has a 100% success rate. Here's a breakdown of factors that could influence the probability:
Strength of the Divergence: The clearer and more pronounced the bullish divergence, the higher the potential probability. In your chart, the divergence looks reasonably clear, with the MACD making higher lows while the price makes lower lows.
Breakout Confirmation: The probability increases significantly upon a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline of the descending wedge. A strong bullish candle closing above this line, ideally with increasing volume, would add confidence.
Market Context: Consider the broader market environment. Are there any significant fundamental events (e.g., central bank announcements, economic data releases) related to either the British Pound or the New Zealand Dollar that could disrupt this technical pattern? Strong unexpected news could invalidate the setup.
Timeframe Congruence: While you're looking at the 4-hour chart, checking higher timeframes (daily, weekly) can provide context on the overall trend. If the longer-term trend aligns with your bullish bias, it can increase the probability of success.
Risk Sentiment: Overall market risk sentiment can also play a role. GBP/NZD can be sensitive to risk appetite.
In summary: The setup has a decent probability due to the bullish divergence and the potential for a wedge breakout, but it's essential to wait for confirmation and be aware of the broader market context.
Potential Entry Points
There are a few potential entry points you could consider, each with its own risk and reward profile:
Aggressive Entry: Entering immediately upon a strong bullish candle breaking and closing above the upper trendline of the descending wedge. This offers the potential for the best entry price but also carries a higher risk of a false breakout.
Conservative Entry: Waiting for a breakout and then a successful retest of the broken upper trendline as support before entering. This can offer a lower-risk entry as it confirms that the previous resistance has now become support. However, the price might not always retest.
Entry on Confirmation Signals: Looking for additional bullish confirmation signals on lower timeframes (e.g., 1-hour chart) after the initial breakout. This could include bullish candlestick patterns or further positive momentum on indicators.
Recommendation: For a balance of potential reward and risk management, waiting for a confirmed breakout followed by potential confirmation on a lower timeframe might be a prudent approach.
Risk Management Strategies
Effective risk management is paramount for any trade. Here are some strategies you could employ:
Stop-Loss Placement: already marked a potential stop-loss level below the recent swing low within the wedge. This is a logical placement as a break below this level could invalidate the bullish setup. Ensure your stop-loss is at a level that, if hit, would indicate the analysis was likely incorrect.
Position Sizing: Only risk a small percentage of your trading capital on this trade (e.g., 1-2%). This will protect you from significant losses even if the trade goes against you. Calculate your position size based on the distance between your entry point and your stop-loss.
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Aim for a favorable reward-to-risk ratio. Your target levels (TRG 1, TRG 2, TRG 3) allow you to visualize potential profits. Ensure that the potential profit outweighs the potential loss before taking the trade. For example, if your stop-loss represents 20 pips of risk, aim for at least 40-60 pips of potential profit at your initial target (1:2 or 1:3 reward-to-risk).
Trailing Stop-Loss: Once the trade moves into profit, consider using a trailing stop-loss to lock in gains and protect against a sudden reversal.
Confirmation Signals You Might Look For
Beyond the initial breakout, here are some additional signals that could strengthen your bullish conviction:
Increased Volume: Higher trading volume during the breakout suggests strong buying pressure and increases the likelihood of the move being genuine.
Bullish Candlestick Patterns: Formation of bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, morning star) after the breakout or during a potential retest can signal further buying interest.
Moving Average Crossovers: If you use moving averages, look for bullish crossovers (e.g., the shorter-term moving average crossing above the longer-term moving average) after the breakout.
MACD Crossover Above Zero: The MACD line crossing above the signal line and then moving above the zero line would indicate increasing bullish momentum.
RSI Above 50: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) moving above the 50 level can confirm increasing bullish strength.
How Fundamentals Might Impact This Technical Analysis
While your analysis is primarily technical, it's crucial to be aware of how fundamental factors could influence GBP/NZD:
Central Bank Policies: Monetary policy decisions and statements from the Bank of England (BoE) and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) are major drivers for these currencies. Any unexpected hawkish or dovish signals could significantly impact the exchange rate.
Economic Data: Key economic data releases from the UK (e.g., inflation, employment, GDP) and New Zealand (e.g., inflation, employment, trade balance) can lead to volatility and potentially override technical patterns.
Global Risk Sentiment: As mentioned earlier, GBP/NZD can be influenced by global risk appetite. During times of risk aversion, safe-haven currencies might strengthen, potentially impacting this pair.
Geopolitical Events: Unexpected geopolitical events can also introduce volatility and affect currency valuations.
Recommendation: Before taking the trade, it's wise to check the economic calendar for any high-impact news releases scheduled for the British Pound and the New Zealand Dollar in the coming days. Be prepared for potential volatility around these events.
Let me know if you have any more questions or would like to explore any of these points in more detail!
i would love to hear back from you your thoughts on this pair
Trading idea - Entry point > 12.24/61.80%Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 12.24/61.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Long at 131.61 for a quick flipNothing special about this trade except that it was one of only 6 large cap stocks that registered as a buy for me today and was the best of the bunch, technically, imo.
Historically, the returns here are only about 20% better than an average market return per day, but using this trading technique, it has never lost money - 1027 wins, 0 losses (real and backtested) going all the way back to January of 1968. Having been through everything that 50+ year trading history threw at it and coming out perfect, I'm comfortable making this trade now.
Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position periodically at the close on and I will likely use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit, though I have been playing around with a new exit strategy, so FPC may or may not be used - I'll have to see how things play out.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
GOLD | Monthly Chart – Uncharted Territory
We are officially in price discovery.
🔱 Gold has broken out of its multi-decade consolidation range and closed above the previous highs with conviction.
💰 $3,500 is now within reach — a major extension target sitting at the 2.618 Fibonacci level.
🟨 The yellow zone was the key resistance area that capped price action for nearly 13 years — now acting as a powerful base for potential continuation.
📊 This chart is a reminder: when historical resistance gives way, it’s not just a breakout — it’s a paradigm shift.
AREN Longwe have been consuming a lot of Kristjan Qullamaggie content lately and thought we could put it into practice.
AREN appears to have held up well post "episodic pivot" and during the recent market pullback. the relevant moving averages (10 & 20 SMA), though not visible in the chart, are in the right position. also relevant is the tightness of recent price action. the breakout of the asymmetric triangle is our catalyst to end.
unfavourable market conditions would invalidate the pattern.
Nasdaq - Printing The Obvious Bottom!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) already finished the correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we witnessed a minor "crash" of about -25% over the past couple of weeks, the bottom might be in on the Nasdaq. We simply saw another very bullish all time high break and retest and depite the possibility of a second retest, I am (still) extremely bullish at these levels.
Levels to watch: $17.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Breaking: Goatseus Maximus ($GOAT) Spike 30% TodayGoatseus Maximus ( MIL:GOAT ) The First meme created by truth_terminal has spiked 30% today reclaiming the $70 million market cap.
Goatseus Maximus ( MIL:GOAT ) a memecoin on the Solana ecosystem has seen a notable uptick of 30% today amidst a bullish momentum. Since listing, MIL:GOAT has seen a notable surge of 1,800% before sharply retracing losing about 97% of market value albeit listed on big CEX like OKX, Bybit, Gateio, etc.
With growing momentum and the RSI at 65, these metrics are pointing to an impending breakout should MIL:GOAT hold the bears at this point, without dipping below the current support pivot, MIL:GOAT might just be on the cusp of a breakout.
Goatseus Maximus Price Data
The Goatseus Maximus price today is $0.077686 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $111,333,197 USD. Goatseus Maximus is up 21.09% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #399, with a live market cap of $77,685,698 USD. It has a circulating supply of 999,993,519 GOAT coins and a max. supply of 1,000,000,000 GOAT coins.