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BTC H4 Analysis | Key Support Zone: | Watch for ReactionBitcoin is approaching a significant support area between 88,277 and 86,850 on the H4 timeframe. This zone has historically acted as a demand region, and price action within this range will be critical to monitor. Technical structure shows a potential for volatility, and traders should keep an eye on how BTC behaves around this level. A clear reaction here could offer insight into the next directional move. No trade setup provided — this is a technical observation for analysis purposes only.
Long
by Forexcryptowithjohn
Unsustainable Market Trends I'm overall a bear but I think we'll probably make a new high. I've explained previously how a new high does not annul the bear thesis since there are various spike out patterns. Let's now talk about the unsustainable nature of what we're currently seeing. First things first - trendlines going up at angles of over 70 degrees is not good! 35 - 45 degrees, good. That's quite sustainable. It can keep doing that. 70+, not good. It can not keep doing that. I hate to speak in absolutes, but we can be fairly sure markets can not rise at this angle indefinitely without something really bad happening. Were this to happen, it would have to be a result of devaluation of the currency and although stock markets would be higher, everyone would be hurting. Especially average people. A highly optimistic forecast of how this can end well would be after making gains markets go into a prolonged period of contraction. There's no more straight up price action but there's also nothing terrible to the downside. I can't really think of any examples of this ever happening. I guess the closest would be the big range before the 80s/90s breakout (But that was not like this into the high). The most common outcome of markets going up at angles of over 70 degrees is they come down at angles of over 70 degrees! I feel the moves of 2021 and 2023 have made the market exceptionally more risky. Markets looked extended in 2018 - 2019, but what felt like mania in 2018 was dwarfed in the following years with full years of rallies at angles above what is sustainable. It'd be highly uncommon for these moves to resolve without spiking out the low of where they started. The tendency of parabolic moves to resolve themselves by trading under where the move started becomes increasingly worrying as we move further from that level. It's around 2,200 in SPX. Even if it came from the current high this would forecast a move worse than 2008. Were it to come from a bit higher, this would start to forecast a move on the scale of depression crashes (At least 80% and lasting at least 10 yrs without a new high). What I am trying to say here is, if markets keep going up at angles of over 70 (And SPX really isn't far off 100 right now), something very bad is likely to happen. And it's looking likely SPX may do this. Markets may break and make a blow-off without further major retracements and this style of blow-off can be 20 - 25% above the last high. This would give us estimates for a blow-off ending 6,000 area in SPX and just under 20,000 area in Nasdaq. Both of these would be drawing down at least 70% to break the low of where the excessive angle of buying started. While this is nothing earthshattering in terms of charting norms (What goes up comes down), this would be significant in the real world. If this big spike out is coming, I think we're seeing the grand final act of the bull market. It will be the best it has ever been and it will be the best we're going to see it in a significant amount of time. If markets continue higher at the same or steeper angles than the recent climbs (Especially if there's no big pullbacks) I think we'll have seen every single major warning signal there was at the top of rallies that would turn into multiple decade bears.
SP:SPXShort
by holeyprofit
11
BTC Setup: Scalp Shorts Active Below 97.5K BTC is currently facing strong resistance around the 97.5K area on the daily timeframe. As long as BTC stays below 97.5K on a daily closing basis, I am expecting a potential pullback move. 📉 There is a chance of a wick or sharp move down toward the 92K zone, which could provide good scalp short opportunities. 📈 However, a clear breakout and daily close above 97.5K would invalidate this short idea and shift the bias back to bullish continuation. Trade Plan: 🔻 Below 97.5K = Look for scalp shorts with strict risk management. 🔼 Above 97.5K = Exit shorts and watch for bullish setups. Always remember: Protect your capital and stick to your plan! 🎯 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This post is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your own risk before entering any trade.
Short
by Forexcryptowithjohn
FartCoin resistance after completing a potential Elliott Wave 5Fartcoin Tests Major Resistance – ABCD Correction in Play? FART is trading at a significant resistance level, with signs suggesting the completion of an Elliott Wave 5. This could trigger a larger corrective ABCD pattern. Price has stalled at the $1.15–$1.30 range with multiple daily rejections. Wave 5 structure appears completed, pointing toward corrective downside. Macro ABCD correction setup is visible, hinting at extended retracement. From a structure standpoint, this region represents a potential macro lower high. Without strong bullish follow-through, the market could begin a deeper retracement phase. The lack of candle closures above $1.30, paired with a bearish order block at that level, suggests strong resistance. If sellers regain control, the next area of interest lies in the $0.90–$1.00 range, with further downside possible if the macro ABCD pattern plays out fully.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
GBPNZD Long 4/25/2025GBP/NZD Long – Channel Break Targeting Origin Liquidity + Daily Demand Bounce Looking to go long on GBP/NZD after a clean technical break from a multi-session descending channel, supported by strong higher timeframe structure. Daily Chart: We've established a solid bottom around 2.2131, with two daily candle closes showing strong buyer defense. Price also tapped into a key daily demand zone at 2.21336 — a well-respected structure level. We're now clearly bouncing off that zone, giving this long setup extra weight from a higher timeframe perspective. Structure: The pair has been moving within a descending channel that began at 2.4793. I prefer trading channels back to their origin, where liquidity tends to pool — and that’s our longer-term upside target. 4H Chart: We just got a strong bullish candle breaking the channel, signaling a potential reversal is in motion. Trade Thesis: With a higher timeframe demand bounce + channel break + bullish momentum, this setup is aligned for continuation. I’m looking for price to work its way back to the top of the channel and eventually toward the origin level near 2.4793. Target & Risk: Target: Origin zone near 2.4793 Risk-Reward: 1:1.73 Stop: Just below the breakout candle low and daily demand Clean multi-timeframe confluence: daily structure, channel break, and bullish pressure off demand.
Long
by Big6Financial
GBPUSD... 4H CHART PATTERNI am suggesting a **GBP/USD short (sell) position** from **1.3299**, targeting **1.3160**. Here's a quick breakdown of that idea from a technical and risk management perspective: --- ### 📊 **Trade Summary** - **Pair**: GBP/USD - **Position**: Sell - **Entry**: 1.3299 - **Target**: 1.3160 - **Potential Profit**: 139 pips --- ### ⚠️ Key Considerations: 1. **Technical Analysis**: - Are you basing this on a break of support, resistance rejection, or a larger trend (e.g., D1 or H4)? - Any key indicators (RSI, MACD, moving averages) giving confirmation? 2. **Fundamentals**: - Any upcoming UK or US economic data? (GDP, interest rate announcements, Fed or BoE speeches?) - Market sentiment toward USD (safe haven) or GBP (risk currency)? 3. **Stop Loss**: - Are you using one? Placing it above recent highs could protect you—e.g., SL at 1.3350 (risk of ~50 pips). - Risk-to-reward ratio: approx. 1:2.8 (Good). --- ### 🛠 Example Trade Setup (MetaTrader Style) | Type | Sell (Short) | |------------|-------------------| | Entry | 1.3299 | | TP (Target)| 1.3160 | | SL (Stop) | 1.3350 (example) | | R:R | ~1:2.8 | --- If you’re live trading this, be cautious of: - **Volatility spikes** from news. - **Support levels** near 1.3200 that could slow down the move. - **Dollar strength/weakness** (watch the DXY).
Short
by Money_Magnet5
GBPUSD Trade RecapFX:GBPUSD Friday trade recap on GBPJPY. 📌 The rationale behind taking this trade was firstly, the positive GBP news for Retail Sales of actual 0.4%, greater than the -0.3% forecast. 📌 Secondly, the price tapped into the strong 4H demand zone, while also sweeping the Asian lows. 📌 The news took place on 6 am UTC, while there were no sudden spikes in price during 6 am, we can see a 30 pips price push few minutes after the news, signaling the market price reacting to the news. 📌 Price got rejected twice from the 15 minutes bearish shooting star, creating a strong short term resistance zone. 📌 Since the bias is short term bullish, I waited for a break and retest of the trendline, as soon as price failed to close below the zone, I immediately place buys. 📌 Price Eventually hit TP at a 1:2.46% risk to reward trade but closed at +1.9% to avoid the subsequent red news. 3min chart
by CandleCipher
AREN Longwe have been consuming a lot of Kristjan Qullamaggie content lately and thought we could put it into practice. AREN appears to have held up well post "episodic pivot" and during the recent market pullback. the relevant moving averages (10 & 20 SMA), though not visible in the chart, are in the right position. also relevant is the tightness of recent price action. the breakout of the asymmetric triangle is our catalyst to end. unfavourable market conditions would invalidate the pattern.
AMEX:ARENLong
by Kwaku_As
Coming down!I see three corrective waves in front of me that have been completed and concluded with an ending diagonal pattern. Please be careful of the possible upcoming decline. *In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
Short
by KhaldHegazy
Bearish Continuation in PlayAfter an extended distribution phase near the premium zone and a clear break of the ascending channel, NVDA has shifted into a bearish market structure. Price is currently pulling back into a key supply zone and retesting the bearish trendline. If this area holds, we could see further downside movement with the following targets: 🔻 $88.47 – potential support and short-term consolidation area. 🔻 $41.79 – medium-term target if bearish momentum continues and support breaks. This bearish outlook remains valid as long as price stays below $153.99, which marks the invalidation level and the potential start of a bullish reversal. 🔍 Market structure is showing consistent lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish pressure.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by JAG_Trader