Community ideas
Total Crypto MarketcapHi ladies.
Is it "diminishing log returns" or ascending triangle? We're going to find out soon. I think there are too many data pieces coming in that point to BTC $1M.
Miners like RIOT and MARA are touting reaching their "BTC Reserve" targets. What it means is Bitcoin is no longer for sale. The only theoretical limit to BTC price is amount of fiat in the system, because it's designed to absorb it all. But keep talking about diminishing log returns, because you sound foo-lish.
EURUSD Short, 03 JuneHTF shows clear Bearish OBs on both W and D, with doji & hammer formations hinting at buyer exhaustion. Expecting a pullback into imbalance below.
On LTF, we’ve had a clean BOS in Asia, followed by a retrace into the last 15m extreme OB – an ideal scenario for forming a new lower high in the ongoing bearish trend.
📉 Entry: 1m BOS + reaction from 15m POI
🧩 Confluence: Asia BOS, LTF structure, DXY alignment
🎯 TP: Asia Low (less than 3RR), potential to run further into HTF imbalance
🛡️ Context: All factors align – HTF bias, LTF trend, and precise entry logic.
A textbook continuation play – if we’re going to turn, this is the zone to do it.
SOL – Compression at ResistanceAfter retracing up toward the 50% Fib level (around 154.3–154.4 on the daily chart), SOL/USDT has now stalled beneath key resistance and is rolling back into the reaction range. A close look at both the 1D and 2H charts reveals a clear case of a failed swing high rather than a trend reversal.
1. Structural Context
SOL remains inside its broader downtrend channel (green lines). The bounce off the June low carved out a higher low, but the subsequent rally ran into:
The daily descending trendline (red) from the June high
The 50% Fib retracement of the June down-leg (154.3–154.4)
A sell-side order block (red volume bars on the left VPVR)
The daily 20-period SMA and upper Bollinger Band
Because price could not clear these layers, the move shows the characteristics of a lower high inside a downtrend rather than a genuine breakout.
2. Multi-Timeframe Confirmation
Daily (1D) Chart
Retracement: Peaked at 50% Fib then reversed.
Volume Profile: Thick VPVR node at 154–156 acted as a supply shelf.
Bollinger Bands: Upper band contained the rally.
RSI: Pulled back from ~55 and printed a lower high as price challenged 50%.
PVT: Flat, indicating no real net buying during the bounce.
2-Hour (2H) Chart
Trendlines: A shorter-term red downtrend line capped the local rally near 154.
Order Blocks: Green buy-block around 137–140 held the low; red sell-block around 154–157 limited upside.
RSI: Printed a lower high on the second leg up, even as price revisited prior highs.
Volume: Tapered off on the approach into the 50% Fib zone, then increased on the pullback — a sign of distribution.
3. Key Levels & Next Moves
Immediate Support:
152.2–152.5 (38.2% Fib)
151.1–151.9 (23.6% Fib & daily BB midline)
Structural Support Zones:
146.1–144.6 (prior consolidation & lower Bollinger band)
141.5–140.9 (secondary order block)
134.0–137.0 (major demand cluster)
Immediate Resistance:
154.3–154.4 (50% Fib + daily trendline + SMA)
156–158 (78.6–100% Fib band + higher-timeframe supply)
If SOL fails to hold 152.2–152.5, look for a retest of the 146–144 zone. A breach below 144 opens the path back toward the 137–134 order block. Conversely, a sustained reclaim of 154.4 on volume would be needed to shift the short-term bias neutral.
4. Conclusion
This sequence—bounce into 50% Fib, capped by overlapping resistance, followed by divergence in momentum and rising volume on the pullback—confirms another lower high in SOL’s downtrend. Until price can clear 154.4 with conviction, the path of least resistance remains downward.
Safe Entry Zone IONQStock Movement Up.
1H Green Zone is Safe Entry Zone.
Blue Lines Are Previous Highs Consider As Good Resistances.
Red Zone is Strongest Resistance.
Watch out for any selling pressure and reversal candles at these Resistances to Secure Profit
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 1H TF when Marubozu/PinBar Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
End of Month and QuarterAs we wrapped up the end of the month and the end of the quarter, it can be helpful for traders to take time and look back on how markets have performed. The second quarter of 2025 showed extreme volatility in many markets, starting off with the strong broad selloff with the tariff announcement in early April, and as that was walked back the markets have rallied and equity markets are trading near all time high prices, specifically the S&P and Nasdaq. Traders also saw the Fed keep rates unchanged at the June meeting, stating that rate cuts are available if needed depending on the data.
As of now, the CME Fed Watch Tool is pricing in another pause for rates at the July meeting in a few weeks, and the first cut coming at the September meeting at a near 75% probability by 25 basis points. Powell has mentioned that the Fed does not want to be early with rate cuts, and wants to only use the cuts if necessary and as a tool. There will be imperative data looking at GDP, inflation, and jobs that may give traders an idea of the direction the Fed will go on rates for the second half of the year.
US100 — New ATH Trading SetupThe price recently previous ATH at the 22730 level. Current ATH is marked near 22,800, with a POC at 22,640.
Potential support around 22,500, below POC.
Watch for a bounce or further rise beyond 22,920.
Buyers probably will push right through 23,000 level today on Micros and Minis.
Could the price drop from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 145.36
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 146.21
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slight above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 144.16
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GOLD - Price can continues rise to resistance level and break itHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price made an upward impulse from the support line of the triangle and rose to the resistance line, breaking two levels.
Then the price dropped back, after which repeated impulse and exited from the triangle, reaching the resistance area.
After this movement, Gold started to trades inside a wedge, where it dropped from the resistance line to the support line.
Next, the price in a short time rose from this line to the resistance line again, breaking $3230 and $3400 levels.
But recently, it made a correction to the support line, breaking $3400 level again, and then started to grow.
Now, I expect that Gold can little decline and then continue to move up to $3470, breaking the resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
USD/JPY and what’s expected from the NFP?The USD/JPY hasn't dropped like the other dollar crossed yet, but could we potentially see a clean break down below 142.50 support? Well, we will need to see a big miss on the NFP print for that to potentially happen.
The consensus is for a 110K increase in non-farm payrolls, but recent data has been less than convincing. The ADP private payrolls figure released yesterday registered its first decline in over a year, stoking concerns that today’s number might fall short of expectations — potentially even slipping below 100K.
On the unemployment front, a slight uptick to 4.3% is anticipated, up from 4.2%, while Average Hourly Earnings are seen rising 0.3% month-on-month vs. 0.4% increase the month before.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Swiss Vault Job: GBP/CHF Entry Blueprint Unlocked🕵️♂️💼 GBP/CHF: The Swiss Vault Infiltration Protocol 💼🕵️♂️
(Swing/Day Plan — Executed in Silence, Paid in Profits)
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Silent Operators, 🤑💰💸✈️
Welcome to the Thief Trading Syndicate's Strategic Playbook – today’s mission targets the GBP/CHF vault. We’ve cooked up a master plan powered by our signature blend of technical finesse and stealthy macro-insight. This setup is based on institutional footprints and high-stakes zones where liquidity flows like digital gold.
📊 Current Bias:
🟥 Bearish weight remains, but we smell bullish smoke beneath — reversal setups in play.
📈 Entry Strategy:
Long (Bullish) — Scout entry above 1.06500+ in higher timeframes (4H+). Retest confirmation required.
Short (Bearish) — “The vault’s unguarded! Slip in short anywhere up top—clean sweep mode.”
🛑 Stop Loss Placement:
Place SL near recent swing highs/lows on the 5H chart (swing basis). Customize per lot size and multiple entries. Your risk defines your escape rope.
🎯 Profit Extraction Target:
Long TP: Aim for the 1.11500 vault door (or vanish before it slams).
Short TP: Dive to 1.06500, or pull the plug earlier if guards wake up.
📰 Strategic Conditions:
This pair’s behavior is currently driven by mixed macro triggers — smart money positioning (COT), sentiment clusters, and market structure traps.
→ For full details: Fundamental macros, COT leaks, sentiment drift, and institutional zones — check your sources.
🚨 News & Risk Protocols:
No new entries during red-folder events.
Use trailing stops to lock loot and run.
💥 Boost Our Bandits!
Smash that ❤️ to strengthen our robbing force. Each tap fuels future missions. No indicators. Just raw street-smart trading edge.
👀 More heists incoming. Stay low. Stay sharp. Stay profitable. 🐱👤🎯📈
Bitcoin NEW ALL TIME HIGH ? Based on my analytic, bitcoin has possibility to hit the new all time high $113.500 .
If not there is also possibility of going down to 4h OB ( $106.10 0) and up to $113.500 .
Two scenarios possible!!!
First trade
Entry 108.937,7
SL 108.419,4
TP 113.599
Second trade
Entry 106.185,4
SL 104.972,7
TP 113.599
Forecast USDJPY Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice, and I do not encourage anyone to follow my analysis blindly. I’m simply sharing my personal market view based on my strategy, experience, and interpretation of the data.
Everyone is responsible for their own decisions.
The USD/JPY market has likely just exited
its accumulation phase after several weeks of quiet consolidation. What we’re seeing now is a clear buy-side manipulation orchestrated by major players. Despite weak fundamentals for the dollar — disappointing NFP, rising unemployment, and a slowdown in services — price exploded to the upside, trapping early sellers and drawing in retail buyers through a false breakout.
Technically, the market is overbought on H1 and H4, with a hidden bearish divergence extending all the way from the historical highs of 1971, combined with a confirmed bearish reversal divergence on the weekly chart. On top of that, institutional speculators (COT data) are heavily short USD/JPY, reinforcing the idea that this rally is not genuine but engineered for liquidity grabs.
I’m not rushing in. I’m waiting for 146.00, a key psychological and structural level where this manipulation could reach its peak. That zone would likely mark the end of the fake bullish move and the beginning of a real distribution phase. All signals — technical, macro, and behavioral — are aligned. This could be one of the best short opportunities on USD/JPY in months.
Possible Heads & Shoulders FormingWhen you see the inverse Heads n Shoulders forming, its hard to unsee it. I love this because it's lining up perfectly with the VAL of the intra day range and LVN ..This long trade is in line with my last week and current week forecast. We already hit TP1, TP2 is looking very likely after the pullback is done.
We are currently sitting at the POC, so expect some condolidation. Especially since we have ADP Non-Farm 2morow & Thurs. The news is the only thing that can throw a wrench into this setup.
Be sure to check out my last tradingview post and also checkout the weekly recap and weekly forecast videos i just posted on our youtube channel breaking down the in-depth analysis of this trade so you can understand my thought process on how it use Trend & Volume to execute this trade. Link is in my bio.
DEFINITIIONS
POC - Point of Control
VAL - Value Area Low
LVN - Low Volume Node
Study up on those.
CHEERS
Today's bearish target for gold prices: 3300Today's bearish target for gold prices: 3300
Technical analysis:
Short-term support: $3330-3320 (5-day and 10-day moving averages),
Short-term resistance: $3360-3374 (61.8% retracement).
If it falls below $3330, it may fall to the $3306-3320 range;
If it breaks through $3374, it may challenge the previous high of $3450.
The daily chart shows that gold prices are fluctuating at high levels, and the MACD red column has expanded, but the RSI (60-65) shows a good bullish momentum.
2. Main influencing factors
Federal Reserve policy and non-agricultural data:
The market focuses on the US non-agricultural employment data for June released tonight (July 3) (expected to increase by 106,000, and the previous value was an increase of 139,000).
If the data is weak (for example, the unemployment rate rises to 4.3%), it may strengthen the expectation of a rate cut in September, which is good for gold;
On the contrary, if the data is strong, the price of gold may fall back.
The unexpected contraction of the ADP employment data in June (a decrease of 33,000 jobs) has pushed up the expectation of a rate cut in advance.
Geopolitics and safe-haven demand:
If the situation in the Middle East (such as the Iranian nuclear issue) escalates, it may push up the price of gold, but the recent ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran has weakened the short-term safe-haven support.
The continued purchase of gold by central banks around the world (net purchase of 289 tons in the second quarter of 2025) constitutes long-term support.
The US dollar and interest rates:
The US dollar index has weakened recently, but if the Fed postpones the rate cut (the probability of a rate cut in September is currently 75%), it may suppress the price of gold.
3. My views and market forecasts:
In the short term, the price of gold will fluctuate, and the trend depends on the non-agricultural data.
If the data is weak, the price of gold may rise to $3370-3400;
If the data is strong, the price of gold may fall back below $3300.
I think the possibility of a fall is high.
In the short term, I prefer the strategy and trading ideas of shorting at high prices below 3360-3370.
Suggestions:
Short-term trading: Pay attention to the breakthrough opportunities after the release of non-agricultural data. You can go long at the support level (3330-3320 US dollars) and try to go short at the resistance level (3360-3374 US dollars).
Flexibly adjust the strategy.