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Bearish Breakdown Confirmed Below 92,800 – Next Targets in Play!Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – February 25, 2025 📉 Bearish Pressure Strengthens Below Key Levels Bitcoin has failed to hold above 92,800, reinforcing a bearish breakdown scenario. The price is currently consolidating within the consolidation zone under the primary ascending channel, which has historically acted as strong resistance. As mentioned in my previous analysis, Bitcoin was facing strong resistance at 103,757 and has now confirmed a breakdown below 92,800. If you missed the initial analysis, check it out here . 🔎 Technical Outlook: Bearish Scenario: A daily close below 92,800 will confirm strong downward momentum toward 79K and 71K, which are key support levels. Breaking below 71,400 could lead to further decline, testing the demand zone near 65K and 50K. Bullish Recovery: To regain bullish momentum, BTC must retest and stabilize above 92,800, targeting 103,757 (Key Resistance). Breaking this level could open the door for a retest of 109K (ATH of Jan 2025). 📊 Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Resistance: 92,800 | 98,220 | 103,757 🔹 Pivot Zone: 92,800 🔹 Support: 85,000 | 79,579 | 71,400 📉 Directional Bias: BTC remains bearish below 92,800. If sellers push below 71,400, expect further downside. 🔥 What’s Next for BTC? Will Bitcoin hold 92,800, or are we heading toward 79K next? Share your thoughts below! ⬇️🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SroshMayi
#BTC reaches the buy zone, beware of rebound📊#BTC reaches the buy zone, beware of rebound⚠️ 🧠From a structural perspective, the support zone of 94000-95000 was broken, which continued the strength of the bears. This support zone has been tested many times. After being broken, it will turn into a resistance zone. Generally, it may be blocked and fall back when it reaches here for the first time. The target area of ​​the bear structure has also been achieved, so we need to be wary of the risk of rebound. ➡️From a graphical perspective, the symmetrical triangle chose to break down and reached the expected target (L: 91160), so we need to be wary of the possibility of a rebound from here. The lower edge of the triangle has turned from support to resistance Let's take a look👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
SOL USDT💰 #Solana (SOL/USDT) Analysis Solana is currently approaching a major support zone around $120, which has historically acted as a strong level for price reversals. The current downtrend is likely a correction phase before a potential bullish recovery. 🔹 Key Observations: Support Level: The $120 zone is a critical area where buyers could step in. Bullish Recovery Expected: A bounce from this level could push SOL towards key resistance targets. Potential Double Bottom Formation: If price reacts positively, we might see a reversal pattern forming. 🔹 Entry Strategy: Primary Entry: Around $120 if price shows a bullish reaction. Breakout Entry: Consider adding if price breaks above $222 for confirmation of a trend shift. 🔹 Target Levels: T1: $222.90 Final Target: $316.01 📉 Risk Management: Stop-loss below $110 to limit downside risk. 🚀 SOL could see a significant bounce if buyers defend the $120 area! #Solana #Crypto #SOLUSDT #Trading 🚀
Long
by VIPROSE
Tesla I Tipping Point: Short Opportunity with Head & Shoulders Short opportunity on Tesla Based on Technical + Fundamental View -market structure -Head and shoulder pattern -Double top -Currently trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame -Product Development Delays -Margin Pressure -Decreased average selling price - Increased Competition - Flat /Declining Sales - Leadership Concerns: Elon Musk's polarizing political activities and his divided attention between Tesla and other ventures (such as his involvement with OpenAI) have raised concerns among investors. Some analysts suggest that Musk's public perception may negatively impact consumer sentiment towards Tesla, leading to decreased sales and loyalty among customers. Technical view Double top Unlike the classic double top, where the second peak reaches or exceeds the height of the first peak, the Type III double top fails to reach the previous high. This failure signifies a significant shift in market sentiment and an increase in selling pressure than usal. Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a Risk Reward ratio. (Approx 1:6.4) Pro Tip Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone. Target 1 - 307$ Target 2 - 271$ Target 3 - 237$ Stop Loss - 380.21$ Fundamental View Valuation Concerns: Tesla's stock is currently viewed as significantly overvalued, with a fair value estimate of $210 per share according to multiple analysts, including Morningstar and Firstrade. This valuation reflects a substantial premium over its current trading price, indicating potential downside risk for investors. Earnings Performance: Tesla's Q4 2024 earnings are anticipated to show continued improvement, with expectations of gross profit margins exceeding 20%. Analysts believe that the automotive segment's performance has stabilized after a challenging first half of the year, driven by increased deliveries and lower production costs. Market Dynamics: Despite strong demand for Tesla's vehicles, the company faces pressures from declining average selling prices due to price cuts implemented in 2023. This trend is expected to continue as competition intensifies in the electric vehicle (EV) market. Product Development: Tesla is set to launch new models, including an affordable SUV (Model Q) aimed at increasing market share in the lower-priced vehicle segment. Additionally, advancements in autonomous driving technology are critical for future growth, with plans to roll out Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in select states and regions. Analyst Ratings: The consensus among analysts remains mixed, with a combination of "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings. The average price target reflects a cautious outlook, suggesting that while there is potential for upside, significant risks remain due to valuation concerns and competitive pressures. Not an investment Advise
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
4
Analyzing the Australian Dollar: A Bearish Outlook for AUD/USDRecent developments in the Australian economy, particularly the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision to trim its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.10%, have sparked discussions among traders and analysts regarding the future trajectory of the Australian Dollar (AUD), especially in relation to the US Dollar (USD). This move, while anticipated, has implications that could shape market sentiment in the coming weeks. RBA Rate Decision: Implications for AUD The RBA's decision to cut the interest rate signals a cautious stance towards Australia's economic conditions. Although the RBA specified that this rate reduction should not be interpreted as the onset of a broader easing cycle, the act of lowering rates typically suggests underlying concerns about economic growth and inflation. Lower interest rates can diminish the attractiveness of a currency, as they often lead to lower yields on assets denominated in that currency. In the current environment, where other central banks may be maintaining or raising rates to combat inflation, the RBA’s rate cut could position the AUD unfavorably against its peers. Traders may interpret this move as a reflection of economic weakness, prompting a more bearish sentiment toward the AUD in the forex market. Technical Analysis: AUD/USD Supply Area and COT Report Recent technical analysis indicates that the AUD/USD pair has triggered a supply area, aligning with insights from the Commitments of Traders (COT) report. The COT report illustrates that retail traders are predominantly holding long positions on the AUD, suggesting a potential mismatch between retail sentiment and market dynamics. When retail traders are heavily long, it can sometimes signal exhaustion in upward momentum, setting the stage for a bearish reversal. Furthermore, forecasting models indicate the possibility of an emerging bearish trend for the AUD/USD pair. Given these elements confluence—the RBA’s rate cut, the transition into a supply area on the charts, and the current positioning of traders—the market may be primed for a bearish impulse. In conclusion, the AUD appears to be facing headwinds in the near term. The recent rate cut by the RBA, coupled with retail traders’ long positions and our forecasting indicators suggesting potential bearish momentum, paints a challenging picture for the Australian Dollar. Traders should remain vigilant and prepared to act on signals that suggest a continuation of this bearish trend. ✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
5
CADCHF at Major Support Level – Bullish Rebound ExpectedOANDA:CADCHF is approaching a significant support zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high likelihood of an upward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 0.62870 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
1
XAUUSD: Has peaked if this level breaks.Gold remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.836, MACD = 52.960, ADX = 50.322) despite its oversold status intraday due to the strong selloff. This is because it remains inside the 2month Channel Up. Despite this, the 1D RSI displays LH that in contrast to the HH of Gold, wave a bearish divergence flag. Last time this was observed was on the October 31st 2024 top. The sell trigger was given when the 4H MA100 was crossed, after which the price dipped aggressively to the 1D MA100 and 0.5 Fibonacci level. Consequently we will turn bearish if the price closes under the 4H MA100 and short, aiming at the 0.5 Fib (TP = 2,765). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Analysis by Pro Ally MugaboThis is a refined Elliott Wave analysis of EUR/USD, showing an evolving corrective A-B-C structure following a completed 1-5 impulse wave. 📌 Key Observations: The 5-wave impulse structure has been fully formed. A corrective A-B-C wave is in progress. Wave A has completed its downward move. Wave B is expected to form a three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) structure, targeting 1.08 (Fib 61.8%) as a potential reversal zone (PRZ). Wave C is projected to decline toward 0.98 (Fib 78.6%), completing the correction. 📉 Trading Implications: Short bias: Look for rejection at 1.08 before entering short trades. Entry confirmation: Wait for Wave (C) completion within Wave B. Stop-loss: Above the Wave B high. Profit target: 0.98 (Fib 78.6%). ⚡ How to Use This on TradingView: Open TradingView and start a new chart. Select EUR/USD and plot the impulse wave (1-5) and ABC correction. Use Fibonacci retracement from Wave A start to Wave A end. Mark the 61.8% Fib level (~1.08) as the key reversal zone. Project Wave C down to 0.98 (Fib 78.6%). Publish your analysis with a short setup plan. 🎯 Takeaway: Expect wave B to reach 1.08, followed by a strong sell-off toward 0.98. 🚀 see more with elliott wave education: www.elliottwaveunite.com visit us on www.elliottwaveunite.com Good lucky Fam
Long
by ElliotWaveUnite
2025.02.24 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders, Gold is currently in a very extreme market situation. One can imagine the development process of a black swan event as follows: - **Liquidity Tightening** → Institutions sell paper gold - **Physical Hoarding Wave** → Bank vaults are overflowing - **Futures Delivery Obstacles** → COMEX premiums rise - **Increased Risk Aversion** → Physical gold bars are out of stock - **Final Outcome**: Paper gold prices drop + physical gold premiums continue to rise! Currently, there are three major challenges looming over gold prices, facing a critical decision. **1. Dual Impact of Global Liquidity Tightening** The tsunami of U.S. debt is coming: Starting last Thursday, the U.S. is issuing $183 billion in ten-year treasuries all at once, equivalent to draining a large reservoir from the market. Banks and institutions must free up huge cash amounts to buy bonds, directly leading to less liquidity in the market. It's worth noting that at this time last year, the weekly bond issuance was around $50 billion; now it has tripled, and bond yields are likely to be pushed above 4.4%. On the other hand, there's a massive withdrawal of Japanese funds: After the USD/JPY fell below the psychological barrier of 150, it triggered a chain reaction. Over the past three months, arbitrage trades borrowing yen to buy U.S. treasuries now need to close positions worth 1.2 trillion yen (approximately $8 billion) daily. This capital is flowing back to Japan, which is equivalent to the global market losing the liquidity support of a medium-sized central bank every day. **2. Historical Lessons: Insights from the Oil Futures Incident** Event Recap: On April 20, 2020, U.S. WTI crude oil futures unprecedentedly fell to -$37 per barrel. The Bank of China's "Crude Oil Treasure" product faced a loss of 9 billion yuan for 60,000 investors due to the inability to complete physical delivery. This disaster exposed the core contradiction: when paper trading encounters bottlenecks in physical delivery, futures prices may completely detach from reality. Current Reflections on the Gold Market: 1. **Underlying Rush for Physical Gold**: The U.S. imported 2,000 tons of gold in two months (40% of global annual production), but exchange inventories only increased by 674 tons, indicating a significant amount of gold is being hoarded directly. 2. **Paper Gold Bubble Risk**: Gold ETF holdings dropped by 5%, while open futures contracts increased by 23%, showing speculative funds are trying to profit in the derivatives market without actual holdings. 3. **Rehearsal of Delivery Crisis**: If a sudden large-scale delivery demand arises, COMEX might repeat the "negative oil price" moment—paper gold plummets, while physical gold premiums soar. **3. The Ghost of Inflation Returns** Two dangerous warning signals have lit up: The raw material payment price indices from the Philadelphia and New York Federal Reserves suddenly jumped to a two-year high. This leading indicator suggests that this month's PCE price index may remain stubbornly high. It's crucial to note that the data that Fed Chair Powell cares about most is this one; if it exceeds a month-over-month increase of 0.4% for three consecutive months, the hope for a rate cut in June will essentially vanish. The Fed's awkward position: Current interest rates are nearly 2 percentage points lower than the theoretical values calculated by traditional formulas. The market is beginning to bet that if inflation data continues to soar, the Fed may not only hesitate to cut rates but could even be forced to reconsider rate hikes before the end of the year. Wait for a 4-hour confirmation signal, and look for shorting opportunities in gold on the 1-hour chart. The shorting targets currently only consider the support levels at the bottom of the top consolidation, namely: TP1: 2906 TP2: 2880 GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
AMD LONG : 103 Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Analysis Report Technical Analysis: 1. 200 EMA Support: On the weekly timeframe, AMD's price is currently touching and reacting near the 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which historically serves as a strong dynamic support level. 2. Key Support Level: The price action is at a significant support oblique zone that has held since 2018, suggesting a potential area of accumulation. 3. FVG Gap Fill: On the weekly timeframe, the price correction seems to be filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG) from October 2023, which may provide a solid confirmation for future bullish momentum. 4. Fibonacci Level: The price is currently near the 86.6% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting that the ongoing correction may serve as a strong setup for a bullish reversal. 5. MACD indicator : On the weekly chart, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence, seems to be crossing soon. This indicate a great buying signal opportunity. 6. Ascending Triangle Formation: On the daily chart, price action appears to be forming an ascending triangle pattern, indicating a period of consolidation before a potential breakout to the upside. 7. RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the weekly timeframe is in the oversold region (35), indicating potential buying interest from investors. Projection: From a technical perspective, the $103 price level is identified as a key reversal point. The trade setup presents an attractive risk-reward ratio (RRR) of approximately 1:6 ________________________________________ Fundamental Analysis: 1. Growth in Key Markets: o Data Center Expansion: AMD is aggressively expanding its presence in the data center market with its EPYC server CPUs. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for high-performance computing, particularly in AI-driven workloads. o CPU Market Leadership: AMD continues to gain market share over Intel in the CPU segment. With growing adoption for AI-powered applications, AMD’s processors are becoming an increasingly preferred choice due to their efficiency and performance advantages over competitors. 2. Competition with NVIDIA in AI GPUs: o AMD’s MI300X series GPUs are positioned as a direct competitor to NVIDIA’s Blackwell H100 & H200 GPUs. o The MI300X offers superior bandwidth and memory specifications, although NVIDIA continues to lead in AI training efficiency & ray tracing However, AMD's continuous innovation signals its potential to close the performance gap in the AI computing space, making it a strong contender in the long term. 3. Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: o AMD is strengthening its market presence through key partnerships with industry leaders such as Dell and CEA, further expanding its AI-driven solutions. o The acquisition of Xilinx enhances AMD’s ability to innovate and capture additional market share in the AI and high-performance computing segments. 4. Future Market Potential: o During Q3 2024, AMD CEO Lisa Su stated: “In the data center alone, we expect the AI accelerator TAM will grow at more than 60% annually to $500 billion in 2028. To put that in context, this is roughly equivalent to annual sales for the entire semiconductor industry in 2023.” o This projection highlights AMD’s significant revenue growth potential, reinforcing its position as a key player in the AI and semiconductor industries. 5. Earning Report & clients: o AMD's earnings reports continue to show positive results, indicating stability in the company’s growth trajectory. o AMD is currently making business with big Ai companies like: Microsoft, Google, Meta, Amazon, Oracle, IBM, Siemens, Advantech, etc. Companies that can be huge buys of their product and thus increase the revenue. Risks and Challenges: 1. Underperformance in 2025: Compared to 2024, US technologies stock performance in 2025 has shown signs of underperformance, raising concerns about its short-term growth momentum continuation. 2. Economic Sentiment: The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index has been lower than expected in 2025, suggesting that consumers may be less willing to invest in the economy. This could impact AMD’s stock performance as investor confidence weakens. ________________________________________ Conclusion: Both technical and fundamental indicators suggest that AMD is in a strong position for future growth. The stock is currently undergoing a healthy correction, providing a potential buying opportunity. Given the company’s increasing market share, strategic partnerships, and advancements in AI and high-performance computing, AMD remains a compelling investment prospect for the long term.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by jysupmtb