𝗧𝗲𝘀𝗹𝗮 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗸𝗼𝘄𝗻: Priced for perfectionPriced for perfection in an imperfect market
NASDAQ:TSLA nearly hit its 200dma and key resistance area (~288–292) after a roughly 20% post-earnings squeeze, and as long as it stays below that level, it risks retesting the long-term uptrend line that has marked major lows twice since COVID.
𝘛𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘧𝘧 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘺-𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬: Tesla depends heavily on Chinese-made battery and electronic components now hit by reciprocal U.S. tariffs, while over 60% of global neodymium and dysprosium—vital for its EV motors—are mined and processed only in China, creating a critical bottleneck that could sharply elevate its input costs.
𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘷𝘴. 𝘭𝘰𝘧𝘵𝘺 𝘷𝘢𝘭𝘶𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: Q1 price cuts of up to 20% on core models drove Tesla’s auto gross margin to its lowest since 2020, calling into question the sustainability of its >70× forward P/E multiple, which assumes exceptionally high profits from future ventures like robotics and autonomous fleets.
$NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX TVC:VIX #Stocks #TrumpTariffs 🇺🇸 #ChinaTariffs 🇨🇳
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CHECK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(XAUUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (XAUUSD) ready for(BUY)trade( XAUUSD ) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP)
ENTRY POINT (3395) to (3293) 📊
FIRST TP (3304)📊
2ND TARGET (3315) 📊
LAST TARGET (3324) 📊
STOP LOOS (3280)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Trump Coin at Make-or-Break Resistance — 0.618 Retest in PlayTrump Coin surged aggressively but is now testing a bearish retest zone including the value area low, 0.618 Fibonacci, and anchored VWAP. These levels form a strong technical ceiling for price action.
Two Key Points:
Volume profile shows a climactic node, often marking temporary tops.
Reclaiming current resistance is needed to avoid a full retrace to $9.30.
As it stands, the recent impulse may be topping out. If the local low breaks, bears could regain full control with eyes on a move back to the impulse base.
TSLA
TSLA Did break through a resistance line but this amount of price volitlity was unexpected, there is a big resistance line at around 287-288. Price will most likely consolidate or bounce down. Price could breakthrough and bounce back then continue on upwards. I have never seen this before not even with the Covid crash. Someone else probably has but I sure haven’t. I will probably buy the rebound if it breaks through and enter a long position but as of right now unsure.
NASDAQ:TSLA
solusdtThe breakout area has been successfully tested and we will see the next step, the drop to the shaded area.
*In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
The gold weekly line is about to close and the short position coThe downward trend remains unchanged!
At the same time, after the current decline in gold, traders who have positions above should pay attention that the early morning rebound cannot exceed the stage pressure of 3292-3300. The larger the rebound, the weaker the downward momentum. After a continuous decline, the 3260 position can be seen below. After breaking, the 3230 point needs to be paid special attention to below. This is the golden section position of 50% retracement since the rise from 2956 to 3500 in this round. It is also a multiple resonance area in the trading concentration area. After reaching this point, traders who hold short positions should consider being more cautious.
Short-Term Trade Setup: NZDCAD Eyes 0.82898–0.83110 TargetsGood day Traders,
Trust you are well.
Below is my analysis of NZDCAD.
Overview:
NZDCAD is retracing from the recent high at 0.83050, currently trading around 0.82628. Price action is approaching a key support zone between 0.82470 – 0.82285, an area that previously triggered bullish reactions. Momentum indicators are showing bearish pressure, with red histogram bars visible on the chart.
Idea:
Although bearish momentum is present, the histogram shows a slight decrease in selling pressure, hinting at a potential slowdown in the current downtrend. If the pair holds above the 0.82287 level, it could signal a potential reversal or bounce. This would open room for bullish targets at: 0.82898, 0.83039 and 0.83110.
However, a confirmed break below 0.82287 could expose the next support around 0.82100.
Conclusion:
The pair is at a critical support zone, with decreasing momentum suggesting that sellers may be losing strength. A bounce from current levels could provide a short-term buying opportunity, while a break below 0.82287 would invalidate the bullish outlook.
Cheers and happy trading!
EURUSD 4H Time-frame analysis Let's dive into my EURUSD analysis on the 4-hour timeframe. From what I can see on your chart, here's a more detailed breakdown of potential interpretations:
It looks like I've identified some key horizontal levels. These are often significant areas of interest for traders because they can act as:
Support: Price might find it difficult to fall below these levels, and buying pressure could emerge. The lower horizontal line you've drawn around 1.12059 appears to be a potential support level. Notice how price bounced off this area previously in late March.
Resistance: Conversely, price might struggle to rise above these levels, and selling pressure could take over. The upper yellow highlighted area, with the recent high reaching just above 1.13345, looks like a significant resistance zone. The price has recently tested this level and is currently pulling back.
Recent Price Action:
The sharp upward move in April, culminating at that high, suggests strong buying pressure. However, the immediate pullback indicates that the resistance zone is holding, at least for now.
Potential Scenarios:
Based on what I'm seeing, here are a couple of potential scenarios to consider:
Rejection at Resistance: The current pullback could signify a rejection of the resistance zone. If selling pressure continues, we might see the price move back down towards your identified support level around 1.12059. A break below this support could then open the door for further downside.
Consolidation and Breakout: Alternatively, the price might consolidate within the range defined by your resistance and support levels for a while. A subsequent break above the resistance (the yellow zone) would suggest renewed buying momentum and could lead to further upside. Conversely, a break below the support would reinforce the bearish scenario.
Things to Consider for Further Analysis:
To get a more complete picture, you might want to consider:
Candlestick Patterns: Are there any specific candlestick patterns forming at the resistance level (like a bearish engulfing or a shooting star) that could confirm rejection? Similarly, look for bullish patterns near the support if price revisits that area.
Volume: Analyzing the volume during the recent push to the high and the subsequent pullback could provide clues about the strength of the moves. High volume on the push-up might suggest strong buying interest, while high volume on the pullback could indicate strong selling pressure.
Technical Indicators: Incorporating indicators like Moving Averages, RSI, or MACD could offer additional context and potential confirmation signals. For instance, is the RSI in overbought territory near the resistance? Is the MACD showing signs of bearish divergence?
Fundamental Analysis: Keep an eye on any upcoming economic news or events related to the Euro or the US Dollar that could influence the price action.
Remember, this is just an interpretation based on the snapshot you've provided. Trading involves probabilities, and no analysis is foolproof. It's crucial to manage your risk appropriately.
What are your thoughts on these observations? What was your initial reasoning behind marking these specific levels? I'd be interested to hear more about your perspective!
UMA Trendline Shattered! What’s Next for Bulls?BINANCE:UMAUSDT has broken above the key trendline resistance and is now testing a minor resistance zone.
If a candle closes decisively above this marked zone, we could see a parabolic upside move in the coming sessions.
This breakout structure, paired with strong momentum, makes it a setup worth watching closely.
DYOR, NFA
4.25 gold short-term operation technical analysis!Spot gold suddenly fell sharply during the Asian session on Friday (April 25). At the end of the session, the current gold price was around $3,307/ounce, a plunge of more than $40 during the day.
Gold prices turned lower on Friday as hopes of a trade deal between China and the United States weakened safe-haven assets. The positive risk tone weakened the demand for safe-haven assets. In addition, optimistic US macroeconomic data on Thursday supported the dollar, which also hit gold prices.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack made it clear in an interview on Thursday that the Federal Reserve has basically ruled out the possibility of a rate cut in May. But she also released key information that if there is clear evidence of the direction of the economy, there is room for policy action in June.
Gold prices are currently supported near the $3,300/ounce mark, which is also the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of gold prices from this month's low (around $2,950/ounce) The latest round of gains is located.
If gold price falls below the $3300/oz mark, the next support for gold price is the weekly low near the $3260/oz area; if it falls below the above area, gold price may accelerate its decline and fall to the 50% retracement level (i.e. the area near $3225/oz) and finally fall to the $3200/oz mark. Some follow-up selling will indicate that gold has peaked and turn the short-term bias in favor of bearish traders.
Gold price resistance is around the $3368-3370/oz area, which should be a key level now. If it breaks through the above area, gold price may return to the $3400/oz mark. The subsequent rise may push gold price further to the $3425-3427/oz barrier. Once this barrier is overcome, bulls may retry to conquer the psychological $3500/oz mark.
$CHILLGUY going to 0.10$ 🔥 CHILLGUY BREAKOUT LOADING – DAILY CHART SETUP 🧊📈
CHILLGUY (CHILLGUY/USDT) is breaking out of a multi-month falling channel, and this might just be the beginning of a major reversal. 👀 After months of grinding lower, price has now broken above the upper trendline resistance, signaling a potential trend shift. Historically, breakout from such descending channels with volume follow-through can lead to explosive upside moves. 💥
With the price currently trading around $0.03159, the chart suggests a possible move toward the $0.05 – $0.10 zone, offering a solid +196% potential upside. A few successful tests of resistance-turned-support (orange circles) are adding weight to this bullish bias.
🔑 Potential Upside Targets:
$0.05
$0.075
$0.10
🟥 Invalidation Level: $0.0255 on a daily closing basis.
Volume is also showing promising spikes, indicating growing interest from market participants. If this breakout holds, CHILLGUY might heat up fast. ☄️ Stay chill, but don’t sleep on this setup.
📌 Always use risk management, especially with newer or low-cap tokens.
#CHILLGUY #AltcoinSeason #BreakoutAlert #CryptoTrading #ChartAnalysis #CryptoSetup #BullishBreakout #TrendReversal #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoInspo #AltcoinGems
Gold Is Setting Up for a Second Leg HigherOn the chart, we can see that price is holding above the recent lows at 3,291 and 3,314. At this stage, a purple consolidation zone has formed, with higher lows compared to the previous structure. All factors currently point toward a move up into the 3,386–3,367 range.
This outlook would be invalidated if price drops to the lower boundary of the purple consolidation.
GBP/NZD Testing Channel Support Within UptrendIn the displayed daily chart of GBP/NZD, the price is forming a well-structured and clearly defined ascending channel. This channel is bounded by two thick lines, an upper resistance line and a lower support line, both of which have been tested multiple times by price movements. At the upper boundary, there have been three valid touches, each resulting in a significant downward reaction. Meanwhile, at the lower boundary, there have also been three strong touches, confirming the channel’s validity as the main path of the ongoing uptrend.
In addition to the major channel, there is also a minor internal channel, indicated by dashed lines, showing price movement within a phase of consolidation or minor retracement inside the larger trend. The minor support line is currently being tested, signaling a critical area to determine the next directional move.
At the moment, the price is hovering near the minor support and presents two possible scenarios moving forward.
In the first scenario, the price could bounce from this minor support, continue strengthening toward the minor resistance, and potentially extend further toward the major resistance area around 2.36–2.38.
In the second scenario, if selling pressure persists, the price may break below the minor support and continue falling toward the major support of the larger channel, located around 2.17–2.18, before eventually bouncing back upward.
Overall, this price structure indicates that the primary trend remains bullish as long as the major support within the channel holds. However, in the short term, the market is in a consolidation phase with the risk of a deeper retracement. A confirmed bounce from support or a breakdown through the minor support will be key in determining the next move. The suggested approach is to wait for clear confirmation from price action before making any trading decisions.
GOLD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,299.27
Target Level: 3,358.08
Stop Loss: 3,259.94
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BOJ Faces Inflation ChallengeThe Japanese yen weakened to around 143 per dollar on Friday, reversing Thursday’s gains as the U.S. dollar rebounded on easing global trade tensions. President Trump reassured markets that U.S.-China trade talks are ongoing, despite China’s denial, and optimism over talks with Japan and South Korea also supported the dollar. Trump also eased monetary policy concerns by clarifying he never intended to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
In Japan, Tokyo’s core inflation rose to 3.4% in April, the highest in two years, posing a challenge for the Bank of Japan as it balances rising inflation with external risks from U.S. tariffs. The BOJ is expected to keep rates steady.
Key resistance is at 144.00, with further levels at 145.90 and 146.75. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
TSLA has formed a Triple Bottom patternOn the daily chart, TSLA stabilized and rebounded from the low level, and the short-term market formed a potential triple bottom pattern. At present, attention can be paid to the resistance near 291.8. A breakthrough will start to rise, and the upper resistance is concerned about the 348.0-367.3 area.