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Oil Went Back to 'Pre-conflict' Level on Israel-Iran Ceasefire The Israel-Iran ceasefire has triggered a sharp reversal in global oil markets, sending prices tumbling back to levels seen before the recent conflict. Brent crude ICEEUR:BRN1! fell below $70 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate NYMEX:CL1! dropped to around $65, erasing the risk premium that had built up during nearly two weeks of hostilities. This rapid decline—nearly 17% from the conflict’s peak—reflects investor relief that the threat of major supply disruptions, especially through the vital Strait of Hormuz, has receded for now. However, the outlook remains uncertain. While the ceasefire has calmed immediate fears, the truce is fragile, with both sides accusing each other of violations within hours of its announcement. Shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz is still subdued, insurance costs for tankers remain elevated, and some shipowners are steering clear of the region, indicating persistent caution in energy logistics. If the ceasefire holds, markets may stabilize further, supporting global economic recovery and easing inflationary pressures. But any renewed escalation or disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could quickly reverse these gains, keeping energy markets on alert for further geopolitical shocks. The main technical graph for Dec'25 WTI Futures NYMEX:CLZ2025 indicates on 'cup and handle' technical structure with the nearest support around $62 per bll, and further 'double top' price action in upcoming development. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
NYMEX:CLZ2025
by PandorraResearch
OGNUSDT Forming Descending ChannelOGNUSDT is displaying a promising reversal opportunity as it forms a clear descending channel on the daily chart. This technical setup signals that Origin Protocol could be gearing up for a breakout move, especially with the recent price action testing the upper boundary of the channel. A successful breakout above this resistance zone could unlock significant upside potential, setting the stage for a healthy bullish wave that traders will want to monitor closely. Volume analysis for OGNUSDT is equally supportive, showing consistent buying interest that hints at accumulation by investors positioning early for a trend reversal. With good volume backing the price action, the probability of a confirmed breakout above the descending channel increases, which can accelerate momentum buying and attract fresh capital inflows. This kind of setup often draws the attention of swing traders and trend-followers looking for high-probability moves. The expected gain for OGNUSDT in this scenario sits around 60% to 70%+, which is a reasonable target given the recent lows and the potential to reclaim previous levels of support turned resistance. The broader market sentiment towards altcoins is also improving, with many investors rotating funds into projects with strong recovery patterns. Origin Protocol’s fundamentals, coupled with this technical outlook, make it an appealing candidate for medium-term gains. Traders should keep an eye on daily closes above the channel resistance and watch for confirmation signals like retests and continuation candles. Managing risk is key, but with investors taking renewed interest in this project, OGNUSDT is a crypto pair worth keeping on the watchlist for the next breakout phase. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
2
Check if price can hold above M-Signal indicator on 1D chart Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I failed to register a modified indicator of StochRSI indicator on TradingView alone, so I added it to the existing OBV by readCrypto indicator. From the top of the indicator setting window to the bottom 1. OBV indicator of Low Line ~ High Line channel 2. PVT-MACD oscillator indicator 3. StochRSI indicator They are registered in the order above. Since the values ​​used are all different, you should activate and use one indicator. Please check the chart above. ------------------------------------------ (BTCUSDT 1D chart) It is showing a downward trend as it failed to rise above the HA-High indicator (108316.90) on the 1D chart. It is currently checking whether there is support near 107340.58, which is the StochRSI 50 indicator point. If it fails to receive support and falls, it is expected to fall to around 104463.99. The 104463.99 point is the DOM (60) indicator point of the 1W chart, which corresponds to the end of the high point on the 1W chart. Since the StochRSI 20 indicator point is formed near the 104463.99 point, its importance can be considered high. - Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart is passing near 106133.74, there is a possibility of volatility when touching this area. Since the volatility period begins around July 2 (July 1-3), it is necessary to keep an eye on the current movement. - However, the key is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator, so the current movement may be natural. This volatility period is expected to last until around July 10 (July 9-11), so be careful when trading to avoid being fooled by fakes. ---------------------------------------- - ​​The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of transitioning to a state where K < D. - The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is showing signs of decline. - The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing signs of decline in the High Line. Therefore, if you look at the indicators, they are showing signs of decline overall. However, if the OBV rises above the High Line, the price will show signs of rise. Therefore, we need to observe the movements of the indicators while checking whether there is support at the StochRSI 50 indicator point. Basically, the time to make a purchase is when it shows support near the DOM (-60) ~ HA-Low indicator. If you want to make a purchase outside of that, you should not forget that a short and quick response is required. The indicators that tell you the high point are HA-High, DOM(60) indicators. In addition, there are StochRSI 80 and StochRSI 20 indicators that require quick response. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain the details again when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Gold Expecting bearish trend pattern Current market price: 3340 Based on my analysis, I expect the market to move towards the Sell side once it reaches the 3360–3375 zone, which I believe will act as a strong resistance area. 🟠 Sell Zone: 3360–3375 🎯 Target 1: 3325 🎯 Target 2: 3310 This setup is based on price action and key resistance levels. I’ll be watching closely for confirmation signals within the sell zone before entering the trade. Risk management is key—always trade with a stop loss
TVC:GOLDShort
by KingJasonTrading
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup – Strong Support Bounce & Potential Reversal Timeframe: 4H Gold recently bounced off a well-defined strong support zone near $3,263, forming a potential double bottom structure. The price is now showing early signs of reversal with bullish momentum building. Key Levels: Entry: ~ $3,294 Stop Loss: Below $3,263 (support zone) Target 1: $3,349 (minor resistance) Target 2: $3,413 (major resistance) Technical Confluence: Price respected historical support (highlighted by multiple bounces) Bullish price action with a recovery structure Opportunity for upside retracement toward previous supply zones Fundamental Outlook: Gold may see bullish pressure amid geopolitical uncertainty and potential central bank dovish pivot Market awaiting key macroeconomic data – watch for volatility spikes Bias: Bullish (Short-to-Medium Term) A solid buy setup for traders looking to capitalize on price recovery from a strong support zone with clearly defined risk
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by EMIN_Fx
Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy:Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy: Between Price Stability and Currency Tension The Eurozone’s latest data points to a relatively stable and controlled macroeconomic environment, with a key milestone just reached: 📊 June inflation hit 2.0%, aligning precisely with the ECB’s long-term target. Growth remains moderate but positive, and unemployment is stable. From a classical policy perspective, this setup would typically justify further interest rate cuts to stimulate demand and support economic expansion. But there’s a growing complication: The euro has strengthened significantly in recent weeks, driven not just by economic fundamentals but also by capital inflows and a weakening U.S. dollar. A stronger euro, while often seen as a sign of investor confidence, can hurt exports, reduce competitiveness, and dampen inflation further — potentially becoming a drag on recovery. As a result, the ECB finds itself in a policy dilemma: Cutting rates could stimulate growth, but risk driving the euro even higher. Slowing down or pausing rate cuts could stabilize the currency, but may stall economic momentum. --- 🔁 Reflexivity at Work This dynamic highlights George Soros' theory of reflexivity — where market perceptions shape fundamentals, and those fundamentals in turn reshape perceptions. > “Market prices are always distorted by prevailing biases.” — George Soros The current rally in the euro may not reflect fundamentals alone. If the move exceeds investor expectations, it could trigger emotional reactions, abrupt capital shifts, or even corrections — despite a solid economic base. --- ⚠️ Key Takeaways June inflation at 2.0% gives ECB a clean slate to act — but with caution. Currency appreciation can delay or distort the impact of monetary easing. Market reflexivity may accelerate reactions beyond what data alone would justify. Policy credibility now hinges not just on data, but on timing and communication. --- In today’s market, price and psychology move together. Stability on paper doesn't always mean stability in execution.
by mehrshad31
Lingrid | EURAUD Trend Continuation Pattern FX:EURAUD is maintaining bullish momentum within a broad upward channel after bouncing from the 1.7900 support zone and forming a triangle continuation pattern. Price is coiling just below the 1.8000 handle and the red resistance boundary of the channel. A confirmed breakout above 1.8000 could open the path toward the 1.8100 target area, extending the broader bullish structure. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 1.7880–1.7900 Sell trigger: breakdown below 1.7880 Target: 1.8100 Buy trigger: breakout and retest of 1.8000–1.8020 zone 💡 Risks Rejection from 1.8000 resistance could trigger a pullback Break below the blue trendline may invalidate bullish setup Low momentum breakout may stall below 1.8050 If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
4
EURUSD Long, 02 JulyAsia Fill Trade Despite being inside a Daily Bearish OB, this trade is purely an Asia fill setup, so HTF bias is not heavily weighted here. We had clear 1m BOS and retrace into the 1m OB, right inside a 15m Decisional POI, backed by inverted hammer rejections on both EU and DXY. 📉 Entry: 1m OB after BOS 📊 Confluence: DXY reacting from 15m POI + Asia 🎯 TP: Asia Low (1:3 RR) 🛡️ BE: 1.5RR or LTF BOS continuation Clean execution based on intraday logic & structure, with correlation as additional confidence.
Long
by sTax11
SPY Stuck at Gamma Ceiling! Will Bulls Break 619 or Get Rejected Again? 🎯 🔍 GEX Option Flow Outlook SPY is grinding right under the heavy call wall at 619, which aligns with the highest NET GEX resistance zone. The flow is dominated by calls, and GEX is flashing 4 green dots, meaning dealer hedging could drive price higher if 619 breaks cleanly. * GEX Resistance Wall: * 🔹 $619–$620 = stacked resistance (Call Wall + GEX7 + GEX8 + GEX9) * 🚫 Historically acts like a magnet & rejection zone * GEX Support Wall: * 🔸 $614 = HVL support (strong bounce zone for 0DTE plays) * 🔻 $610–$608 = Put Wall danger zone 💡 Based on the current GEX map, if bulls can break above 619 with volume, the path to 623 opens. But failure to do so likely triggers a pullback to 614. 🧠 Smart Money Price Action (1H Chart) SPY remains in a bullish rising channel, printing higher lows. However, price is stuck inside a CHoCH zone (consolidation under resistance) right under the 619 level. * BOS from June 27 confirms structure shift * CHoCH zone holding short-term price action * 📦 Demand zone: 615–614 → where bulls stepped in before * Volume dropping = market waiting for catalyst 🎯 Trade Setups: 📈 Bullish Breakout Plan: * Trigger: Above 619.50 with momentum * Target: 621 → 623 * Stop: Below 617.50 * Trade Idea: Buy 620C or 622C (0DTE/1DTE) for a quick breakout scalp 📉 Bearish Rejection Plan: * Trigger: Rejection below 619 with spike in volume * Target: 614 → 610 * Stop: Above 620 * Trade Idea: Buy 615P or 612P (1–2 DTE) on failed breakout 🧠 My Take: SPY is at a critical pressure point. If dealers are forced to hedge more delta due to call buying, we could see a breakout. But the Gamma Wall at 619 is real — bulls must break it with force or risk another fade. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always manage your risk. 🎯
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
EUR/USD - Bullish Continuation | Post FED & Job data ReactionEUR/USD remains in a strong short-term uptrend, consistently respecting a rising trendline from June lows. After briefly reacting to a local ChoCh (Change of Character) near 1.1830, the pair pulled back modestly—but held support along the trendline, keeping the bullish structure intact. Today’s U.S. macro events played a critical role: • 🗣️ Fed Chair Powell’s speech at the Sintra Forum reaffirmed a cautious, data-driven path toward rate cuts. While not committing to immediate easing, Powell acknowledged inflation uncertainty and emphasized patience. • 👷‍♂️ U.S. jobs data pointed to a cooling labor market (slower job growth, 3.9% wage inflation), reinforcing market expectations for a Fed rate cut by September. • 📉 The U.S. dollar weakened across the board, supporting EUR/USD’s upside momentum. Technical Highlights: • Price is trading above a well-defined ascending trendline (support zone ~1.1775–1.1790) • Resistance remains at 1.1815–1.1830, the previous local top • Breakout above 1.1830 could extend the rally toward 1.1900 and beyond Trading Plan: • Buy Zone: 1.1775–1.1790 (near trendline) • Stop Loss: Below 1.1740 (trendline break/invalidation) • Take Profit 1: 1.1830 • Take Profit 2: 1.1900 (next swing target) As long as the trendline support holds, EUR/USD remains bullish. A breakout above the current resistance zone will likely trigger the next leg up. Keep an eye on follow-through from U.S. macro data and ECB signals for confirmation.
Long
by Sarah_Analytics
Gold continues to look strong amid ongoing correctionsGold continues to look strong amid ongoing corrections in U.S. interest rate expectations. The falling U.S. dollar is also supporting gold prices, as the greenback remains under pressure due to political uncertainty, budget concerns, and rising trade risks. From a technical perspective, gold is showing signs of consolidation after a strong bullish run. The price is expected to test support near $2,330 (assuming "3330" was a typo), which could serve as a key level before any further upward momentum resumes. If support at 3330 holds, gold may resume its uptrend, especially if macroeconomic headwinds for the dollar persist. You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
2